Friday, March 11, 2016

Scotts Miracle-Gro - Chart of the Day

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SM) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The agricultural chemical company has a Trend Spotter buy signal. a Weight Alpha of 14.50+ and gained 7.61% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG).  I found the agricultural chemical stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the highest number of new highs in the  last month, then again for technical buy signals above 80%.  Then I used the Flipchart feature to review the stocks.  Since the Trend spotter signaled a buy on 1/29 the stock gained 6.76%.

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, The Scotts Company LLC, is the world's largest marketer of branded consumer products for lawn and garden care, with products for professional horticulture as well. The Company's brands are the most recognized in the industry. In the U.S., the Company's Scotts, Miracle-Gro, Ortho and Smith & Hawken brands are market-leading in their categories, as is the consumer Roundup brand, which is marketed in North America and most of Europe exclusively by Scotts and owned by Monsanto. In the U.S. the Company operates Scotts LawnService0, the second largest residential lawn care service business. In Europe, the Company's brands include Weedol, Pathclear, Evergreen, Levington, Miracle-Gro, KB, Fertiligene and Substral. Its customers include home improvement centers, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, hardware chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, food and drug stores, commercial nurseries and greenhouses, and specialty crop growers.

The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 80% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 14 new highs and up 13.04% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 74.18%
  • Technical support level at 72.05
  • Recently traded at 73.33 with a 50 day moving average of 66.56
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $4.51 billion
  • P/E 20.90
  • Dividend yield 2.58%
  • Revenue expected to grow .40% this year and another 2.00% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 10.50% this year, an additional 9.70% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 10.90% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 1 strong buy, 2 buy, 4 hold and 1 under perform recommendation on the stock


5 Large Caps with Steady Gains

Many times the best Large Cap stocks aren't the ones that rose the most or the ones with the most positive indicators.  I also like to see a stock with steady upward momentum.  One of the best ways to find those stocks is to use Barchart to sort the S&P 500 Large Cap Index stocks for the most frequent new highs in the last month and then review the charts using the Flipchart feature.

Today's watch list includes CBS Corp (CBS), Prologis (PLD), Exelon (EXC),  Avalonbay Communities (AVB), and Whirlpool (WHR).

CBS Corp (CBS)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 80% technical buy indicators:
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 17 new highs and up 21.69% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.19%
  • Technical support level at 50.38
  • Recently traded at 52.99 with a 50 day moving average of 47.17
Prologis (PLD)

Barchart technical indicators:
  • 40% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 17 new highs and up 18.44% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 67.24%
  • Technical support level at 40.17
  • Recently traded at 42.14 with a 50 day moving average of 39.55
Excelon (EXC)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 17 new highs and up 14.25% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 74.08%
  • Technical support level at 33.82
  • Recently traded at 34.64 with a 50 day moving average of 30.31


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 40% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 17 new highs and up 11.69% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 63.61
  • Technical support level at 175.39
  • Recently traded at 180.72 with a 50 day moving average of 174.23
Whirlpool (WHR)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 80% technical buy signal
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and  100 day moving averages
  • 16 new highs and up 27.12% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 75.04%
  • Technical support level at 154.40
  • Recently traded at 164.95 with a 50 day moving average of 142.17











MORNING CALL 3/11

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.93%) are up +0.98% at a 2-month high and European stocks are up +2.97%. Bank stocks are higher with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both up at least 1.5% in pre-market trading, while a +2.30% jump in the price of crude to a 3-month high gives energy producing stocks a lift. Crude oil received a boost after the IEA cut its 2016 non-OPEC crude production estimate by -150,000 bpd and said that "there are signs that prices might have bottomed out." Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +0.51%, Hong Kong +1.08%, China +0.20%, Taiwan +0.52%, Australia +0.32%, Singapore +0.70%, South Korea +0.22%, India +0.38%. China's Shanghai Composite recovered from a 1-week low and closed higher and gave Asian markets a lift after the PBOC strengthened its daily reference rate for the yuan by 0.34%, which fueled a rally in the yuan to a 2-1/4 month high against the dollar.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.50%) is up +0.54%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.62%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.49%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.15%) are down -5 ticks.
The IEA cut its 2016 non-OPEC crude production estimate to 750,000 bpd, down -150,000 from 900,000 bpd estimated last month, and said that "there are signs that prices might have bottomed out."
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Feb import price index (expected -0.7% m/m and -6.5% y/y, Jan -1.1% m/m and -6.2% y/y).
None of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today.
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week include: none.


OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Morgan Stanley (MS +0.16%) and Goldman Sachs Group (GS +0.74%) are both up over 1% in pre-market trading.
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance (ULTA +2.75%) rallied over 12% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.69, above consensus of $1.54, and then raised guidance on Q1 EPS to $1.25-$1.30, higher than consensus of $1.22.
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN +3.07%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Sterne Agee CRT.
Arctic Cat (ACAT +2.85%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Hold' at Wunderlich Securities.
Zumiez (ZUMZ +2.10%) fell 8% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on Q1 sales to $172 million-$175 million, below consensus of $176.7 million.
Finisar (FNSR +0.07%) jumped over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 25 cents, higher than consensus of 22 cents, and said it sees Q4 adjusted EPS of 22 cents-28 cents, above consensus of 21 cents.
El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO +1.54%) declined nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it said it sees 2016 pro-forma EPS of 70 cents-74 cents, at the lower end of consensus of 74 cents.
BioDelivery Sciences International (BDSI -8.11%) dropped over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 19 cents, well below consensus of 55 cents.
Bojangles' (BOJA -0.20%) gained 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 22 cents, better than consensus of 19 cents, and then raised guidance on 2016 adjusted Ebitda to $83.5 million-$86.5 million, higher than consensus of $80.2 million.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS -2.90%) jumped over 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 ongoing adjusted EPS of 2 cents, better than consensus of a -4 cent loss.
Sunrun (RUN +7.52%) plunged over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $99.6 million, below consensus of $101.8 million.
Bonanza Creek Energy (BCEI -2.42%) slipped 5% in after-hours trading after it elected to draw down $209 million on its credit facility.
Strata Skin Sciences (SSKN +2.80%) catapulted up over 30% in after-hours trading after the FDA approved Strata's PMA supplement for the MelaFind System that aids in detection of melanoma.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.93%) this morning are up +19.50 points (+0.98%) at a 2-month high. Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +0.02%, Dow Jones-0.03%, Nasdaq -0.15%. The S&P 500 on Thursday gave up early gains and fell to a 1-week low on global economic concerns after the ECB cut its Eurozone 2016 GDP forecast to +1.4% from +1.7% and ECB President Draghi said that risks to economic growth are still to the downside. Stocks were also undercut by weakness in energy producers after the price of crude fell. Stocks saw strength early on the -18,000 drop in U.S. weekly jobless claims and on the ECB's interest rate cut and QE expansion to 80 billion euros from 60 billion euros a month.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM16 -0.15%) this morning are down -5 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYM6 -13.50, FVM6 -8.50. Jun T-notes on Thursday slid to a 1-1/4 month low and closed lower on the larger-than-expected drop in weekly U.S. jobless claims to a 4-3/4 month low and on negative carryover from a decline in German bund prices to a 1-1/4 month low.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.50%) this morning is up +0.522 (+0.54%). EUR/USD ^EURUSD) is down -0.0069 (-0.62%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.56 (+0.49%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index -1.107 (-1.14%), EUR/USD +0.0178 (+1.62%), USD/JPY -0.16 (-0.14%). The dollar index on Thursday whipsawed up to a 1-week high and then down to a 3-week low and closed lower. The dollar was undercut by strength in EUR/USD which recovered from a 5-week low and rallied up to a 3-week high when ECB President Draghi said that he "doesn’t anticipate" more rate cuts from the ECB. EUR/USD initially saw weakness after the ECB cut interest rates and expanded QE to 80 billion euros a month from 60 billion euros.
Apr WTI crude (CLJ16 +2.14%) this morning is up +87 cents (+2.30%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ16 +0.55%) is up +0.0079 (+0.55%). Thursday's closes: CLJ6 -0.45 (-1.18%), RBJ6 -0.0315 (-2.14%). Apr crude and gasoline on Thursday closed lower on reduced optimism about a freeze in crude production after Russian Energy Minister Novak said that a time and date for a meeting among major oil producers remains uncertain and on negative carryover from Wednesday's EIA data that showed an increase in EIA crude stockpiles to a record high 521.8 million bbl and the rise in oil inventories at Cushing, OK, the delivery point for WTI futures, to a record 66.9 million bbl.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/11/2016
US0830 ETFeb import price index expected -0.7% m/m and -6.5% y/y, Jan -1.1% m/m and -6.2% y/y.
GER0200 ETRevised German Feb CPI (EU harmonized), previous +0.4% m/m and -0.2% y/y.
0200 ETGerman Feb wholesale price index, Jan -0.4% m/m and -1.0% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Jan construction output expected +0.2% m/m and -1.7% y/y, Dec +1.5% m/m and +0.5% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/11/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Genesco IncGCO USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20162.134
Buckle Inc/TheBKE USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.073
Hibbett Sports IncHIBB USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.732
Progenics Pharmaceuticals IncPGNX USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.142
Kirkland's IncKIRK USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.898
Citi Trends IncCTRN USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.25
Straight Path Communications IncSTRP USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.07
Lifetime Brands IncLCUT US7:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.64
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00February 2016 Sales and Revenue Call2016
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00February 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
Public Service Enterprise Group IncPEG US8:00Financial Community Meeting
Providence Service Corp/ThePRSC US8:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Genesco IncGCO US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Progenics Pharmaceuticals IncPGNX US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Surgery Partners IncSGRY US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
General Electric CoGE US9:00Investor Meeting - HealthcareY 2016
Citi Trends IncCTRN US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Gastar Exploration IncGST US9:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
AEP Industries IncAEPI US10:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Buckle Inc/TheBKE US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Hibbett Sports IncHIBB US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Investors Real Estate TrustIRET US10:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Commercial Vehicle Group IncCVGI US10:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
State National Cos IncSZTNZ US10:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Lifetime Brands IncLCUT US11:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Kirkland's IncKIRK US11:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Green Brick Partners IncGRBK US12:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Straight Path Communications IncSTRP US16:15Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Earthstone Energy IncESTE USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.125
Hallador Energy CoHNRG USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.18
Park-Ohio Holdings CorpPKOH USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.89
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - New YorkY 2016
Valhi IncVHI USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.04
EMCORE CorpEMKR USAnnual General Meeting
Tangoe IncTNGO USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.035
Stemline Therapeutics IncSTML USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.57
Carbylan Therapeutics IncCBYL USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.247
Zynerba Pharmaceuticals IncZYNE USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.625

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Cantel Medical - Chart of the Day

Cantel Medical (CMN) is the Barchart  Chart of the Day.  The medical infection prevention company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 56.20+ and gained 57.24% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Cantel Medical (CMN).  I found the medical infection prevention stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the highest number of new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals of 80% or more.  Next I used the Flipchart feature to review the charts.

Cantel Medical Corp. is a healthcare company concentrating primarily in infection prevention and control products and diagnostic and therapeutic medical equipment. Through its United States subsidiary, MediVators, Inc., Cantel serves customers worldwide by designing, developing, manufacturing, marketing and distributing innovative products for the infection prevention and control industry.


The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 80% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 19 new highs and up 19.85% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 80.37%
  • Technical support level at 65.16
  • Recently traded at 69.62 with a 50 day moving average of 60.65
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $2.90 billion
  • P/E 44.47
  • Dividend yield .18%
  • Revenue expected to grow 14.00% this year and another 14.20% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 27.00% this year, an additional 22.60% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 18.00% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 1 buy and 1 hold recommendation on the stock
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been a reliable technical trading strategy for this stock.

5 Great Mid & Small Capss with Momentun

This morning I decided to use two of the best sources of investment information I know and team up the power of both.  I have read and been fascinated with Value Line for almost 50 years.  When I discovered my college had a subscription I went and read each new issue and have ever since  About 10 years ago I was reading a Forbes article called Best of the Web and it rated Barchart as one of the best data sources on technical stock market investing.  To this day I use both.

This morning I took the stocks Value Line Small & Mid Cap Investment Survey rated 1 and 2.  This Suvery has a data base of about 3800 stocks with a capitalization between $6 million and $8.75 billion and give relative weighting to about 1800 of them. That equals the quartile that Value Line estimates will have the best chance for relative price appreciation and ran them through Barchart to find which ones had the highest Barchart technical buy signals, then used its Flipchart feature to review the charts.

When I use a list from a reliable source of those predicted to have the best momentum and filter it through another reliable source to  find which is presently having the best momentum I should end up with some great stocks to consider.

The list today includes: Cosi Inc (COSI), Citizens Holdings (CIZN), Netlist (NLST), Shore Bancshares (SHBI) and Orbcomm (ORBC).

Cosi Inc (COSI)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 12 new highs and up 57.34% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 83.17%
  • Technical support level at .77
  • Recently traded at .96 with a 50 day moving average of .59


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 4 new highs and up 3.29% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 60.74%
  • Technical support level at 23.85
  • Recently traded at 23.89 with a 50 day moving average of 22.76
Netlist (NLST)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11 new highs and up 43.08%
  • Relative Strength Index 71.55%
  • Technical support level at 1.17
  • Recenlty traded at 1.47 with a 50 day moving average of 1.06


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 5 new highs and up 5.06% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 64.20%
  • Technical support level at 11.26
  • Recently traded at 11.83 with a 50 day moving average of 11.13
Orbcomm (ORBC)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 14 new highs and up 31.12% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 82.29%
  • Technical support level at 8.55%
  • Recently traded at 9.48 with a 50 day moving average of 7.80












MORNING CALL 3/10

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.44%) are up +0.29% and European stocks are up +0.14% as the markets await the ECB's decision today on possible additional stimulus measures. The markets are expecting at least an interest rate cut by the ECB today and or an expansion of its quantitative easing. Weakness in crude oil and metals undercut energy and raw-material producing stocks, while an unexpected decline in German Jan exports pressured European stocks. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +1.26%, Hong Kong -0.06%, China -2.02%, Taiwan +0.31%, Australia -0.14%, Singapore -0.05%, South Korea +0.96%, India -0.69%. China's Shanghai Composite closed down over 2% after Chinese consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in 19 months, which may limit further stimulus measures by the government.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.14%) is up +0.20%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD)is down -0.21%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.26%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 +0.15%) are up +7 ticks.
The German Jan trade balance shrank to a surplus of 13.6 billion euros, less than expectations of +17.0 billion euros and the smallest surplus in 17 months. Jan exports unexpectedly fell -0.5% m/m, weaker than of +0.8% m/m. Jan imports rose +1.2% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.8% m/m.
China Feb CPI rose +2.3% y/y, stronger than expectations of +1.8% y/y and the fastest pace of increase in 19 months.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected -3,000 to 275,000, previous +6,000 to 278,000) and continuing claims (expected -7,000 to 2.250 million, previous +3,000 to 2.257 million), (2) the Treasury's auction of $12 billion of 30-year T-bonds, and (3) Feb monthly budget statement (expected -$196.3 billion, Jan +$55.163 billion).
There are 5 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Dollar General (consensus $1.26), Care Capital Properties (0.79), Four Corners Property Trust (0.45), VeriFone Systems (0.46), Ulta Salon (1.54).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Biolight Life Sciences (BOLT).
Equity conferences this week include: UBS Global Consumer Conference on Wed-Thu, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Inc Aviation, Transportation and Industrials Conference on Tue-Thu, J.P. Morgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Access Forum on Thu.


OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Expedia (EXPE +0.79%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Neutral' at Piper Jaffray with a 12-month price target of $140.
Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH +0.03%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Overweight' at Piper Jaffray with a 12-month price target of $31.
Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (RBS +0.46%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Bernstein.
Ryerson Holding (RYI +0.22%) reported Q4 sales of $668.8 million, below consensus of $711.4 million.
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO +1.13%) lost nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it announced that CFO Mary Boland plans to retire April 1 and Chief Accounting Officer Scott Hurd will be interim CFO.
B&G Foods (BGS -0.54%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a public offering of 4 million shares of its common stock.
Square (SQ +4.79%) rose nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $374.4 million, higher than consensus of $344.7 million.
Box Inc. (BOX +3.73%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 revenue of $88 million-$89 million, above consensus of $86.4 million, and then said it sees a fiscal 2017 adjusted loss of -83 cents to -85 cents, narrower than consensus of a loss of -90 cents.
Gulfport Energy (GPOR +4.01%) slid over 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a public offering of 14 million shares of its common stock.
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (SPPI -1.18%) gained nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q4 loss of -6 cents a share, a smaller loss than consensus of -18 cents.
Nasdaq (NDAQ +0.77%) agreed to buy International Securities Exchange from Deutsche Borse for $1.1 billion.
Sunrun (RUN -0.45%) climbed 3% in after-hours trading after it was rated a new 'Buy' at Deutsche Bank with a price target of $15.
Omega Protein (OME +6.46%) slumped over 20% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 29 cents, well below consensus of 53 cents.
Energy XXI Ltd. (EXXI +12.50%) plunged over 30% in after-hours trading when it said it may seek Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection as soon as next week.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.44%) this morning are up +5.75 points (+0.29%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.51%, Dow Jones +0.21%, Nasdaq +0.65%. The S&P on Wednesday closed higher on strength in energy producers with the rally in crude oil and on expectations that the ECB on Thursday will expand stimulus measures in an attempt to bolster economic growth. Stocks were undercut by news that the Jan wholesale inventory-to-sales ratio rose to a 6-3/4 year high of 1.35 months, which is a sign of tepid demand that is causing an unwanted buildup of inventories.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM16 +0.15%) this morning are up +7 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYM6 -14.00, FVM6 -51.75. Jun T-notes on Wednesday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes and on carryover weakness from a slide in German bund prices to a 2-week low.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.14%) this morning is up +0.198 (+0.20%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0023 (-0.21%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.30 (+0.26%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.036 (-0.04%), EUR/USD -0.0012 (-0.11%), USD/JPY +0.73 (+0.65%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed lower on strength in the Canadian dollar (which climbed to a 3-3/4 month high against the dollar) and in the Russian ruble (which rose to a 2-1/2 month high against the dollar) as a rally in crude oil supported the currencies of crude-exporting countries. In addition, EUR/USD showed strength on short-covering ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting.
Apr WTI crude (CLJ16 -0.08%) this morning is down -11 cents (-0.29%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ16 +0.01%) is down -0.0077 (-0.52%). Wednesday's closes: CLJ6 +1.79 (+4.90%), RBJ6 +0.0827 (+5.96%). Apr crude and gasoline on Wednesday closed higher with Apr gasoline at a 4-month nearest-futures high. Crude oil prices were boosted by a weaker dollar and by the -4.53 million bbl drop in weekly EIA gasoline supplies (vs. expectations of-1.5million bbl). Crude oil prices were undercut by the rise in EIA crude stockpiles by +3.88 million bbl to a record high 521.8 million bbl and by the rise in oil inventories at Cushing, OK, the delivery point for WTI futures, by +690,000 bbl to a record 66.9 million bbl.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/10/2016
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -3,000 to 275,000, previous +6,000 to 278,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-7,000 to 2.250 million, previous +3,000 to 2.257 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 10-year TIPS to be auctioned Mar 17 (previous $15 billion).
1300 ETTreasury auctions $12 billion 30-year T-bonds.
1400 ETFeb monthly budget statement expected -$196.3 billion, Jan +$55.163 billion.
GER0200 ETGerman Jan trade balance expected +17.0 billion euros, Dec +19.0 billion euros. Jan exports expected +0.8% m/m, Dec -1.4% m/m. Jan imports expected +0.8% m/m, Dec -1.6% m/m.
0200 ETGerman Jan current account balance, Dec +25.6 billion euros.
0200 ETGerman Q4 labor costs, Q3 unch q/q and +2.4% y/y.
EUR0745 ETECB announces interest rate decision expected -10 bp cut in deposit facility rate to -0.4% from -0.3%.
0830 ETECB President Mario Draghi holds press conference following ECB meeting.
JPN1850 ETJapan Q1 BSI all-industry business conditions, Q4 4.6.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/10/2016

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Dollar General CorpDG USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.261
Care Capital Properties IncCCP USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.787
Four Corners Property Trust IncFCPT USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.445
Armstrong World Industries IncAWI US8:00Investor MeetingY 2016
Western Union Co/TheWU US8:30Investor DayY 2016
Genpact LtdG US9:00Analyst & Investor DayY 2016
Dollar General CorpDG US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Tahoe Resources IncTHO CN10:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Care Capital Properties IncCCP US10:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Applied Materials IncAMAT US13:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
American Express CoAXP US13:30Investor DayY 2016
United Technologies CorpUTX US14:00Investor and Analyst MeetingY 2016
F5 Networks IncFFIV US14:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Four Corners Property Trust IncFCPT US14:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
VeriFone Systems IncPAY US16:01Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.461
VeriFone Systems IncPAY US16:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance IncULTA US17:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance IncULTA USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.535
Cabot CorpCBT USAnnual General Meeting
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - BostonY 2016
National Fuel Gas CoNFG USAnnual General Meeting
Xcel Energy IncXEL USInvestor Meeting - Day 2Y 2016

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Toro - Chart of the Day

The Toro Company (TTC) is the Chart of the Day.  The mower and snow blower company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 26.30+ and gained 23.45% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to The Toro Company (TTC).  I found the mower and snow blower stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for most new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals above  80%.  Last I use the Flipchart feature to review the charts.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 1/29 the stock gained 11.12%.

Toro Company designs, manufactures and markets consumer and professional turf maintenance equipment, snow removal products and irrigation systems and provides landscaping and turf maintenance services. The company manufactures walk-behind power mowers and snowblowers and riding lawn mowers and lawn and garden tractors. The company designs and markets electrical and gas products, professional turf maintenance equipment and turf irrigation products.


The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 80% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 14 new highs and up 15.30% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 70.59%
  • Technical support level at 81.19
  • Recently traded at 82.82 with a  day moving average of 74.13
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $4.55 billion
  • P/E 22.21
  • Dividend yield 1.46%
  • Revenue expected to grow 3.80% this year and another 5.70% next year
  • Earning estimated to increase 12.70% this year, an additional 11.00% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 15.00% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 1 strong buy and 4 hold recommendations on the stock.
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been a reliable technical trading strategy for this stock.

5 Great Stocks with Momentum

This morning I decided to use two of the best sources of investment information I know and team up the power of both.  I have read and been fascinated with Value Line for almost 50 years.  When I discovered my college had a subscription I went and read each new issue and have ever since  About 10 years ago I was reading a Forbes article called Best of the Web and it rated Barchart as one of the best data sources on technical stock market investing.  To this day I use both.

This morning I took the stocks Value Line Investment Survey rated 1&2.  That equals the quartile that Value Line estimates will have the best chance for relative price appreciation and ran them through Barchart to find which ones had the highest Barchart technical buy signals, then used its Flipchart feature to review the charts.

When I use a list from a reliable source of those predicted to have the best momentum and filter it through another reliable source to  find which is presently having the best momentum I should end up with some great stocks to consider.

Today's watch list includes Xcel Energy (XEL), Northwestern (NWE), Domino's Pizza (DPZ), Altria (MO) and American Water Works (AWK).

Xcel Energy (XEL)

 Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7 new highs and up 2.73% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.08%
  • Technical support level at 39.67
  • Recently traded at 40.70 with a 50 day moving average of 38.13


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 8 new highs and up 5.53% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 71.90%
  • Technical support level at 60.00
  • Recently traded at 61.29 with a 50 day moving average of 56.37


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 12 new highs and up 24.11% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 77.22%
  • Technical support level at 131.50
  • Recently traded at 134.24 with a 50 day moving average of 114.59
Altria (MO)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7 new highs and up 3.42% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 61.52%
  • Technical support level at 61.11
  • Recently traded at 62.52 with a 50 day moving average of 59.88


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7 new highs and up 6.35% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 61.99%
  • Technical support level at 66.50
  • Recently traded at 68.37 with a 50 day moving average of 63.55












MORNING CALL 3/9

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.56%) are up +0.49% and European stocks are up +1.35% on speculation that the ECB on Thursday will deliver a package of easing measures to spur economic growth. Energy and raw-material producing stocks are higher as the price of crude oil and copper rose. Crude oil had initially moved lower after the API late yesterday reported a +4.4 million bbl increase in U.S. crude inventories. However, crude recovered losses and is up +1.53% on the outlook for lower future U.S. crude production after the EIA cut its U.S. 2017 crude output forecast. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan -0.84%, Hong Kong -0.08%, China -1.34%, Taiwan -0.35%, Australia +0.96%, Singapore +1.14%, South Korea +0.29%, India +0.55%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.16%) is up +0.17%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.33%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -010% at a 1-week low.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.27%) are down -11.5 ticks.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook projected that U.S. 2017 crude production will fall -5.5% y/y to 8.19 million bpd, less than the 8.46 million bpd previously forecast and a 4-year low.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -4.8% with purchase sub-index -0.6% and refi sub-index -7.2%), (2) Jan wholesale inventories (expected -0.2%, Dec -0.1% m/m) and Jan wholesale trade sales (expected -0.3% m/m, Dec -0.3% m/m), (3) the Treasury's auction of $20 billion of 10-year T-notes, (4) EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, and (5) USDA Mar WASDE crop production.
There are 2 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Tahoe Resources (consensus $0.12), Square Inc (-0.14).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: KLR Acquisition Group (KLREU)
Equity conferences this week include: Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference on Mon-Wed, J.P. Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Industrials Conference on Tue-Wed, Piper Jaffray Technology Symposium on Tue-Wed, RBC Capital Markets Financial Institutions Conference on Tue-Wed, UBS Global Consumer Conference on Wed-Thu, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Inc Aviation, Transportation and Industrials Conference on Tue-Thu, J.P. Morgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Access Forum on Thu.


OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
CBS Corp. (CBS -1.58%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Wells Fargo Securities.
Yelp (YELP -4.74%) and Groupon (GRPN -3.78%) were both downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at UBS.
United Continental Holdings (UAL -2.20%) reported February traffic was up +2.7% and available seat miles were up +6%, but still sees Q1 passenger unit revenue down 6%-8% y/y due to a stronger dollar, lower surcharges, and softening domestic and international yields.
Ross Stores (ROST -0.26%) were downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG -1.69%) fell nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it said it closed a store in Billerica, Massachusetts for cleaning after 4 workers at the store "were not feeling well."
Aerovironment (AVAV -0.30%) climbed over 7% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on yearly gross profit margin to between 38%-39.5%, up from a December forecast of 37%-37.5%.
Blue Buffalo Pet Products (BUFF -4.72%) surged over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 16 cents, higher than consensus of 14 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to 72 cents-74 cents, higher than consensus of 70 cents.
NCI Building Systems (NCS -3.45%) rose over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 7 cents, well above consensus of 2 cents, as Q1 sales rose to $370 million, above consensus of $363.8 million.
Amplify Snack Brands (BETR -1.60%) jumped over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 13 cents, higher than consensus of 9 cents and then raised guidance on 2016 adjusted EPS to 61 cents-64 cents, above consensus of 57 cents.
Zagg Inc. (ZAGG -1.42%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 GAAP EPS of 18 cents, weaker than consensus of 24 cents.
Cerus Corp. (CERS -5.51%) slid over 5% in after-hours trading after it said it sees 2016 global revenue of $37 million-$40 million, below consensus of $44.5 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.56%) this morning are up +9.75 points (+0.49%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -1.12%, Dow Jones -0.64%, Nasdaq -0.88%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday closed lower on concern that a slowdown in China will undercut global economic growth after China Feb exports fell -25.4%y/y, weaker than expectations of -14.5% y/y and the largest decline in 6-3/4 years. In addition, energy and commodity producers showed weakness after the price of crude oil and copper fell.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM16 -0.27%) this morning are down -11.5 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYM6 +18.50, FVM6 +11.25. Jun T-notes on Tuesday closed higher on increased safe-haven demand with the sell-off in stocks. T-notes also received a boost from Japanese government bonds where the 10-year JGB bond yield fell to a record low of -0.10%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.16%) this morning is up +0.163 (+0.17%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0036 (-0.33%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.11 (-0.10%) at a 1-week low. Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.138 (+0.14%), EUR/USD -0.0003 (-0.03%), USD/JPY -0.84 (-0.74%). The dollar index on Tuesday recovered from a 2-week low and closed higher on weakness in EUR/USD on the outlook for the ECB to expand stimulus when it meets on Thursday. The dollar also received a boost from weakness in GBP/USD after BOE official Weale said that if the outlook for inflation worsens, "the scope for further asset purchases is substantial."
Apr WTI crude (CLJ16 +1.78%) this morning is up +56 cents (+1.53%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ16 +2.02%) is up +0.0318 (+2.29%). Tuesday's closes: CLJ6 -1.40 (-3.69%), RBJ6 -0.0049 (-0.35%). Apr crude and gasoline on Tuesday closed lower on concern that a slowdown in China's economy will lead to slower global growth and energy demand after China Feb exports fell by the most in 6-3/4 years. Crude oil prices were also undercut by expectations that Wednesday's EIA data will show U.S crude supplies rose +3.5 million bbl. Crude oil prices found some underlying support on news that Chinese Feb crude oil imports rose +19% m/m to 31.8 MMT.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/09/2016
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -4.8% with purchase sub-index -0.6% and refi sub-index -7.2%.
1000 ETJan wholesale inventories expected -0.2%, Dec -0.1% m/m. Jan wholesale trade sales expected -0.3% m/m, Dec -0.3% m/m.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1200 ETUSDA Mar WASDE crop production.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $20 billion 10-year T-notes.
JPN0100 ETJapan Feb machine tool orders, Jan -17.2% y/y.
1850 ETJapan Feb PPI expected -0.3% m/m and -3.4% y/y, Jan -0.9% m/m and -3.1% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Jan industrial production expected +0.4% m/m and unch y/y, Dec -1.1% m/m and -0.4% y/y.
0430 ETUK Jan manufacturing production expected +0.2% m/m and -0.7% y/y, Dec -0.2% m/m and -1.7% y/y.
1901 ETUK Feb RICS house price balance expected 50%, Jan 49%.
CHI2030 ETChina Feb CPI expected +1.8% y/y, Jan +1.8% y/y. Feb PPI expected -4.9% y/y, Jan -5.3% y/y.
n/aChina Feb new yuan loans expected +1.2 trillion yuan, Jan +2.51 trillion yuan. Feb aggregate financing expected +1.790 trillion yuan, Jan +3.417 trillion yuan.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/09/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Analog Devices IncADI US9:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Tyco International PlcTYC US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Whole Foods Market IncWFM US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Danaher CorpDHR US17:00ITC Decision Due in Instradent vs. Danaher Corp. Patent Case
Square IncSQ US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Tahoe Resources IncTHO CNAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.122
Square IncSQ USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.137