Friday, December 11, 2015

MORNING CALL 12/11

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 -0.86%) are down -0.77% at a 3-1/2 week low and European stocks are down -1.52% at a 1-3/4 month low on concern over a slowdown in China after China Nov new loans rose less than expected. Also, energy producers are lower as the price of crude oil (CLF16 -1.33%) fell to a fresh 6-3/4 year low after the IEA said the global oil surplus will last until late next year as demand growth slows and OPEC shoes "renewed determination" to maximize output. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan +0.97%, Hong Kong -1.11%, China -0.61%, Taiwan -1.22%, Australia-0.16%, Singapore -0.49%, South Korea -0.10%, India -0.82%. Japanese stocks went against the trend and closed higher as raw-material stocks rallied and led the overall market after industrial metals rose with copper (HGH16 +1.54%) at a 3-week high.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.17%) is down -0.20%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD)is up +0.27% after ECB Executive Board member Coeure said the Eurozone deflation risk is now "off the table." USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.14%.
Mar T-note prices (ZNH16 +0.26%) are up +7.5 ticks.
China Nov new yuan loans rose 708.9 billion yuan, less than expectations of 735.0 billion yuan.
ECB Executive Board member Coeure said the Eurozone risk is now "off the table" as the ECB "sees a recovery in the Eurozone, which is firming now. Growth is accelerating. It remains weak but it is going in the right direction."
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Nov retail sales (expected +0.2% and +0.3% ex autos, Oct +0.1% and +0.2% ex autos), (2) Nov final-demand PPI (expected unch m/m and -1.4% y/y, Oct -0.4% m/m and -1.6% y/y) and Nov PPI ex food & energy (expected +0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y, Oct -0.3% m/m and +0.1% y/y), (3) Oct business inventories (expected +0.1%, Sep +0.3%), (4) preliminary-Dec University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment index (expected +0.7 to 92.0, Nov +1.3 to 91.3).
None of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today.
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences today include: none.







OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Teradata (TDC +1.74%) was rated a new 'Sell' at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $26.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG +5.00%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Argus.
Adobe Systems (ADBE -0.67%) rose over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 62 cents, above consensus of 60 cents, and reported its Q4 creative cloud subscriptions rose 933,000, higher than estimates of 697,000.
Electronic Arts (EA -1.07%) rallied over 2% in after-hours trading after it said it is creating an e-sports division for live events and broadcasts.
Allegheny Technologies (ATI +14.12%) dropped more than 1% in after-hours trading after it cut its quarterly dividend to 8 cents a share from 18 cents, citing challenging market conditions for flat rolled products and grain-oriented electrical steel products.
Restoration Hardware Holdings (RH -0.69%) climbed over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 65 cents, higher than consensus of 63 cents, and then raised guidance on Q4 revenue to $708 million-$718 million from a previous estimate of $698 million-$708 million, above consensus of $704/1 million.
JetBlue Airways (JBLU +0.43%) slipped nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it said it sees it expects its Q4 preliminary passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM) to fall between -2.0% and -3.0% y/y.
Finisar (FNSR -0.94%) surged over 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 25 cents, better than consensus of 23 cents.
United Technologies (UTX -0.31%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after it revealed a $1.5 billion restructuring plan to be implemented through 2018 that it said will provide $900 million in annualized savings when completed.
Nordson (NDSN -1.10%) slid over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 95 cents, below consensus of $1.07,
Vince Holding (VNCE +6.21%) dropped nearly 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 comparable sales including e-commerce fell -12.5%, a bigger decline than consensus of -3.4%, and lowered guidance on its top end of fiscal 2015 sales to $285 million-$290 million from $285 million-$295 million, below consensus of $289.2 million.
SunEdison (SUNE +3.28%) jumped over 6% in after-hours trading after it said it sold its Bingham and Oakfield wind farm assets, which produce 333 MW of wind-power, to Terra Nova Renewable Partners, a strategic partnership formed between SunEdison and institutional investors, for $209 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 -0.86%) this morning are down -15.75 points (-0.77%) at a 3-1/2 week low. Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +0.23%, Dow Jones +0.47%, Nasdaq +0.45%. The S&P 500 on Thursday closed higher on a rally in airline stocks crude oil fell to a 6-3/4 year low and on slack import price pressures after the U.S. Nov import price index fell -0.4% m/m and -9.4% y/y. Stock prices were undercut by weakness in energy producers as crude oil fell to a fresh 6-3/4 year low and by the +13,000 increase in U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims to 282,000, more than expectations of +1,000 to 270,000 and the highest in 5 months.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 +0.26%) this morning are up +7.5 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYH6 -11.00, FVH6 -7.25. Mar T-notes Thursday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand with the strength in stock prices and on supply pressures after the Treasury auctioned $13 billion of 30-year T-bonds.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.17%) this morning is down -0.198 (-0.20%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0029 (+0.27%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.17 (-0.14%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index +0.594 (-1.15%), EUR/USD -0.0084 (-0.76%), USD/JPY +0.12 (+0.10%). The dollar index on Thursday closed higher on divergent central bank policies that benefit the dollar with the Fed expected to raise interest rates next week while the BOJ, ECB and PBOC maintain or expand their monetary stimulus. In addition, there was weakness in EUR/USD after comments from ECB Governing Council members Jazbec and Liikanen who both said the ECB is ready to use more measures if needed to achieve its price stability targets.
Jan crude oil (CLF16 -1.33%) this morning is down -53 cents (-1.44%) at a fresh 6-3/4 year low and Jan gasoline (RBF16 +0.42%) is up +0.0100 (+0.78%). Thursday's closes: CLF6 -0.58 (-1.56%), RBF6 +0.0448 (+3.64%). Jan crude oil and gasoline in Thursday settled mixed with Jan crude at a 6-3/4 year low. Crude oil prices were hurt by a stronger dollar and by concern the global oil glut will persist after OPEC raised its oil production target last Friday. Gasoline closed higher on signs of strong demand from refiners as the crack spread jumped to a 3-1/4 month high.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR12/11/2015
US0830 ETNov retail sales expected +0.2% and +0.3% ex autos, Oct +0.1% and +0.2% ex autos.
0830 ETNov PPI final demand expected unch m/m and -1.4% y/y, Oct -0.4% m/m and -1.6% y/y. Nov PPI ex food & energy expected +0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y, Oct -0.3% m/m and +0.1% y/y.
1000 ETOct business inventories expected +0.1%, Sep +0.3%.
1000 ETU.S. Dec preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment expected +0.7 to 92.0, Nov +1.3 to 91.3.
GER0200 ETRevised German Nov CPI (EU harmonized), preliminary +0.1% m/m and +0.3% y/y.
0200 ETGerman Nov wholesale price index, Oct -0.4% m/m and -1.6% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Oct construction output expected +1.0% m/m and -1.1% y/y, Sep -0.2% m/m and -1.6% y/y.
0430 ETBOE quarterly inflation expectations.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR12/11/2015

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Medtronic PLCMDT US3:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00November 2015 Sales and Revenue Call2015
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00November 2015 Sales and Revenue Release2015
MetLife IncMET US8:00Business Update Call
Towers Watson & CoTW US8:00Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting - Merger VoteY 2015
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSN US8:00Analyst DayY 2015
Nordson CorpNDSN US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
MSG Networks IncMSGN USAnnual General Meeting
Palo Alto Networks IncPANW USAnnual General Meeting

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