Thursday, August 3, 2017

Morning Call 8/3

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU17 -0.03%) this morning are down -0.06% as the market consolidates this week's gains. European stocks recovered from a 1-week low and are up +0.13% on stronger-than-expected Eurozone Jun retail sales and on an upbeat economic bulletin from the ECB that points to "broad-based growth in the Eurozone in the near term." As expected, the BOE voted 6-2 to keep its benchmark rate at 0.25% and voted 8-0 to maintain its asset-purchase target at 435 billion pounds following today's policy meeting. However, GBP/USD fell back from a 10-1/2 month high and is down -0.41% after the BOE cut its UK 2017 GDP forecast to 1.7% from a prior forecast of 1.9% and lowered its UK 2018 GDP estimate to 1.6% from 1.7%. Asian stocks settled lower: Japan -0.25%, Hong Kong -0.28%, China -0.37%, Taiwan -0.47%, Australia -0.16%, Singapore -0.18%, South Korea -1.70%, India -0.74%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.11%) is up +0.15%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.13%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.14%.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU17 +0.10%) are little changed, up +0.5 of a tick.
The ECB said in its monthly economic bulletin that "incoming data, notably survey results, continue to point to solid, broad-based growth in the Eurozone in the near term."
Eurozone Jun retail sales rose +0.5% m/m and +3.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of unch m/m and +2.5% y/y, with the +3.1% y/y gain the largest year-on-year increase in 23-months.
The UK Jul Markit/CIPS services PMI rose +0.4 to 53.8, stronger than expectations of +0.2 to 53.6.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jul Challenger job cuts (Jun -19.3% y/y), (2) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected -2,000 to 242,000, previous +10,000 to 244,000) and continuing claims (expected -6,000 to 1.958 million, previous -13,000 to 1.964 million), (3) final-Jul Markit U.S. services PMI (expected unch at 54.2, prelim-Jul unch at 54.2), (4) Jul ISM non-manufacturing (expected -0.5 to 56.9, Jun +0.5 to 57.4), (5) Jun factory orders (expected +3.0%, May -0.8% and -0.3% ex transportation), (6) USDA weekly Export Sales.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Kellogg (consensus $0.92), Apache (-0.01), NRG Energy (0.05), Church & Dwight (0.39), Fluor (0.60), Yum Brands (0.62), ICE (0.76), Global Payments (0.92), Kraft Heinz (0.95), Duke Energy (1.01), Motorola Solutions (1.04), Viacom (1.05), Stericycle (1.13), Clorox (1.49), Aetna (2.34), Regeneron (3.17).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Clementia Pharmaceuticals (CMTA), Venator Materials (VNTR).
Equity conferences this week: UBS Transport Conference on Thu.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
  • Prudential Financial (PRU +0.73%) lost 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted operating EPS of $2.09, well below consensus of $2.70.
  • Wyndham Worldwide (WYN -2.19%) rose 5% in after-hours trading after it said it will split up into two separate businesses, a hotel operation called Wyndham Hotel Group and a timeshare business called Wyndham Vacation.
  • Oshkosh (OSK +5.36%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Drexel Hamilton LLC with a 12-month target price of $83.
  • American International Group (AIG +0.64%) gained almost 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 operating EPS of $1.53, higher than consensus of $1.20.
  • Hologic (HOLX -0.75%) slid nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it said it sees full-year revenue of $3.04 billion-$3.06 billion, below consensus of $3.07 billion.
  • Central Garden & Pet Co (CENT -2.30%) jumped 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 62 cents, above consensus of 51 cents, and then said it now sees fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS of at least $1.44, above a May 3 estimate of at least $1.37.
  • Molina Healthcare (MOH -0.99%) dropped over 7% in after-hours trading after it said it will stop selling Obamacare plans in Utah and Wisconsin in 2018 and will reduce its presence in Washington as it cuts 10% of its workforce, or 1,500 jobs by year-end amid restructuring efforts.
  • Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO -0.68%) rallied 13% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 41 cents, well above consensus of 19 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2018 adjusted EPS to $1.95-$2.16 from a May 23 view of $1.40-$1.65.
  • Sturm Ruger & Co. (RGR +0.09%) tumbled over 12% in after-hours trading after it said Q2 net sales declined -22% and Q2 EPS dropped to 57 cents from $1.22 a share y/y.
  • Trinseo (TSE +1.20%) slumped over 13% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.39, well below consensus of $1.82, and then said it sees Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.10-$1.28, weaker than consensus of $1.78.
  • SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG -1.93%) surged 20% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 55 cents, better than consensus of 37 cents, and then said it sees Q3 revenue of $155 million-$165 million, higher than consensus of $131.7 million.
  • Health Insurance Innovations (HIIQ +0.19%) climbed 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 46 cents, above consensus of 34 cents, and then raised guidance on full-year adjusted EPS to $1.45 -$1.55 from a prior view of $1.40-$1.50.
  • Century Aluminum (CENX +0.30%) dropped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 1 cent, much weaker than consensus of 22 cents.
  • Fitbit (FIT -0.20%) rose nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 revenue of $353.3 million. above consensus of $341.2 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep S&P 500 E-mini stock futures (ESU17 -0.03%) this morning are down -1.50 points (-0.06%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.05%, Dow Jones +0.24%, Nasdaq +0.32%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed slightly higher on strength in technology companies led by a 5% rally in Apple to a record high when it reported an upbeat revenue forecast and gains in energy stocks as crude oil prices rose +0.87%. A bearish factor was the comment from Cleveland Fed President Mester who said that gradual removal of accommodation is still required and that the markets can absorb a gradual balance sheet unwind by the Fed.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU17 +0.10%) this morning are up +0.5 of a tick. Wednesday's closes: TYU7 -4, FVU7 -3. Sep 10-year T-notes on Wednesday closed lower on hawkish comments from Cleveland Fed President Mester who said the markets can absorb a gradual balance sheet unwind by the Fed and supply pressures after the Treasury announced that $62 billion of T-notes and T-bonds will be auctioned next week in the Treasury's quarterly refunding.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.11%) this morning is up +0.136 (+0.15%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0016 (-0.13%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.16 (-0.14%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.207 (-0.22%), EUR/USD +0.0054 (+0.46%), USD/JPY +0.36 (+0.33%). The dollar index on Wednesday fell to a 1-1/4 year low and closed lower on technical selling and Washington political uncertainty. There was also strength in EUR/USD which climbed to 2-1/2 year high on speculation the ECB may announce as soon as next month's policy meeting that it will begin to taper its asset purchases.
Sep crude oil (CLU17 +0.34%) this morning is up +17 cents (+0.34%). Sep gasoline (RBU17 -0.13%) is down -0.0042(-0.26%). Wednesday's closes: Sep WTI crude +0.43 (+0.87%), Sep gasoline -0.0165 (-0.99%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday settled mixed. Crude oil prices rallied on the fall in the dollar index to a 1-1/4 year low and the -2.52 million bbl decline in EIA gasoline inventories to a 7-month low, a bigger decline than expectations of -1.0 million bbl. Crude oil prices were undercut by the -1.53 million bbl draw in EIA crude supplies, less than expectations of -3.0 million bbl, and the +0.2% increase in U.S. crude production in the week of Jul 28 to 9.43 million bpd, the most in 2 years.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/03/2017
Thursday, Aug 3
US0730 ETJul Challenger job cuts, Jun -19.3% y/y.
0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -1,000 to 243,000, previous +10,000 to 244,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -6,000 to 1.958 million, previous -13,000 to 1.964 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
0945 ETFinal-Jul Markit U.S. services PMI expected unch at 54.2, prelim-Jul unch at 54.2.
1000 ETJul ISM non-manufacturing expected -0.5 to 56.9, Jun +0.5 to 57.4.
1000 ETJun factory orders expected +3.0%, May -0.8% and -0.3% ex transportation.
Friday, Aug 4
US0830 ETJul non-farm payrolls expected +180,000, Jun +222,000. Jul private payrolls expected +181,000, Jun +187,000. Jul manufacturing payrolls expected +5,000, Jun +1,000. Jul unemployment rate expected -0.1 to 4.3%, Jun +0.1 to 4.4%.
0830 ETJul avg hourly earnings expected +0.3% m/m and +2.4% y/y, Jun +0.2% m/m and +2.5% y/y. Jul avg weekly hours all-employees expected unch at 34.5 hours, Jun +0.1 to 34.5 hours.
0830 ETJun trade deficit expected -$44.5 billion, May -$46.5 billion.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/03/2017

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Noble Energy IncNBL USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 17(0.131)
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.219
Global Payments IncGPN USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.92
Pinnacle West Capital CorpPNW USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.173
Ball CorpBLL USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.557
Allergan PLCAGN USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 173.919
Willis Towers Watson PLCWLTW USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.504
AmerisourceBergen CorpABC USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.374
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.144
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals IncREGN USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 173.168
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX US06:00Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 172.45
Aetna IncAET US06:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 172.344
WestRock CoWRK USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.635
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.905
PPL CorpPPL USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.495
DISH Network CorpDISH USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.743
Quanta Services IncPWR USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.529
Clorox Co/TheCLX US06:30Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 171.492
Wyndham Worldwide CorpWYN US06:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.495
NRG Energy IncNRG US06:45Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.047
Yum! Brands IncYUM US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.615
Church & Dwight Co IncCHD US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.388
Apache CorpAPA US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 17(0.013)
Duke Energy CorpDUK US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.014
Viacom IncVIAB US07:00Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.052
SCANA CorpSCG US07:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.743
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE US07:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.756
Parker-Hannifin CorpPH US07:30Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 172.308
Global Payments IncGPN US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX US08:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
NRG Energy IncNRG US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
MetLife IncMET US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US08:00Roadshow - Day 2
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Kellogg CoK US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.92
Yum! Brands IncYUM US08:15Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Allergan PLCAGN US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
AmerisourceBergen CorpABC US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals IncREGN US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
ANSYS IncANSS US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Wyndham Worldwide CorpWYN US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Aetna IncAET US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
WestRock CoWRK US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
PPL CorpPPL US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Concho Resources IncCXO US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Willis Towers Watson PLCWLTW US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
CF Industries Holdings IncCF US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
American International Group IncAIG US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
American Water Works Co IncAWK US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Quanta Services IncPWR US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB US09:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Kellogg CoK US09:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Lincoln National CorpLNC US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Church & Dwight Co IncCHD US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Duke Energy CorpDUK US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Marathon Oil CorpMRO US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Ball CorpBLL US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Prudential Financial IncPRU US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Parker-Hannifin CorpPH US11:00Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
Cincinnati Financial CorpCINF US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Federal Realty Investment TrustFRT US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Noble Energy IncNBL US12:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Pinnacle West Capital CorpPNW US12:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Michael Kors Holdings LtdKORS USAnnual General Meeting
Macerich Co/TheMAC US12:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Hasbro IncHAS US12:00Investor Day
DISH Network CorpDISH US12:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
AvalonBay Communities IncAVB US13:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Clorox Co/TheCLX US13:30Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
Apache CorpAPA US14:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
SCANA CorpSCG US15:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Regency Centers CorpREG USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.887
Stericycle IncSRCL USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.128
Fluor CorpFLR USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.601
Activision Blizzard IncATVI USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.304
Western Union Co/TheWU US16:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.417
Kraft Heinz Co/TheKHC USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.949
PerkinElmer IncPKI USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.669
Motorola Solutions IncMSI USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.037
Microchip Technology IncMCHP USAft-mktQ1 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ1 181.235
Consolidated Edison IncED USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.618
Alliant Energy CorpLNT USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.381
Activision Blizzard IncATVI US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Western Union Co/TheWU US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Viacom IncVIAB US16:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Stericycle IncSRCL US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Kraft Heinz Co/TheKHC US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
PerkinElmer IncPKI US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Motorola Solutions IncMSI US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Microchip Technology IncMCHP US17:00Q1 2018 Earnings CallQ1 18
Electronic Arts IncEA US17:00Annual General Meeting
Fluor CorpFLR US17:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17

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