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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.29%) are little changed, up +0.06%, and European stocks are up +0.74 after the BOE as expected, cut its benchmark lending rate by 25 bp to a record low 0.25% and expanded its QE program by 60 billion pounds to 435 billion pounds. GBP/USD (^GBPUSD) is down -1.11% as the BOE also cut its UK 2017 GDP forecast to 0.8% from 2.3% and said new stimulus measures can be expanded further if needed. Gains is stocks were limited as a -0.88% drop in crude oil prices (CLU16-0.42%) undercut energy producing stocks, while a -1.55% fall in copper prices (HGU16-1.43%) to a 3-week low put pressure on mining stocks. Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +1.07%, Hong Kong +0.43%, China +0.13%, Taiwan +0.26%, Australia +0.18%, Singapore +0.15%, South Korea +0.24%, India +0.06%. Chinese stocks found support on a statement from the PBOC that said it plans to keep monetary policy "prudent" this year, while Japan's Nikkei Stock Index recovered from a 3-week low and closed higher as a rally in brokerage and shipping stocks led the overall market higher.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.23%) is up +0.15%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.17%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY)is up +0.09%.
In a statement released today, the PBOC reiterated it plans to keep monetary policy "prudent" this year and said it will use multiple tools to keep liquidity at reasonably ample levels and maintain reasonable credit growth in the second half of this year.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jul Challenge job cuts (Jun -14.1% y/y), (2) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected -1,000 to 265,000, previous +14,000 to 266,000) and continuing claims (expected -9,000 to 2.130 million, previous +7,000 to 2.139 million), (3) Jun factory orders (expected -1.9% and-0.2% ex transportation, May -1.0% and +0.1% ex-transportation), (4) USDA weekly Export Sales.
There are 29 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Viacom (consensus $1.01), Church & Dwight (0.79), Duke Energy (1.01), Kellogg (0.91), Priceline (12.67), Consolidated Edison (0.69), Fluor (0.89), Monster Beverage (1.04).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Motif Bio PLC (MTFB).
Equity conferences this week include: Wells Fargo Services Conference on Wed-Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Transocean Ltd. (RIG +3.98%) gained nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported an unexpected Q2 adjusted EPS profit of 17 cents, higher than consensus of a -2 cent loss.
Prudential Financial (PRU +2.95%) dropped over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 operating EPS of $1.84, well below consensus of $2.50,
XPO Logistics (XPO +0.87%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 42 cents, well above consensus of 22 cents, and then raised its full-year adjusted Ebitda view to at least $1.265 billion from a July 18 view of $1.25 billion.
CF Industries Holdings (CF +0.12%) fell over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 net sales of $1.134 billion, below consensus of $1.139 billion.
Jack in the Box (JACK-0.89%) rallied almost 6% in pre-market trading after it raised guidance on full-year adjusted EPS to $3.65-$3.75 from a May 11 view of $3.50-$3.63.
Albemarle (ALB-0.45%) slid nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted Ebitda of $190.5 million, weaker than consensus of $237.5 million.
Square (SQ +3.88%) jumped over 15% in pre-market trading after it raised its 2016 adjusted Ebitda estimate to $18 million-$24 million from a prior view of $8 million-$14 million.
TripAdvisor (TRIP +0.12%) lost nearly 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 38 cents, below consensus of 42 cents,
GoDaddy (GDDY-3.51%) rose nearly 8% in after-hours trading after it hiked its 2016 revenue estimate to $1.84 billion-$1.847 billion from a May 4 view of $1.83 billion-$1.845 billion.
Avid Technology (AVID +1.21%) climbed 8% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on non-GAAP year revenue to $535 million-$565 million from a prior view of $500 million-$525 million.
Genpact Ltd. (G +0.15%) lost 2% in after-hours trading after it lowered its 2016 revenue estimate to $2.59 billion-$2.62 billion from a May 5 estimate of $2.62 billion-$2.66 billion.
AxoGen (AXGN +7.32%) rallied 10% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 loss of -9 cents, a smaller loss than consensus of -12 cents.
Insulet (PODD +0.42%) jumped 8% in after-hours trading after it boosted its full-year revenue estimate to $345 million-$355 million from a May 3 view of $330 million-$350 million.
Teladoc (TDOC-1.17%) plunged over 25% in after-hours trading after it said it sees a full-year loss per share between $1.47-$1.52, a wider loss than consensus of -$1.25.
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.29%) this morning are up +1.25 points (+0.06%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.31%, Dow Jones +0.23%, Nasdaq +0.32%. The S&P 500 index on Wednesday closed higher on the +179,000 increase in the Jul ADP employment report (stronger than expectations of +170,000) and on the +3.34% rally in crude oil prices, which spurred gains in energy producer stocks. Stocks were undercut by the -1.0 point decline in the U.S. Jul ISM non-manufacturing PMI to 55.5, weaker than expectations of -0.6 to 55.9.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 +0.15%) this morning are up +4 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYU6 +1.00, FVU6 +1.00. Sep T-notes on Wednesday closed little changed. T-notes were undercut by signs of strength in the U.S. labor market after the Jun ADP employment rose +179,000, more than expectations of +170,000. T-notes found support from Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari's comment that "when I look at the data I don't see much inflationary pressure" and from the larger-than-expected decline in the U.S. Jul ISM non-manufacturing index.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.23%) this morning is up +0.142 (+0.15%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0019 (-0.17%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.09 (+0.09%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar index +0.482 (+0.51%), EUR/USD -0.0075 (-0.67%), USD/JPY +0.35 (+0.35%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed higher on the larger-than-expected increase in the U.S. Jul ADP employment, (+179,000 vs. expectations of +170,000) and weakness in EUR/USD after Eurozone Jun retail sales rose +1.6% y/y, weaker than expectations of +1.8% y/y.
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16-0.42%) this morning is down -36 cents (-0.88%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16-1.47%) is down -0.0221 (-1.64%). Wednesday's closes: CLU6 +1.32 (+3.34%), RBU6 +0.0383 (+2.92%). Sep crude and gasoline on Wednesday closed higher as Sep crude recovered from a 3-1/2 month low. Crude oil prices were boosted by the -0.6% drop in U.S. crude production in the week ended Jul 29, the first decline in 4 weeks, and the -3.262 million bbl decline in EIA gasoline inventories, more than expectations of -650,000 bbl. Crude oil prices were undercut by the stronger dollar and by the unexpected +1.413 million bbl increase in EIA crude supplies (vs expectations of a -1.75 million bbl).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/04/2016
Thursday, Aug 4
Jul Challenge job cuts, Jun -14.1% y/y.
Weekly initial unemployment claims expected -1,000 to 265,000, previous +14,000 to 266,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -9,000 to 2.130 million, previous +7,000 to 2.139 million.
USDA weekly Export Sales.
Jun factory orders expected -1.9% and -0.2% ex transportation, May -1.0% and +0.1% ex-transportation.
Friday, Aug 5
Jul non-farm payrolls expected +180,000, Jun +287,000. Jul private payrolls expected +170,000, Jun +265,000. Jul manufacturing payrolls expected +4,000, Jun +14,000. Jul unemployment rate expected -0.1 to 4.8%, Jun +0.2 to 4.9%.
Jul avg hourly earnings expected +0.2% m/m and +2.6% y/y, Jun +0.1% m/m and +2.6% y/y. Jul avg weekly hours all employees expected unch at 34.4 hours, Jun unch at 34.4 hours.
Jun trade balance expected -$43.0 billion, May -$41.1 billion.
Jun consumer credit expected +16.0 billion, May +$18.558 billion.
Japan Jun leading index CI expected unch at 99.7, May -0.3 to 99.7. Jun coincident index expected +1.3 to 111.2, May -2.1 to 109.9.
German Jun factory orders expected +0.5% m/m and -1.5% y/y, May unch m/m and -0.2% y/y.
UK Jul Halifax house prices expected -0.2% m/m and +8.8% 3-mo/y/y, Jun +1.3% m/m and +8.4% 3-mo/y/y.