Sep E-mini S&Ps (
ESU15 -0.06%) this morning are little changed while the EuroStoxx 50 index is up +0.47%. European stocks are higher on the rise in Eurozone economic confidence to a new 4-year high and positive earnings news. European stocks are broadly higher today with 16 of the 19 EuroStoxx 600 sectors showing gains, led by technology and oil and gas. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index today fell by
-2.20%, giving back some of Wednesday's +3.44% upward rebound. Facebook is down
-2.3% this morning after its Q2 earnings report late yesterday.
The markets this morning are mainly looking ahead to today's U.S. Q2 GDP report, which is expected to improve to +2.5% after the dismal
-0.2% performance in Q1.
Asian stocks today closed mixed: Japan +1.08%, Hong Kong
-0.49%, China
-2.20%, Taiwan +1.03%, Australia +0.81%, Singapore
-1.05%, South Korea
-0.96%, India +0.51%, Turkey +0.18%.
The dollar index (
DXY00 +0.36%) this morning is up +0.341 (+0.35%) while EUR/USD (
^EURUSD) is down
-0.0022 (
-0.20%) and USD/JPY (
^USDJPY) is +0.40% (+0.32%). The dollar index is seeing some continued strength today on expectations for a decent U.S. GDP report and yesterday's slightly more hawkish FOMC post-meeting statement. Sep 10-year T-note prices (
ZNU15 -0.18%) are down
-8 ticks on reduced safe-haven demand and caution ahead of this today's U.S. GDP report.
Commodity prices are up +0.30% this morning. Sep crude oil (
CLU15 +0.51%) this morning is up +0.45 (+0.92%) and Sep gasoline (
RBU15 +1.59%) is up +0.0357 (+2.03%) on carry-over support from yesterday's EIA report that featured a
-4.2 million bbl drop in U.S. crude oil inventories and a
-1.5% drop in U.S. oil production.
Metals prices are lower this morning with Aug gold (
GCQ15 -0.71%) down
-6.6 (
-0.60%), Sep silver (
SIU15 -0.87%) down
-0.108 (
-0.73%), and Sep copper (
HGU15 -1.64%) down
-0.018 (
-0.73%). Grains and softs are mostly higher.
The European Commission's July index of executive and consumer sentiment rose by +0.5 points to a new 4-year high from 103.5 in June, stronger than market expectations for a
-0.3 point decline to 103.2. The July industrial confidence index rose to
-2.9 from
-3.4 in June. July service sector confidence rose to 8.9 from 7.9. European confidence in July received a boost from Greece's preliminary agreement to reform conditions that should lead to a 3-year bailout agreement and avoid the chance of Greece leaving the Eurozone.
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected +15,000 to 270,000 after last week's
-26,000 to 255,000) and continuing claims (expected
-2,000 to 2.205 million after last week's
-9,000 to 2.207 million), (2) Q2 GDP (expected +2.5% q/q annualized after Q1's
-0.2%), and (3) the Treasury's auction of $29 billion of 7-year T-notes.
There are 54 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Procter & Gamble (consensus $0.95), ADP (9.59), Coca-Cola Enterprises (0.76), Valero (2.42), CME Group (0.92), Time Warner Cable (1.80), Marathon Petroleum (1.75), Amgen (2.43), Electronic Arts (0.03), Fluor (1.06), Expedia (0.86).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today include: TerraForm Global (GLBL), NEP Group (NEPG), Aqua Metals (AQMS), EyeGate Pharmaceuticals (EYEG), Riverbanc Multifamily Investor (RMI).
Equity conferences this week: none.
Sep E-mini S&Ps this morning are little changed with support from a +0.47% rally in European stocks but downward pressure from today's
-2.20% sell-off in the China Shanghai index. Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.73%%, Dow Jones +0.69%, Nasdaq +0.44%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday extended Tuesday’s upward rebound on the +3.4% rally in the Chinese Shanghai stock index and relief that the FOMC in its post-meeting statement left its interest rate guidance virtually unchanged and did not adopt language to indicate that a rate hike is likely at the next meeting in September. Stock prices were undercut, however, by the weak June U.S. pending home sales report of
-1.8% m/m versus expectations of +0.9%.
- Positive SPX earnings reports this morning include: ConocoPhillips (COP +1.26%) ($0.07 vs consensus of $0.04), Air Products (APD +0.99%) (1.65 vs 1.58), Cigna (CI -0.32%) (2.55 vs 2.25), Helmerich & Payne (HP +3.51%) (0.27 vs 0.12), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK +1.88%) (1.49 vs 1.44), Allegion (ALLE +2.18%) (0.71 vs 0.706), Alexion Pharma (ALXN -2.35%) (1.44 vs 1.39), Starwood Hotels (HOT +2.42%) (0.84 vs 0.74), Pitney Bowes (PBI +0.87%) (0.45 vs 0.44), Procter & Gamble (PG +0.49%) (1.00 vs 0.95), Cardinal Health (CAH +0.80%) (1.00 vs 0.99), DENTSPLY (XRAY +2.21%) (0.73 vs 0.68), Sealed Air (AEE +0.79%) (0.60 vs 0.53), CME Group (CME +0.88%) (0.97 vs 0.92), Delphi Automotive (DLPH +1.36%) (1.34 vs 1.339), Valero (VLO +1.49%) (2.66 vs 2.42), Coca-Cola (CCE +1.90%) (0.79 vs 0.76), SCANA (SCG +1.03%) (0.69 vs 0.67), Invesco (IVZ +1.18%) (0.62 vs 0.618).
- Negative SPX earnings reports this morning include: TECO Energy (TE +0.51%) (0.26 vs 0.267), Ball Corp (BLL +1.61%) (0.89 vs 0.94), Time Warner (TWC +0.12%) (1.54 vs 1.80), Xcel Energy (XEL +0.42%) (0.39 vs 0.396), L-3 Communications (LLL +2.02%) (1.41 vs 1.71), Colgate-Palmolive (CL +0.79%) (0.70 vs 0.704), Occidental Petroleum (OXY +1.78%) (0.21 vs 0.225), Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL -0.04%) (1.01 vs 1.103), Marathon Petroleum (MPC +2.38%) (1.51 vs 1.75), Zimmer Biomet Holdings (ZBH +0.47%) (1.12 vs 1.57).
- On positive earnings news late yesterday, Skechers (SKX +3.12%) rallied 10%, Teradyne (TER +0.27%) rallied 6%, and Lam Research (LRCX -0.10%) rallied +1.5%.
- On negative earnings news late yesterday, Facebook (FB +1.78%) fell -3%, Whole Foods (WFM -0.29%) fell 11%, Lifelock (LOCK +11.15%) fell 7%, La Quinta (LQ +2.45%) fell 3%, and Whiting Petroleum (WLL +7.02%) fell 5%.
Sep 10-year T-note prices are down
-8 ticks on reduced safe-haven demand and caution ahead of this today's U.S. GDP report. Wednesday's closes: TYU5
-6, FVU5
-2.75. Sep 10-year T-notes on Wednesday closed mildly lower on reduced safe-haven demand as Chinese and U.S. stocks rallied and on supply overhang as the Treasury sells $105 billion of T-notes this week. T-notes found support, however, on the weak pending home sales report and relief the FOMC did not move to a more hawkish post-meeting statement.
The dollar index this morning is up +0.341 (+0.35%) while EUR/USD is down
-0.0022 (
-0.20%) and USD/JPY is +0.40% (+0.32%). The dollar index is seeing some continued strength today on expectations for a decent U.S. GDP report and yesterday's slightly more hawkish FOMC post-meeting statement. Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.20 (+0.21%), EUR/USD
-0.0076 (
-0.69%), USD/JPY +0.38 (+0.31%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed mildly higher on technical buying and the rally in Chinese and U.S. stocks. However, the dollar was undercut by the weak U.S. pending home sales report and the dovish FOMC post-meeting statement, which suggested that the Fed is in no hurry to raise interest rates.
Sep crude oil this morning is up +0.45 (+0.92%) and Sep gasoline is up +0.0357 (+2.03%) on carry-over support from yesterday's EIA report that featured a
-4.2 million bbl drop in U.S. crude oil inventories and a
-1.5% drop in U.S. oil production. Wednesday's closes: CLU5 +0.81 (+1.69%), RBU5 +0.0066 (+0.38%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday closed higher on the rally in Chinese stocks and EIA's report of a
-4.2 million bbl decline in U.S. crude oil inventories versus expectations for a +850,000 bbl build. Crude oil prices were also boosted by the EIA report's
-1.5% drop in U.S. oil production in the week ended July 24 to 9.413 million bpd, which is down by
-2.0% the 43-year high of 9.610 million bpd posted in the first week of June.
US | 0830 ET | Weekly initial unemployment claims expected +15,000 to 270,000, previous -26,000 to 255,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -2,000 to 2.205 million, previous -9,000 to 2.207 million. |
| 0830 ET | Q2 GDP expected +2.5% (q/q annualized), Q1 -0.2%. Q2 personal consumption expected +2.7%, Q1 +2.1%. Q2 GDP price index expected +1.5%, Q1 unch. Q2 core PCE deflator expected +1.6% q/q, Q1 +0.8% q/q. |
| 0830 ET | USDA weekly Export Sales. |
| 1300 ET | Treasury auctions $29 billion of 7-year T-notes. |
JPN | 0030 ET | Japan Jun vehicle production, May -16.6% y/y. |
| 1930 ET | Japan Jun jobless rate expected unch at 3.3%. Jun job-to-applicant ratio expected +0.01 to 1.20, May 1.19. |
| 1930 ET | Japan Jun overall household spending expected +1.9% y/y, May +4.8% y/y. |
| 1930 ET | Japan Jun national CPI expected +0.3% y/y, May +0.5% y/y. Jun national CPI ex-fresh food expected unch y/y, May +0.1% y/y. Jun national CPI ex food & energy expected +0.4% y/y, May +0.4% y/y. |
| 1930 ET | Japan Jul Tokyo CPI expected +0.2% y/y, Jun +0.3% y/y. Jul Tokyo CPI ex-fresh food expected unch y/y, Jun +0.1% y/y. Jul Tokyo CPI ex food & energy expected +0.2% y/y, Jun +0.2% y/y. |
GER | 0355 ET | German Jul unemployment change expected -5,000, Jun -1,000. Jul unemployment rate expected unch at 6.4%. |
| 0800 ET | German Jul CPI (EU harmonized) expected +0.3% m/m and +0.1% y/y, Jun -0.2% m/m and +0.1% y/y. |
EUR | 0500 ET | Eurozone Jul economic confidence expected -0.3 to 103.2, Jun 103.5. Jul business climate indicator expected +0.06 to 0.20, Jun 0.14. |
| 0500 ET | Revised Eurozone Jul consumer confidence, previous-1.5 to -7.1. |
UK | 1905 ET | UK Jul GfK consumer confidence expected -2 to 5, Jun 7. |
Company | Ticker | Time | Event Description | Period | Estimate |
Air Products & Chemicals Inc | APD US | Bef-mkt | Q3 2015 Earnings Release | Q3 2015 | 1.581 |
Automatic Data Processing Inc | ADP US | Bef-mkt | Q4 2015 Earnings Release | Q4 2015 | 0.593 |
Ball Corp | BLL US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.94 |
Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc | CCE US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.756 |
Colgate-Palmolive Co | CL US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.704 |
Helmerich & Payne Inc | HP US | Bef-mkt | Q3 2015 Earnings Release | Q3 2015 | 0.121 |
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc | HOT US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.74 |
Host Hotels & Resorts Inc | HST US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.456 |
Occidental Petroleum Corp | OXY US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.225 |
ConocoPhillips | COP US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.037 |
Pinnacle West Capital Corp | PNW US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.225 |
Pitney Bowes Inc | PBI US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.442 |
Procter & Gamble Co/The | PG US | Bef-mkt | Q4 2015 Earnings Release | Q4 2015 | 0.946 |
SCANA Corp | SCG US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.67 |
Stanley Black & Decker Inc | SWK US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.443 |
TECO Energy Inc | TE US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.267 |
Cardinal Health Inc | CAH US | Bef-mkt | Q4 2015 Earnings Release | Q4 2015 | 0.986 |
Ensco PLC | ESV US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.026 |
BorgWarner Inc | BWA US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.829 |
Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc | ALXN US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.392 |
Iron Mountain Inc | IRM US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.538 |
Valero Energy Corp | VLO US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 2.42 |
L-3 Communications Holdings Inc | LLL US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.711 |
CME Group Inc/IL | CME US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.924 |
Time Warner Cable Inc | TWC US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.796 |
Xcel Energy Inc | XEL US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.396 |
Marathon Petroleum Corp | MPC US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.746 |
Delphi Automotive PLC | DLPH US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.339 |
Allegion PLC | ALLE US | Bef-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.703 |
WestRock Co | WRK US | Bef-mkt | Q3 2015 Earnings Release | Q3 2015 | 1.017 |
Cigna Corp | CI US | 6:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 2.308 |
DENTSPLY International Inc | XRAY US | 7:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.683 |
Sealed Air Corp | SEE US | 7:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.53 |
Xylem Inc/NY | XYL US | 7:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.433 |
Invesco Ltd | IVZ US | 7:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.618 |
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc | ZBH US | 7:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.566 |
Owens-Illinois Inc | OI US | 8:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Pitney Bowes Inc | PBI US | 8:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Stanley Black & Decker Inc | SWK US | 8:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
MetLife Inc | MET US | 8:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Mondelez International Inc | MDLZ US | 8:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.394 |
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc | ZBH US | 8:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Michael Kors Holdings Ltd | KORS US | 8:00 | Annual General Meeting | Y 2015 | |
Automatic Data Processing Inc | ADP US | 8:30 | Q4 2015 Earnings Call | Q4 2015 | |
Cigna Corp | CI US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Procter & Gamble Co/The | PG US | 8:30 | Q4 2015 Earnings Call | Q4 2015 | |
Cardinal Health Inc | CAH US | 8:30 | Q4 2015 Earnings Call | Q4 2015 | |
DENTSPLY International Inc | XRAY US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Iron Mountain Inc | IRM US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
CME Group Inc/IL | CME US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Time Warner Cable Inc | TWC US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Delphi Automotive PLC | DLPH US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Allegion PLC | ALLE US | 8:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Baxalta Inc | BXLT US | 8:30 | Business Update Call | | |
Host Hotels & Resorts Inc | HST US | 9:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
TECO Energy Inc | TE US | 9:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Unum Group | UNM US | 9:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Invesco Ltd | IVZ US | 9:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Xylem Inc/NY | XYL US | 9:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
WestRock Co | WRK US | 9:00 | Q3 2015 Earnings Call | Q3 2015 | |
Williams Cos Inc/The | WMB US | 9:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
BorgWarner Inc | BWA US | 9:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Air Products & Chemicals Inc | APD US | 10:00 | Q3 2015 Earnings Call | Q3 2015 | |
Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc | CCE US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Lincoln National Corp | LNC US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Occidental Petroleum Corp | OXY US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc | ALXN US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Boston Properties Inc | BXP US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Marriott International Inc/MD | MAR US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Sealed Air Corp | SEE US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Mondelez International Inc | MDLZ US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Xcel Energy Inc | XEL US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Marathon Petroleum Corp | MPC US | 10:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Ball Corp | BLL US | 11:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Colgate-Palmolive Co | CL US | 11:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Helmerich & Payne Inc | HP US | 11:00 | Q3 2015 Earnings Call | Q3 2015 | |
Ensco PLC | ESV US | 11:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
O'Reilly Automotive Inc | ORLY US | 11:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Valero Energy Corp | VLO US | 11:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
L-3 Communications Holdings Inc | LLL US | 11:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
ConocoPhillips | COP US | 12:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Pinnacle West Capital Corp | PNW US | 12:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc | HOT US | 13:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Murphy Oil Corp | MUR US | 13:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Public Storage | PSA US | 14:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Realty Income Corp | O US | 14:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
SCANA Corp | SCG US | 15:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Western Union Co/The | WU US | 16:01 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.393 |
Broadcom Corp | BRCM US | 16:05 | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.752 |
KLA-Tencor Corp | KLAC US | 16:15 | Q4 2015 Earnings Release | Q4 2015 | 0.915 |
Edison International | EIX US | 16:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Western Union Co/The | WU US | 16:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Expedia Inc | EXPE US | 16:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Hanesbrands Inc | HBI US | 16:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
PerkinElmer Inc | PKI US | 17:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Amgen Inc | AMGN US | 17:00 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
KLA-Tencor Corp | KLAC US | 17:00 | Q4 2015 Earnings Call | Q4 2015 | |
Electronic Arts Inc | EA US | 17:00 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
PerkinElmer Inc | PKI US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.59 |
Leggett & Platt Inc | LEG US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.538 |
Eversource Energy | ES US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.562 |
Edison International | EIX US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.826 |
Universal Health Services Inc | UHS US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.646 |
Amgen Inc | AMGN US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 2.427 |
Flowserve Corp | FLS US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.794 |
Electronic Arts Inc | EA US | Aft-mkt | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 0.027 |
Essex Property Trust Inc | ESS US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 2.34 |
Apartment Investment & Management Co | AIV US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.537 |
FirstEnergy Corp | FE US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.47 |
Fluor Corp | FLR US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 1.055 |
Expedia Inc | EXPE US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.863 |
Hanesbrands Inc | HBI US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2015 Earnings Release | Q2 2015 | 0.499 |
Fluor Corp | FLR US | 17:30 | Q2 2015 Earnings Call | Q2 2015 | |
Michael Kors Holdings Ltd | KORS US | | Annual General Meeting |