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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.57%) are up +0.60% and European stocks are up +0.95% as a +0.89% rally in Jun WTI crude oil (CLM16 +0.82%) to a 1-1/2 week high lifts energy producing stocks. Crude oil is higher after the IEA cut its global crude oil surplus estimate for the first half of 2016 to 1.3 million bpd from 1.5 million bpd forecast last month, citing robust demand in India and other emerging markets. European stocks rose despite an unexpected decline in Eurozone Mar industrial production. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.41%, Hong Kong -0.70%, China -0.04%, Taiwan-0.34%, Australia -0.24%, Singapore +0.46%, South Korea -0.30%, India +0.75%. Gains in Japanese stocks were held back by a -1.4% drop in Toyota after the automaker forecast its yearly profit will probably decline for the first time in 5 years.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.26%) is up +0.26%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.27%% after Eurozone Mar industrial production unexpectedly fell. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.73%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16-0.17%) are down -7.5 ticks.
As expected, the BOE kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.50% and maintained its asset purchase target at 375 billion pounds following today's policy meeting. The BOE also cut its UK 2016 GDP forecast to 2.0% from a 2.2% estimate in Feb, citing uncertainty regarding next month's referendum on whether the UK will remain in the European Union.
Eurozone Mar industrial production unexpectedly fell -0.8% m/m, weaker than expectations of no change.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected -4,000 to 270,000, previous +17,000 to 274,000) and continuing claims (expected -1,000 to 2.120 million, previous -8,000 to 2.121 million), (2) Apr import price index (expected +0.6% m/m and -5.4% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and-6.2% y/y), (3) Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speaks on monetary policy and inflation dynamics at an event in Reichenau Island, Germany, (4) Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren delivers luncheon speech to the Great Concord Chamber in Concord, NH, (5) the Treasury auction of $15 billion of 30-year T-bonds, (6) Kansas City Fed President Esther George speaks about the U.S. economy to business and community leaders in Albuquerque, NM, and (7) USDA weekly Export Sales.
There are 6 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Kohl's (consensus $0.37), Perrigo (1.72), Ralph Lauren (0.83), NVIDIA (0.41), Nordstrom (0.46), Symantec (0.22).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Oncobiologics (ONS), Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals (CPP), Acacia Communications (ACIA).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Jefferies Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Wed-Thu, Mitsubishi UFJ Oil & Gas Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Refining Corporate Access Day on Thu, RBC Capital Markets Aerospace & Defense Investor Day on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Jack in the Box (JACK-5.24%) jumped 11% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 adjusted operating EPS of 85 cents, higher than consensus of 70 cents.
Berry Plastics Group (BERY +2.32%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Weight Watchers International (WTW-0.88%) climbed over 1% in after-hours trading after Oprah Winfrey was elected to a 2-year term on the company's board.
Janus Capital Group (JNS-2.05%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outpeform' at Wells Fargo Securities.
St. Jude Medical (STJ +0.23%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at UBS.
Kohl's (KSS-6.02%) slid over 4% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 31 cents, below consensus of 37 cents.
Owens-Illinois (OI +0.57%) was rated a new 'Sell' by Goldman Sachs.
SINA Corp/China (SINA +0.67%) dropped over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -4 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -3 cents.
Weibo (WB-0.43%) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 7 cents, better than consensus of 4 cents.
Spin Master (SNMSF +2.40%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 12 cents, double consensus of 6 cents.
CA Inc. (CA-0.63%) gained 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted continuing operations EPS of 60 cents, higher than consensus of 57 cents, and said it sees fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS continuing operation of $2.51-$2.56, above consensus of $2.49.
Loxo Oncology (LOXO-5.36%) dropped over 4% in after-hours trading after it announced a public equity offering. Price, volume and terms have yet to be announced.
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.57%) this morning are up +12.25 points (+0.60%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.96%, Dow Jones -1.21%, Nasdaq-0.93%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed lower on carryover weakness from a slide in European stocks on concern about the health of the European banking sector after ABN Amro Group NV reported a -13% decline in Q1 profits. U.S. stocks were also undercut by weakness in U.S. retail stocks led by a -15% plunge in Macy's, the largest U.S department store company, after it reported weaker-than-expected Q1 revenue and cut its profit forecast for this year.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16-0.17%) this morning are down -7.5 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYM6 +4.00, FVM6 +0.25. Jun T-notes on Wednesday closed higher on increased safe-haven demand with the weakness in stocks and on strong demand for the Treasury's $23 billion 10-year T-note auction where indirect bidders, a proxy for foreign buyers, purchased a record 73.5% of the auction, higher than the 12-auction average of 60.7%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.26%) this morning is up +0.244 (+0.26%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0031 (-0.27%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.79 (+0.73%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.467 (-0.50%), EUR/USD +0.0054 (+0.47%), USD/JPY -0.86 (-0.79%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed lower on strength in the currencies of the oil-exporting countries of Canada and Russia after the price of crude oil jumped +3%.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 +0.82%) this morning is up +41 cents (+0.89%) at a 1-1/2 week high. June gasoline (RBM16-0.13%) is up +0.0002 (+0.01%). Wednesday's closes: CLM6 +1.33 (+2.98%), RBM6 +0.0849 (+5.71%). Jun crude and gasoline on Wednesday posted 1-week highs and closed higher on a weaker dollar, the unexpected -3.41 million bbl decline in EIA crude inventories (vs expectations of +750,000 bbl), and the -0.3%drop in U.S. crude output in the week ended May 6 to a 1-1/2 year low of 8.802 million bpd.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/12/2016
Weekly initial unemployment claims expected -4,000 to 270,000, previous +17,000 to 274,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-1,000 to 2.120 million, previous -8,000 to 2.121 million.
Apr import price index expected +0.6% m/m and -5.4% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and -6.2% y/y.
USDA weekly Export Sales.
Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speaks on monetary policy and inflation dynamics at an event in Reichenau Island, Germany.
Treasury announces amount of 10-year TIPS to be auctioned May 19.
Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren delivers luncheon speech to the Great Concord Chamber in Concord, NH.
Treasury auctions $15 billion 30-year T-bonds.
Kansas City Fed President Esther George speaks about the U.S. economy to business and community leaders in Albuquerque, NM.
Japan Apr bankruptcies, Mar -13.15% y/y.
Japan Apr eco-watchers survey current expected -1.4 to 44.0, Mar 45.4. Apr eco-watchers survey outlook expected -0.5 to 46.2, Mar 46.7.
German Apr wholesale price index, Mar +0.3% m/m and -2.6% y/y.
Eurozone Mar industrial production expected unch m/m and +0.9% y/y, Feb -0.8% m/m and +0.8% y/y.
BOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected no change to the 0.50% benchmark rate or to the 375 billion-pound asset purchase target.