Friday, October 16, 2015

Amazon.Com - Chart of the Day

Amazon.Com (AMZN) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The Internet commerce company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 98.6+ and gained 88.46% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Amazon.Com (AMZN).  I found the Internet commerce stock by using Barchart to sort the Russell 3000 Index stocks first for a Weighted Alpha of 50.00 or higher then again for technical buy signals of 80% or better.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 10/5 the stock gained 4.98%.

Amazon.com, Inc. seeks to be the world's most customer-centric company, where customers can find and discover anything they may want to buy online. The company lists unique items in categories such as books, music, DVDs, videos, consumer electronics, toys, camera and photo items, software, computer and video games, tools and hardware, lawn and patio items, kitchen products, and wireless products.



The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below.  Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates.  The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 98.64+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 6 new highs and up 8.22% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 66.03%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 541.48
  • Recently traded at 570.76 with a 50 day moving average of 524.42
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $266.96 billion
  • Revenue expected to increase 19.10% this year and another 19.50% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 409.60% this year, an additional 201.90% next year, and continue to increase annually at a rate of 35.50% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 14 strong buy, 23 buy and 6 hold recommendations
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been a reliable technical trading strategy for this stock.

Buy Signals RAI SNX GPN SIGI CENTA

This week I added the following stocks to the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio for superior upward momentum:  Reynolds America (RAI), Synnex (SNX), Global Payments (GPN), Selective Insurance (SIGI) and Central Garden and Pet (CENTA).

Reynolds America (RAI)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 64.00+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 12 new highs and up 11.64% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 71.87%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 46.07
  • Recently traded at 47.47 with a 50 day moving average of 43.18
Synnex (SNX)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 48.80+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 8 new highs and up 6.52% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 67.83%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 89.68
  • Recently traded at 92.25 with a 50 day moving average of 82.88



Barchart technical indicators:
  • 80% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 80.50+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 9 new highs and up 13.82% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 64.94%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 125.28
  • Recently traded at 130.37 with a 50 day moving average of 116.45


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 48.86+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11 new highs and up 9.71% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.32%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 33.57
  • Recently traded at 34.82 with a 50 day moving average of 31.57


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Bar chart technical buy signals
  • 159.56+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 7 new highs and up 16.78%
  • Relative Strength Index 71.34%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 17.10
  • Recently traded at 18.52 with a 50 day moving average of 14.71








 


BARCHART MORNING CALL 10/16

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 -0.19%) are down -0.19% as they fall back from a 1-3/4 month high posted in overnight trade. U.S. stock index futures retreated and the dollar and Treasuries rose after Turkey said it shot down an unidentified aircraft flying within its airspace on the Syrian border. European stocks are up +0.75% at a 5-week high on speculation that recent weaker-than-expected economic data will prompt global central banks to maintain or even expand stimulus measures. The markets will scrutinize today's U.S. Sep industrial production and Oct University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for clues as to the timing of any Fed interest rate increase. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1.08%, Hong Kong +0.78%, China +1.60%, Taiwan +0.04%, Australia +0.73%, Singapore +0.51%, South Korea -0.21%, India +0.76%. China's Shanghai Composite climbed to a 1-3/4 month high on speculation the government will introduce additional measures to spur economic growth.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.29%) is up +0.31%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.31%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.10%.
Dec T-note prices (ZNZ15 +0.10%) are up +3 ticks.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Sep industrial production (expected -0.3%, Aug -0.4%), (2) Aug JOLTS job openings (expected -173,000 to 5.580 million, Jul +430,000 to 5.753 million), and (3) preliminary-Oct U.S. consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan (expected +1.8 to 89.0, Sep -4.7 to 87.2).
There are 8 of the S&P 500 companies report earnings today: GE (consensus $0.26), Honeywell (1.54), Comerica (0.70), Kansas City Southern (1.22), Progressive (0.48), SunTrust Banks (0.84), WW Grainger (3.06), M&T Bank (2.01).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences today include: none.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
General Electric (GE +1.56%) fell over 1% in pre-market trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 28 cents, better than consensus of 26 cents, but sales of $27.9 billion were below consensus of $28.6 billion.
Allstate (ALL +2.89%) was downgraded to 'Underperform' from 'Market Perform' at William Blair.
Luluemon (LULU +1.90%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Neutral' at Credit Suisse.
Honeywell International (HON +0.24%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.60, above consensus of $1.54.
Comerica (CMA +2.79%) reported Q3 EPS of 73 cents, higher than consensus of 70 cents.
Occidental Petroleum (OXY +1.11%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after Reuters reported that Occidental will sell its Bakken shale assets in North Dakota to Lime Rock for $500 million.
Mattel (MAT +0.04%) declined over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 71 cents, less than consensus of 79 cents.
Wynn Resorts (WYNN +1.92%) dropped over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 86 cents, better than consensus of 84 cents, but reported Q3 revenue of $996.3 million, below consensus of $1.03 billion. Other gaming stocks followed Wynn lower in after-hours trading with Las Vegas Sands (LVS +2.87%) and MGM Resorts international (MGM +1.93%) down over 3%.
Spirit Airlines (SAVE -0.20%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it projected capacity growth in 2016 t0ward the low end of a previous 20%-25%estimated range.
Yum! Brands (YUM +1.01%) rose over 3% in after-hours trading after it named Corvex Management founder Keith Meister, who has advocated selling off Yum's China business, to its board.
Schlumberger (SLB +1.53%) reported Q3 profit continuing operations of 78 cents, better than consensus of 77 cents, but said Q3 revenue was $8.47 billion, below consensus of $8.55 billion.
United Parcel Service (UPS +0.91%) said it will raise ground transportation rates by a net 4.9% effective Dec 28.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 -0.19%) this morning are down -3.75 points (-0.19%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +1.49%, Dow Jones +1.28%, Nasdaq +1.64%. The S&P 500 on Thursday rallied to a 1-3/4 month high and closed sharply higher on carryover support from a +2.32% rally in China's Shanghai Composite and on the unexpected -7,000 decline in U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims to 255,000, better than expectations of +7,000 to 270,000 and matched the Jul 17 week low as the fewest claims since Nov 1973. Bank stocks were led higher by a +4.4% increase in Citigroup after it reported better-than-expected Q3 profits.
Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ15 +0.10%) this morning are up +3 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYZ5 -13.50, FVZ5 -9.50. Dec T-notes on Thursday closed lower on the unexpected decline in U.S. weekly jobless claims to a 42-year low, the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Sep CPI ex food & energy to +1.9% y/y, and reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in the S&P 500 to a 1-3/4 month high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.29%) this morning is up +0.296 (+0.31%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0035 (-0.31%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.12 (+0.10%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index +0.440 (+0.47%), EUR/USD -0.0088 (-0.77%), USD/JPY +0.07 (+0.06%). The dollar index on Thursday rebounded from a 1-1/2 month low and closed higher on the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. core CPI, which may prompt the Fed to raise interest rates this year. In addition, there was weakness in EUR/USD, which retreated from a 1-1/2 month high and closed lower, after ECB Governing Council member Nowotny fueled speculation that the ECB may need to expand QE measures when he said both headline and core inflation in the Eurozone are "clearly missing our target."
Nov crude oil (CLX15 +0.75%) this morning is up +55 cents (+1.19%) and Nov gasoline (RBX15 +1.09%) is up +0.0170 (+1.30%). Thursday's closes: CLX5-0.26 (-0.56%), RBX5 +0.0123 (+0.94%). Nov crude oil and gasoline on Thursday settled mixed. Crude oil prices closed lower on the +7.56 million bbl surge in weekly EIA crude inventories and the +1.125 million bbl increase in crude supplies at Cushing, OK, delivery point of WTI futures. Crude oil and gasoline prices received some underlying support from the -0.8% decline in U.S. crude production to match a 10-month low of 9.096 million bpd and the -2.62 million bbl decline in weekly EIA gasoline supplies (vs expectations of -1.25 million bbl).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR10/16/2015
US0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
0915 ETSep industrial production expected -0.3%, Aug -0.4%. Sep capacity utilization expected -0.3 to 77.3%, Aug -0.4 to 77.6%.
1000 ETAug JOLTS job openings expected -173,000 to 5.580 million, Jul +430,000 to 5.753 million.
1000 ETPreliminary U.S. Oct University of Michigan consumer sentiment expected +1.8 to 89.0, Sep -4.7 to 87.2.
EUR0200 ETEurozone Sep new car registrations, Aug +11.2% y/y.
0500 ETRevised Eurozone Sep CPI, previous -0.1% y/y. Revised Sep core CPI, previous +0.9% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR10/16/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Honeywell International IncHON USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.544
Comerica IncCMA USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.697
Kansas City SouthernKSU USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.224
Progressive Corp/ThePGR USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.479
SunTrust Banks IncSTI USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.836
General Electric CoGE US6:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.262
WW Grainger IncGWW US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20153.057
WW Grainger IncGWW US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Comerica IncCMA US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
General Electric CoGE US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Kansas City SouthernKSU US8:45Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Schlumberger LtdSLB US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
SunTrust Banks IncSTI US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Honeywell International IncHON US9:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Walt Disney Co/TheDIS USU.S. Box Office Release of Movie Bridge of Spies""
Progressive Corp/ThePGR USQ3 2015 Earnings Release - September SalesQ3 20150.479
Netflix IncNFLX USFirst Original Movie Beasts of No Nation" Becomes Available in Select Theatres"

Thursday, October 15, 2015

SkyWest - Chart of the Day

SkyWest (SKYW) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The air transportation company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 110.40+ and gained 138.22% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to SkyWest (SKYW).  I found the air transportation stock by using Barchart to sort the Russell 3000 Index stocks first for a Weighted Alpha above 50.00+ and then again for technical buy signals of 80% or better.

SkyWest, Inc., through its wholly-owned subsidiary, SkyWest Airlines, Inc. , operates one of the larger regional airlines in the United States. SkyWest provides passenger and air freight service and completes over 880 daily flights. Pursuant to a joint marketing and code sharing agreement with Delta Airlines, Inc., SkyWest operates as a Delta Connection in certain SkyWest markets. SkyWest entered into a marketing and code sharing agreement with Continental Airlines, Inc. Which allows SkyWest to operate as a Continental Connection in certain markets in and out of Los Angeles.




The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below.  Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates.  The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 110.40+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 5 new highs and up 10.69% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 63.76%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 17.43
  • Recently traded at 19.09 with a 50 day moving average of 16.97
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $986.57 million
  • P/E 11.19
  • Dividend yield .89%
  • Revenue expected to decrease 5.80% this year and another 3.40% next year
  • Earninings estimated to increase at an annual rate of 81.80% this year, an additional 5.00% next year but decrease an an annual rate of 18.70% for the next 5 years
  • In spite of these weak projections Wall Street anlaysts have 4 strong buy and 1 hold recommendation in place
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been the best technical trading strategy for this stock

BARCHART MORNING CALL 10/15

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.71%) are up +0.69% and European stocks are up +1.53% as global stocks and emerging-market currencies rallied on speculation that a Fed interest rate increase has been pushed back into next year. European stocks rose further and EUR/USD fell back from a 1-1/2 month high on signs that the ECB is concerned about deflation and may expand QE after ECB Governing Council member Nowotny said both headline and core inflation in the Eurozone are "clearly missing our target," which contrasts from comments he made three weeks ago when he said there was "equilibrium" in prices. Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +1.15%, Hong Kong +2.00%, China +2.32%, Taiwan +0.93%, Australia +0.63%, Singapore +1.05%, South Korea +1.20%, India +0.86%. China's Shanghai Composite rallied up to a 1-1/2 month high after the Chinese government unveiled a $36 billion plan to reorganize China's telecom industry, which bolstered speculation the government will accelerate reforms of state-owned companies to revive economic growth.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.17%) is up +0.17% as it rebounds from an overnight 1-1/2 month low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.31% and retreated from a 1-1/2 month high after comments from ECB Governing Council member Nowotny fueled speculation the ECB may expand QE. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.45% to a 1-1/2 month low.
Dec T-note prices (ZNZ15 -0.10%) are down -3.5 ticks.
ECB Governing Council member Nowotny hinted that the ECB may need to expand QE measures when he said both headline and core inflation in the Eurozone are "clearly missing our target" and that "additional" steps may be necessary to achieve growth.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected +7,000 to 270,000, previous -13,000 to 263,000) and continuing claims (expected -4,000 to 2.200 million, previous +9,000 to 2.204 million), (2) Sep CPI (expected -0.2% m/m and -0.1% y/y, Aug -0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y) and Sep CPI ex food & energy (expected +0.1% m/m and +1.8% y/y, Aug +0.1% m/m and +1.8% y/y), (3) Oct Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions (expected +6.67 to -8.00, Sep +0.25 to -14.67), (4) Oct Philadelphia Fed outlook survey diffusion index (expected +4.0 to -2.0, Sep -14.3 to -6.0), (5) New York Fed President William Dudley's speech at the Brookings Institute in Washington, D.C. about how the Fed should decide the appropriate level of interest rates, (6) St. Louis Fed President James Bullard's opening remarks at the St. Louis Fed’s annual fall policy conference, (7) Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester's speech at the NYU Stern Center for Global Business and Economy,
There are 13 of the S&P 500 companies report earnings today with notable reports including Goldman Sachs (consensus $3.00), Citigroup ($1.27), UnitedHealth Group (1.64), Mattel (0.80), Schlumberger (0.77), Wynn Resorts (0.85).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Adesto Technologies (IOTS), Fuling Global (FORK), American Farmland Co (AFCO).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Energy Storage North America Conference on Thu, and Moody's UK Water Sector Conference on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
UnitedHealth Group (UNH -1.55%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.65, better consensus of $1.64.
PPG Industries (PPG +0.14%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.61, higher than consensus of $1.57.
Philip Morris International (PM +0.08%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.24 above consensus of $1.12.
Goldman Sachs (GS -0.81%) reported Q3 qdjusted EPS of $2.64, well below consensus of $3.00.
Garmin Ltd. (GRMN +0.38%) fell over 10% in pre-market trading after it reported preliminary adjusted Q3 EPS of 51 cents, weaker than consensus of 64 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $2.25 from a July estimate of $2.65, well below consensus of $2.62.
Manitowoc (MTW -2.91%) plunged 12% in after-hours trading after it forecast Q3 preliminary sales of $863 million, weaker than consensus of $942 million.
Dexcom (DXCM -6.35%) jumped nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it reported preliminary Q3 revenue of $105 million, higher than consensus of $97.9 million
Xilinx (XLNX +2.02%) rose nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 48 cents, better than consensus of 46 cents.
HCA Holdings (HCA +0.21%) tumbled over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of $1.17, below consensus of $1.22. Community Health Systems (CYH -0.90%) also fell over 6% and Tenet Healthcare (THC -2.48%) slipped 9% in after-hours trading on the weaker-than-expected earnings from HCA Holdings.
Netflix (NFLX +0.46%) fell over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 7 cents, less than consensus of 8 cents.
MBIA Inc. (MBI +1.72%) jumped over 9% and Assured Guaranty (AGO +1.41%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after the WSJ reported that Puerto Rico and U.S. officials are discussing issuance of a "superbond" to help restructure Puerto Rico's debt.
Imprivata (IMPR -3.30%) slumped over 30% in after-hours trading after it reported a preliminary Q3 adjusted EPS loss of -22 cents to -23 cents, a bigger loss than consensus of -20 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.71%) this morning are up +13.75 points (+0.69%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.47%, Dow Jones -0.92%, Nasdaq-0.14%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed lower on carryover weakness from a slide in global stocks on Chinese economic concerns after China Sep PPI fell -5.9% y/y, the steepest decline in 6 years. There were also concerns about the pace of U.S. growth after the U.S. Sep retail sales report of +0.1% and-0.3% ex autos was weaker than expectations of +0.2% and -0.1% ex autos. Also, WalMart fell by -10% to a 3-1/3 year low after the world's largest retailer forecast earnings will drop by 6-12% in fiscal 2017, weaker than analysts' projections for a +4% increase.
Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ15 -0.10%) this morning are down -3.5 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYZ5 +22.00, FVZ5 +13.25. Dec T-notes on Wednesday rose to a 1-1/2 week high and settled higher on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Sep retail sales and Sep PPI reports, which reduce the chance of a Fed interest rate increase this year. T-notes also received a boost from the slide in global stocks, which boosts the safe-haven demand for Treasuries.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.17%) this morning is up +0.161 (+0.17%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0036 (-0.31%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.54 (-0.45%) at a 1-1/2 month low. Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.828 (-0.87%), EUR/USD +0.0095 (+0.83%), USD/JPY -0.92 (-0.77%). The dollar index on Wednesday tumbled to a 1-1/2 month low and closed lower on increased chances for a further Fed rate hike delay after the weaker-than-expected U.S. Sep PPI and Sep retail sales reports. In addition, the China Sep PPI fell by the most in 6 years, which suggests weak Chinese product demand.
Nov crude oil (CLX15 -1.14%) this morning is down -54 cents (-1.16%) at a 1-week low and Nov gasoline (RBX15 +1.01%) is up +0.0144 (+1.10%). Wednesday's closes: CLX5 -0.02 (-0.04%), RBX5 +0.0068 (+0.52%). Nov crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday settled mixed with Nov crude falling to a 1-week low and Nov gasoline posting a 9-month low. Crude oil prices were undercut by the weak U.S. retail sales report and Chinese PPI report and by expectations that Thursday's weekly EIA inventory data will show that U.S. crude inventories rose +2.6 million bbl and Cushing stockpiles rose +900,000 bbl. Crude oil prices found some underlying support from the decline in the dollar index to a 1-1/2 month low.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR10/15/2015
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +7,000 to 270,000, previous -13,000 to 263,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -4,000 to 2.200 million, previous +9,000 to 2.204 million.
0830 ETSep CPI expected -0.2% m/m and -0.1% y/y, Aug -0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y. Sep CPI ex food & energy expected +0.1% m/m and +1.8% y/y, Aug +0.1% m/m and +1.8% y/y.
0830 ETOct Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions expected +6.67 to -8.00, Sep +0.25 to -14.67.
1000 ETOct Philadelphia Fed outlook survey diffusion index general conditions expected +4.0 to -2.0, Sep -14.3 to -6.0.
1030 ETNew York Fed President William Dudley speaks at the Brookings Institute in Washington, D.C. about how the Fed should decide the appropriate level of interest rates.
1030 ETSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard makes opening remarks at the St. Louis Feds annual fall policy conference.
1100 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 30-year TIPS to be auctioned Oct 22.
1630 ETCleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speaks at the NYU Stern Center for Global Business and Economy.
JPN0030 ETRevised Japan Aug industrial production, Jul -0.5% m/m and +0.2% y/y.
0030 ETJapan Aug capacity utilization, Jul -0.2% m/m.
0030 ETJapan Aug tertiary industry index expected unch m/m, Jul +0.2% m/m.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR10/15/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
PPG Industries IncPPG USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.571
Charles Schwab Corp/TheSCHW USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.267
UnitedHealth Group IncUNH USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.64
KeyCorpKEY USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.267
US BancorpUSB USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.811
BB&T CorpBBT US5:45Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.686
Philip Morris International IncPM US7:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.122
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20153
Citigroup IncC US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.274
BB&T CorpBBT US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
UnitedHealth Group IncUNH US8:45Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
KeyCorpKEY US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Philip Morris International IncPM US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
US BancorpUSB US9:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US9:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Citigroup IncC US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
PPG Industries IncPPG US14:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
People's United Financial IncPBCT US16:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.218
Mattel IncMAT US16:05Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.795
Wynn Resorts LtdWYNN US16:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Mattel IncMAT US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
People's United Financial IncPBCT US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Schlumberger LtdSLB USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.766
Wynn Resorts LtdWYNN USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.851
PG&E CorpPCG US21:30Commonwealth Club of San Francisco Presents CEO, Tony Earley
American Express CoAXP USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
JPMorgan Chase & CoJPM USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Bank of America CorpBAC USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Citigroup IncC USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Morgan StanleyMS USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Capital One Financial CorpCOF USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Discover Financial ServicesDFS USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

National Presto Industries - Chart of the Day

National Presto Industries (NPK) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The industrial goods company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 52.70+ and gained 52.45% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to National Presto Industries (NPK).  I found the industrial goods stock by using Barchart to sort the Russell 3000 Index stocks first for the highest Weighted Alpha then for technical buy signals of 80% or better.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 9/8 the stock gained 7.71%.

National Presto Industries manufactures and distributes small electrical appliances and housewares, including comfort appliances, pressure cookers and canners, private label and premium sales products. Electrical appliances and housewares sold by the company include pressure cookers and canners; the Presto Control Master heat control single thermostatic control line of fry pans in several sizes, griddles and combination griddle/warmers and multi-purpose cookers; deep fryers of various sizes; can openers, slicer/shredders; electric heaters; corn poppers.




The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below.  Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates.  The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 52.70+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 8 new highs and up 7.17% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 62.39%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 88.14
  • Recently traded at 89.29 with a 50 day moving average of 83.24
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $618.78 million
  • Dividend yield 1.13%
  • Wall Street analysts do not follow or give projection on this stock
  • The individual investors on Motley Fool voted 479 to 12 for the stock to beat the market
The 50 Day Parabolic Time/Price has been the most effective technical trading strategy for this stock.

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Enterprise Financial Services - Chart of the Day

Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The mid west regional bank has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 51.42+, gained 50.03% in the last year and paid a 1.12% dividend.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC).  I found the mid west regional bank stock by using Barchart to sort the Russell 3000 Index stocks first for the highest Weighted Alpha then again for technical buy signals of 80% or better.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 9/15 the stock gained 5.64%.

Enterprise Financial operates commercial banking and wealth management businesses in metropolitan St. Louis and Kansas City, with a primary focus on serving the needs of privately held businesses, their owners and other success-minded individuals.


The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below.  Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates.  The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • 51.42+ Weighted Alpha
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 9 new highs and up 6.91% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 68.07%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 25.35
  • Recently traded at 25.85 with a 50 day moving average of 24.48
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $515.45 million
  • P/E 15.89
  • Dividend yield 1.12%
  • Revenue expected to grow 4.80% this year and another 5.20% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase at an annual rate of 21.40% this year, an additional 2.80% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 9.00% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 2 strong buy, 1 buy and 2 hold recommendations on the stock
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been an effective technical trading strategy on this stock.

I'm back in the market

My personal account is traded much differently than my managed accounts.  Rules regarding the managed accounts require that the funds be fully invested at all times.

I'm 68 years old and have accumulated a lot of assets in tax deferred accounts that will be the capital I will consume and live off of in about 3 years when my mandatory MRDs kick in.  I have 3 goals for my retirement funds:
  • Preservation of capital
  • A total return higher than the return of the Market
  • A positive total return that exceeds taxes, inflation and my withdrawal rate
In my personal accounts I attempt to be in the Market in Bull Markets and out of the Market in Bear Markets.  I follow how the total market is trading against its moving averages and how different investment sectors are trading against their 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator.  A Market trend is called by the 50 day moving average and a Bull and Bear Market is called against the 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator.

At the close of the market last night 57.17% of  9895 stocks in my data base were trading above their 50 day moving averages and the Value Line Index which in my Market proxy had buy signals on Barchart for both the technical buy/sell signals and the Trend Spotter.  Looking at the charts shows a trend to have buy signals soon for the 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator.




Last night's portfolio:


SymNameLastWeighted
Alpha
Today's
Opinion
50-100 Day
MACD Osc
Trend
Spotter
14-Day
Rel Str
1-Month
Percent
3-Month
Percent
6-Month
Percent
12-Month
% High
Links
$VLAValue Line Index4,501.27+1.4016% BuySellBuy59.88%+2.55%-4.77%-8.02%-8.86%   
$RUARussell 3000 Index1,199.12+3.1916% BuySellBuy59.15%+2.36%-3.50%-4.78%-6.02%   
IVVS&P 500 Index Ishare202.68+3.1016% BuySellBuy59.11%+2.41%-2.93%-4.14%-5.83%   
IJHS&P Midcap 400 Index143.89+4.508% SellSellHold58.31%+1.65%-4.06%-6.01%-7.25%   
IJRS&P Smallcap 600 Ind113.05+6.0024% BuySellBuy60.43%+2.53%-4.15%-4.66%-7.41%   
IWCRussell Microcap Ind73.77+2.0016% SellSellSell53.59%-0.85%-8.53%-7.99%-12.47%   
QQQPowershares QQQ106.79+10.10HoldSellSell57.34%+1.16%-0.80%-0.89%-6.64%   
ICFRealty Majors Cohen97.04+7.3080% BuySellBuy66.17%+8.35%+3.80%-1.90%-9.65%   
JNKSPDR High Yield Bond36.27-10.2016% SellSellSell48.74%-2.08%-5.20%-7.94%-10.58%   
EFAEAFE Index MSCI Isha60.93-2.4016% BuySellBuy60.31%+2.51%-5.24%-8.04%-11.06%   
BKFBRIC Index MSCI Isha32.22-15.7024% BuySellBuy61.39%+6.48%-9.85%-20.64%-22.73%   
EEMEmrg Mkts Index MSCI35.67-13.9024% BuySellBuy63.43%+6.60%-7.21%-16.81%-19.28%   
FMMSCI Frontier 10025.88-27.2916% SellSellSell49.54%-3.61%-9.32%-15.65%-31.32%   
OILS&P GSCI Crude Oil8.83-51.8024% BuySellBuy52.65%+5.75%-16.30%-19.95%-57.85%   

This is how the Value Line Index looked last night:


And this is how it looked on 10/5:


We have upward momentum but not yet a full Bull Market.