Tuesday, May 10, 2016

MORNING CALL 5/10

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.17%) are up +0.51% and European stocks are up +1.49% as strength in crude oil and metals prices lifts energy and commodity producers. A nearly 5% gain in Credit Suisse is leading European bank stocks higher after it reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +2.15%, Hong Kong +0.43%, China +0.02%, Taiwan +0.30%, Australia +0.42%, Singapore -0.90%, South Korea +0.60%, India +0.33%. China's Shanghai Composite shook off early losses and closed higher after Chinese economic data showed Apr consumer prices matched expectations and declines in Apr producer prices moderated. A rally in Japanese exporters lifted the Nikkei Stock Index as USD/JPY climbed to a 1-week high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.12%) is up +0.09% at a 1-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.17% at a 1-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.71% at a 1-week high.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 unch) are down -2 ticks.
San Francisco Fed President Williams said that "very low inflation in most economies is the biggest issue for central banks today." He added that "the U.S. economy is in good shape, in part because the Federal Reserve took such aggressive and, in some cases, extraordinary actions to right the ship."
China Apr CPI rose +2.3% y/y, right on expectations and the fastest pace of increase in 1-3/4 years.
China Apr PPI fell -3.4% y/y, less than expectations of -3.7% y/y and the slowest pace of decline in 16 months.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Mar wholesale inventories (expected +0.1% m/m, Feb -0.5% m/m), (2) Mar JOLTS job openings (expected +5,000 to 5.450 million, Feb -159,000 to 5.445 million), and (3) the Treasury's auction of $24 billion of 3-year T-notes.
There are 4 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: Walt Disney (consensus $1.40), CenterPoint Energy (0.31), Allergan (3.00), Electronic Arts (0.42).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Turning Point Brands (TPB).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Goldman Sachs Global Staples Forum on Tue, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Metals, Mining & Steel Conference on Tue, Credit Suisse REIT Conference on Tue, Wells Fargo Securities Gaming, Leisure & Restaurants Conference on Tue, Sterne Agee CRT Business Services Conference on Tue, The Boston Industrial and Environmental Services Conference on Tue, Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference on Tue-Wed, Oppenheimer Industrial Growth Conference on Tue-Wed, Wells Fargo Industrial and Construction Conference on Tue-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Jefferies Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Wed-Thu, Mitsubishi UFJ Oil & Gas Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Refining Corporate Access Day on Thu, RBC Capital Markets Aerospace & Defense Investor Day on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Rush Enterprises (RUSHA -1.96%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ -2.67%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -12 cents, weaker than consensus of -1cent.
The Gap (GPS +0.65%) sank 14% in pre-market trading after it reported April comparable store sales unexpectedly fell -7.0%, weaker than consensus of a +1.1% increase.
Consolidated Edison (ED +0.26%) fell 2% in after-hours trading after it announced plans for an 8.8 million share offering.
SolarCity (SCTY +3.07%) sank 18% in pre-market trading after it said Q1 bookings were 150 MW lower than expected and unlikely to be made up for by year end. The company then said it sees 2016 guidance of 1.0-1.1 GW installed, lower than a previous estimate of 1.25 GW.
Inflblox (BLOX -0.51%) dropped 9% in after-hours trading after lowered guidance on fiscal 2016 revenue to $354 million-$358 million from a prior view of $370 million-$380 million, weaker than consensus of $376.8 million.
Stamps.com (STMP +4.71%) surged over 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.72, well above consensus of $1.07, and then raised guidance on full-year adjusted EPS to $6.00-$6.50 from a previous estimate of $5.00-$5.50, higher than consensus of $5.27.
MaxLinear (MXL +0.37%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 47 cents, right on consensus, and said it will acquire Broadcom's wireless infrastructure backhaul business for $80 million.
Fiesta Restaurant Group (FRGI +1.31%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 37 cents, weaker than consensus of 40 cents.
Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC -2.26%) slid over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -1 cent, right on consensus, but said it sees Q2 revenue of $97 million-$103 million, below consensus of $107.3 million.
InvenSense (INVN -4.32%) fell nearly 7% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 total revenue of $58 million-$62 million, well below consensus of $84.8 million.
Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO +2.32%) rose over 4% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance eon its 2016 revenue estimate to $130 million-$145 million from a previous estimate of $110 million-$125 million, above consensus of $121.8 million.
NewLink Genetics (NLNK +6.11%) plunged over 30% in after-hours trading after a Phase 3 study of its algenpantucel-L for patients with resected pancreatic cancer did not achieve the primary endpoint and found no statistical difference in overall survival.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.17%) this morning are up +10.50 points (+0.51%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.08%, Dow Jones -0.20%, Nasdaq +0.26%. The S&P 500 on Monday closed higher on positive carryover from a rally in European stocks after German Mar factory orders rose +1.9% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.6% m/m and the biggest increase in 9 months. Stocks also received a boost from upbeat comments from Chicago Fed President Evans who said that U.S. economic fundamentals are "good." Stocks were underdcut by the -2.79% decline in China's Shanghai Composite after China Apr exports unexpectedly fell -1.8% y/y (vs expectations of unchanged) and by weakness in energy producers and mining stocks after crude oil fell -2.73% and copper prices tumbled -2.21% to a 3-1/2 week low.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 unch) this morning are down -2 ticks. Monday's closes: TYM6 +8.50, FVM6 +5.50. Jun T-notes on Monday closed higher on global economic concerns after China Apr exports unexpectedly declined and on reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate fell to a 2-1/2 week low.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.12%) this morning is up +0.085 (+0.09%) at a 1-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0019 (-0.17%) at a 1-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.77 (+0.71%) at a 1-week high. Monday's closes: Dollar Index +0.240 (+0.26%), EUR/USD -0.0021 (-0.18%), USD/JPY +1.20 (+1.12%). The dollar index on Monday rallied to a 1-week high and closed higher on comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said that while Friday's U.S. employment report was "a touch softer," it remains a "reasonable expectation" that the Fed will raise interest rates twice this year. In addition, USD/JPY rallied to a 1-week high after Japanese Finance Minister Aso said that the recent strength in the yen is "undesirable" and "it's natural that Japan has means to intervene" in the currency market.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 -0.53%) this morning is up +17 cents (+0.39%). June gasoline (RBM16 +0.55%) is up +0.0185 (+1.28%). Monday's closes: CLM6 -1.22 (-2.73%), RBM6 -0.0535 (-3.58%). Jun crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed lower with Jun gasoline at a 2-1/2 week low. Crude oil prices were undercut by the rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high, reduced fire threats to Alberta oil-sands facilities as the wildfire switched directions, and reduced refinery demand for gasoline after the crack spread fell to a 2-1/2 month low.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/10/2016
US1000 ETMar wholesale inventories expected +0.1% m/m, Feb -0.5% m/m. Mar wholesale trade sales expected +0.5% m/m, Feb -0.2% m/m.
1000 ETMar JOLTS job openings expected +5,000 to 5.450 million, Feb -159,000 to 5.445 million.
1200 ETUSDA May WASDE crop production.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $24 billion 3-year T-notes.
GER0200 ETGerman Mar industrial production expected -0.2% m/m and +1.1% y/y, Feb -0.5% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
0200 ETGerman Mar trade balance expected +20.6 billion euros, Feb +20.2 billion euros. Mar exports expected unch m/m, Feb +1.3% m/m. Mar imports expected -0.3% m/m, Feb +0.5% m/m.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/10/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Pentair PLCPNR US3:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.312
Allergan plcAGN USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20163.005
Walt Disney Co/TheDIS USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.399
Electronic Arts IncEA USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.422
Danaher CorpDHR USAnnual General Meeting
Loews CorpL USAnnual General Meeting
ConocoPhillipsCOP USAnnual General Meeting
Prudential Financial IncPRU USAnnual General Meeting
Wyndham Worldwide CorpWYN USAnnual General Meeting
Scripps Networks Interactive IncSNI USAnnual General Meeting
Columbia Pipeline Group IncCPGX USAnnual General Meeting

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