Friday, January 30, 2015

Flanigan's Enterprises - Barchart's Chart of the Day

Flanigan's Enterprises (BDL) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The bar and package store company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 214.10+ and gained 166.78% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Flanigan's Enterprises (BDL) a repeat from September.  I found the stock by sorting the All Time High list for the stock with the best technical buy signals then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts.  Since the Trend  Spotter signaled another buy on 10/30 the stock gained 83.45%.

Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc. owns and/or operates restaurants with lounges, package liquor stores and an entertainment oriented clubs (collectively the ``units``). All of the Company's package liquor stores, restaurants and clubs are operated on leased properties. They operate under the names ``Flanigan's Seafood Bar and Grill'' restaurants and ``Big Daddy's'' retail liquor stores.


Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 13 new highs and up 36.40% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 75.65%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 34.53
  • Recently traded at 38.25 with a 50 day moving average of 30.61
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $71.15 million
  • P/E 23.85
  • Dividend yield .42%
  • Revenue grew at  5.98% over the last 5 years
  • Earnings have increased 11.90%  over the last 5 years
  • No analysts are following this stock
  • Only 7 institutional investors have bought the stock and only hold 7.63% of the outstanding shares
  • Only 2 readers of Motley Fool have posted an opinion and they are both buy.
First let me say that I seem to be the only one who has ever written about the stock.  I, like many others who grew up in South Florida in the 60's and 70's remember Joe Flanigan and his Big Daddy's lounges.  Occasionally, when I'm in Lauderdale I still stop in at the Commercial Blvd. location for ribs or burgers and happy hour.  I see no reason for the run up in the stock price.  The fundamental numbers are very ordinary but the price has soared.  Go figure???

The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been a good technical trading strategy on this stock and should continue to be used to signal entry and exit points.

All I can say is I still remember their radio spots in my youth: " You're never far from a Big Daddy's lounge".

The 5 Worst Large Cap Stocks

Today I used Barchart to sort the S&P 500 Large Cap Index stocks to find the 5 with the worst technical sell signals, then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts.

Today's dogs include Cabot Oil and Gas (COG), Centurylink (CTL), Keurig Grenn Mountain (GMCR), Qualcom (QCOM) and Windstream (WIN):

Cabot Oil and Gas (COG)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 36.17% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 31.09%
  • Recently traded at 26.64 which is below its 50 day moving average of 30.36


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 18.15% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 33.82%
  • Recently traded at 37.29 which is below its 50 day moving average of 39.32


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 22.24% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 35.44%
  • Recently traded at 123.33 which is below its 50 day moving average of 135.39
Qualcom (QCOM)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 22.59% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 20.92%
  • Recently traded at 63.06 which is below its 50 day moving average of 72.38
Windstream (WIN)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 40.71% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 30.59%
  • Recently traded at 7.88 which is below its 50 day moving average of 8.86










BARCHART MORNING CALL 1/30

BARCHART MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.69%) this morning are down -0.63% and European stocks are down -0.10% on Eurozone deflation concerns after Jan Eurozone consumer prices fell a more-than-expected -0.6% y/y and matched the largest decline since the euro currency was introduced in 1999. Losses in European stocks were limited after the Eurozone Dec unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to the lowest in 28 months. The Russian ruble tumbled to a 1-1/2 month low against the dollar after Russia's central bank cut the 1-week auction rate to 15% from 17%. Credit-default swaps on Russia's government debt rose 3 bp to 617 bp, the highest since March 2009. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +0.39%, Hong Kong -0.36%, China -1.36%, Taiwan -0.69%, Australia +0.34%, Singapore -0.81%, South Korea -0.23%, India -1.68%. China's Shanghai Stock Index fell to a 1-1/2 week low as government regulators begin efforts to cool the growth of margin trading. Commodity prices are mostly higher. Mar crude oil (CLH15 +0.97%) is up +1.32%. Mar gasoline (RBH15 +0.34%) is up +0.30%. Feb gold (GCG15 +0.66%) is up +0.71%. Mar copper (HGH15 +1.16%) is up +1.04%. Agriculture prices are higher. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) is down -0.35%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.23%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.52%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 +0.23%) are up +9.5 ticks.
The Eurozone Jan CPI estimate fell -0.6% y/y, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.5% y/y and matched the July 2009 decrease as the biggest drop since the euro currency was introduced in 1999. The Jan core CPI rose +0.6% y/y, less than expectations of +0.7% y/y and the slowest pace of increase since the data series began in 1997.
The Eurozone Dec unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to 11.4%, better than expectations of unch at 11.5% and the lowest in 28 months.
German Dec retail sales rose +0.2% m/m, less than expectations of +0.3% m/m, but on an annual basis rose +4.0% y/y, more than expectations of +3.6% y/y and the largest annual increase in 2-1/2 years.
UK Dec net consumer credit rose +0.6 billion pounds, less than expectations of +1.2 billion pounds and the slowest pace of increase in 13 months.
UK Dec mortgage approvals rose 60,300, more than expectations of 59,000.
The Japan Dec jobless rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to 3.4%, better than expectations of unch at 3.5% and the lowest in 17-1/2 years. The Dec job-to-applicant ratio rose +0.03 to 1.15, better than expectations of unch at 1.12 and the highest in 22-3/4 years.
Japan Dec national CPI rose +2.4% y/y, unch from Nov and higher than expectations of -0.1 to 2.3% y/y. Dec national CPI ex-fresh food rose 2.5% y/y, down -0.2 from Nov and the slowest pace of increase in 9 months. Dec national CPI ex food & energy climbed +2.1% y/y, unch from Nov and right on expectations.
Japan Dec industrial production rose +1.0% m/m, less than expectations of +1.2% m/m, although year-over-year Dec industrial production rose +0.3% y/y, right on expectations.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s Q4 GDP report is expected to ease to +3.1% (q/q annualized) from +5.0% in Q3. Today’s final-Jan U.S. consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan is expected to be unrevised from the early-Jan figure of 98.2, thus leaving the final-Jan figure of 98.2 up by +4.6 points from December’s level. Today’s Q4 employment cost index is expected to show an increase of +0.6% q/q, which would be slightly below the +0.7% increase seen in Q3. Today’s Jan Chicago PMI report is expected to show a -1.3 point decline to 57.5, adding to the -1.9 point decline to 58.8 seen in Dec.
There are 18 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: MasterCard (consensus $0.67), Chevron (1.64), Tyson Foods (0.73), AbbVie (0.86), Weyerhaeuser (0.29), Eli Lilly (0.73), Ingersoll-Rand (0.70). There are no equity conferences today.



OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Weyerhaeuser (WY -0.45%) reported Q4 EPS of 27 cents, below consensus of 29 cents.
Mattel (MAT -0.33%) reported Q4 EPS of 52 cents, well below consensus of 91 cents.
Eli Lilli (LLY +1.61%) reported Q4 EPS of 75 cents, better than consensus of 73 cents.
Eastman Chemical (EMN -0.01%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.64, higher than consensus of $1.52.
Unisys (UIS -1.21%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.60, well above consensus of $1.27.
Leggett & Platt (LEG +1.30%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 41 cents, less than consensus of 45 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $1.90-$2.10, below consensus of $2.10.
Acuity Brands (AYI +0.16%) coverage resumed with a 'Buy' at Stifel witha price target of $185.
C.R. Bard (BCR +1.02%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.29, higher than consensus of $2.24.
JDSU (JDSU -2.43%) fell 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 15 cents, below consensus of 16 cents.
Hanesbrands (HBI +1.44%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.46, more than consensus of $1.43.
Biogen (BIIB +0.59%) reported Q4 EPS of $4.09, above consensus of $3.78, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $16.60-$17.00, better than consensus of $16.37.
Broadcom (BRCM +0.83%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS ex-SBC of 90 cents, higher than consensus of 87 cents.
Visa (V +0.67%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of $2.53, better than consensus of $2.49, and then announced a four-for-one stock split.
Principal Financial (PFG +0.29%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.09, higher than consensus of $1.04.
Manitowoc (MTW +0.89%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 27 cents, below consensus of 32 cents.
Google (GOOG +0.13%) reported Q4 EPS of $6.88, weaker than consensus of $7.11.
Amazon.com (AMZN +2.59%) jumped 11% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 45 cents, well above consensus of 17 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.69%) this morning are down -12.75 points (-0.63%). The S&P 500 index on Thursday rebounded from a 1-1/2 week low and closed higher: S&P 500 -1.35%, Dow Jones -1.13%, Nasdaq -0.60%. Bullish factors included (1) the -43,000 decline in U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims to 265,000, more than expectations of -7,000 to 300,000 and the lowest level in 14-3/4 years, and (2) strength in energy producers which recovered from early losses after crude oil rebounded from a 5-3/4 year low and closed higher. A bearish factor was the unexpected -3.7% m/m decline in U.S. Dec pending home sales, weaker than expectations of a +0.5% m/m increase and the biggest decline in a year.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 +0.23%) this morning are up +9.5 ticks. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Thursday closed lower. Closes: TYH5 -9.00, FVH5 -4.75. Bearish factors included (1) the larger-than-expected decline in U.S. weekly jobless claims to the lowest level in 14-3/4 years, and (2) reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes after stocks rallied.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) this morning is down -0.328 (-0.35%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0026 (+0.23%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.62 (-0.52%). The dollar index on Thursday closed higher: Dollar index +0.315 (+0.33%), EUR/USD +0.00324 (-0.29%), USD/JPY -0.3458 (-0.29%). Bullish factors included (1) the larger-than-expected fall in U.S. weekly jobless claims to the lowest level in 14-3/4 years, which signals labor market strength and bolsters speculation the Fed will soon raise interest rates, and (2) the increase in Eurozone Jan economic confidence to a 6-month high, which was supportive for EUR/USD.
Mar WTI crude oil (CLH15 +0.97%) this morning is up +59 cents (+1.32%) and Mar gasoline (RBH15 +0.34%) is up +0.0042 (+0.30%). Mar crude oil and Mar gasoline on Thursday recovered from early losses and closed higher: CLH5 +0.08 (+0.18%), RBH5 +0.0143 (+1.04%). Mar crude posted a 5-3/4 year low on carry-over weakness from Wednesday’s EIA report where U.S. crude inventories climbed to a record high 406.7 million bbl and U.S. crude production rose to 9.213 million bpd, the highest in over 40 years. However, fund short covering near the lows helped crude oil erase its losses and close higher.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/30/2015
US0830 ETQ4 GDP expected +3.1% q/q annualized, Q3 +5.0%. Q4 personal consumption expected +4.0%, Q3 +3.2%. Q2 GDP price index expected +0.9%, Q3 +1.4%. Q4 GDP core PCE expected +1.1% q/q, Q3 +1.4% q/q.
0830 ETQ4 employment cost index expected +0.6%, Q3 +0.7%.
0900 ETJan Milwaukee ISM expected +0.39 to 58.00, Dec -11.32 to 57.61.
0945 ETJan Chicago PMI expected -1.3 to 57.5, Dec -1.9 to 58.8.
0955 ETFinal-Jan U.S. consumer confidence index (University of Michigan) expected unch at 98.2, prelim-Jan +4.6 to 98.2.
JPN0000 ETJapan Dec annualize housing starts expected -14.8% y/y to 900,000, Nov -14.3% y/y to 888,000.
0100 ETJapan Dec construction orders, Nov +16.9% y/y
GER0200 ETGerman Dec retail sales expected +0.3% m/m and +3.6% y/y, Nov +0.5% m/m and -0.8% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Dec net consumer credit expected +1.2 billion pounds, Nov +1.3 billion pounds.
0430 ETUK Dec mortgage approvals expected 59,000, Nov 59,000.
0430 ETUK Dec M4 money supply, Nov unch m/m and -2.8% y/y.
EUR0500 ETEurozone Jan CPI estimate expected -0.5% y/y, Dec -0.2% y/y. Jan CPI core expected +0.7% y/y, Dec +0.7% y/y.
0500 ETEurozone Dec unemployment rate expected unch at +11.5%.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/30/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Newell Rubbermaid IncNWL USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.481
AbbVie IncABBV USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.856
Chevron CorpCVX USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.643
Tyco International PlcTYC USBef-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.491
MasterCard IncMA USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.674
Weyerhaeuser CoWY USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.287
PACCAR IncPCAR USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.095
Simon Property Group IncSPG USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.465
Eli Lilly & CoLLY USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.732
Mattel IncMAT US6:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.913
CONSOL Energy IncCNX US6:45Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.202
Altria Group IncMO US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.664
Ingersoll-Rand PLCIR US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.698
Xerox CorpXRX US7:15Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.288
Tyson Foods IncTSN US7:30Q1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.727
Tyco International PlcTYC US8:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Legg Mason IncLM US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.663
Legg Mason IncLM US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Eastman Chemical CoEMN US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Newell Rubbermaid IncNWL US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Franklin Resources IncBEN US8:30Q1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.934
Franklin Resources IncBEN US8:30Q1 2015 Earnings Call - Pre RecordedC1 2015
Mattel IncMAT US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Altria Group IncMO US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
AbbVie IncABBV US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Boston Properties IncBXP US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
MasterCard IncMA US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Tyson Foods IncTSN US9:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Leggett & Platt IncLEG US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Eli Lilly & CoLLY US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
CONSOL Energy IncCNX US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Weyerhaeuser CoWY US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Xerox CorpXRX US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Ingersoll-Rand PLCIR US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Chevron CorpCVX US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Franklin Resources IncBEN US11:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Tyson Foods IncTSN US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
Simon Property Group IncSPG US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
PACCAR IncPCAR US12:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Monsanto CoMON US14:30Annual General MeetingY 2015
Computer Sciences CorpCSC USQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.115

Hawaiian Holdings Tanks

Today I deleted Hawaiian Holding (HA) from the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio for very poor price momentum after disappointing earnings and forecasts.  Normally when a stock tanks this fast I might wait for the dead cat bounce but I haven't seen any sign of that on this one:


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 40% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20 , 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 30.80% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 31.41%
  • Recently traded at 19.07 which is below its 50 day moving average of 23.41


Thursday, January 29, 2015

Cimpress Barchart's Chart of the Day

Cimpress (CMPR) is the Barchart Chart of the Day. The commercial printing company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 84.00+ and gained 73.70% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Cimpress (CMPR).  I found the commercial printing company by sorting the All Time High list for the stocks with the best technical buy signals, then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 1/22 the stock gained 8.84%.

Cimpress NV is an online supplier of graphic design and customized, printed products to businesses and consumers. It serves Small and Micro Businesses, Graphic Professionals and private users. The Company offers a range of products and services ranging from customized products like flyers, catalogues, packaging, posters, presentation folders, signs, banners, logo apparel, business cards, labels, corporate gifts; photo merchandise such as photo books, wall d'cor, photo gifts, calendars, invitations, announcements, Christmas cards, New Year's cards and other holiday cards. Its portfolio of brands that include Vistaprint, Albelli, Drukwerkdeal, Pixartprinting and others serve many customer segments across many applications for mass customization. Cimpress NV, formerly known as Vistaprint N.V., is based in the Netherlands.


Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 an d100 day moving averages
  • 2 new highs and up 7.33% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 70.23%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 69.28
  • Recently traded at 81.10 with a 50 day moving average of 71.79
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $2.62 billion
  • P/E 28.29
  • Revenue expected to grow 16.20% this year and another 8.80% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 28.10% this year, an additional 19.60% next year and continue to increase at an annual rate of 20.15% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 8 hold and 2 under perform recommendations on the stock
The most reliable technical trading strategy for this stock has been the 20-50 day MACD Oscillator and should continue to be used to provide enter and exit points.

The 5 Best S&P 500 Large Cap eaStocks

Today I used Barchart to sort the S&P 500 Large Cap Index stocks to find the stocks with the best technical buy signals, then I used the flipchart feature to review the charts for consistency.

Today's list includes Total Systems Services (TSS), Prologis (PLD, Electronic Arts (EA), Amerisourcebergen (ABC) and Wisconsin Energy (WEC):

Total Systems Services (TSS)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 6 new highs and up 5.84% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.80%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 33.72
  • Recently traded at 36.38 with a 50 day moving average of 33.61
Prologis (PLD)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11 new highs and up 6.81% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.20%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 45.71
  • Recently traded at 46.91 with a 50 day moving average of 43.09


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 5 new highs and up 12.99% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 76.32%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 49.72
  • Recently traded at 55.32 with a 50 day moving average of 46.27


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signal
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 10 new highs and up 5.31% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 71.67%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 92.34
  • Recently traded at 96.42 with a 50 day moving average of 91.51


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 8 new highs and up 4.11% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 71.81%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 55.79
  • Recently traded at 56.77 with a 50 day moving average of 52.17










BARCHART MORNING CALL 1/29

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 +0.51%) this morning are up +0.50% led by gains in Apple and McDonald's in pre-market trading, and European stocks are up +0.23% after Eurozone Jan economic confidence rose to the highest in 6 months. Also, a rally in Greek bank stocks is boosting the overall market after the head of the ECB's Supervisory Board, Daniele Nouy, said that Greek lenders are "pretty strong" and can survive the current market turbulence. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -1.06%, Hong Kong -1.07%, China -1.23%, Taiwan -0.88%, Australia +0.30%, Singapore unch, South Korea -0.69%, India +0.41%. China's Shanghai Stock Index fell to a 1-week low amid speculation that increased regulatory scrutiny of margin loans will reduce leveraged buying of Chinese stocks after the Xinhua News Agency reported that China's Securities Regulatory Commission will start a new round of checks into the margin-lending businesses of brokerages. Commodity prices are mostly lower. Mar crude oil (CLH15 +0.11%) is down -0.04%. Mar gasoline (RBH15 +0.65%) is up +0.43%. Feb gold (GCG15 -1.29%) is down -1.40% at a 1-1/2 week low. Mar copper (HGH15 -1.86%) is down -2.00%. Agriculture prices are weaker. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.13%) is up +0.10%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.24%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.45%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 -0.18%) are down -6 ticks.
Eurozone Jan economic confidence rose +0.6 to 101.2, less than expectations of +0.9 to 101.6 but still the highest in 6 months. The Jan business climate indicator rose +0.01 from an upward revised 0.15 in Dec to 0.16, higher than expectations of +0.12.
Eurozone Dec M3 money supply rose +3.6% y/y, more than expectations of +3.5% y/y and the fastest pace of increase in 2 years. The Dec 3-month avg rose +3.1%, right on expectations.
The German Jan unemployment change fell -9,000, slightly less than expectations of -10,000, The Jan unemployment rate fell -0,a from an upward revised 6.6% in Dec to 6.5%, right on expectations and the lowest since data for a reunified Germany began in 1991.
UK Jan CBI reported sales fell -22 to 39, a smaller decline than expectations of -29 to 32.
UK Jan nationwide house prices rose +0.3% m/m and +6.8% y/y, close to expectations of +0.35 m/m and +6.6% y/y.
Japan Dec retail sales unexpectedly fell for a third month as they fell -0.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.3% m/m. On an annual basis, Dec retail sales rose +0.2% y/y, less than expectations of +0.9% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s initial unemployment claims report is expected to fall by -7,000 to 300,000, adding to last week’s decline of -10,000 to 307,000. Today’s continuing claims report is expected to fall by -38,000 to 2.405 million, more than reversing last week’s +15,000 rise to 2.443 million. Today’s Dec pending home sales report is expected to show an increase of +0.5% m/m and +10.9% y/y following the Nov report of +0.8% m/m and +1.7% y/y. The Treasury today will sell $35 billion of 5-year T-notes and $29 billion of 7-year T-notes, concluding this week’s $105 billion T-note package. There are no equity conferences today.
There are 51 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Google (consensus $7.19), Amazon.com (0.19), Visa (2.49), Abbot (0.69), PulteGroup (0.40), Baxter (1.31), Time Warner (2.09), Dow Chemical (0.70), Ford (0.22), Nasdaq (0.74).



OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
McDonald's (MCD -0.88%) rose more than 3% in after-hours trading after it was announced that CEO Don Thompson will retire and Steve Easterbrook will replace him.
IDEX Corp. (IEX -0.52%) reported Q4 EPS of 77 cents, weaker than consensus of 87 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $3.65-$3.75, below consensus of $3.82.
Murphy Oil (MUR -7.23%) reported Q3 EPS of 39 cents, above consensus of 30 cents
Kirby (KEX -3.97%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.19, higher than consensus of $1.15.
Helmerich & Payne (HP -6.49%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Citigroup with a price target of $55.
Tetra Tech (TTEK -2.34%) reported Q1 EPS of 41 cents, more than consensus of 35 cents.
Cabot (CBT -2.01%) reported Q1 EPS of 69 cents, better than consensus of 65 cents.
Ameriprise (AMP -2.03%) reported Q4 operating EPS of $2.30, higher than consensus of $2.22.
CACI (CACI +0.05%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.01, below consensus of $1.06.
Swift Transport (SWFT -1.77%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 55 cents, more than consensus of 48 cents.
Hologic (HOLX unch) reported Q1 EPS of 39 cents, better than consensus of 36 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS outlook to $1.54-$1.57 from $1.50-$1.54, higher than consensus of $1.54.
Lam Research (LRCX -0.54%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.19, higher than consensus $1.13.
Citrix (CTXS -1.53%) rose over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of $1.10, stronger than consensus of $1.03.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS -1.60%) climbed over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 92 cents, more than consensus of 81 cents.
Qualcomm (QCOM -1.09%) fell over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.34, better than consensus of $1.25, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 adjusted EPS view to $4.75-$5.05 from $5.05-$5.35, below consensus of $5.21.
Facebook (FB +0.61%) reported Q4 EPS of 54 cents, higher than consensus of 48 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 +0.51%) this morning are up +10.00 points (+0.50%). The S&P 500 index on Wednesday fell to a 1-1/2 week low and closed lower: S&P 500 -1.35%, Dow Jones -1.13%, Nasdaq -0.60%. Bearish factors included (1) carry-over weakness from a slide in European stocks on concern that Greece’s new government may default on its international debts if it abandons agreements made by the prior Greek administration, and (2) weakness in energy producers after crude oil sold off. Bullish factors included (1) early strength in technology stocks on better-than-expected earnings results from Apple, and (2) the post-FOMC meeting statement where the Fed pledged to remain “patient” on raising interest rates.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 -0.18%) this morning are down -6 ticks. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Wednesday posted a 1-1/2 week high and closed higher. Closes: TYH5 +26.00, FVH5 +14.75. Bullish factors included (1) the post-FOMC meeting statement where the Fed maintained its pledge to be “patient” on raising interest rates, and (2) increased safe-haven demand for T-notes as stocks declined.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.13%) this morning is up +0.096 (+0.10%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0027 (+0.24%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.53 (+0.45%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed higher: Dollar index +0.445 (+0.47%), EUR/USD -0.00932 (-0.82%), USD/JPY -0.3458 (-0.29%). Bullish factors included (1) Greek sovereign debt concerns that weighed on EUR/USD, and (2) the Fed’s post-FOMC statement that said the economy is “expanding at a solid pace,” which bolstered speculation the Fed will raise interest rates later this year.
Mar WTI crude oil (CLH15 +0.11%) this morning is down -2 cents (-0.04%) and Mar gasoline (RBH15 +0.65%) is up +0.0059 (+0.43%). Mar crude oil and Mar gasoline on Wednesday settled mixed: CLH5 -1.78 (-3.85%), RBH5 -0.0006 (-0.04%). Bearish factors that sent Mar crude down to a 5-3/4 year low included (1) the +8.87 million bbl surge in weekly EIA crude inventories to 406.7 million bbl, twice as much as expectations of +4.0 million bbl and the highest since 1931, (2) the +2.09 million bbl increase in crude supplies at Cushing, OK, delivery point of WTI futures, to an 11-1/2 month high of 38.9 million bbl, and (3) the +0.3% w/w increase in U.S. crude production in the week ended Jan 23 to 9.213 million bpd, the highest in over 40 years. Gasoline prices recovered from their worst levels after weekly EIA gasoline inventories unexpectedly fell -2.6 million bbl versus expectations for a +500,000 bbl increase.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/29/2015
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -7,000 to 300,000, previous -10,000 to 307,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -38,000 to 2.405 million, previous +15,000 to 2.443 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1000 ETDec pending home sales expected +0.5% m/m and +10.9% y/y, Nov +0.8% m/m and +1.7% y/y.
1130 ETTreasury auctions $35 billion 5-year T-notes.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $29 billion 7-year T-notes.
UK0200 ETUK Jan nationwide house prices expected +0.3% m/m and +6.6% y/y, Dec +0.2% m/m and +7.2% y/y.
0600 ETUK Jan CBI reported sales expected -29 to 32, Dec 61.
1905 ETUK Jan GfK consumer confidence expected +2 to -2, Dec -4.
GER0355 ETGerman Jan unemployment change expected -10,000, Dec -27,000. Jan unemployment rate expected unch at 6.5%.
0800 ETGerman Jan CPI (EU harmonized) expected -1.0% m/m and -0.2% y/y, Dec +0.1% m/m and +0.1% y/y.
EUR0400 ETEurozone Dec M3 money supply expected +3.5% y/y and +3.1% 3-mo avg, Nov +3.1% y/y and +2.7% 3-mon avg.
0500 ETEurozone Jan business climate indicator expected +0.08 to 0.12, Dec 0.04. Jan economic confidence expected +0.9 to 101.6, Dec 100.7.
0500 ETRevised Eurozone Jan consumer confidence, previous +2.4 to -8.5.
JPN1830 ETJapan Dec jobless rate expected unch at 3.5%. Dec job-to-applicant ratio expected unch at 1.12.
1830 ETJapan Dec overall household spending expected -2.3% y/y, Nov -2.5% y/y.
1830 ETJapan Dec national CPI expected +2.3% y/y, Nov +2.4% y/y. Dec national CPI ex-fresh food expected +2.6% y/y, Nov +2.7% y/y. Dec national CPI ex food & energy expected +2.1% y/y, Nov +2.1% y/y.
1830 ETJapan Jan Tokyo CPI expected +2.2% y/y, Dec +2.1% y/y. Jan Tokyo CPI ex-fresh food expected +2.2% y/y, Dec +2.3% y/y. Jan Tokyo CPI ex food & energy expected +1.8% y/y, Dec +1.8% y/y.
1850 ETJapan Dec industrial production expected +1.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y, Nov -0.5% m/m and -3.7% y/y.
2300 ETJapan Dec vehicle production, Nov-12.2% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/29/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Abbott LaboratoriesABT USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.686
Xcel Energy IncXEL USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.344
Air Products & Chemicals IncAPD USBef-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20151.491
Mead Johnson Nutrition CoMJN USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.882
Northrop Grumman CorpNOC USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.258
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.678
Valero Energy CorpVLO USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.328
ConocoPhillipsCOP USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.584
PulteGroup IncPHM USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.402
L-3 Communications Holdings IncLLL USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.291
Baxter International IncBAX USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.311
Viacom IncVIAB USBef-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20151.285
Alexion Pharmaceuticals IncALXN USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.287
CMS Energy CorpCMS USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.359
Colgate-Palmolive CoCL USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.743
Stanley Black & Decker IncSWK USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.518
Cameron International CorpCAM USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.203
Thermo Fisher Scientific IncTMO USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.94
Quest Diagnostics IncDGX USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.042
Time Warner Cable IncTWC USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.092
Dow Chemical Co/TheDOW USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.695
Harley-Davidson IncHOG USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.334
Cardinal Health IncCAH USBef-mktQ2 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20151.101
Helmerich & Payne IncHP USBef-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20151.564
Hershey Co/TheHSY USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.064
Celgene CorpCELG USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.007
Royal Caribbean Cruises LtdRCL USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.418
Zimmer Holdings IncZMH US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.705
Raytheon CoRTN US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.797
EMC Corp/MAEMC US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.683
Coach IncCOH US7:00Q2 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20150.66
Ford Motor CoF US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.224
NASDAQ OMX Group Inc/TheNDAQ US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.744
Invesco LtdIVZ US7:30Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.621
Zimmer Holdings IncZMH US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Sherwin-Williams Co/TheSHW US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.371
Stanley Black & Decker IncSWK US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
NASDAQ OMX Group Inc/TheNDAQ US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Harman International Industries IncHAR US8:00Q2 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20151.291
Phillips 66PSX US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.407
PulteGroup IncPHM US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Baxter International IncBAX US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Viacom IncVIAB US8:30Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Thermo Fisher Scientific IncTMO US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Quest Diagnostics IncDGX US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Time Warner Cable IncTWC US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
EMC Corp/MAEMC US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Coach IncCOH US8:30Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
Cardinal Health IncCAH US8:30Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
Hershey Co/TheHSY US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Abbott LaboratoriesABT US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Raytheon CoRTN US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
CMS Energy CorpCMS US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Invesco LtdIVZ US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Dow Chemical Co/TheDOW US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
General Growth Properties IncGGP US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Ford Motor CoF US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallC4 2014
Harley-Davidson IncHOG US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Celgene CorpCELG US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Ameriprise Financial IncAMP US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Mead Johnson Nutrition CoMJN US9:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Cameron International CorpCAM US9:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Xcel Energy IncXEL US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Air Products & Chemicals IncAPD US10:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Valero Energy CorpVLO US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Alexion Pharmaceuticals IncALXN US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Keurig Green Mountain IncGMCR US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
Royal Caribbean Cruises LtdRCL US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
L-3 Communications Holdings IncLLL US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Colgate-Palmolive CoCL US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Ford Motor CoF US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings Call - Fixed Income CallQ4 2014
Harman International Industries IncHAR US11:00Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
Helmerich & Payne IncHP US11:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Jacobs Engineering Group IncJEC US11:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Phillips 66PSX US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Northrop Grumman CorpNOC US12:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
ConocoPhillipsCOP US12:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US12:00Q4 2014 Earnings Call - Fixed IncomeC4 2014
Murphy Oil CorpMUR US13:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
AvalonBay Communities IncAVB US13:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Sherwin-Williams Co/TheSHW US14:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Robert Half International IncRHI US16:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.606
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US16:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.048
Google IncGOOGL US16:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Biogen Idec IncBIIB US16:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Broadcom CorpBRCM US16:45Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Broadcom CorpBRCM USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.869
CR Bard IncBCR USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.243
Visa IncV USAft-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20152.487
Microchip Technology IncMCHP USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.621
Google IncGOOGL USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20147.185
Chubb Corp/TheCB USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.171
Amazon.com IncAMZN USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.19
Biogen Idec IncBIIB USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20143.775
PerkinElmer IncPKI USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.778
Boston Properties IncBXP USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.253
Leggett & Platt IncLEG USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.447
Mylan Inc/PAMYL USSpecial Meeting - M&A Vote
Keurig Green Mountain IncGMCR USAnnual General Meeting
Jacobs Engineering Group IncJEC USAnnual General Meeting