Friday, May 13, 2016

Amerisafe - Chart of the Day

Amerisafe (AMSF) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The workman's comp insurance company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 33.80+ and gained 32.21% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Amerisafe (AMSF).  I found the Workman's Comp insurance stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the  most frequent number of new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals of 80% or more. Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 2/18 the stock gained 33.57%.

Amerisafe, Inc. is a specialty provider of workers' compensation insurance focused on small to mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries, principally construction, trucking, logging, agriculture, oil and gas, maritime and sawmills.



The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 14 new highs and up 11.81%
  • Relative Strength Index 98.87%
  • Technical support level at 56.05
  • Recently traded at 58.10 with a 50 day moving average of 52.47
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $1.11 billion
  • P/E 13.31
  • Dividend yield 1.28%
  • Revenue expected to grow .30% this year and another 1.70% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 2.90% this year, decrease 3.40% next year but compound annually at the rate of 10.00% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 1 strong buy, 2 buy and 1 hold recommendation on the stock

Thursday, May 12, 2016

Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers - Chart of the Day

Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers (RBA) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  the vehicle auction company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 24.00+ and gained 13.11% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers (RBA).   I found the vehicle auctioneering stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the highest frequency of new highs in the last month then again for technical buy signals of 80% of better.  Next I used the Trend Spotter to review the charts for consistency. Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 2/18 the stock gained 33.57%.

Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers conduct unreserved public auctions every year at locations throughout North and Central America, Europe, Asia, Australia, Africa and the Middle East. The company is known for their innovative auction methods, attention to detail and their total commitment to the unreserved auction. The confidence this gives their customers has enabled Ritchie Bros. to become one of the largest industrial auctioneer in the world.



The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signals
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 14 new highs and up 14.53% in the last month
  • Relative Strength index 83.19%
  • Technical support level at 30.35
  • Recently traded at 31.91 with a 50 day moving average of 27.38
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $3.42 billion
  • P/E 26.09
  • Dividend yield 2.08%
  • Revenue expected to grow 6.90% this year and another 5.30% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 10.60% this year, an additional 9.60% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 11.40% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 3 strong buy, 3 buy, 6 hold, 1 under perform and 1 sell recommendation on the stock

MORNING CALL 5/12

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.57%) are up +0.60% and European stocks are up +0.95% as a +0.89% rally in Jun WTI crude oil (CLM16 +0.82%) to a 1-1/2 week high lifts energy producing stocks. Crude oil is higher after the IEA cut its global crude oil surplus estimate for the first half of 2016 to 1.3 million bpd from 1.5 million bpd forecast last month, citing robust demand in India and other emerging markets. European stocks rose despite an unexpected decline in Eurozone Mar industrial production. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.41%, Hong Kong -0.70%, China -0.04%, Taiwan-0.34%, Australia -0.24%, Singapore +0.46%, South Korea -0.30%, India +0.75%. Gains in Japanese stocks were held back by a -1.4% drop in Toyota after the automaker forecast its yearly profit will probably decline for the first time in 5 years.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.26%) is up +0.26%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.27%% after Eurozone Mar industrial production unexpectedly fell. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.73%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.17%) are down -7.5 ticks.
As expected, the BOE kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.50% and maintained its asset purchase target at 375 billion pounds following today's policy meeting. The BOE also cut its UK 2016 GDP forecast to 2.0% from a 2.2% estimate in Feb, citing uncertainty regarding next month's referendum on whether the UK will remain in the European Union.
Eurozone Mar industrial production unexpectedly fell -0.8% m/m, weaker than expectations of no change.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected -4,000 to 270,000, previous +17,000 to 274,000) and continuing claims (expected -1,000 to 2.120 million, previous -8,000 to 2.121 million), (2) Apr import price index (expected +0.6% m/m and -5.4% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and-6.2% y/y), (3) Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speaks on monetary policy and inflation dynamics at an event in Reichenau Island, Germany, (4) Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren delivers luncheon speech to the Great Concord Chamber in Concord, NH, (5) the Treasury auction of $15 billion of 30-year T-bonds, (6) Kansas City Fed President Esther George speaks about the U.S. economy to business and community leaders in Albuquerque, NM, and (7) USDA weekly Export Sales.
There are 6 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Kohl's (consensus $0.37), Perrigo (1.72), Ralph Lauren (0.83), NVIDIA (0.41), Nordstrom (0.46), Symantec (0.22).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Oncobiologics (ONS), Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals (CPP), Acacia Communications (ACIA).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Jefferies Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Wed-Thu, Mitsubishi UFJ Oil & Gas Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Refining Corporate Access Day on Thu, RBC Capital Markets Aerospace & Defense Investor Day on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Jack in the Box (JACK -5.24%) jumped 11% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 adjusted operating EPS of 85 cents, higher than consensus of 70 cents.
Berry Plastics Group (BERY +2.32%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Weight Watchers International (WTW -0.88%) climbed over 1% in after-hours trading after Oprah Winfrey was elected to a 2-year term on the company's board.
Janus Capital Group (JNS -2.05%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outpeform' at Wells Fargo Securities.
St. Jude Medical (STJ +0.23%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at UBS.
Kohl's (KSS -6.02%) slid over 4% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 31 cents, below consensus of 37 cents.
Owens-Illinois (OI +0.57%) was rated a new 'Sell' by Goldman Sachs.
SINA Corp/China (SINA +0.67%) dropped over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -4 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -3 cents.
Weibo (WB -0.43%) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 7 cents, better than consensus of 4 cents.
Spin Master (SNMSF +2.40%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 12 cents, double consensus of 6 cents.
CA Inc. (CA -0.63%) gained 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted continuing operations EPS of 60 cents, higher than consensus of 57 cents, and said it sees fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS continuing operation of $2.51-$2.56, above consensus of $2.49.
Loxo Oncology (LOXO -5.36%) dropped over 4% in after-hours trading after it announced a public equity offering. Price, volume and terms have yet to be announced.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.57%) this morning are up +12.25 points (+0.60%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.96%, Dow Jones -1.21%, Nasdaq-0.93%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed lower on carryover weakness from a slide in European stocks on concern about the health of the European banking sector after ABN Amro Group NV reported a -13% decline in Q1 profits. U.S. stocks were also undercut by weakness in U.S. retail stocks led by a -15% plunge in Macy's, the largest U.S department store company, after it reported weaker-than-expected Q1 revenue and cut its profit forecast for this year.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.17%) this morning are down -7.5 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYM6 +4.00, FVM6 +0.25. Jun T-notes on Wednesday closed higher on increased safe-haven demand with the weakness in stocks and on strong demand for the Treasury's $23 billion 10-year T-note auction where indirect bidders, a proxy for foreign buyers, purchased a record 73.5% of the auction, higher than the 12-auction average of 60.7%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.26%) this morning is up +0.244 (+0.26%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0031 (-0.27%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.79 (+0.73%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.467 (-0.50%), EUR/USD +0.0054 (+0.47%), USD/JPY -0.86 (-0.79%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed lower on strength in the currencies of the oil-exporting countries of Canada and Russia after the price of crude oil jumped +3%.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 +0.82%) this morning is up +41 cents (+0.89%) at a 1-1/2 week high. June gasoline (RBM16 -0.13%) is up +0.0002 (+0.01%). Wednesday's closes: CLM6 +1.33 (+2.98%), RBM6 +0.0849 (+5.71%). Jun crude and gasoline on Wednesday posted 1-week highs and closed higher on a weaker dollar, the unexpected -3.41 million bbl decline in EIA crude inventories (vs expectations of +750,000 bbl), and the -0.3%drop in U.S. crude output in the week ended May 6 to a 1-1/2 year low of 8.802 million bpd.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/12/2016
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -4,000 to 270,000, previous +17,000 to 274,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-1,000 to 2.120 million, previous -8,000 to 2.121 million.
0830 ETApr import price index expected +0.6% m/m and -5.4% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and -6.2% y/y.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1100 ETCleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speaks on monetary policy and inflation dynamics at an event in Reichenau Island, Germany.
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 10-year TIPS to be auctioned May 19.
1145 ETBoston Fed President Eric Rosengren delivers luncheon speech to the Great Concord Chamber in Concord, NH.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $15 billion 30-year T-bonds.
1330 ETKansas City Fed President Esther George speaks about the U.S. economy to business and community leaders in Albuquerque, NM.
JPN0030 ETJapan Apr bankruptcies, Mar -13.15% y/y.
0100 ETJapan Apr eco-watchers survey current expected -1.4 to 44.0, Mar 45.4. Apr eco-watchers survey outlook expected -0.5 to 46.2, Mar 46.7.
GER0200 ETGerman Apr wholesale price index, Mar +0.3% m/m and -2.6% y/y.
EUR0500 ETEurozone Mar industrial production expected unch m/m and +0.9% y/y, Feb -0.8% m/m and +0.8% y/y.
UK0700 ETBOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected no change to the 0.50% benchmark rate or to the 375 billion-pound asset purchase target.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/12/2016

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Kohl's CorpKSS USBef-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20170.37
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO US6:00Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.721
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00April 2016 Sales and Revenue Call2016
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00April 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO US8:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US8:00Roadshow - ParisY 2016
Ralph Lauren CorpRL US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.833
Ford Motor CoF US8:30Annual General Meeting
Kohl's CorpKSS US8:30Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
E*TRADE Financial CorpETFC US8:30Annual General MeetingY 2016
Ralph Lauren CorpRL US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
EMC Corp/MAEMC US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Owens-Illinois IncOI US10:00Annual General Meeting
Cimarex Energy CoXEC US10:00Annual General Meeting
Discover Financial ServicesDFS US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Apache CorpAPA US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Exxon Mobil CorpXOM US11:00Executive Compensation Update Call
Torchmark CorpTMK US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Transocean LtdRIG US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Valero Energy CorpVLO US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
CF Industries Holdings IncCF US11:00Annual General Meeting
Union Pacific CorpUNP US13:00Annual General Meeting
Invesco LtdIVZ US13:00Annual General Meeting
Edwards Lifesciences CorpEW US13:00Annual General Meeting
NVIDIA CorpNVDA US16:20Q1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20170.407
Nordstrom IncJWN US16:45Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
Symantec CorpSYMC US17:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
NVIDIA CorpNVDA US17:00Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
Nordstrom IncJWN USAft-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20170.456
Symantec CorpSYMC USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.22
Dow Chemical Co/TheDOW USAnnual General Meeting
Host Hotels & Resorts IncHST USAnnual General Meeting
Norfolk Southern CorpNSC USAnnual General Meeting - Proxy Fight
UDR IncUDR USAnnual General Meeting
AutoNation IncAN USAnnual General MeetingY 2016
Waste Management IncWM USAnnual General Meeting
Western Union Co/TheWU USAnnual General Meeting
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRW USAnnual General Meeting
Sempra EnergySRE USAnnual General Meeting
Assurant IncAIZ USAnnual General Meeting
Zoetis IncZTS USAnnual General MeetingY 2016

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Martin Marietta Materials - Chart of the Day

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The building materials company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 30.30+ and gained 21.39% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day is Martin Marietta Materials (MLM).  I found the building materials stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the most frequent new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals of 80% of more.  Next I used the Flipchart feature to review the charts for consistency.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 2/12 the stock gained 40.15%.

Martin Marietta Materials producer of aggregates for the construction industry, including highways, infrastructure, commercial and residential. The company also manufactures and markets magnesia-based products, including heat-resistant refractory products for the steel industry, chemicals products for industrial, agricultural and environmental uses, and dolomitic lime.



The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 16 new highs and up 13.75% in the last month
  • Relative Strength index 75.07%
  • Technical support level at 180.02
  • Recently traded at 186.05 with a 50 day moving average if 162.97
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $ 11.82 billion
  • P/E 35.74
  • Dividend yield .90%
  • Revenue expected to grow 13.60% this year and another 11.70% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 64.00% this year, an additional 32.80% next year and continue to increase at an annual rate of 18.60% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 5 strong buy, 5 buy and 4 hold recommendations on the stock
The 100 day moving average vs. the price has been a reliable trading strategy for this stock.

SELL SIGNALS - GRPN,MRVL,OCLK,ORBC

I recently deleted Groupon (GPRN), Marvel Tech Group (MRVL), Oclaro (OCLK) and Orbcomm (ORBC) from the Barchart Van Meerten Speculative portfolio for negative price momentum.

Groupon (GRPN)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 56% technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 48.54% off its recent high
  • Recently traded at 3.55 which is below its 50 day moving average of 4.17


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 16% technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 34.69% off its recent high
  • Recently traded at 9.60 which is below its 50 day moving average of 10.12
Oclaro (OCLR)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 32% technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 18.98% off its recent high
  • Recently traded at 4.63 which is below its 50 day moving average of 4.94
Orbcomm (ORBC)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 8% technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 10.72% off its recent high
  • Recently traded at 9.31 which is below its 50 day moving average of 9.62









MORNING CALL 5/11

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.14%) are down -0.22% and European stocks are down -1.28% as a 5% sell-off in Disney in pre-market trading is dragging U.S. stocks lower. Also, Office Depot plunged 34% and Staples sank 15% in pre-market trading after a U.S. federal judge late yesterday blocked the $6.3 billion merger between the companies. Weakness in European bank stocks is pulling the overall European market lower, led by a nearly 3% decline in ABN Amro NV after it reported a -13% drop in Q1 earnings. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.08%, Hong Kong -0.93%, China +0.16%, Taiwan -0.25%, Australia +0.55%, Singapore -0.30%, South Korea -0.25%, India -0.68%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index rose to a 1-week high, but fell back from its best levels after USD/JPY retreated from a 1-1/2 week high.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) is down -0.26%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.24%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.46%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.02%) are up +0.5 of a tick ahead of today's second leg of the Treasury's quarterly refunding; the $23 billion 10-year T-note auction.
According to people familiar with the matter, the ECB could discuss restoring Greek banks' access to its refinancing lines as soon as the June 2 ECB meeting. Greek government bonds could become eligible for inclusion in the ECB's QE program following completion of a bailout review by the ECB board once a staff-level agreement between the government and auditors representing creditor institutions is reached. Greek banks have been on emergency liquidity (ELA) since Feb 2015.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -3.4% with purchase sub-index -0.1% and refi sub-index -5.5%), (2) the Treasury's auction of $23 billion 10-year T-notes, and (3) Apr monthly budget statement (expected +$107.0 billion, Mar -$108.043 billion).
There are 8 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Macy's (consensus $0.36), Aramark (0.39), TopBuild (0.15), Wendy's (0.06), CA (0.57), Middleby (0.84), Quorum Health, TerraForm Power (-0.22).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE), Viamet Pharmaceuticals Holdings (VMET).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference on Tue-Wed, Oppenheimer Industrial Growth Conference on Tue-Wed, Wells Fargo Industrial and Construction Conference on Tue-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Jefferies Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Wed-Thu, Mitsubishi UFJ Oil & Gas Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Refining Corporate Access Day on Thu, RBC Capital Markets Aerospace & Defense Investor Day on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Office Depot (ODP -2.72%) plunged over 30% in pre-market trading after a U.S. federal judge late yesterday blocked the $6.3 billion merger between Office Depot and Staples. Staples (SPLS +0.58%) is down 15% in pre-market trading.
Walt Disney (DIS +1.20%) fell over 5% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.36, below consensus of $1.40.
Alaska Air Group (ALK +0.77%) gained nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it was announced that it will replace SanDisk in the S&P 500 at the close of trading Thursday, May 12.
Electronic Arts (EA +0.03%) jumped nearly 7% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 50 cents, better than consensus of 42 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2017 adjusted net revenue to $4.9 billion, higher than consensus of $4.83 billion.
Fossil Group (FOSL +1.73%) plunged over 30% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 12 cents, below consensus of 15 cents, and then lowered guidance on 2016 GAAP EPS to $1.80-$2.80 from a February 16 estimate of $2.80-$3.60, well below consensus of $3.05.
Nuance Communications (NUAN +3.24%) dropped nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on 2016 adjusted revenue to $1.975 billion-$2.005 billion from a February 9 estimate of $1.98 billion-$2.03 billion.
Blue Buffalo Pet Products (BUFF unch) rallied nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 19 cents, higher than consensus of 18 cents, and then raised guidance on the low end of its 2016 adjusted EPS view to 73 cents-74 cents from a Mar 8 estimate of 72 cents-74 cents.
Intrexon (XON +1.98%) fell nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 loss of -55 cents a share, more than twice expectations for a -24 cent loss per share.
Planet Fitness (PLNT +1.36%) gained 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 pro forma adjusted EPS of 15 cents, better than consensus of 13 cents, and then raised guidance on full-year EPS to 62 cents-65 cents from a prior view of 60 cents-63 cents.
Laredo Petroleum (LPI +2.20%) slipped nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it announced plans for a 9.5 million share secondary offering.
Albemarle (ALB +0.86%) climbed nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 net sales of $865.4 million, higher than consensus of $814.9 million, and then raised guidance on full-year EPS to $3.90-$4.25 from a prior view of $3.45-$3.90, higher than consensus of $3.66.
Rocket Fuel (FUEL +1.13%) surged over 20% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -28 cents, half as much as consensus of a -56 cent loss.
Prospect Capital (PSEC +1.79%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 net investment income of 25 cents, below consensus of 26 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.14%) this morning are down -4.50 points (-0.22%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 +1.25%, Dow Jones +1.26%, Nasdaq +1.40%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday rallied to a 1-1/2 week high and settled higher on positive carryover from an upward rebound in China's Shanghai Composite from a 1-3/4 month low to close little changed, and on the +149,000 increase in U.S. Mar JOLTS job openings to 5.757 million, stronger than expectations of +5,000 to 5.45 million and an 8-month high. Stocks were also boosted by strength in energy producer stocks after the price of crude oil rose +2.81%.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.02%) this morning are up +0.5 of a tick. Tuesday's closes: TYM6 -0.50, FVM6 -0.25. Jun T-notes on Tuesday closed little changed. T-note prices were undercut by supply pressures as the Treasury auctions $62 billion of T-notes and T-bonds in the quarterly refunding this week and by reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in the S&P 500 to a 1-1/2 week high. T-note prices were able to recover nearly all of their losses on strong demand for the Treasury's $24 billion auction of 3-year T-notes that had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.93, the highest since January.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) this morning is down -0.242 (-0.26%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0027 (+0.24%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.50 (-0.46%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.162 (+0.17%), EUR/USD -0.0011 (-0.10%), USD/JPY +0.95 (+0.88%). The dollar index on Tuesday rose to a 1-week high and closed higher on the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Mar JOLTS job openings to an 8-month high. In addition, USD/JPY rallied to a 1-week high after Japanese Finance Minister Aso reiterated that the Japanese government can intervene to stabilize foreign-exchange markets if necessary, which weakened the yen.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 +0.13%) this morning is up +15 cents (+0.34%). June gasoline (RBM16 +0.71%) is up +0.0117 (+0.79%). Tuesday's closes: CLM6 +1.22 (+2.81%), RBM6 +0.0430 (+2.98%). Jun crude and gasoline on Tuesday closed higher on reduced crude output from Nigeria and Libya after Royal Dutch Shell and Chevron said they were evacuating oil workers from the Niger Delta because of deteriorating security and after Libya said some of its oil fields will halt output unless a port blockade is lifted. Crude oil prices were undercut by the rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/11/2016
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -3.4% with purchase sub-index -0.1% and refi sub-index -5.5%.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $23 billion 10-year T-notes.
1400 ETApr monthly budget statement expected +$107.0 billion, Mar -$108.043 billion.
JPN0100 ETJapan Mar leading index CI expected -0.5 to 96.3, Feb 96.8. Mar coincident index expected +0.5 to 111.2, Feb 110.7.
UK0430 ETUK Mar industrial production expected +0.5% m/m and -0.4% y/y, Feb -0.3% m/m and -0.5% y/y.
0430 ETUK Mar manufacturing production expected +0.3% m/m and -1.9% y/y, Feb -1.1% m/m and -1.8% y/y.
1901 ETUK Apr RICS house price balance expected 35%, Mar 42%.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/11/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
LyondellBasell Industries NVLYB US5:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Macy's IncM USBef-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20170.361
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US8:00Roadshow - LondonY 2016
Simon Property Group IncSPG US8:30Annual General MeetingY 2016
Macy's IncM US9:00Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
Laboratory Corp of America HoldingsLH US9:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Dominion Resources Inc/VAD US9:30Annual General MeetingY 2016
Frontier Communications CorpFTR US10:00Annual General Meeting
Ameren CorpAEE US10:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
American International Group IncAIG US11:00Annual General Meeting
Boeing Co/TheBA US12:15Investor ConferenceY 2016
Gilead Sciences IncGILD US13:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
CA IncCA US17:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
CA IncCA USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.573
CSX CorpCSX USAnnual General Meeting
Kohl's CorpKSS USAnnual General MeetingY 2016
Murphy Oil CorpMUR USAnnual General Meeting
NiSource IncNI USAnnual General Meeting
Skyworks Solutions IncSWKS USAnnual General Meeting
Waters CorpWAT USAnnual General Meeting
Alexion Pharmaceuticals IncALXN USAnnual General Meeting
Akamai Technologies IncAKAM USAnnual General Meeting
Chipotle Mexican Grill IncCMG USAnnual General Meeting
Mead Johnson Nutrition CoMJN USAnnual General Meeting
Xylem Inc/NYXYL USAnnual General Meeting

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Hennessy Advisors - Chart of the Day

Hennessy Advisors (HNNA) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The investment management stock has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 85.50+ and gained 74.92% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Hennessy Advisors (HNNA).  I found the investment management stock by using Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the most frequent number of new highs in the last month then again for short term buy signals of 80% or better.  Then I used the Flipchart feature to review the charts for consistency.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 3/18 the stock gained 27.59%.

Hennessy Advisors, Inc. is the investment manager of the Hennessy Funds, a family of six no-load mutual funds, satisfying a variety of investment objectives and risk tolerance levels. Each of the Hennessy Funds employs a unique mutual fund money management approach combining superb, time-tested stock selection formulas with unwavering discipline and consistency. Hennessy Advisors manages the Hennessy Cornerstone Growth Fund (HFCGX), the Hennessy Cornerstone Growth Fund, Series II (HENLX), the Hennessy Cornerstone Value Fund (HFCVX), the Hennessy Total Return Fund (HDOGX), the Hennessy Balanced Fund (HBFBX) and the Hennessy Focus 30 Fund (HFTFX). The company serves clients with integrity, honesty and candor. The Funds' strategies and performance are fully disclosed. Hennessy Advisors' strength lies in their disciplined investment style and commitment to managing their mutual funds for the benefit of their shareholders. (press release)




The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • Short tern technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 15 new highs and up 29.67% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 79.35%
  • Recently traded at 35.00 with a 50 day moving average of 28.07
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $177.42 million
  • P/E 13.63
  • Dividend yield .95%
  • No Wall Street analysts is following this stock

Theravance Bio - sell signals

I recently deleted Theravance Bio (TBPH) from the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio for negative price momentum.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 48% technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 31.26% off its recent high
  • Recently traded at 17.03 which is below its 50 day moving average of 19.70

MORNING CALL 5/10

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.17%) are up +0.51% and European stocks are up +1.49% as strength in crude oil and metals prices lifts energy and commodity producers. A nearly 5% gain in Credit Suisse is leading European bank stocks higher after it reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +2.15%, Hong Kong +0.43%, China +0.02%, Taiwan +0.30%, Australia +0.42%, Singapore -0.90%, South Korea +0.60%, India +0.33%. China's Shanghai Composite shook off early losses and closed higher after Chinese economic data showed Apr consumer prices matched expectations and declines in Apr producer prices moderated. A rally in Japanese exporters lifted the Nikkei Stock Index as USD/JPY climbed to a 1-week high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.12%) is up +0.09% at a 1-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.17% at a 1-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.71% at a 1-week high.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 unch) are down -2 ticks.
San Francisco Fed President Williams said that "very low inflation in most economies is the biggest issue for central banks today." He added that "the U.S. economy is in good shape, in part because the Federal Reserve took such aggressive and, in some cases, extraordinary actions to right the ship."
China Apr CPI rose +2.3% y/y, right on expectations and the fastest pace of increase in 1-3/4 years.
China Apr PPI fell -3.4% y/y, less than expectations of -3.7% y/y and the slowest pace of decline in 16 months.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Mar wholesale inventories (expected +0.1% m/m, Feb -0.5% m/m), (2) Mar JOLTS job openings (expected +5,000 to 5.450 million, Feb -159,000 to 5.445 million), and (3) the Treasury's auction of $24 billion of 3-year T-notes.
There are 4 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: Walt Disney (consensus $1.40), CenterPoint Energy (0.31), Allergan (3.00), Electronic Arts (0.42).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Turning Point Brands (TPB).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Goldman Sachs Global Staples Forum on Tue, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Metals, Mining & Steel Conference on Tue, Credit Suisse REIT Conference on Tue, Wells Fargo Securities Gaming, Leisure & Restaurants Conference on Tue, Sterne Agee CRT Business Services Conference on Tue, The Boston Industrial and Environmental Services Conference on Tue, Citi Global Energy and Utilities Conference on Tue-Wed, Oppenheimer Industrial Growth Conference on Tue-Wed, Wells Fargo Industrial and Construction Conference on Tue-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Jefferies Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Wed-Thu, Mitsubishi UFJ Oil & Gas Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Refining Corporate Access Day on Thu, RBC Capital Markets Aerospace & Defense Investor Day on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Rush Enterprises (RUSHA -1.96%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ -2.67%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -12 cents, weaker than consensus of -1cent.
The Gap (GPS +0.65%) sank 14% in pre-market trading after it reported April comparable store sales unexpectedly fell -7.0%, weaker than consensus of a +1.1% increase.
Consolidated Edison (ED +0.26%) fell 2% in after-hours trading after it announced plans for an 8.8 million share offering.
SolarCity (SCTY +3.07%) sank 18% in pre-market trading after it said Q1 bookings were 150 MW lower than expected and unlikely to be made up for by year end. The company then said it sees 2016 guidance of 1.0-1.1 GW installed, lower than a previous estimate of 1.25 GW.
Inflblox (BLOX -0.51%) dropped 9% in after-hours trading after lowered guidance on fiscal 2016 revenue to $354 million-$358 million from a prior view of $370 million-$380 million, weaker than consensus of $376.8 million.
Stamps.com (STMP +4.71%) surged over 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.72, well above consensus of $1.07, and then raised guidance on full-year adjusted EPS to $6.00-$6.50 from a previous estimate of $5.00-$5.50, higher than consensus of $5.27.
MaxLinear (MXL +0.37%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 47 cents, right on consensus, and said it will acquire Broadcom's wireless infrastructure backhaul business for $80 million.
Fiesta Restaurant Group (FRGI +1.31%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 37 cents, weaker than consensus of 40 cents.
Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC -2.26%) slid over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -1 cent, right on consensus, but said it sees Q2 revenue of $97 million-$103 million, below consensus of $107.3 million.
InvenSense (INVN -4.32%) fell nearly 7% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 total revenue of $58 million-$62 million, well below consensus of $84.8 million.
Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO +2.32%) rose over 4% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance eon its 2016 revenue estimate to $130 million-$145 million from a previous estimate of $110 million-$125 million, above consensus of $121.8 million.
NewLink Genetics (NLNK +6.11%) plunged over 30% in after-hours trading after a Phase 3 study of its algenpantucel-L for patients with resected pancreatic cancer did not achieve the primary endpoint and found no statistical difference in overall survival.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.17%) this morning are up +10.50 points (+0.51%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.08%, Dow Jones -0.20%, Nasdaq +0.26%. The S&P 500 on Monday closed higher on positive carryover from a rally in European stocks after German Mar factory orders rose +1.9% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.6% m/m and the biggest increase in 9 months. Stocks also received a boost from upbeat comments from Chicago Fed President Evans who said that U.S. economic fundamentals are "good." Stocks were underdcut by the -2.79% decline in China's Shanghai Composite after China Apr exports unexpectedly fell -1.8% y/y (vs expectations of unchanged) and by weakness in energy producers and mining stocks after crude oil fell -2.73% and copper prices tumbled -2.21% to a 3-1/2 week low.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 unch) this morning are down -2 ticks. Monday's closes: TYM6 +8.50, FVM6 +5.50. Jun T-notes on Monday closed higher on global economic concerns after China Apr exports unexpectedly declined and on reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate fell to a 2-1/2 week low.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.12%) this morning is up +0.085 (+0.09%) at a 1-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0019 (-0.17%) at a 1-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.77 (+0.71%) at a 1-week high. Monday's closes: Dollar Index +0.240 (+0.26%), EUR/USD -0.0021 (-0.18%), USD/JPY +1.20 (+1.12%). The dollar index on Monday rallied to a 1-week high and closed higher on comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said that while Friday's U.S. employment report was "a touch softer," it remains a "reasonable expectation" that the Fed will raise interest rates twice this year. In addition, USD/JPY rallied to a 1-week high after Japanese Finance Minister Aso said that the recent strength in the yen is "undesirable" and "it's natural that Japan has means to intervene" in the currency market.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 -0.53%) this morning is up +17 cents (+0.39%). June gasoline (RBM16 +0.55%) is up +0.0185 (+1.28%). Monday's closes: CLM6 -1.22 (-2.73%), RBM6 -0.0535 (-3.58%). Jun crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed lower with Jun gasoline at a 2-1/2 week low. Crude oil prices were undercut by the rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high, reduced fire threats to Alberta oil-sands facilities as the wildfire switched directions, and reduced refinery demand for gasoline after the crack spread fell to a 2-1/2 month low.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/10/2016
US1000 ETMar wholesale inventories expected +0.1% m/m, Feb -0.5% m/m. Mar wholesale trade sales expected +0.5% m/m, Feb -0.2% m/m.
1000 ETMar JOLTS job openings expected +5,000 to 5.450 million, Feb -159,000 to 5.445 million.
1200 ETUSDA May WASDE crop production.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $24 billion 3-year T-notes.
GER0200 ETGerman Mar industrial production expected -0.2% m/m and +1.1% y/y, Feb -0.5% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
0200 ETGerman Mar trade balance expected +20.6 billion euros, Feb +20.2 billion euros. Mar exports expected unch m/m, Feb +1.3% m/m. Mar imports expected -0.3% m/m, Feb +0.5% m/m.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/10/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Pentair PLCPNR US3:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.312
Allergan plcAGN USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20163.005
Walt Disney Co/TheDIS USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.399
Electronic Arts IncEA USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.422
Danaher CorpDHR USAnnual General Meeting
Loews CorpL USAnnual General Meeting
ConocoPhillipsCOP USAnnual General Meeting
Prudential Financial IncPRU USAnnual General Meeting
Wyndham Worldwide CorpWYN USAnnual General Meeting
Scripps Networks Interactive IncSNI USAnnual General Meeting
Columbia Pipeline Group IncCPGX USAnnual General Meeting