Showing posts with label CNC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CNC. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

MORNING CALL 7/26

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.08%) this morning are little changed as the market awaits tomorrow's outcome of the 2-day FOMC meeting that begins today. The chances are virtually zero for a Fed rate hike but the market is still a little nervous that the FOMC may adopt slightly more hawkish language in its post-meeting statement. The Euro Stoxx 50 index this morning is mildly lower by -0.19%. Japanese stocks today closed down -1.43% after Japanese Finance Aso poured cold water on hopes for a big fiscal stimulus program when he said that the government will "leave actual policy measures to the BOJ." Other Asian stock markets today closed mostly higher: Hong Kong +0.62%, China Shanghai +1.14%, Taiwan +0.37%, Australia +0.07%, Singapore +0.12%, South Korea +0.83%, India -0.42%, Turkey -0.48%.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.23%) this morning is mildly lower by -0.27% this morning. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0012 (+0.11%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is sharply lower by -1.42 yen (-1.34%) on Japanese Finance Minister Aso's comments that dampened hopes for an aggressive new round of Japanese fiscal stimulus. The BOJ meets later this week. Sterling is down -0.1% this morning after BOE MPC member Martin Weale said in an interview with the Financial Times that he favors immediate monetary stimulus because Brexit has shaken the UK economy more than he expected. The market is widely expecting the BOE at its meeting next week to cut interest rates by 25 bp from 0.50% in response to Brexit.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU16 +0.09%) this morning are up +3 ticks as the market awaits Wednesday's FOMC announcement.
Commodity prices this morning are little changed on net. Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 -1.16%) is down -0.43 (-1.00%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16 -1.44%) is down -0.0174 (-1.30%) on a continued slide on high crude oil and product inventories and the 2-month rise in U.S. active oil rigs that will boost U.S. oil production. Metals prices are mixed with some support from the weaker dollar index. Aug gold (GCQ16 +0.01%) is up +0.9 (+0.07), Sep silver (SIU16+0.24%) is up +0.068 (+0.35%), and Sep copper (HGU16 -0.43%) is down -0.007 (-0.32%). Grains this morning are mixed with Dec corn down -0.25(-0.07%), Sep soybeans up +7.00 (+0.72%), and Sep wheat down -2.75 (-0.64%). Softs this morning are trading higher with some support from the weaker dollar: Oct sugar +0.11 (+0.55%), Sep coffee +1.10 (+0.78%), Sep cocoa +6 (+0.21%), and Dec cotton +0.35 (+0.48%).
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) May S&P/CaseShiller composite-20 home price index (expected +0.2% m/m and +5.6% y/y, Apr +0.45% m/m and +5.44% y/y), (2) prelim-Jul Markit services PMI (expected +0.6 to 52.0, Jun 51.4. Jul Markit composite PMI, Jun 51.2), (3) Jul consumer confidence from the Conference Board (expected -2.5 to 95.5, Jun +5.6 to 98.0), (4) Jul Richmond Fed manufacturing survey (expected +3 to -4, Jun -6 to -7), (5) Jun new home sales (expected +1.6% to 560,000, May -6.0% to 551,000), (6) FOMC begins 2-day meeting, and (7) Treasury auctions $34 billion of 5-year T-notes.
There are 46 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Apple (consensus $1.39), Caterpillar (0.96), Verizon (0.92), McDonalds (1.39), Under Amour (0.03).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Kadmon Holdings (KDMN).
Equity conferences this week include: none.
Sep E-mini S&Ps this morning are little changed as the market awaits the results of the 2-day FOMC meeting that begins today. Monday's closes: S&P 500-0.30%, Dow Jones -0.42%, Nasdaq -0.05%. The S&P 500 on Monday closed lower on concern that the FOMC at its Tue-Wed meeting might adopt more hawkish language and on long liquidation pressure after the sharp rally seen in the first half of July. Stocks were also undercut by weakness in energy producers after the -2.4% sell-off in Sep crude oil prices.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
  • Today is a big day for earnings results with 46 of the SPX companies scheduled to report.
  • Positive earnings results so far this morning include du Pont (DD +0.66%) (1.24 vs consensus of 1.10), Centene (CNC -0.17%) (1.10 vs 1.09), Avery Denison (AVY -0.47%) (1.09 vs 1.01), Waters Corp (WAT -0.64%) (1.58 vs 1.45), DTE Energy (DTE -0.59%) (0.98 vs 0.89), United Technologies ({=UTX) (1.82 vs 1.68), Baxter (BAX -0.47%) (0.46 vs 0.40), Verizon (VZ -0.41%) (0.94 vs 0.92), Masco (MAS +1.30%) (0.46 vs 0.43), Fidelity National Information Services (FIS -0.10%) (0.90 vs 0.87), Valero (VLO +0.82%) (1.07 vs 0.99).
  • Negative earnings results this morning include Reynolds American (RAI +0.04%) (0.58 vs 0.61), Starwood (HOT +0.18%) (0.71 vs 0.73), KeyCorp (KEY-1.10%) (0.27 vs 0.28), Nielsen (NLSN -1.06%) (0.71 vs 0.715), and Under Armour (UA +1.73%) (0.01 vs 0.04).
  • Annheuser-Busch InBev (ABI Euronext) raised its offer for SABMiller Plc (SAB London) by 2.3% to 79 billion pounds to account for the Brexit-related plunge in sterling.
  • Commerzbank AG (CMZB) is down nearly 5% this morning after reporting a deterioration of a capital strength ratio and helped drag down other European banks ahead of Friday's stress-test results.
  • CoreLogic (CLGX -0.69%) rallied +6% in after-hours trading on positive earnings results along with higher 2016 guidance and a boost in full-year repurchase target.
  • Texas Instruments (TXN +1.11%) rallied +5% in after-hours trading on positive earnings results of 76 cents vs expectations of 72 cents.
  • Celgene (CELG +0.38%) fell -3% in after-hours trading on disappointing news about its "Remarc" product.
  • Las Vegas Sands (LVS +1.01%) rallied +3% in after-hours trading despite weaker-than-expected earnings results as the company indicated a possible turnaround in Macau.
  • Gilead Sciences (GILD +2.31%) fell -4% in after-hours trading after reducing its 2016 sales forecast.
  • MB Financial (MBFI +0.26%) will replace First Niagra (FNFG) in the S&P MidCap 400.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep 10-year T-note prices this morning up 3 ticks. Monday's closes: TYU6 -2, FVU6 -3. Sep 10-year T-notes on Monday closed mildly lower on supply overhang amidst this week's $103 billion T-note package and on some concern that the FOMC at its Tue-Wed meeting might adopt more hawkish language in its post-meeting statement. T-notes found some support from the mild sell-off in stocks and on the -2.6% drop in crude oil prices, which pushed the 10-year breakeven inflation expectations rate lower by -2 bp to 1.50%.
The dollar index this morning is mildly lower by -0.27% mainly due to yen strength as USD/JPY fell sharply by -1.42 yen (-1.34%) on reduced hopes for a large Japanese fiscal stimulus package. Monday's closes: Dollar index -0.18 (-0.19%), EUR/USD +0.0018 (+0.16%), USD/JPY -0.32 (-0.30%). The dollar index on Monday edged to a new 4-1/2 month high but fell back and closed mildly lower. The dollar was undercut by some long liquidation pressure in the dollar index after posting a new 4-1/2 month high. In addition, EUR/USD saw some strength on the stronger-than-expected German IFO business climate index, which fell -0.4 points to 108.3, stronger than market expectations of -1.2 to 107.5. The dollar index found some support on the possibility that the FOMC in its post-meeting statement to be released on Wednesday might adopt slightly more hawkish language.
Sep WTI crude oil is down -0.43 (-1.00%) and Sep gasoline is down -0.0174 (-1.30%) on a continued slide on high crude oil and product inventories and the 2-month rise in U.S. active oil rigs that will boost U.S. oil production. Monday's closes: CLU6 -1.06 (-2.40%), RBU6 -0.0280 (-2.06%). Sep crude oil and gasoline closed sharply lower on Monday on technical selling with a new 3-month low in Sep crude oil and on carry-over pressure from last Friday's Baker Hughes report that the number of active U.S. oil rigs rose by +14 rigs to 371, bringing the 8-week upward rebound to a total of +55 rigs (+17.4%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR07/26/2016
Tuesday, July 26
US0900 ETMay S&P/CaseShiller composite-20 home price index expected +0.2% m/m and +5.6% y/y, Apr +0.45% m/m and +5.44% y/y.
0945 ETPrelim-Jul Markit services PMI expected +0.6 to 52.0, Jun 51.4. Jul Markit composite PMI, Jun 51.2.
1000 ETJul consumer confidence (Conference Board) expected -2.5 to 95.5, Jun +5.6 to 98.0.
1000 ETJul Richmond Fed manufacturing survey expected +3 to -4, Jun -6 to -7.
1000 ETJun new home sales expected +1.6% to 560,000, May -6.0% to 551,000.
1030 ETFOMC begins 2-day meeting.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $34 billion of 5-year T-notes.
CHI2130 ETChina Jun industrial profits, Jun +3.7% y/y.
2145 ETChina Jul Westpac-MNI consumer sentiment, Jun +1.7 to 115.9.
Wednesday, July 27
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -1.3% with purchase sub-index -2.0% and refi sub-index down -0.9%.
0830 ETJun durable goods orders expected -1.1% and +0.3% ex-transportation, May -2.3% and -0.3% ex-transportation. Jun capital goods orders nondefense ex-aircraft expected +0.4%, May -0.4%.
1000 ETJun pending home sales expected +1.2% m/m and +3.0% y/y, May -3.7% m/m and +2.4% y/y.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1130 ETTreasury auctions $15 billion of 2-year floating-rate notes.
1400 ETFOMC announces interest rate decision; 0.25%-0.50% fed funds rate target expected unchanged.
GER0200 ETGerman Jun import price index expected +0.6% m/m and -4.6% y/y, May +0.9% m/m and -5.5% y/y.
0200 ETGerman Aug GfK consumer confidence expected -0.2 to 9.9, Jul +0.3 to 10.1.
EUR0400 ETEurozone Jun M3 money supply, May +4.9% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Q2 GDP expected +0.5% q/q and +2.1% y/y, Q1 +0.4% q/q and +2.0% y/y.
0430 ETUK May index of services expected +0.1% m/m and +0.3% 3-mo/3-mo, Apr +0.6% m/m and +0.5% 3-mo/3-mo.
0600 ETUK Jul CBI retailing reported sales expected -3 to 1, Jun -3 to 4
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR07/26/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Baxter International IncBAXBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.396
Freeport-McMoRan IncFCXBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.008
TEGNA IncTGNABef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.474
McDonald's CorpMCDBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.385
United Technologies CorpUTXBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.681
KeyCorpKEYBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.276
Waters CorpWATBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.447
Valero Energy CorpVLOBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.993
Reynolds American IncRAIBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.608
DTE Energy CoDTEBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.888
Fidelity National Information Services IncFISBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.867
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSNBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.716
EI du Pont de Nemours & CoDD6:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.101
Centene CorpCNC6:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.084
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide IncHOT6:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.733
Eli Lilly & CoLLY6:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.856
Avery Dennison CorpAVY6:45Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.014
Masco CorpMAS7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.426
Under Armour IncUA7:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.032
Verizon Communications IncVZ7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.921
Caterpillar IncCAT7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.959
3M CoMMM7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.063
T Rowe Price Group IncTROW7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.725
EI du Pont de Nemours & CoDD8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Masco CorpMAS8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
PACCAR IncPCAR8:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.023
Waters CorpWAT8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSN8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Baxter International IncBAX8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Verizon Communications IncVZ8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
United Technologies CorpUTX8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Express Scripts Holding CoESRX8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Centene CorpCNC8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Fidelity National Information Services IncFIS8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Under Armour IncUA8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Eli Lilly & CoLLY9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
3M CoMMM9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
KeyCorpKEY9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Reynolds American IncRAI9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
DTE Energy CoDTE9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Freeport-McMoRan IncFCX10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
TEGNA IncTGNA10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Legg Mason IncLM10:00Annual General Meeting
Avery Dennison CorpAVY11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Caterpillar IncCAT11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
McDonald's CorpMCD11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
AvalonBay Communities IncAVB11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Valero Energy CorpVLO11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
PACCAR IncPCAR12:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Akamai Technologies IncAKAM16:01Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.636
Anadarko Petroleum CorpAPC16:05Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.743
Robert Half International IncRHI16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.733
Edwards Lifesciences CorpEW16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.699
Ameriprise Financial IncAMP16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.26
Apple IncAAPL16:30Q3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20161.389
Akamai Technologies IncAKAM16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CR Bard IncBCR17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Robert Half International IncRHI17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Total System Services IncTSS17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Apple IncAAPL17:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Illumina IncILMN17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Juniper Networks IncJNPR17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Edwards Lifesciences CorpEW17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CR Bard IncBCRAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.469
Total System Services IncTSSAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.72
UDR IncUDRAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.442
Universal Health Services IncUHSAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.938
Cincinnati Financial CorpCINFAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.467
Linear Technology CorpLLTCAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.534
Range Resources CorpRRCAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.185
Zions BancorporationZIONAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.411
Chubb LtdCBAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.211
Equity ResidentialEQRAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.76
Citrix Systems IncCTXSAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.142
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRWAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.003
Illumina IncILMNAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.733
Juniper Networks IncJNPRAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.47
Assurant IncAIZAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.388
Citrix Systems IncCTXS17:15Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Zions BancorporationZION17:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Boston Properties IncBXP18:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.391
Alaska Air Group IncALKExtraordinary Shareholders MeetingY 2016

Friday, June 17, 2016

MORNING CALL 6/17

MORNING CALL


Monday, March 28, 2016

MORNING CALL 3/25

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.23%) are up +0.28% after last Friday's data showed the U.S. economy expanded more than expected in Q1. European markets are closed for Easter Monday. Also, May crude is up +0.51%, which is giving a boost to energy producing stocks. San Francisco Fed President Williams said that global developments were "the real issue" for policy makers as they decide on the pace of rate hikes. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.77%, Hong Kong and Australia closed for holiday, China -0.73%, Taiwan -0.17%, Singapore -0.60%, South Korea +0.07%, India -1.46%. China's Shanghai Composite fell to a 1-week low after the China Q1 Beige Book stated that the Chinese economy was still "emanating weakness." Japan's Nikkei Stock index rallied to a 1-week high after the Sankei newspaper reported that Prime Minister Abe plans to delay the scheduled April 2017 consumption-tax increase to 10% from 8%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.01%) is up +0.01% at a 1-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.04%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.42% at a 1-week high.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.15%) are down -6 ticks.
San Francisco Fed President Williams said the U.S. economy is doing "quite well" and "the real issue is the global financial and economic developments" for policy makers as they deliberate on the pace of interest rate increases.
U.S. Q4 GDP was revised upward to 1.4% (q/q annualized) from 1.0% (q/q annualized), stronger than expectations of no change at 1.0%. Q4 personal consumption was revised upward to 2.4% from the previously reported 2.0%.
ECB Governing Council member Knot said that further expansion of the ECB asset purchase program will lead to increased tensions over the prohibition of monetary financing as quantitative easing leads to "higher risks of undesirable side effects like bubbles, an unhealthy search for yield, a rolling over of problematic loans, increasing wealth inequality, and an addiction to low interest rates."
The Q1 China Beige Book, published by CBB International, stated that China's economy is still "emanating weakness" as "the data show that firms first stopped borrowing, then cut spending, and our now becoming allergic to hiring." Also, revenue growth steadied, capital expenditure fell, job growth slid to a 4-year low and retail outperformed business spending.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Feb personal spending (expected +0.1%, Jan +0.5%) and Feb personal income (expected +0.1%, Jan +0.5%), (2) Feb PCE deflator (expected -0.1% m/m and +1.0% y/y, Jan +0.1% m/m and +1.3% y/y) and Feb core PCE deflator (expected +0.2% m/m and +1.8% y/y, Jan +0.3% m/m and +1.7% y/y), (3) Feb pending home sales (expected +1.1% m/m, Jan -2.5% m/m and -0.9% y/y), (4) Mar Dallas Fed manufacturing activity (expected +5.8 to -26.0, Feb +2.8 to -31.8), (5) the Treasury's auction of $26 billion of 2-year T-notes, (6) USDA weekly grain export inspections.
None of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today.
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week include: Barclays Global Cross-Asset Class Materials Conference on Tue, Hart Energy Energy Capital Conference on Tue, Jefferies Animal Health Summit on Thu, William Blair Cancer Immunotherapy A Long-Awaited Reality Conference on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Finish Line (FINL +0.69%) was upgraded to 'Buy' form 'Hold' at BB&T Capital Markets with a 12-month price target of $24.
Phillips 66 (PSX -0.07%) was rated a new 'Market Perform' at Cowen with a 12-month price target of $92.
Ingersoll-Rand (IR -0.21%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Eagle Materials (EXP -0.45%) was upgraded to 'Buy' form 'Hold' at BB&T Capital Markets with a 12-month price target of $80.
Qualcomm (QCOM -0.25%) was downgraded to 'Equalweight' from 'Overweight' at Barclays.
Carmax (KMX +0.81%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Sterne Agee CRT.
Parker-Hannifin (PH +0.30%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $92.
Ensco PLC (ESV +1.15%) was downgraded to 'Negative' from 'Neutral' at Susquehanna.
Hologic (HOLX +1.03%) will replace Pepco Holdings (POM unch) in the S&P 500 after the close of trading Tuesday, March 29.
Centene (CNC +1.69%) will replace Ensco PLC (ESV +1.15%) in the S&P 500 after the close of trading on Tuesday, March 29.
GameStop (GME -0.33%) slid 5% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 revenue down -4% to -7%, weaker than estimates up 2%.
General Dynamics (GD -3.90%) was awarded a $549 million cost-plus-incentive-fee contract by the U.S. Defense Department for Stryker program supply.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Exxon-Mobile (XOM +0.27%) is in talks to buy a stake in the Mozambique natural gas project from Eni.
Turtle Beach (HEAR +7.34%) climbed nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 8 cents, right on consensus, but reported Q4 revenue of $84.6 million, higher than consensus of $83.0 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.23%) this morning are up +5.75 points (+0.28%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 -0.04%, Dow Jones +0.08%, Nasdaq +0.07%. The S&P 500 on Thursday closed little changed. Stocks were undercut by the unexpected -1.1% decline in U.S. Feb capital goods orders non-defense ex-aircraft, weaker than expectations of +0.3%, which is negative for capital investment and undercuts Q1 GDP. In addition, mining stocks were weak after gold fell to a 1-month low and copper slid to a 2-week low. Stocks found some support from the U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims report of 265,000, slightly below expectations of 269,000, and a rally in energy producers after crude oil recovered nearly all of an early decline.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM16 -0.15%) this morning are down -6 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYM6 -3.50, FVM6 -3.25. Jun T-notes on Thursday closed lower on lower-than-expected U.S. weekly jobless claims of 265,000 (vs expectations of 269,000) and on hawkish comments from St. Louis Fed President Bullard who said the next Fed rate increase "may not be far off." T-notes found support on reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note break-even inflation expectations rate fell to a 1-week low.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.01%) this morning is up +0.007 (+0.01%) at a 1-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0005 (-0.04%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.47 (+0.42%) at a 1-week high. Thursday's closes: Dollar Index +0.096 (+0.10%), EUR/USD -0.0007 (-0.06%), USD/JPY +0.52 (+0.46%). The dollar index on Thursday climbed to a 1-week high and settled higher on St. Louis Fed President Bullard's hawkish comment suggesting that the Fed may be getting close to raising interest rates another notch.
May WTI crude (CLK16 +0.38%) this morning is up +20 cents (+0.51%) and May gasoline (RBK16 +0.50%) is up +0.0040 (+0.27%). Thursday's closes: CLK6 -0.33 (-0.83%), RBK6 +0.0142 (+0.96%). May crude and gasoline on Thursday settled mixed with May crude at a 1-week low. Crude oil prices were undercut by the rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high and by negative carryover from Wednesday’s EIA data showing a larger-than-expected +9.357 million bbl surge in weekly EIA crude inventories to a record high 532.5 million bbl. Gasoline received a boost from the prospects for strong refinery demand for gasoline as the crack spread climbed to a 1-week high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/28/2016
US0830 ETFeb personal spending expected +0.1%, Jan +0.5%. Feb personal income expected +0.1%, Jan +0.5%.
0830 ETFeb PCE deflator expected -0.1% m/m and +1.0% y/y, Jan +0.1% m/m and +1.3% y/y. Feb core PCE deflator expected +0.2% m/m and +1.8% y/y, Jan +0.3% m/m and +1.7% y/y.
1000 ETFeb pending home sales expected +1.1% m/m, Jan -2.5% m/m and -0.9% y/y.
1030 ETMar Dallas Fed manufacturing activity expected +5.8 to -26.0, Feb +2.8 to -31.8.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $26 billion of 2-year T-notes.
JPN1930 ETJapan Feb jobless rate expected unch at 3.2%. Feb job-to-applicant ratio expected +0.01 to 1.29, Jan 1.28.
1930 ETJapan Feb overall household spending expected -1.5% y/y, Jan -3.1% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Feb retail sales expected +0.5% y/y, Jan -0.4% m/m and -0.2% y/y.
EURn/aEurozone markets closed for Easter Monday.
UKn/aUK markets closed for Easter Monday.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/28/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Cal-Maine Foods IncCALM USBef-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.994
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide IncHOT US10:00Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting - M&A VoteY 2016
Hill International IncHIL US11:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Cleco CorpCNL US14:00Extraordinary Shareholders MeetingY 2016
Iconix Brand Group IncICON US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
SYNNEX CorpSNX US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Iconix Brand Group IncICON USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.263
SYNNEX CorpSNX USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.368
Tangoe IncTNGO USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.035
Carbylan Therapeutics IncCBYL USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.24

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

MORNING CALL 1/26

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.35%) are up +0.28% and European stocks are up +0.11% as they mirror movements in oil prices which are up +0.86%. Global stocks were under pressure from Chinese economic concerns after China's Shanghai Composite plunged -6.42% to a 13-1/2 month low. On the positive side, mining stocks rose as the price of gold (GCG16 +0.69%) climbed +0.59% to a 2-1/2 month high and copper prices (HGH16 +1.53%) rose +1.33% to a 2-week high. Signs of stronger Chinese demand is giving metals prices a boost after Chinese customs data showed China Dec imports of refined copper surged +34% y/y to 423,000 MT and China Dec gold imports from Hong Kong surged +67% from Nov to 111.3 MT. European stocks also gained as Siemens AG rose after it boosted its earnings forecast and Royal Philips NV jumped over 5% after it reported better-than-expected Q4 profit. Asian stocks settled lower: Japan -2.35%, Hong Kong -2.45%, China -6.42%, Taiwan -0.83%, Australia and India closed for holiday, Singapore -1.43%, South Korea -1.31%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) is up +0.09%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.21%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.12%.
Mar T-note prices (ZNH16 +0.11%) are up +5 ticks on the heels of a rally in German bunds as the 10-year bund yield fell to a 4-3/4 month low of 0.432%.
The PBOC added 440 billion yuan ($67 billion) into the financial system via reverse-repurchase agreements, the most in 3 years, as it tries to keep borrowing costs down and boost liquidity ahead of the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday that begins Feb 8.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) the first day of the FOMC's 2-day policy meeting, (2) Nov FHFA house price index (expected +0.5% m/m, Oct +0.5% m/m), (3) Nov S&P/CaseShiller composite-20 home price index (expected +0.80% m/m and +5.64% y/y, Oct +0.84% m/m and +5.54% y/y), (4) Jan Markit services PMI (expected -0.3 to 54.0, Dec -1.8 to 54.3), (5) Jan U.S. consumer confidence from the Conference Board (expected unch at 96.5, Dec +3.9 to 96.5), (6) Jan Richmond Fed manufacturing index (expected -4 to 2, Dec +9 to 6), and (7) the Treasury's auction of $26 billion 2-year T-notes.
There are 23 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Apple (consensus $3.23), AT&T (0.63), Capital One (1.61), Johnson & Johnson (1.42), Procter & Gamble (0.98).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Ameriquest (AMQ).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week: Cleantech Forum San Francisco on Tue-Wed, Real Estate Capital Markets 2016 Seminar on Wed.






OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Lockheed Martin (LMT -0.49%) reported Q4 EPS of $3.76, well above consensus of $2.94.
Procter & Gamble (PG -0.66%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.04, higher than consensus of 98 cents.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ -0.36%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.44, better than consensus of $1.42.
PG&E Corp. (PCG -1.43%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Equalweight' at Morgan Stanley.
Crane Co. (CR -2.75%) dropped over 4% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on fiscal 2016 EPS to $3.85-$4.15, below consensus of $4.27.
Graco (GGG -2.02%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 93 cents, well above estimates of 78 cents.
Rambus (RMBS -1.75%) rallied over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 18 cents, better than consensus of 15 cents.
Centene (CNC -2.71%) slid almost 2% in after-hours trading after it said six hard drives with health information on 950,000 were unaccounted for.
Swift Transportation (SWFT -1.51%) climbed nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 53 cents, higher than consensus of 47 cents.
SunEdison (SUNE +2.64%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after SunEdison stakeholder Greenlight Capital reported that it raised its stake in 13D to 6.8% from 5.9% reported September 30.
Relypsa (RLYP +0.05%) jumped over 8% in after-hours trading after it said studies showed no meaningful reduction in absorption for 9 of 12 drugs that had previously demonstrated binding in vitro tests when its Veltassa drug was administered at the same time.
Aratana Therapeutics (PETX +1.59%) surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it filed New Animal Drug Application for its Galliprant drug for control of pain and inflammation in dogs with osteoarthritis.
Sanmina Corp. (SANM +0.70%) climbed over 4% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on Q2 adjusted EPS to 55 cents-59 cents, above consensus of 54 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.35%) this morning are up +5.25 points (+0.28%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 -1.56%, Dow Jones -1.29%, Nasdaq -1.48%. The S&P 500 on Monday closed lower on the sharp -7.4% sell-off in oil prices, carryover weakness from a fall in European stocks after the German Jan IFO business climate index slid to an 11-month low, and the unexpected -13.0 point drop in the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index to a 6-3/4 year low of -34.6 (weaker than expectations of +5.6 to -14.5).
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 +0.11%) this morning are up +5 ticks. Monday's closes: TYH6 +5.50, FVH6 +1.50. Mar T-note prices on Monday closed higher on increased safe-haven demand with the the slide in stocks and on the plunge in crude oil, which undercut inflation expectations and may delay further Fed rate hikes.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) this morning is up +0.087 (+0.09%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0023 (-0.21%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.14 (+0.12%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index -0.214 (-0.21%), EUR/USD +0.0053 (+0.49%), USD/JPY -0.48 (-0.40%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower on the plunge in the Dallas Fed manufacturing index to a 6-3/4 year low and on weakness in USD/JPY. the yen was boosted by safe-haven demand for the yen with the sell-off in stocks and by BOJ Governor Kuroda's comment that "we don't think the current market situation has been affecting corporate behavior unduly," which reduced speculation that the BOJ will expand stimulus at its Thu/Fri policy meeting.
Mar crude oil (CLH16 +0.89%) this morning is up +26 cents (+0.86%) and Mar gasoline (RBH16 -0.22%) is up +0.0105 (+1.00%). Monday's closes: CLH6 -2.39 (-7.42%), RBH6 -0.0641 (-5.78%). Mar crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed sharply lower on signs that Saudi Arabia will not cut back on oil production despite low prices after the chairman of state-run oil company Saudi Aramco said that Saudi Arabia can sustain low oil prices for "a long, long time." Crude oil and gasoline prices were also undercut by expectations that Wednesday's weekly EIA data will show crude inventories rose +4.0 million bbl and by the snowstorm along the U.S. East Coast that has reduced air and automobile travel and reduced gasoline demand.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/26/2016
US0900 ETNov FHFA house price index expected +0.5% m/m, Oct +0.5% m/m.
0900 ETNov S&P/CaseShiller composite-20 home price index expected +0.80% m/m and +5.64% y/y, Oct +0.84% m/m and +5.54% y/y.
0945 ETJan Markit services PMI expected -0.3 to 54.0, Dec -1.8 to 54.3. Jan Markit composite PMI, Dec -1.9 to 54.0.
1000 ETJan consumer confidence (Conference Board) expected unch at 96.5, Dec +3.9 to 96.5.
1000 ETJan Richmond Fed manufacturing index expected -4 to 2, Dec +9 to 6.
1130 ETFOMC begins 2-day policy meeting.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $26 billion 2-year T-notes.
CHI2030 ETChina Dec industrial profits. Nov -1.4% y/y.
2045 ETChina Jan Westpac-MNI consumer sentiment, Dec 113.7.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/26/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Corning IncGLW USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.318
EI du Pont de Nemours & CoDD USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.258
Freeport-McMoRan IncFCX USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2015-0.179
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.979
Lockheed Martin CorpLMT USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20152.94
Waters CorpWAT USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.95
Prologis IncPLD USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.619
Coach IncCOH USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.662
Danaher CorpDHR US6:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.27
Johnson & JohnsonJNJ US6:45Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.419
Dover CorpDOV US7:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.742
WW Grainger IncGWW US7:30Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20152.227
WW Grainger IncGWW US7:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
3M CoMMM US7:30Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.622
Parker-Hannifin CorpPH US7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.178
American International Group IncAIG US8:00Business Update Call
Danaher CorpDHR US8:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
EI du Pont de Nemours & CoDD US8:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Corning IncGLW US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Johnson & JohnsonJNJ US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Waters CorpWAT US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Coach IncCOH US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
3M CoMMM US9:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Dover CorpDOV US10:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Freeport-McMoRan IncFCX US10:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Parker-Hannifin CorpPH US11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Lockheed Martin CorpLMT US11:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Prologis IncPLD US12:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX US13:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Apple IncAAPL US16:00TLIV Top Live Blog
Stryker CorpSYK US16:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.551
Chubb LtdCB US16:05Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20152.286
Capital One Financial CorpCOF US16:05Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.608
AT&T IncT US16:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Apple IncAAPL US16:30Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20163.227
Stryker CorpSYK US16:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
CA IncCA US17:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Total System Services IncTSS US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Apple IncAAPL US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Capital One Financial CorpCOF US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
CA IncCA USAft-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.578
AT&T IncT USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.633
Total System Services IncTSS USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.601
Navient CorpNAVI USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.49
Hormel Foods CorpHRL USAnnual General MeetingY 2016
Affiliated Managers Group IncAMG USQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20153.604