Friday, January 16, 2015

Anthem - Barchart's Chart of the Day

Anthem (ANTM) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The managed health care provider has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 57.94+, gained 58.38% in the last year and paid a 1.33% dividend.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Anthem (ANTM).  I found the company by sorting the All Time High list for the stocks with the best technical buy signals, then used the FlipCart feature to review the charts.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled another buy on 1/8 the stock gained 3.01%.

Anthem Inc. is a health care company. The company provides medical products, through its subsidiaries. It operates through Commercial, Consumer and Other segments. The Company offers managed care plans to the large and small employer, individual, Medicaid and senior markets.


Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7 new highs and up 11.70% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 67.68%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 130.65
  • Recently traded at 135.20 with a 50 day moving average of 127.03
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $ 26.82 billion
  • P/E 16.54
  • Dividend yield 1.33%
  • Revenue expected to grow 4.40% this year and another 8.40% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 8.20% this year, an additional 12.90% next year and continue to increase at an annual rate of 10.88% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 5 strong buy, 3 buy and 13 hold recommendations on the stock
The price vs the 100 day moving average has been a dependable trading strategy for this stock and should continue to be used for entry and exit points.

5 Very popular stocks

Yesterday we covered the 5 most popular stocks with the individual investors, today we'll cover the next 5.

Today's list includes Ford (F), Citigroup (C), Intel (INTC), Cisco Systems (CSCO), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ):

Ford (F)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 64% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 18.05% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 44.12%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 14.58
  • Recently traded at 14.83 which is below its 50 day moving average of 15.14


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 88% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 17.65% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 24.09%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 46.13
  • Recently traded at 46.86 which is below its 50 day moving average of 53.28
Intel (INTC)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 8% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 6.27% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 41.89%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 35.52
  • Recently traded at 35.97 which is below its 50 day moving average of 36.57
Cisco (CSCO)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 24% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter hold signal
  • Below its 20 day moving average but still above its 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 4.95% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 46.52%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 26.81
  • Recently traded at 27.36 with a 50 day moving average of 27.12


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 88% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 6.59% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 38.00%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 100.81
  • Recently traded at 102.13 which is below its 50 day moving average of 106.41











BARCHART MORNING CALL 1/16

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.54%) this morning are down -0.15% at a 4-week low and European stocks shed losses and are up +0.55% after comments from ECB Executive Board member Coeure bolstered speculation the ECB will embark on a program of buying sovereign debt at its meeting next Thursday. The fallout from Thursday's surprise move by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to abandon its currency cap led to huge losses in the forex market with New Zealand's Global Brokers NZ Ltd. saying that losses from the franc's surge are forcing it to shut down and British broker Alpari Ltd. said it "entered into insolvency." Also, FXCM Inc., the largest U.S. retail foreign-exchange broker, said clients owe $225 million on their accounts and threaten the firm's compliance with capital rules. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -1.43%, Hong Kong -1.02%, China +0.86%, Taiwan -0.29%, Australia -0.60%, Singapore -1.14%, South Korea -1.44%, India +0.17%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index dropped to a 2-1/2 month low after the SNB's unexpected scrapping of its currency cap prompted investors to avert risk and dump stocks. Chinese stocks bucked the trend and rallied on speculation the PBOC will soon cut reserve-requirement ratios. Commodity prices are mixed. Feb crude oil (CLG15 +2.21%) is up +2.72%. Feb gasoline (RBG15 +1.47%) is up +2.20%. Feb gold (GCG15 -0.17%) is down -0.37%. Mar copper (HGH15 -0.23%) is unch. Agriculture prices are higher. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.16%) is up +0.13%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.40%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.46%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 +0.28%) are up +8 ticks.
In a sign that the ECB will implement quantitative easing at next Thursday's policy meeting, ECB Executive Board member Coeure said that for QE to be efficient "it would have to be big" and that "we will take into account the American and British experiences to determine the amounts of bonds to buy."
Eurozone Dec CPI fell -0.1% m/m, right on expectations and the third consecutive month of declines. Dec CPI of -0.2% y/y was left unrevised, although Dec core CPI was revised lower to +0.7% y/y from the originally reported +0.8% y/y and matched the slowest pace of increase since data began in 1997.
Eurozone Dec new car registrations rose +4.7% y/y to 951,000, the sixteenth consecutive month registrations have increased.
The Japan Nov tertiary industry index rose +0.2% m/m, right on expectations, although Oct was revised upward to -0.1% m/m from the originally reported -0.2% m/m.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s early-Jan U.S. consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan is expected to show a +0.5 point increase to 94.1, adding to December’s +4.8 point rise to an 8-year high of 93.6.  Today’s Dec CPI is expected to drop to +0.7% y/y from Nov’s +1.3% due to the plunge in oil and gasoline prices.  Today’s Dec core CPI is expected to be unchanged from November at +1.7% y/y.  Today’s Dec industrial production report is expected to show a small decline of -0.1% m/m, stalling after November’s sharp increase of +1.3% m/m.  There are 5 the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today:  Goldman Sachs (consensus $4.36), Schwab (0.24), Comerica (0.77), SunTrust Banks (0.80), PNC Financial (1.73).  Equity conferences today include:   Biomarkers from Research to Clinic Conference on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Starwood (HOT -1.00%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at BofA/Merrill Lynch.
Gap (GPS -2.37%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Overweight' at Atlantic Equities.
CSX (CSX +1.37%) was upgraded to 'Positive' from 'Neutral' at Susquehanna.
PNC Financial Services Group (PNC -0.70%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.84, stronger than consensus of $1.73.
Family Dollar (FDO -1.52%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Jefferies.
Comerica (CMA -1.09%) reported Q4 EPS of 82 cents, better than consensus of 77 cents.
SunTrust Banks (STI -1.77%) reported Q4 EPS of 88 cents, higher than consensus of 80 cents.
The WSJ reported that British Petroleum (BP +0.17%) may pay up to $13.7 billion in fines for the 2010 Deepwater Horizon Gulf spill case.
Time Warner (TWX +0.04%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Stifel.
Viacom (VIAB -1.95%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at Stifel with a price target of $89.
21st Century Fox (FOXA -0.77%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at Stifel with a price target of $41.
GrubHub (GRUB -1.98%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at Stifel with a price target of $46.
Target (TGT +1.80%) was upgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Underperform' at BofA/Merrill Lynch.
Schlumberger (SLB -2.25%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.50, higher than consensus of $1.46, although Q4 revenue of $12.6 billion was less than consensus of $12.72 billion. Schlumberger then said it plans to cut 9,000 jobs in 2015.
Roundy's (RNDY -5.29%) lowered guidance on Q1 EPS to -5 cents to zero, weaker than consensus of 3 cents, and then cut guidance on full-year fiscal 2015 EPS to a loss of -18 cents to -7 cents, well below consensus of 6 cents.
Intel (INTC -0.44%) reported Q4 EPS of 74 cents, better than consensus of 66 cents, but then said Q1 revenue would be $13.7 billion, plus or minus $500 million, which is less than consensus of $13.77 billion.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.54%) this morning are down -3.00 points (-0.15%) and posted a 4-week low. The S&P 500 index on Thursday closed lower: S&P 500 -0.92%, Dow Jones -0.61%, Nasdaq -1.36%. Bearish factors included (1) the unexpected +19,000 increase in U.S. weekly unemployment claims to a 4-month high of 316,000, more than expectations for a -4,000 decline to 290,000, (2) the -18.0 point plunge in the Jan Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey to 6.3, weaker than expectations of -5.8 to 18.7 and the lowest in 11 months, and (3) a slide in U.S. bank stocks after Citigroup, Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase reported the worst combined quarterly trading revenue since 2011.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 +0.28%) this morning are up +8 ticks. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Thursday posted a new contract high and closed higher. Closes: TYH5 +18.50, FVH5 +12.50. Bullish factors included (1) the end of the Swiss National Bank’s exchange-rate cap against the euro, which roiled global stock and currency markets and boosted safe-haven demand for T-notes, (2) the unexpected increase in U.S. weekly jobless claims to a 4-month high, and (3) the larger-than-expected decline in the Jan Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey to an 11-month low.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.16%) this morning is up +0.119 (+0.13%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0046 (-0.40%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.53 (+0.46%). The dollar index on Thursday surged to an 11-year high and closed higher: Dollar index +0.191 (+0.21%), EUR/USD -0.01586 (-1.35%), USD/JPY -1.17 (-1.00%). Bullish factors included (1) the plunge in EUR/USD to an 11-year low after the Swiss National Bank ended its 3-year minimum exchange rate of 1.20 franc per euro, and (2) improved dollar interest rate differentials versus the euro on expectations for the ECB to announce QE when it meets next Thursday.
Feb WTI crude oil (CLG15 +2.21%) this morning is up +$1.26 a barrel (+2.72%) and Feb gasoline (RBG15 +1.47%) is up +0.0286 (+2.20%). Feb crude oil and Feb gasoline on Thursday climbed to 1-week highs but relinquished their gains and closed lower: CLG5 -2.23 (-4.60%), RBG5 -0.0512 (-3.79%). Bearish factors included (1) the rally in the dollar index to an 11-year high, (2) OPEC’s cut in its 2015 global demand forecast for its crude to 28.8 million bpd, -100,000 bpd less than last month’s forecast.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/16/2015
US0830 ETDec CPI expected -0.4% m/m and +0.7% y/y, Nov -0.3% m/m and +1.3% y/y. Dec CPI ex food & energy expected +0.1% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Nov +0.1% m/m and +1.7% y/y.
0815 ETDec industrial production expected -0.1% m/m, Nov +1.3% m/m. Dec capacity utilization expected -0.2 to 79.9%, Nov +0.8 to 80.1%.
0850 ETMinneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota delivers a Goal-Based Monetary Policy Report and speaks on the economy to the Financial Planners Association of Minnesota.
0955 ETPreliminary U.S. Jan University of Michigan consumer confidence expected +0.5 to 94.1, Dec +4.8 to 93.6.
1100 ETSan Francisco Fed President John Williams gives opening remarks and does an audience Q&A for the Bay Area Council Economic Institute 8th Annual Forecast.
EUR0200 ETEurozone Dec new car registrations, Nov +1.4% y/y.
0500 ETRevised Eurozone Dec CPI, previous -0.2% y/y and core CPI +0.8% y/y.
GER0200 ETRevised German Dec CPI (EU harmonized), previous +0.1% m/m and +0.1% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/16/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
PNC Financial Services Group Inc/ThePNC USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.733
SunTrust Banks IncSTI US6:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.803
Comerica IncCMA US6:40Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.77
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US7:30Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20144.357
Schlumberger LtdSLB US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
SunTrust Banks IncSTI US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Comerica IncCMA US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US9:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
PNC Financial Services Group Inc/ThePNC US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Charles Schwab Corp/TheSCHW USQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.244

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Allegiant Travel - Barchart's Chart of the Day

Allegiant Travel (ALGT) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The discount airline has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 64.60+ and gained 55.59% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Allegiant Travel (ALGT). I found the stock using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list for the stocks having the best technical buy signals, then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 10/28 the stock gained 24.36%.

Las Vegas-based ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COMPANY , is focused on linking travelers in small cities to world-class leisure destinations such as Las Vegas, Nev., Phoenix, Ariz., Fort Lauderdale, Fla., Orlando, Fla. and Tampa/St. Petersburg, Fla. Through its subsidiary, Allegiant Air, LLC, the Company operates a low-cost, high-efficiency, all-jet passenger airline offering air travel both on a stand-alone basis and bundled with hotel rooms, rental cars and other travel related services.

Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 13 new highs and up 17.75% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 73.43%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 149.80
  • Recently traded at 160.74 with a 50 day moving average of 141.40
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $2.87 billion
  • P/E 28.99
  • Revenue expected to grow 13.80% this year and another 9.30% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 27.20% this year, an additional 55.10% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 20.35% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 3 strong buy, 3 buy, 6 hold and 2 under perform recommendations on the stock
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been a very good technical trading strategy on this stock and should be used to determine entry and exit points on this stock.

Technical on 5 popular stocks

Just because a stock is popular does not mean you have to follow the herd and be in it too.  Today I took a list of the 5 most popular stocks with the readers of Seeking Alpha and used Barchart to see how their technical indicators are doing.

Today's list includes Apple (AAPL), Bank of America (BAC), General Electric (GE), Facebook (FB) and Microsoft (MSFT):

Apple (AAPL)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 24% Barchart technical sell signal
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 8.31% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 47.41%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 107.61
  • Recently traded at 108.83 which is below its 50 day moving average of 112.16


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 56% Barchart technical sell signal
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 2, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11.92% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 30.44%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 15.56
  • Recently traded at 15.47 which is below its 50 day moving average of 17.79


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 80% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 13.62% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 28.84%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 23.24
  • Recently traded at 23.76 which is below its 50 day moving average of 25.67
Facebook (FB)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 40% Barchart technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter hold signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7.80% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 44.70%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 75.33
  • Recently traded at 75.46 which is below its 50 day moving average of 76.51
Microsoft (MSFT)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 56% Barchart technical sell signal
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 8.15% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 42.42%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 45.32
  • Recently traded at 45.72 with a 50 day moving average of 47.66

I'm not saying you should sell all of these if you are presently holding them but I am saying they look to be in a downward trend and you might be able to acquire them at a lower price tomorrow or next week.








BARCHART MORNING CALL 1/15



Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Avalon Bay Communities - Barchart's Chart of the Day

Avalon Bay Communities (AVB) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The upscale apartment REIT has  Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 47.40+, gained 45.28% in the last year and paid a 2.65% dividend.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Avalon Bay Communities (AVB).  I found the stock by sorting the All Time High list for the stocks with most frequent  new highs in the last month then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 10/14 the stock gained 17.85%.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. They focus on the ownership and operation of upscale apartment communities in high barrier-to-entry markets of the United States. These markets include Northern and Southern California and selected states in the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast, Midwest and Pacific Northwest regions of the country.


Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 an d100 day moving averages
  • 12 new highs and up 8.52% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 75.68%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 172.42
  • Recently traded at 176.85 with a 50 day moving average of 163.27
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $23.31 billion
  • P/E 24.62
  • Dividend yield 2.65%
  • Revenue expected to grow 15.10% this year and another 9.50% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase by 42.80% this year, an additional 2.90% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 12.57% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 2 strong buy, 8 buy and 10 hold recommendation on this stock
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been an extremely good technical trading strategy on this stock and should continue to be used for enter and exit points.

The 5 Best Large Caps

Today I used Barchart to sort the S&P 500 Large Cap Index stocks to find the ones with the best technical indicators and charts.

Today's list includes Mohawk Industries (MHK), Health Care REIT (HCN), Ventas (VTR), Vornado Realty Trust (VNO), and Safeway (SWY):

Mohawk Industries (MHK)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7 new highs and up 7.64% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 74.53%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 152.04
  • Recently traded at 164.85 with a 50 day moving average of 151.40


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 an d100 day moving averages
  • 10 new highs and up 6.45% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 73.98%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 79.92
  • Recently traded at 81.49 with a 50 day moving average of 74.92
Ventas (VTR)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 an d100 day moving averages
  • 6 new highs and up 3.88% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.58%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 75.96
  • Recently traded at 77.58 with a 50 day moving average of 71.84


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart  technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 an d100 day moving averages
  • 16 new highs and up 9.60% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 76.85%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 122.28
  • Recently traded at 124.43 with a 50 day moving average of 114.35
Safeway (SWY)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and  day moving averages new highs and up 
  • 14 new highs and up 2.02% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 65.79%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 35.07
  • Recently traded at 35.28 with a 50 day moving average of 34.92









BARCHART MORNING CALL 1/14

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.56%) this morning are down -0.30% and European stocks are down -0.04% after the World Bank cut its global growth outlook for this year. A slide in commodity producers is leading the overall market lower after the price of copper plunged to a 5-1/2 year low. European stocks recovered from their worst levels after an aide to the EU's top court said a bond-buying program by the ECB is "in principle" in line with European Union treaties. Asian stocks closed lower: Japan -1.71%, Hong Kong -0.43%, China -0.33%, Taiwan -0.56%, Australia -0.95%, Singapore -0.45%, South Korea -0.12%, India -0.29%. Commodity prices are lower on demand concerns after the World Bank cut its global GDP forecast. Feb crude oil (CLG15 -0.31%) is down -0.04%. Feb gasoline (RBG15 -0.41%) is down -0.24%. Feb gold (GCG15 -0.36%) is down -0.48%. Mar copper (HGH15 -5.30%) is down -5.12% at a 5-1/2 year low. Agriculture prices are weaker with Mar corn and Mar soybeans at 1-1/4 month lows and Mar wheat at a 1-3/4 month low. The dollar index (DXY00 unch) is down -0.03%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.14% at a 9-year low after an aide to the EU's top court gave a green light to the ECB's bond-buying program. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.81%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 +0.11%) are up +4 ticks.
The World Bank cut its 2015 global GDP forecast to 3.0%, down from a 3.4% estimate in Jun, saying risks to the global economy are "significant and tilted to the downside." The World Bank lowered its 2015 Eurozone GDP forecast to 1.1% from a Jun estimate of 1.8% and cut its 2015 China GDP estimate to 7.1% from 7.5%, but upgraded its 2015 U.S GDP projection to 3.2% from 3.0%.
A senior adviser at the European Union's highest appeals court said the ECB's Outright Monetary Transactions (OMTs) bond-buying program is "compatible" with European Union treaties. Germany's top court had expressed doubts about the legality of the OMT program and this legal endorsement paves the way for the ECB to implement additional bond buying when it meets on Jan 22.
Eurozone Nov industrial productions rose +0.2% m/m and fell -0.4% y/y, better than expectations of unch m/m and -0.7% y/y.
Japan Dec machine tool orders rose +33.8% y/y, less than Nov's 36.6% increase but still the sixteenth consecutive month of gains.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s Dec retail sales report is expected to show a decline of -0.1% m/m after November’s strong increase of +0.7%.   The Fed today will release its Beige Book survey of the economy ahead of the next FOMC meeting on Jan 29-30.The Treasury today will sell $13 billion of 30-year T-bonds, concluding this week’s $58 billion coupon package.  There are three of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today:  JPMorgan Chase (consensus $1.32), Wells Fargo (1.02), Greif (0.77).  Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include:  JP Morgan Health Care Conference on Mon-Wed, Deutsche Bank Global Auto Industry Conference on Tue-Wed, and Biomarkers from Research to Clinic Conference on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Foot Locker (FL -2.04%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM +0.02%) was downgraded to 'Underweight' from 'Neutral' at HSBC.
Viacom (VIAB +0.32%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Buy' at Citigroup.
Travelers (TRV +0.15%) and Allstate (ALL +0.60%) were downgraded to 'Underperform' from 'Neutral' at Macquarie.
KB Home (KBH -16.29%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Outperform' at Credit Suisse.
BlackRock (BLK +0.30%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Chesapeake (CHK +0.90%) , Resolute Energy (REN -9.88%) and Marathon Oil (MRO -1.33%) were all downgraded to 'Underweight' from 'Equal Weight' at Barclays.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM +0.02%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.33, better than consensus of $1.32.
Stryker (SYK +0.21%) said it sees Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.43-$1.45, below consensus $1.46, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $4.72-$4.74, less than consensus of $4.75.
Integrated Core Strategies reported a 4.9% passive stake in Gulfport Energy (GPOR -2.82%) .
Portolan Capital reported a 5.12% passive stake in Datawatch (DWCH -1.80%) .
Tesla (TSLA +1.01%) fell over 4% after CEO Musk said Q4 China sales declined significantly.
Cintas (CTAS +1.15%) announced that its Board of Directors approved an additional $500 million share repurchase program.
GameStop (GME -2.96%) rose over 6% in after-hours trading after it said that comparable holiday same-store-sales decreased -3.1%, comprised of -3.3% in the U.S. and -2.7% internationally, but said it backs its fiscal 2014 EPS view of $3.40-$3.55, within the range of consensus at $3.49.
CSX (CSX -1.06%) reported Q4 EPS of 49 cents, right on consensus, although Q4 revenue of $3.20 billion was better than consensus of $3.18 billion.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.56%) this morning are down -6.00 points (-0.30%). The S&P 500 index on Tuesday closed lower: S&P 500 -0.26%, Dow Jones -0.15%, Nasdaq -0.09%. Bearish factors included (1) weakness in commodity producers after the price of copper fell to a 5-1/4 year low, (2) a slide in energy producers after crude oil fell to a 5-1/2 year low, and (3) a fall in homebuilders after KB Home slumped when it said its Q1 profit margins will contract.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 +0.11%) this morning are up +4 ticks. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Tuesday posted a 2-3/4 month high and closed higher. Closes: TYH5 +15.50, FVH5 +9.00. Bullish factors included (1) the plunge in crude oil to a 5-1/2 year low that undercut inflation expectations as the U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation expectations rate dropped to a 4-1/4 year low, and (2) the slide in stocks that boosted the safe-haven demand for Treasuries.
The dollar index (DXY00 unch) this morning is down -0.024 (-0.03%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0017 (-0.14%) at a fresh 9-year low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.96 (-0.81%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed higher: Dollar index +0.327 (+0.36%), EUR/USD -0.00611 (-0.52%), USD/JPY -0.419 (-0.35%). The main bullish factor for the dollar was weakness in EUR/USD which fell to a 9-year low on expectations for the ECB to expand stimulus after (1) ECB Executive Board member Coeure said the ECB is “in a position to take a decision on Jan 22,” and (2) ECB Governing Council member Nowotny said policy makers must treat the threat of deflation seriously and “we shouldn’t wait too long with a reaction.”
Feb WTI crude oil (CLG15 -0.31%) this morning is down -2 cents (-0.04%) and Feb gasoline (RBG15 -0.41%) is down -0.0030 (-0.24%). Feb crude oil and Feb gasoline on Tuesday closed lower as Feb crude posted a 5-1/2 year low and Feb gasoline slid to a 5-3/4 year low: CLG5 -0.18 (-0.39%), RBG5 -0.0061 (-0.48%). Bearish factors included (1) a stronger dollar, and (2) expectations for Wednesday’s weekly EIA crude inventories to climb +1.75 million bbl. Crude prices recovered from their worst levels on signs of strong Chinese demand after China Dec crude imports rose +19.5% m/m to a record 30.4 MMT.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/14/2015
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +11.1% with purchase sub-index +4.5% and refi sub-index +16.0%.
0800 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks on the economy and monetary policy at the Greater Philadelphia Chamber of Commerce.
0830 ETDec retail sales expected -0.1% m/m and unch ex autos, Nov +0.7% and +0.5% ex autos.
0830 ETDec import price index expected -2.7% m/m and -5.2% y/y, Nov -1.5% m/m and -2.3% y/y.
1000 ETNov business inventories expected +0.3%, Oct +0.2%.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $13 billion 30-year T-bonds.
1400 ETFed Beige Book.
JPN0100 ETJapan Dec machine tool orders, Nov +36.6% y/y.
1850 ETJapan Dec PPI expected -0.3% m/m and +2.1% y/y, Nov -0.2% m/m and +2.7% y/y.
1850 ETJapan Nov machine orders expected +4.4% m/m and -6.3% y/y, Oct -6.4% m/m and -4.9% y/y.
EUR0500 ETEurozone Nov industrial production expected unch m/m and -0.7% y/y, Oct +0.1% m/m and +0.7% y/y.
UK1901 ETUK Dec RICS house price balance expected 10%, Nov 13%.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/14/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
JPMorgan Chase & CoJPM US7:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.316
Wells Fargo & CoWFC US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.016
JPMorgan Chase & CoJPM US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
CSX CorpCSX US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Wells Fargo & CoWFC US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Forest City Enterprises IncFCE/A US10:00Business Update Call
Mohawk Industries IncMHK US11:00Acquisition of IVC Group by Mohawk Industries, Inc Call
Linear Technology CorpLLTC US11:30Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
Domino's Pizza IncDPZ US12:30Investor DayY 2015
Greif IncGEF USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.774
NRG Energy IncNRG US19:00Investor Meeting - Day 1Y 2015