Monday, April 29, 2013

Barchart Morning Call 4-29


BARCHART MORNING CALL - Monday, April 29th, 2013>>View Older Reports
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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM13 +0.35%) this morning are up +0.27% as European stocks rally +0.52% on a decline in Eurozone government debt yields. Italian 10-year borrowing costs plummeted to a 2-1/2 year low of 3.94% after new Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta was sworn in, which ended a 2-month long political standoff caused by inconclusive elections. European stocks gained despite a larger-than-expected decline in the Eurozone April economic and business confidence surveys. Asian stocks today closed mostly higher: Hong Kong +0.15%, Taiwan +0.10%, Australia +0.56%, Singapore +0.39%, South Korea -0.31%, India +0.52%. Japan and China closed for holiday. Commodity prices are mostly higher with a weaker dollar. June WTI crude oil (CLM13 +0.39%) is up +0.40, June gasoline (RBM13 -0.54%)is down -0.0147, June natural gas (NGM13 +1.23%) is down by -1.14, June gold (GCM13 +1.45%) is up +1.22%, May copper (HGK13 +1.24%) is up +0.96%. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.42%) is weaker by -0.36% and fell to a 1-1/2 week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is higher by +0.41%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is lower by -0.16% and posted a 1-week low. June 10-year T-note (ZNM13 -0.01%) futures prices are down -1.5 ticks.
Italy sold 3 billion euros of 10-year bonds at 3.94%, down from 4.66% at last month's auction and the lowest yield in 2-1/2 years. The bid-to-cover ratio was 1.42 times the amount offered, up from 1.33 last month. Italy also sold 3 billion euros of 5-year notes at a yield of 2.84%, down from 3.65% at a similar auction last month.
Spain’s 10-year bond yield fell to 4.20%, a 2-1/2 year low, as German Finance Minister Schaeuble travels to Spain today to unveil a plan aimed at spurring investment in Spanish companies.
The Eurozone April economic confidence fell -1.5 points to 88.6 from a revised 90.1 in March. That was weaker than expectations of a -0.7 point decline to 89.3. The April business climate indicator fell -0.18 to -0.93 from a revised -0.75 in March. That was also weaker than expectations of a -0.5 point decline to -0.91.
Minutes from the Apr 16 Riksbank meeting showed board members were concerned with strength in the Swedish krona and its impact on the economy. Sweden's central bank kept its main lending rate unchanged at 1.0%, and pushed back plans for a rate increase until 2014, citing a strengthening krona and the inability of companies to raise prices because of weak demand. The Riksbank also cut its inflation forecast to 0.1% from 0.4% for this year and predicted the Swedish economy will grow 1.4% this year and 2.7% in 2014.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM13 +0.35%) this morning are up +0.27%. The S&P 500 index on Friday moved lower after the U.S. economy grew less than expected in Q1. U.S. Q1 GDP grew at a +2.5% (q/q annualized) pace, weaker than expectations of +3.0%. Stock losses were limited, however, as U.S. Q1 personal consumption rose +3.2%, stronger than expectations of +2.8%, and after the final U.S. Apr consumer confidence (University of Michigan) climbed +4.1 points to 76.4, stronger than expectations of +1.2 to 73.5. Another bullish factor for stocks is strong Q1 earnings growth as 74% of the 270 of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings results have beaten estimates. Closes: S&P 500 -0.18%, Dow Jones +0.08%, Nasdaq 100 -0.28%.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Piper Jaffray says Facebook (FB +2.72%) could report Q1 revenue on Wednesday that misses consensus expectations by 1%-2%. Piper Jaffray says the company's core ad revenue growth may not accelerate as fast as analysts expect.
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF +0.56%) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie.
Penske Automotive (PAG -1.29%) reported Q1 continuing EPS of 63 cents, better than consensus of 62 cents.
Roper Industries (ROP -0.28%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.27, better than consensus of $1.22.
Eaton Corp PLC (ETN -0.07%) reported Q1 EPS of 84 cents, better than consensus of 78 cents.
Loews (L -1.27%) reported Q1 EPS of 82 cwnts, weaker than consensus of 84 cents.
Amin Fadul Ali reported a 9.5% stake in Atlantic Coast Federal (ACFC -0.60%) .
CNBC reported after the markets closed Friday that Goldman Sachs (GS -0.45%) had secured a $1.75 billion loan for J.C. Penney (JCP +11.55%) that would be backed by the company's real estate and real estate leases.
PAR Investment Partners reported a 7% passive stake in Churchill Downs (CHDN +1.59%) .
Dow Jones reported after the markets closed Friday that Clearwire stock holder Aurelius Capital had filed a motion to block the Clearwire (CLWR +3.93%) and Sprint (S -0.28%) merger.
Rent-A-Center (RCII +0.56%) announced that its board has increased the authorization for stock repurchases under the company's common stock repurchase plan by $250 million to $1.25 billion.
MARKET COMMENTS
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM13 -0.01%) this morning are down -1.5 ticks. June 10-year T-note futures prices on Friday settled higher. T-notes found support on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Q1 GDP, which sent stocks lower and increased the safe-haven demand for Treasuries. Another supportive factor was bond-dealer short covering as dealers lifted short-hedges after Thursday’s conclusion to the week’s $99 billion of T-note auctions. Closes: TYM3 +12.0, FVM3 +4.50.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.42%) this morning is weaker by -0.36% and at a a 1-1/2 week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.41% and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.16% at a 1-week low. The dollar index on Friday closed lower. The main bearish factor was the slower-than-expected growth in U.S. Q1 GDP, which increased speculation the Fed will maintain its dollar-negative QE program. USD/JPY fell to a 1-week low as the yen strengthened after the BOJ failed to offer new stimulus measures at the conclusion of its policy meeting Friday. Closes: Dollar index -0.270 (-0.33%), EUR/USD +0.0018 (+0.14%), USD/JPY -1.224 (-1.23%).
June WTI crude oil (CLM13 +0.39%) this morning is up +0.40 and June gasoline (RBM13 -0.54%)is down -0.0147. June crude oil and gasoline on Friday settled mixed. The main bearish factor was the weaker-than-expected U.S. Q1 GDP, which raised demand concerns. Prices came off of their worst levels, though, after the Apr U.S. University of Michigan consumer confidence came in stronger than expected. Closes: CLM3 -0.64 (-0.68%), RBM3 +0.0032 (+0.11%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR04/29/2013
US0830 ETMar personal spending expected +0.1% m/m Feb +0.7%. Mar personal income expected +0.4%, Feb +1.1%.
0830 ETMar PCE deflator expected -0.1% m/m and +1.0% y/y, Feb +0.4% m/m and +1.3% y/y. Mar core PCE deflator expected +0.1% m/m and +1.2% y/y, Feb +0.1% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
1000 ETMar pending home sales expected +1.0% m/m, Feb -0.4% m/m and +5.0% y/y.
1030 ETApr Dallas Fed manufacturing activity, Mar 7.4.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1500 ETTreasury issues quarterly borrowing estimates.
1600 ETUSDA Crop Progress.
EUR0500 ETEurozone Apr economic confidence expected 89.4, Mar 90.0. Apr business climate indicator expected -0.91, Mar -0.86.
0500 ETFinal Eurozone Apr consumer confidence, previous -22.3.
GER0800 ETGerman Apr CPI (EU harmonized) expected -0.1% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Mar +0.4% m/m and +1.8% y/y.
UK1901 ETUK Apr GfK consumer confidence survey expected -26, Mar -26.
JPN1930 ETJapan Mar overall household spending expected +1.6% y/y, Feb +0.8% y/y.
1930 ETJapan Mar jobless rate expected 4.2%, Feb 4.3%.
1950 ETJapan Mar industrial production expected +0.4% m/m and -7.2% y/y, Feb +0.6% m/m and -10.5% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Mar retail trade expected -0.8% m/m and +0.4% y/y, Feb +1.7% m/m and -2.2% y/y.
n/aJapanese markets closed for Showa Day.
CHn/aChinese markets closed for Labor Day
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR04/29/2013
Company NameSymbolTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEPS Est (US$)
Pentair LtdPNR US4:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
CNA Financial CorpCNA USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.713
Eaton Corp PLCETN USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.784
Energen CorpEGN USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.214
Loews CorpL USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.84
Health Net Inc/CAHNT USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.407
Roper Industries IncROP USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.222
Choice Hotels International IncCHH USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.268
Senior Housing Properties TrustSNH USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.437
Extra Space Storage IncEXR USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.438
Compass Minerals International IncCMP US7:00Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.116
Roper Industries IncROP US8:30Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
American Express CoAXP US9:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Capitol Federal Financial IncCFFN US9:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.118
CNA Financial CorpCNA US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Eaton Corp PLCETN US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Fulton Financial CorpFULT US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Regal-Beloit CorpRBC US10:00Annual General Meeting
Choice Hotels International IncCHH US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Compass Minerals International IncCMP US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Boeing Co/TheBA US11:00Annual General Meeting
Energen CorpEGN US11:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Loews CorpL US11:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Health Net Inc/CAHNT US11:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Coca-Cola Co/TheKO US11:45Economic Club of Canada Presents President Nicola Kettlitz
Mercury General CorpMCY US13:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Senior Housing Properties TrustSNH US13:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Armstrong World Industries IncAWI US13:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Extra Space Storage IncEXR US13:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
PACCAR IncPCAR US13:30Annual General Meeting
United Technologies CorpUTX US14:00Annual General Meeting
QIAGEN NVQGEN US16:00Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.222
Hartford Financial Services Group IncHIG US16:15Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.82
CapitalSource IncCSE US16:15Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.143
Riverbed Technology IncRVBD US16:30Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Allison Transmission Holdings IncALSN US16:30Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Fortune Brands Home & Security IncFBHS US16:30Annual General Meeting
Plum Creek Timber Co IncPCL US17:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
CapitalSource IncCSE US17:30Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Peabody Energy CorpBTU US18:00Annual General Meeting
Masco CorpMAS USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.135
Newmont Mining CorpNEM USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.772
Plum Creek Timber Co IncPCL USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.323
Express Scripts Holding CoESRX USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.976
General Growth Properties IncGGP USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.225
Post Properties IncPPS USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.701
CBL & Associates Properties IncCBL USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.511
PartnerRe LtdPRE USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20132.376
Arch Capital Group LtdACGL USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.958
Hanover Insurance Group Inc/TheTHG USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.052
Erie Indemnity CoERIE USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.725
Alexandria Real Estate Equities IncARE USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.111
SBA Communications CorpSBAC USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 2013-0.209
Community Health Systems IncCYH USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.849
Herbalife LtdHLF USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.064
Riverbed Technology IncRVBD USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.236
Hertz Global Holdings IncHTZ USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.158
Allison Transmission Holdings IncALSN USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.191
Jacobs Engineering Group IncJEC US22:00Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.825
Boeing Co/TheBA USExtraordinary Shareholder Meeting
Mercury General CorpMCY USQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.468
Armstrong World Industries IncAWI USQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.386
Posted by Jim Van Meerten at
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