Thursday, August 1, 2013

Barchart Morning Call 8/1

Barchart Morning Call

BC - 2 hrs 31 mins ago
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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU13 +0.67%) this morning are up +0.71% and European stocks are up +0.79%. Asian stocks closed mostly higher: Japan +2.47%, Hong Kong +0.94%, China +2.39%, Taiwan -0.64%, Australia +0.19%, Singapore +0.66%, South Korea +0.36%, India -0.15%. Global stocks gained after China's manufacturing activity unexpectedly grew last month and after the Eurozone's manufacturing activity was revised upward in July to its fastest pace in 2-years. Commodity prices are mostly higher. Sep crude oil (CLU13 +1.67%) is up +1.71% at a 1-week high. Sep gasoline (RBU13 +0.86%) is up +1.06% at a 1-week high, Dec gold (GCZ13 +0.86%) is up +0.91%, and Sep copper (HGU13 +1.73%) is up +1.80%. Agricultural and livestock prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.69%) is up +0.74%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.48% on speculation ECB President Draghi will reassure the markets that the ECB will keep interest rates low at today's ECB meeting. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.92%. September T-note prices (ZNU13 -0.04%) are down -1 tick.
As expected, the BOE left its benchmark rate at 0.50% and kept its asset purchase target at 375 billion pounds.
The China July manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose +0.2 to 50.3, better than expectations of a -0.3 decline to 49.8.
The German July PMI manufacturing was unexpectedly revised upward to 50.7 from the originally reported 50.3, its fastest pace of expansion n 1-1/2 years.
The Eurozone July PMI manufacturing was revised upward to a 2-year high of 50.3 from the originally reported 50.1.
The UK July PMI manufacturing climbed +1.7 to 54.6, stronger than expectations of +0.3 to 52.8 and the fastest pace of expansion in 2-1/4 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s weekly initial unemployment claims report is expected to show a small increase of +2,000 to 345,000, adding to last week’s +7,000 increase to 343,000. Continuing claims are expected to show an increase of +3,000 to 3.000 mln, moving a bit higher after last week’s sharp -119,000 decline to 2.997 mln. Today’s July ISM manufacturing index is expected to show a +1.1 point increase to 52.0, adding to the +1.9 point increase to 50.9 seen in June. Today’s July total vehicle sales report is expected to ease slightly to 15.80 million from the 5-1/2 year high of 15.89 million posted in June. There are no equity conferences during the remainder of the week.
There are 41 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today. Notable reports today include Marathon Petroleum (consensus $1.90), ADP (0.57), ConocoPhillips (1.29), Procter & Gamble (0.77), Time Warner Cable (1.65), Chesapeake Energy (0.41), Exxon Mobil (1.89), CME Group (0.90), Kellogg (0.98), and AIG (0.86).
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
CME Group (CME -0.11%) reported Q2 EPS of 93 cents, stronger than consensus of 90 cents.
Procter & Gamble (PG -0.17%) reported Q4 EPS of 79 cents, better than consensus of 77 cents.
Time Warner Cable (TWC -0.81%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.69, better than consensus of $1.65.
Iron Mountain (IRM +0.07%) reported Q2 EPS of 29 cents, weaker than consensus of 31 cents.
Cigna (CI +1.81%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.78, well ahead of consensus of $1.60.
Marriott (MAR +0.43%) reported Q2 EPS of 57 cents, right on consensus, although it reported Q2 revenue of $3.26 billion, higher than consensus of $3.21 billion.
Engility Holdings (EGL +1.40%) has been selected as a prime contractor for a potential $68 million contract to support Navy computer networks ashore under a contract with the Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center Pacific.
Life Technologies (LIFE -0.08%) reported Q2 EPS of 98 cents, better than consensus of 96 cents.
Con-way (CNW +2.47%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 67 cents, beter than consensus of 59 cents.
Williams (WMB +1.06%) reportED Q2 adjusted EPS OF 19c, better than consensus of 15 cents.
Lam Research (LRCX -0.95%) reported Q4 EPS of 80 cents, stronger than consensus of 71 cents.
MetLife (MET +0.39%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.44, better than consensus of $1.33.
Allstate (ALL +0.14%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.12, well ahead of consensus of 98 cents.
Whole Foods (WFM -0.07%) reported Q3 EPS of 38 cents, better than consensus of 37 cents, and raised its 2013 EPS view to $1.45-$1.46, higher than consensus of $1.45.
CBS (CBS +0.97%) reported Q2 EPS of 76 cents, stronger than consensus of 72 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU13 +0.67%) this morning are up +12.00 points (+0.71%). The S&P 500 index on Wednesday erased early gains and settled little changed. Bullish factors included (1) the +200,000 increase in the July ADP employment report, stronger than expectations of +180,000 and the most jobs gained in 7 months, (2) the U.S. Q2 GDP of +1.7%, stronger than expectations of +1.0%, and (3) the fact that the FOMC in its post-meeting statement gave no hint of any imminent QE3 tapering. Closes: S&P 500 +0.04%, Dow Jones -0.01%, Nasdaq 100 +0.53%.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU13 -0.04%) this morning are down -1 tick. Sep 10-year T-note prices on Wednesday slumped to a 3-week low on strong U.S. economic data, but then recovered and closed little changed after the FOMC said it will maintain its QE3 program at $85 billion a month and noted disinflation pressures. Closes: TYU3 +0.5, FVU3 +0.50.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.69%) this morning is up +0.601 (+0.74%). EUR/USD is down -0.0064 (-0.48%) and USD/JPY is up +0.90 (+0.92%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed lower after the FOMC said it will maintain its QE3 program. Supportive factors for the dollar included (1) stronger-than-expected U.S. Q2 GDP of +1.7%, and (2) the larger-than-expected +200,000 increase in the July ADP employment report. Closes: Dollar index -0.377 (-0.46%), EUR/USD +0.00396 (+0.30%), USD/JPY -0.157 (-0.16%).
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU13 +1.67%) this morning is up +$1.80 a barrel (+1.71%) at a 1-week high and Sep gasoline (RBU13 +0.86%) is up +3.18 cents per gallon (+1.06%) at a 1-week high. Sep crude oil and gasoline prices on Wednesday settled higher. Bullish factors included (1) the stronger than expected +1.7% gain in U.S. Q2 GDP, (2) the -1.904 million bbl decline in crude supplies to a 15-month low of 42.119 million bbl at Cushing, OK, the delivery point for WTI futures, and (3) the action by the FOMC to maintain its QE3 program at current levels. Bearish factors included (1) the unexpected +431,000 bbl increase in weekly EIA crude inventories, more than expectations of a -2.45 million bbl draw, and (2) the unexpected +770,000 bbl increase in weekly EIA gasoline stockpiles, more than expectations for a -1.50 million bbl decline. Closes: CLU3 +1.95 (+1.89%), RBU3 +0.0057 (+0.19%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/01/2013
US0730 ETJuly Challenger job cuts, Jun +4.8% y/y.
0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +2,000 to 345,000, previous +7,000 to 343,000. Weekly continuing claims expected +3,000 to 3.000 mln, previous -119,000 to 2.997 mln.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1000 ETJun construction spending expected +0.4%, May +0.5%.
1000 ETJuly ISM manufacturing index expected +1.1 to 52.0, Jun +1.9 to 50.9. July ISM prices paid expected +1.3 to 53.8, Jun +3.0 to 52.5.
1700 ETJuly total vehicle sales expected 15.80 million, Jun 15.89 million. July domestic vehicle sales expected 12.40 million, Jun 12.43 million.
JPN0100 ETJapan July vehicle sales, Jun -15.8% y/y.
GER0355 ETGerman final-July PMI manufacturing expected unrevised from early-July at 50.3.
UK0430 ETUK July PMI manufacturing expected +0.3 to 52.8, Jun 52.5.
0700 ETBOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target (expected no change to the 0.50% benchmark rate or to the 375 billion pound asset purchase target).
EUR0400 ETEurozone final-July manufacturing PMI expected unrevised from early-July 50.1.
0745 ETECB announces interest rate decision (expected no change to the 0.50% 2-week refinancing rate).
0830 ETECB President Mario Draghi holds monthly press conference following ECB policy meeting.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/01/2013
Company NameSymbolTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEPS Est (US$)
Mylan Inc/PAMYL USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.674
DIRECTVDTV USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.34
Fluor CorpFLR USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.008
Marathon Petroleum CorpMPC USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.899
WPX Energy IncWPX USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2013-0.186
PPL CorpPPL USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.467
Automatic Data Processing IncADP USBef-mktQ4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20130.572
ConocoPhillipsCOP USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.289
Avon Products IncAVP USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.256
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX USBef-mktQ3 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20131.481
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG USBef-mktQ4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20130.77
Quanta Services IncPWR USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.369
Teradata CorpTDC USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.71
SCANA CorpSCG USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.54
Clorox Co/TheCLX USBef-mktQ4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20131.343
TECO Energy IncTE USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.269
Time Warner Cable IncTWC USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.649
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.41
Exxon Mobil CorpXOM USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.891
Vulcan Materials CoVMC USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.135
Ameren CorpAEE USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.46
Cardinal Health IncCAH USBef-mktQ4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20130.769
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.263
CME Group Inc/ILCME USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.899
Iron Mountain IncIRM US6:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.31
Covidien PLCCOV US6:00Q3 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20130.891
Cigna CorpCI US6:30Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.597
Xcel Energy IncXEL US7:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.392
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY US7:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.647
Apache CorpAPA US8:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20132.003
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX US8:00Q3 2013 Earnings CallQ3 2013
Kellogg CoK US8:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.975
MetLife IncMET US8:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
PPL CorpPPL US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Automatic Data Processing IncADP US8:30Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG US8:30Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
Teradata CorpTDC US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Cigna CorpCI US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Iron Mountain IncIRM US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Time Warner Cable IncTWC US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Covidien PLCCOV US8:30Q3 2013 Earnings CallQ3 2013
Cardinal Health IncCAH US8:30Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
CME Group Inc/ILCME US8:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Fluor CorpFLR US9:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
TECO Energy IncTE US9:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK US9:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
QEP Resources IncQEP US9:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Allstate Corp/TheALL US9:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Avon Products IncAVP US9:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Quanta Services IncPWR US9:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Ford Motor CoF US9:30July 2013 Sales and Revenue Release2013
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB US9:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Kellogg CoK US9:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Pioneer Natural Resources CoPXD US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Marathon Petroleum CorpMPC US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Marriott International Inc/DEMAR US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
SCANA CorpSCG US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Vulcan Materials CoVMC US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Ford Motor CoF US10:00July 2013 Sales and Revenue Call2013
Ameren CorpAEE US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Lincoln National CorpLNC US10:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Xcel Energy IncXEL US11:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
WPX Energy IncWPX US11:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Exxon Mobil CorpXOM US11:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
General Motors CoGM US11:00July 2013 Sales and Revenue Call2013
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP US11:30Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Murphy Oil CorpMUR US13:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Mylan Inc/PAMYL US13:00Investor DayY 2013
ConocoPhillipsCOP US13:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Clorox Co/TheCLX US13:30Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
DIRECTVDTV US14:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Apache CorpAPA US14:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Kraft Foods Group IncKRFT US16:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.672
Edison InternationalEIX US17:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
PerkinElmer IncPKI US17:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Kraft Foods Group IncKRFT US17:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Apple IncAAPL US17:00ITC Due to Release Final Decision Apple vs Samsung Patent-Infringement Case
American International Group IncAIG USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.856
Edison InternationalEIX USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.664
Southwestern Energy CoSWN USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.519
Public StoragePSA USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.774
Tesoro CorpTSO USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20131.432
PerkinElmer IncPKI USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.476
Apartment Investment & Management CoAIV USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.479
Consolidated Edison IncED USQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.572
General Motors CoGM USJuly 2013 Sales and Revenue Release2013
Leucadia National CorpLUK USQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2013
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