Saturday, December 26, 2009

Market gains till the end

Each week I use BarChart to step back from all the noise and evaluate how the market really performed and determine my investing strategy for the coming week. I like the Value Line Index because it contains 1700 stocks giving me a much broader view of the market instead of the more narrow S&P 500 or the very narrow Dow 30. The market as measured by the Value Line Index was up 3.60% for the week and 8.32% month to date. With only 4 more trading days left we should end the year on a good note.

Value Line Index -- 1700 stocks -- All indicators are positive
  • All 13 BarChart technical indicators have a buy rating for a 100% buy rating overall
  • The index closed on Friday above its 20, 50 & 100 daily moving averages
  • The Index has had a price appreciation in 12 of the last 20 trading sessions and is 5 for 5 recently
  • The Index has had a 7.89% price appreciation in the last 65 sessions

BarChart Market Momentum Indicator -- percentage of stocks closing above their Daily Moving Averages for various time frames -- approximately 6000 stocks - Positive for all 3 time frames

  • 76.79% closed above their 20 DMA
  • 74.06% closed above their 50 DMA
  • 74.79% closed above their 100 DMA

Ratio of stocks hitting new highs to new lows for various time frames -- 1.0+ bullish, 1.0 neutral, less than .99 bearish -- very bullish

  • Ratio of stocks hitting new highs to new lows for the last 20 days -- 1614/203 = 7.95
  • Ratio of stocks hitting new highs to new lows for the last 65 days -- 913/124 = 7.36
  • Ratio of stocks hitting new highs to new lows for the last 100 days -- 823/93 = 8.85

Summary and investing strategy -- The market performed well this week and seems to have support across the board. I'll stay fully invested but still trim any stock not maintaining a price above its 50 day moving average. January is usually a strong month so I feel that I can safely replace any stock I cull. Have a great week and a prosperous New Year.

Jim Van Meerten is an investor who writes on financial matters here and on Financial Tides. Please leave a comment below or email JimVanMeerten@gmail.com

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