Saturday, September 5, 2009

Van Meerten / BarChart Stock Market Momentum Indicators W/E 9/4/09 Code Green

This was a pivotal week. The Market was down for the first 3 days but came back the last 2 closing slightly down. As measured by the Value Line Index we were down a net of 1.41% for the week.

1 - Value Line Index - I use this index because it is a broad arithmetic index covering 1700 of the largest stocks on the exchanges. Better that 95% for the entire US market capitalization.

  • BarChart evaluated the index as an overall 56% BUY with their short term indicators a 60% BUY - Good sign
  • The Value Line Index trended above it's 20, 50 & 100 Day Moving Average - Good sign

The Value Line Index is still trending in a positive upward trend

2 - BarChart Market Momentum - This week BarChart monitored 5900+ stocks

Percentage of stock trading above their Daily Moving Averages:

  • 20 DMA - 57%
  • 50 DMA -78%
  • 100 DMA - 84%

Since better than 50% all stocks are trading above their DMAs a good bullish sign.

3 - Ratio of New Highs to New Lows - When there are more new highs than new lows that's a bullish sign

  • 20 day new high/ low ratio - 655 highs/336 lows = 2.01
  • 65 day new high/ low ratio - 470 highs / 239 lows = 1.97
  • 100 day new high/ low ratio - 432 highs / 51 lows = 8.47

Since the ratio is positive for all three time periods that's a bullish sign.

Summary: Although the market was down for the week and all trends were not as strong as last week we still feel that its a good time to be invested in the stock market and in your 401K

Code Green - investors have a green light to proceed.

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