Showing posts with label MR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MR. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 3/10

BARCHART MORNING CALL

March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.87%) this morning are down -0.59% at a 1-3/4 month low and European stocks are down -0.78% after Dallas Fed President Fisher said that the Fed should raise interest rates before the economy reaches full employment to avoid triggering a recession. The yield on the German 10-year bund fell to a record low of 0.279% as the ECB bought Eurozone government bonds in the second day of its quantitative easing program. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -0.67%, Hong Kong -0.94%, China -0.48%, Taiwan -0.28%, Australia +0.05%, Singapore -0.19%, South Korea -0.40%, India -0.47%. Asian stocks fell back on China deflation concerns after China's producer prices extended a record stretch of declines to 36 months after Chine Feb PPI fell -4.8% y/y, the biggest decline in over 5 years. Commodity prices are mostly lower on a rally in the dollar. Apr crude oil (CLJ15 -0.98%) is down -0.48%. Apr gasoline (RBJ15 -1.07%) is down -0.94%. Apr gold (GCJ15 -0.37%) is down -0.45% at a 3-month low as the dollar strengthens. May copper (HGK15 -2.38%) is down -1.85%. Agriculture prices are lower ahead of the USDA's Mar WASDE crop production report. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.82%) is up +0.71% at an 11-1/2 year high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.84% at an 11-3/4 year low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.41% at a 7-1/2 year high. Jun T-note prices (ZNM15 +0.21%) are up +5 ticks.
Dallas Fed President Fisher said the Fed should raise interest rates before the economy reaches full employment as policy makers are better off tightening monetary policy earlier and more gradually than later and more quickly. He added that "every time the Fed tightened policy after achieving full employment, it has driven the economy into recession."
China Feb CPI rose +1.4% y/y, stronger than expectations of +1.0% y/y. Feb PPI fell -4.8% y/y, weaker than expectations of -4.3% y/y and the fastest pace of decline in 5-1/3 years.
Japan Feb machine tool orders jumped +28.9% y/y, the seventeenth consecutive month that machine tool orders have increased.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s Jan JOLTS job openings report is expected to show a +22,000 increase to 5.050 million, adding to December’s +181,000 increase to 5.028 million. The Treasury today will sell $24 billion of 3-year T-notes. There are two of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: John Wiley (consensus $0.97), VeriFone Systems (0.41).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Deutsche Bank Media, Internet & Telecom Conference on Mon-Wed, 11th Annual Private Banking Asia 2015 on Mon-Wed, Citigroup Asset Manager, Broker Dealer & Exchanges Conference on Tue, KBW Cards, Payments & Financial Technology Conference on Tue, Mitsubishi UFJ Securities Oil & Gas Conference on Tue, ROTH Growth Stock Conference on Tue, Susquehanna Chemical Conference, Keefe Bruyette & Woods Cards Payments & Financial Technology Symposium on Tue, Piper Jaffray Technology, Media and Telecommunications Conference on Tue-Wed, RBC Capital Markets Financial Institutions Conference on Tue-Wed, Credit Agricole Global High Yield Conference on Wed, Goldman Sachs TMT Leveraged Finance Conference on Wed, Barclays Capital Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Deutsche Bank Regional Banks Summit on Thu, Nomura - Conference: US Software Conference - New York on Thu.




OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Peabody Coal (BTU -0.78%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Jefferies.
AutoZone (AZO +0.88%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Argus.
NVIDIA (NVDA +0.27%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at BofA/Merrill Lynch.
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ -0.69%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at UBS.
Qihoo 360 (QIHU -1.88%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 75 cents, better than consensus of 71 cents.
Skyworks (SWKS +1.50%) will replace PetSmart (PETM +0.06%) in the S&P 500 as of the close of trading on Wednesday.
Mindray Medical (MR -1.90%) reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of 49 cents, less than consensus of 52 cents.
Guggenheim Partners reported a 10.9% stake in Merge Healthcare (MRGE -9.19%) .
Illumina (ILMN -0.04%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at UBS with a price target of $240.
OrbiMed reported a 13.57% passive stake in Synergy Pharmaceuticals (SGYP +2.57%) .
Titan Machinery (TITN -5.90%) slid over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported preliminary a Q4 ex-items EPS loss of -18 cents to -23 cents, well below consensus of 9 cents. The company also said it will reduce its workforce by 14%.
United Natural Foods (UNFI +2.18%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 65 cents, below consensus of 67 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 revenue to $8.19 billion-$8.29 billion, less than consensus of $8.33 billion.
Casey's General Stores (CASY +3.72%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.01, well above consensus of 82 cents.
Qualcomm (QCOM +1.69%) authorized a repurchase of $15 billion in common stock.
Urban Outfitters (URBN +1.59%) reported Q4 EPS of 60 cents, better than consensus of 58 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.87%) this morning are down -12.25 points (-0.59%) at a 1-3/4 month low. The S&P 500 index on Monday closed higher: S&P 500 +0.39%, Dow Jones +0.78%, Nasdaq +0.31%. Bullish factors included (1) increased M&A activity after Simon Property Group offered to buy Macerich for $22.4 billion and after Alcoa bought RTI International Metals for $1.26 billion, and (2) strength in energy producers after crude oil rallied.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM15 +0.21%) this morning are up +5 ticks. Jun 10-year T-note futures prices on Monday closed higher. Closes: TYM5 +11.50, FVM5 +7.00. Bullish factors included (1) carry-over support from a rally in German bunds which rose to a 1-week high as the ECB began its QE program, and (2) increased safe-haven demand for T-notes after the yield on the 10-year Greek bond rose to a 2-week high of 10.06% on revived Greek debt concerns when European officials said Greece’s latest proposals were “far” from complete.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.82%) this morning is up +0.696 *+0.71%) at an 11-1/2 year high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0091 (-0.84%) at an 11-3/4 year low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.50 (+0.41%) at a 7-1/2 year high. The dollar index on Monday posted an 11-1/2 year high but fell back and closed slightly lower: Dollar index -0.027 (-0.03%), EUR/USD +0.00069 (+0.06%), USD/JPY +0.357 (+0.30%). Bullish factors included (1) carry-over support from Friday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. Feb payrolls report, and (2) weakness in EUR/USD which fell to a 11-1/2 year low as the ECB began its QE program. EUR/USD recovered from an 11-1/2 year low and closed higher after the Eurozone Mar Sentix investor confidence rose more than expected to a 7-1/2 year high.
Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ15 -0.98%) this morning is down -24 cents (-0.48%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ15 -1.07%) is down -0.0176 (-0.94%). Apr crude oil and gasoline prices on Monday settled mixed: CLJ5 +0.39 (+0.79%), RBJ5 -0.0054 (-0.29%). Supportive factors included (1) Genscape’s forecast that Wednesday’s weekly EIA data will show crude supplies at Cushing, OK, delivery point for WTI futures, rose at a slower pace in the week ended Mar 6 than the prior week’s increase of +536,000 bbl, and (2) strength in stocks. A bearish factor was the rally in the dollar index to an 11-1/2 year high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/10/2015
US1000 ETJan wholesale inventories expected -0.1% m/m, Dec +0.1% m/m. Jan wholesale trade sales expected -0.5%, Dec -0.4% m/m.
1000 ETJan JOLTS job openings expected +22,000 to 5.050 million, Dec +181,000 to 5.028 million.
1200 ETUSDA Mar WASDE crop production.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $24 billion 3-year T-notes.
JPN0200 ETJapan Feb machine tool orders, Jan +20.4% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Feb PPI expected unch m/m and +0.5% y/y, Jan -1.3% m/m and +0.3% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Jan machine orders expected -4.0% m/m and -1.0% y/y, Dec +8.3% m/m and +11.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/10/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Actavis plcACT US4:30Shareholders Meeting - M&A VoteY 2015
John Wiley & Sons IncJW/A USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.97
Bemis Co IncBMS US9:00Investor DayY 2015
Whole Foods Market IncWFM US9:30Annual General Meeting
Chevron CorpCVX US10:00Analyst MeetingY 2015
John Wiley & Sons IncJW/A US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Allergan Inc/United StatesAGN US13:00Shareholders Meeting - M&A VoteY 2015
Landstar System IncLSTR US14:00Q1 2015 Guidance CallQ1 2015
Xilinx IncXLNX US15:00Investor & Analyst MeetingY 2015
VeriFone Systems IncPAY US16:30Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Adobe Systems IncADBE US17:00Analyst BriefingY 2015
VeriFone Systems IncPAY USAft-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.409
Energen CorpEGN USInvestment Community Meeting - Day 2Y 2015
Joy Global IncJOY USAnnual General Meeting
Toll Brothers IncTOL USAnnual General Meeting
Apple IncAAPL USAnnual General Meeting

Friday, December 12, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL 12/12

BARCHART MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.40%) this morning are down -0.53% at a 1-month low and European stocks are down -1.34% at a 3-week low as a drop in crude oil to a 5-1/3 year low undercuts energy producers. Chinese economic concerns also weighed on stocks after Nov China industrial output grew less than expected. The plunge in oil prices has also pressured the Russian ruble which plunged to a record low of 57.974 per dollar and has now lost over 30% of its value in the last 3 weeks. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +0.66%, Hong Kong -0.27%, China +0.32%, Taiwan +0.16%, Australia -0.22%, Singapore +0.16%, South Korea +0.37%, India -0.91%. Chinese stocks closed higher despite weaker-than-expected China Nov industrial production on speculation the government will boost its stimulus measures, while Japanese stocks rose ahead of Sunday's national elections in Japan where Prime Minister Abe's LDP party is expected to win in a landslide, which will allow him to push ahead with his fiscal policies. Commodity prices are mixed. Jan crude oil (CLF15 -1.07%) is down -0.88% at a 5-1/3 year low after the IEA cut its global oil demand forecast for the fourth time in five months when it said global oil demand in 2015 will grow by 900,000 bpd, 230,000 bpd less than previously forecast, to 93.3 million bpd. Jan gasoline (RBF15 +0.02%) is up +0.24%. Feb gold (GCG15 -0.24%) is down -0.16%. Mar copper (HGH15 +0.39%) is up +0.45%. Agriculture prices are higher. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.37%) is down -0.43%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.32%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.27%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 +0.33%) are up +15.5 ticks at a 1-1/2 week high on carry-over support from a rally in European government bonds to record highs as the 10-year German bund yield fell to an all-time low of 0.636%.
China Nov new yuan loans were 852.7 billion yuan, more than expectations of 655.0 billion yuan. Nov aggregate financing, China's broadest measure of credit, rose +1.15 trillion yuan, more than expectations of 895.0 billion yuan and the most in 5 months.
China Nov industrial production rose +7.2% y/y, less than expectations of +7.5% y/y.
China Nov retail sales climbed +11.7% y/y, stronger than expectations of +11.5% y/y.
Eurozone Q3 employment rose +0.2% q/q and +0.6% y/y with the +0.6% y/y increase the largest annual gain since Q2 of 2011.
Eurozone Oct industrial production rose +0.1% m/m, less than expectations of +0.2% m/m. On an annual basis Oct industrial production rose +0.7% y/y, right on expectations.
The German Nov wholesale price index fell -0.7% m/m and -1.1% y/y, a faster pace of decline from Oct when wholesale prices fell -0.6% m/m and -0.7% y/y.
UK Oct construction output unexpectedly fell -2.2% m/m, when expectations were for a +0.7% m/m increase. On an annual basis Oct construction output rose +0.7% y/y, less than expectations of +1.3% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s preliminary Dec U.S. consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan is expected to rise by +0.7 points to 89.5, adding to November’s rise of +1.9 points to a 7-1/3 year high 88.8. Today’s Nov final-demand PPI report is expected to fall to +1.4% y/y from +1.5% y/y in October. However, excluding food and energy, today’s Nov final-demand core PPI is expected to be unchanged at +1.8% y/y from October. None of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today. There are no equity conferences today.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Morgan Stanley (MS +0.03%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Buckingham.
Costco (COST +0.83%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Janney Capital.
Sherwin-Williams (SHW +3.00%) lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $8.75-$8.80, below consensus of $8.81, and also lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $10.65-$10.85, below consensus of $10.87.
Mindray Medical (MR -0.28%) was downgraded to 'Underweight' from 'Equal Weight' at Morgan Stanley.
Avery Dennison (AVY +0.80%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Topeka.
Goodrich Petroleum (GDP +14.21%) was downgraded to 'Underweight' from 'Overweight' at JPMorgan Chase.
Lazard (LAZ -0.95%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Keefe Bruyette.
CI Investments reported a 5.16% passive stake in Forest City (FCE.A -0.24%) .
United Technologies (UTX +0.48%) lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to approximately $6.80, below consensus of $6.87, and also lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $7.00-$7.20, less than consensus of $7.27.
Nordson (NDSN +1.58%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.15, higher than consensus of $1.13.
Quiksilver (ZQK -2.63%) reported a Q4 EPS loss of -29 cents, a much bigger loss than consensus of -11 cents.
Esterline (ESL +0.38%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.82, less than consensus of $1.85.
Adobe (ADBE -0.16%) jumped over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 36 cents, higher than consensus of 30 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.40%) this morning are down -10.75 points (-0.53%) at a 1-month low. The S&P 500 index on Thursday closed higher: S&P 500 +0.45%, Dow Jones +0.36%, Nasdaq +0.51%. Bullish factors included (1) the +0.7% increase in U.S. Nov retail sales, stronger than expectations of +0.4% and the most in 8 months, (2) the unexpected -3,000 decline in U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims, better than expectations of no change, and (3) slack price pressures after U.S. Nov import prices fell -1.5% m/m and -2.3% y/y, the fastest pace of decline in 1-1/2 years.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 +0.33%) this morning are yp +15.5 ticks at a 1-1/2 week high. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Thursday fell back from a 1-week high and closed lower: TYH5 -7.00, FVH5 -6.00. Bearish factors included (1) the stronger-than-expected U.S. Nov retail sales, and (2) reduced safe-haven demand for Treasuries after stocks rallied sharply. Losses were limited on carry-over support from a rally in German bund prices to an all-time high.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.37%) this morning is down -0.377 (-0.43%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0040 (+0.32%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.32 (-0.27%). The dollar index on Thursday closed higher. Closes: Dollar index +0.392 (+0.44%), EUR/USD -0.00366 (-0.29%), USD/JPY +0.83 (+0.70%). Supportive factors included (1) the stronger-than-expected U.S. Nov retail sales, which may bring the Fed closer to raising interest rates, (2) weakness in the yen after USD/JPY recovered from a 3-week low and closed higher after the Kyodo News reported that Japanese Prime Minister Abe’s party may win more than 300 of 475 lower house seats in the Dec 14 election, which would give Abe a clear mandate to continue his yen-negative fiscal policies.
Jan WTI crude oil (CLF15 -1.07%) this morning is down -53 cents (-0.88%) at a new 5-1/3 year low and Jan gasoline (RBF15 +0.02%) is up +0.0039 (+0.24%). Jan crude and Jan gasoline prices Thursday closed lower with Jan crude at a 5-1/3 year low and Jan gasoline at a 5-year low. Closes: CLF5 -2.88 (-4.51%), RBF5 -0.0781 (-4.53%). Bearish factors included (1) a rally in the dollar, and (2) comments from Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi who said Saudi Arabia will not cut oil production, “the market will correct itself.” A bullish factor was the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Nov retail sales, which signals economic strength that is positive for fuel demand.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR12/12/2014
US0830 ETNov final-demand PPI expected -0.1% m/m and +1.4% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +1.5% y/y. Nov final-demand PPI ex food & energy expected +0.1% m/m and +1.8% y/y, Oct +0.4% m/m and +1.8% y/y.
0955 ETPreliminary Dec U.S. consumer confidence (University of Michigan) expected +0.7 to 89.5, Nov +1.9 to 88.8.
CHI0030 ETChina Nov industrial production expected +7.5% y/y, Oct +7.7% y/y
0030 ETChina Nov retail sales expected +11.5% y/y, Oct +11.5% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Oct construction output expected +0.7% m/m and +1.3% y/y, Sep +1.8% m/m and +3.5% y/y.
EUR0500 ETEurozone Oct industrial production expected +0.2% m/m and +0.7% y/y, Sep +0.6% m/m and +0.6% y/y.
0500 ETEurozone Q3 employment, Q2 +0.2% q/q and +0.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR12/12/2014
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00November 2014 Sales and Revenue Call2014
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00November 2014 Sales and Revenue Release2014
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US8:00Roadshow - Europe - Day 2Y 2014
MetLife IncMET US8:00Business Update Call
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals IncALNY US8:00R&D DayY 2014
Nordson CorpNDSN US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Centene CorpCNC US8:30Investor MeetingY 2014
Nu Skin Enterprises IncNUS US12:00Investor DayY 2014
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA USU.S. Box Office Release of Movie Exodus: Gods and Kings""
Palo Alto Networks IncPANW USAnnual General Meeting

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Barchart Moring Call 5/7


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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM13 +0.11%) this morning are up +0.12% at another fresh record high. European stocks rose +0.64% to a 1-3/4 year high after German factory orders unexpectedly increased. Another positive for global stocks was the action by the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 bp. Portugal's 10-year government bond yield slipped to 5.44%, the lowest in 2-3/4 years as the country readies the markets for a sale of 3 billion euros of 10-year government bonds, its first sale of a new bond since it asked for a bailout 2 years ago. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +3.55%, Hong Kong +0.58%, China +0.16%, Taiwan -0.07%, Australia -0.24%, Singapore +0.03%, South Korea -0.53%, India +1.09%. Commodity prices are mixed. June WTI crude oil (CLM13 -0.52%) is down -0.48%. June gasoline (RBM13 -0.43%) is down -0.45%, June natural gas (NGM13 -0.97%) is down -0.62%, June gold (GCM13 -0.35%) is down -0.54%, July copper (HGN13 -0.30%) is down -0.20%. Agriculture prices are higher. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.24%) is lower by -0.24%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.40%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.08%. June 10-year T-note futures prices (ZNM13 -0.02%) are little changed, down -0.5 of a tick.
German Mar factory orders unexpectedly climbed +2.2% m/m, stronger than expectations for a -0.5% m/m decline, while factory orders fell -0.4% y/y, better than expectations for a -2.9% y/y decline.
The UK April BRC shop price index weakened to a +0.4% increase from a +1.4% gain in March.
The UK April Lloyds employment confidence improved slightly to -41 from -45 in March.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 bp to a record low 2.75% and RBA Governor Stevens said "The board has previously noted that the inflation outlook would afford scope to ease further and that a further decline in the cash rate was appropriate to encourage sustainable growth in the economy."
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s March consumer credit report is expected to show an increase of +$15.5 billion, adding to the increase of +$18.139 billion seen in February. The Treasury today will sell $32 billion in 3-year T-notes to kick off this week's $72 billion quarterly refunding operation. There are 22 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today. Notable earnings reports include Emerson Electric (consensus $0.78), McKesson (2.31), Disney (0.77), Marathon Oil (0.72), Electronic Arts (0.58), Whole Foods (0.73), Williams Companies (0.24), Symantec (0.38).
Conferences during the remainder of this week include American Gas Association (AGA) Financial Forum on Mon, Mizuho Securities USA Healthcare Access Day on Tue, Barclays Chemical ROC Star Conference on Tue, Robert W. Baird Growth Stock Conference on Tue-Thu, Jefferies Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Tue-Thu, ISI Bermuda Energy Conference on Wed, 17th Annual International Cash and Treasury Management Conference on Wed-Thu, Wells Fargo Industrial and Construction Conference on Wed-Thu, Skybridge Alternatives Conference (SALT)-Las Vegas on Wed-Thu, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co IT Services Conference on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Fossil (FOSL +0.71%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.08, better than consensus of 97 cents.
NRG Energy (NRG +0.11%) reported a Q1 EPS loss of -37 cents, wider than consensus of a -29 cent loss.
Discovery Communications (DISCA -0.24%) reported Q1 EPS of 63 cents, weaker than consensus of 64 cents.
According to an AP report, the Senate late Monday passed a bill allowing states to collect a tax on Internet purchases.
DCP Midstream (DPM +0.23%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 63 cents, below consensus of 64 cents.
Mindray Medical (MR +1.93%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 53 cents, much better than consensus of 41 cents.
Vantiv (VNTV -0.43%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 31 cents, better than consensus of 30 cents.
Alleghany (Y +1.83%) reported Q1 EPS of $11.67, well ahead of consensus of $8.01.
Chico's FAS (CHS -0.98%) was initiated with an "Outperform" at Wells Fargo with a price range of $20 to $22 a share.
Frontier Communications (FTR +1.49%) reported Q1 EPS of 5 cents, lower than consensus of 6 cents.
Ruckus Wireless (RKUS +5.15%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 3 cents, weaker than consensus of 4 cents.
Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG +1.64%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.60, well below consensus of $2.00.
First Solar (FSLR +3.67%) fell 3% in after-hours ttrading after it reported Q1 EPS of 69 cents, below consensus of 75 cents. The stock then recovered all of its losses and moved up over 1% when it reaffirmed its guidance for fiscal 2012 and announced a reduction in its work force of about 150 employees.
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH +0.92%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 6 cents, double the consensus of 3 cents.
Anadarko (APC +1.18%) reported Q1 EPS ex-items $1.08, stronger than consensus of 94 cents.
Matson (MATX +0.29%) reported Q1 EPS of 21 cents, better than consensus of 15 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM13 +0.11%) this morning are up +2.00 points (+0.12%) at a new record high. The S&P 500 index on Monday posted a fresh record high and closed higher. Stocks found carry-over support from last Friday's gains after U.S. employment in April rose more than expected. Also, stocks continue to receive a boost from strong earnings results as 73% of the 407 S&P 500 companies that have reported Q1 earnings results thus far have beaten expectations. Closes: S&P 500 +0.19%, Dow Jones -0.03%, Nasdaq 100 +0.37%.
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM13 -0.02%) this morning are little changed, down -0.5 of a tick. June 10-year T-note futures prices on Monday closed lower. T-notes added to Friday's losses and posted a fresh 3-week low as stronger equities reduced the safe-haven demand for Treasuries, along with supply pressures ahead of this week's May refunding of $72 billion of T-notes and T-bonds that begins Tuesday with the Treasury's $32 billion 3-year T-note auction. Closes: TYM3 -6.0, FVM3 -2.75.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.24%) this morning is lower by -0.201 (-0.24%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0052 (+0.40%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.08 (-0.08%). The dollar index on Monday closed higher. EUR/USD was knocked lower after comments from ECB Executive Board member Coeure who said the ECB is ready to cut interest rates further if the economic outlook in the Eurozone worsens. USD/JPY rallied up to a 1-week high as the yen weakened after stock market strength reduced the safe-haven demand for the yen. Closes: Dollar index +0.190 (+0.23%), EUR/USD -0.00406 (-0.31%), USD/JPY +0.326 (+0.33%).
June WTI crude oil (CLM13 -0.52%) this morning is down -46 cents a barrel (-0.48%). June gasoline (RBM13 -0.43%) is down -1.28 cents per gallon (-0.45%). June crude oil and gasoline on Monday rallied sharply in overnight trade after Israel made several air strikes in Syria over the weekend, but prices fell back from their best levels on speculation there won't be much effect on oil flow through the Middle East. Another negative factor that pulled Jun crude off of a 1-month high was the stronger dollar. Closes: CLM3 +0.55 (+0.58%), RBM3 +0.0403 (+1.43%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/07/2013
US1300 ETTreasury auctions $32 billion 3-year T-notes.
1500 ETMar consumer credit expected +$15.5 billion, Feb +$18.139 billion.
1630 ETAPI weekly U.S. oil statistics.
GER0600 ETGerman Mar factory orders (sa) expected -0.5% m/m and -2.9% y/y, Feb +2.3% m/m and unch y/y (nsa).
CHIn/aChina Apr trade balance expected +$15.5 billion, Mar -$0.88 billion. Apr exports expected +10.0% y/y, Mar +10.0% y/y. Apr imports expected +13.0% y/y, Mar +14.1% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/07/2013
Company NameSymbolTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEPS Est (US$)
DIRECTVDTV USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.095
Health Care REIT IncHCN USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.904
Emerson Electric CoEMR USBef-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.781
NRG Energy IncNRG USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 2013-0.294
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.343
International Flavors & Fragrances IncIFF USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.132
FirstEnergy CorpFE USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.686
Fossil IncFOSL USBef-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.969
Discovery Communications IncDISCA US7:00Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.645
Perrigo CoPRGO US8:00Q3 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20131.444
Discovery Communications IncDISCA US8:30Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
EOG Resources IncEOG US9:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
NRG Energy IncNRG US9:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Fossil IncFOSL US9:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Anadarko Petroleum CorpAPC US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Baxter International IncBAX US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Health Care REIT IncHCN US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Boston Scientific CorpBSX US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Vornado Realty TrustVNO US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Gannett Co IncGCI US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Perrigo CoPRGO US10:00Q3 2013 Earnings CallQ3 2013
International Flavors & Fragrances IncIFF US10:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US11:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Kinder Morgan Inc/DEKMI US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Cliffs Natural Resources IncCLF US11:30Annual General MeetingY 2013
Sigma-Aldrich CorpSIAL US12:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Wynn Resorts LtdWYNN US13:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
FirstEnergy CorpFE US13:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
DIRECTVDTV US14:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Emerson Electric CoEMR US14:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US14:00Q1 2013 Earnings Call - Follow-Up SessionC1 2013
Murphy Oil CorpMUR US15:00Analyst MeetingY 2013
Danaher CorpDHR US15:00Annual General MeetingY 2013
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US16:00Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.334
McKesson CorpMCK US16:00Q4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20132.308
CA IncCA US16:15Q4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20130.553
Walt Disney Co/TheDIS US16:15Q2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.77
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRW US16:15Q1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.685
CA IncCA US16:30Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US17:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
DaVita HealthCare Partners IncDVA US17:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
McKesson CorpMCK US17:00Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
Walt Disney Co/TheDIS US17:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
Electronic Arts IncEA US17:00Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
Whole Foods Market IncWFM US17:00Q2 2013 Earnings CallQ2 2013
TripAdvisor IncTRIP US17:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
BMC Software IncBMC US17:00Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRW US17:00Q1 2013 Earnings CallQ1 2013
Symantec CorpSYMC US17:00Q4 2013 Earnings CallQ4 2013
DaVita HealthCare Partners IncDVA USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20131.797
Marathon Oil CorpMRO USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.719
Electronic Arts IncEA USAft-mktQ4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20130.575
Whole Foods Market IncWFM USAft-mktQ2 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20130.729
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.24
TripAdvisor IncTRIP USAft-mktQ1 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20130.468
Symantec CorpSYMC USAft-mktQ4 2013 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20130.381
United Parcel Service IncUPS USRoadshow - MontrealY 2013
United Parcel Service IncUPS USRoadshow - Kansas CityY 2013

Monday, August 6, 2012

Barchart Morning Call 8/6


Barchart Morning Call
Overnight Developments
  • Sep E-mini S&Ps this morning are trading mildly higher by +0.18% due to this morning's +0.50% rally in European stocks. Commodity prices this morning are down by an average of -0.51% with Sep crude oil down -0.47%, gold up +0.26%, copper down -0.27%, and agricultural commodities trading mostly lower. The dollar index this morning is up +0.16% and EUR/USD is down -0.19% after Italian Prime Minister Monti said over the weekend that the Eurozone is showing signs of "psychological dissolution." Sep 10-year T-notes are up 6.5 ticks.
  • Asian stocks today closed higher across the board on carry-over support from last Friday's stronger-than-expected U.S. July payroll report of +163,000. Chinese stocks also received a boost from an announcement on Sunday by Chinese securities regulators that allows companies to pay employees up to 30% of their wages with company stock acquired in the secondary market. Closes: Japan +2.00%, Hong Kong +1.69%, China +1.35%, Taiwan +0.95%, Australia +1.21%, Singapore +0.67%, South Korea +2.27%, India +1.25%, Turkey +0.93%.
  • Knight Capital Group reportedly received a $400 million cash infusion over the weekend via a convertible bond investment by several financial firms, thus averting bankruptcy. The capital injection should prevent any fresh disruptions from Knight, which accounts for some 10% of market-making stock trading volume.
  • Trading in Spanish stocks at the Bolsas & Mercados Espanoles was halted today at 10:05 AM in Madrid due to a technical default. There was no word on when trading would resume.
  • Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said in an interview in Der Spiegel magazine published over the weekend that the Eurozone is showing signs of "psychological dissolution."
  • Troika officials over the weekend wrapped up an initial examination of Greece's austerity progress and said they will return in early September. An IMF representative said, "We made a lot of good progress" and said there was agreement that Greece needs to strengthen its policy efforts.
  • Japan's June leading index report fell by 2.6 points to 92.6 and was 0.3 points weaker than market expectations of 92.9. The June coincident index fell 2.0 points to 93.8 and was 0.1 point weaker than market expectations of 93.9.
  • UK July Halifax house prices fell -0.6% m/m, which was in line with market expectations and reversed part of June's revised +0.8% increase.
    Market Comments
    • Sep E-mini S&Ps this morning are up 2.50 points (+0.18%) on support from today's 0.50% rally in European stocks. The U.S. stock market Friday rallied up to 3-month highs and settled sharply higher after July U.S. non-farm payrolls rose more than forecast and after Spanish and Italian bond yields fell when members of German Chancellor Merkel's CDU party said they wouldn't stand in the way of additional ECB bond purchases: S&P 500 +1.90%, Dow Jones +1.69%, Nasdaq 100 +1.92%. Another positive for stocks was the larger-than-expected increase in the July ISM non-manufacturing index.
    • Sep 10-year T-notes this morning are up 6.5 ticks on some short-covering after last Friday's sharp sell-off. Sep 10-year T-note prices Friday plunged to a 1-month low after stocks soared when the U.S. economy added more jobs than expected last month, which dampens speculation the Fed will need to start a QE 3 asset purchase program to stimulate the economy: TYU2 -23, FVU2 -10. Also, safe-haven demand for Treasuries was reduced after Spanish 10-year bond yields plunged -31 bp and fell back below the critical 7.00% yield level.
    • The dollar index this morning is up +0.16% with EUR/USD down -0.19% and USD/JPY down -0.20%. The dollar index on Friday settled sharply lower as a rally in stocks curbed the safe-haven demand for the dollar while the euro strengthened after Italian and Spanish bond yields fell when ECB Council member Liikanen said the size of a new ECB bond purchase program would be "adequate to reach its objective" of lowering Italian and Spanish borrowing costs: Dollar index -0.986 (-1.18%), EUR/USD +0.02057 (+1.69%), USD/JPY +0.228 (+0.29%).
    • Sep WTI crude oil prices this morning are down -0.43 (-0.47%) and Sep gasoline is down -0.0306 (-1.04%) on this morning's higher trade in the dollar index and on some long liquidation pressure after last Friday's sharp rally. Crude oil and gasoline prices Friday moved sharply higher after the U.S. economy added more jobs than expected last month along with reduced concern over the European debt crisis after members of German Chancellor Merkel's ruling CDU party said they wouldn't stand in the way of ECB Draghi's plan to buy more government bonds: CLU2 +4.27 (+4.90%), RBU2 +0.0614 (+2.14%). Sep crude posted a 2-week high and Sep gasoline rose to a 2-1/2 month high.
    • For the complete subscription version of this daily report (plus a 13-page big-picture weekly report), along with the earliest possible delivery in the morning, please visit http://www.barchart.com/register/crbfms_usmc.php
      Today's U.S. Earnings Reports Earnings reports (ranked by market cap): BRK-Berkshire Hathaway (Consensus $1,780.00), CTSH-Cognizant Technology Solutions (0.86), BXP-Boston Properties (0.43), VNO-Vornado Realty Trust (-0.07), PAA-Plains All Anerican Pipeline (1.68), HCN-Health Care REIT (0.26), CF-CF Industries Holdings (8.71), CHK-Chesapeake Energy (0.07), HCA-HCA Holdings (0.78), AES-AES Corp. (0.27), BAP-Credicorp Ltd. (2.29), CXO-Concho Resources (0.99), TSN-Tyson Foods (0.55), KOS-Kosmos Energy Ltd. (-0.10), NGLS-Targa Resources Partners LP (0.40), MR-Mindray Medical International (0.46).
      Global Financial Calendar
      Monday 8/6/12
      United States
      0900 ET Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks via prerecorded video on "Economic Measurement" at the 32nd General Conference of the International Association for Research in Income and Wealth in Cambridge, MA.
      1100 ET USDA weekly grain export inspections.
      1130 ET Weekly 3-mo and 6-mo T-bill auctions.
      1600 ET USDA Crop Progress
      Japan
      0100 ET Japan June leading index CI expected -2.3 to 92.9, May 95.2. June coincident index CI expected -1.9 to 93.9, May 95.8.
      Euro-Zone
      0430 ET Aug Euro-Zone Sentix investor confidence expected -1.4 to -31.0, July -0.7 to -29.6.
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