MORNING CALL 3/11

MORNING CALL

Friday, March 11th, 2016View Older Reports

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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.93%) are up +0.98% at a 2-month high and European stocks are up +2.97%. Bank stocks are higher with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both up at least 1.5% in pre-market trading, while a +2.30% jump in the price of crude to a 3-month high gives energy producing stocks a lift. Crude oil received a boost after the IEA cut its 2016 non-OPEC crude production estimate by -150,000 bpd and said that "there are signs that prices might have bottomed out." Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +0.51%, Hong Kong +1.08%, China +0.20%, Taiwan +0.52%, Australia +0.32%, Singapore +0.70%, South Korea +0.22%, India +0.38%. China's Shanghai Composite recovered from a 1-week low and closed higher and gave Asian markets a lift after the PBOC strengthened its daily reference rate for the yuan by 0.34%, which fueled a rally in the yuan to a 2-1/4 month high against the dollar.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.50%) is up +0.54%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.62%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.49%.

Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.15%) are down -5 ticks.

The IEA cut its 2016 non-OPEC crude production estimate to 750,000 bpd, down -150,000 from 900,000 bpd estimated last month, and said that "there are signs that prices might have bottomed out."

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Feb import price index (expected -0.7% m/m and -6.5% y/y, Jan -1.1% m/m and -6.2% y/y).

None of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today.

U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.

Equity conferences this week include: none.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Morgan Stanley (MS +0.16%) and Goldman Sachs Group (GS +0.74%) are both up over 1% in pre-market trading.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance (ULTA +2.75%) rallied over 12% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.69, above consensus of $1.54, and then raised guidance on Q1 EPS to $1.25-$1.30, higher than consensus of $1.22.

Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN +3.07%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Sterne Agee CRT.

Arctic Cat (ACAT +2.85%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Hold' at Wunderlich Securities.

Zumiez (ZUMZ +2.10%) fell 8% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on Q1 sales to $172 million-$175 million, below consensus of $176.7 million.

Finisar (FNSR +0.07%) jumped over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 25 cents, higher than consensus of 22 cents, and said it sees Q4 adjusted EPS of 22 cents-28 cents, above consensus of 21 cents.

El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO +1.54%) declined nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it said it sees 2016 pro-forma EPS of 70 cents-74 cents, at the lower end of consensus of 74 cents.

BioDelivery Sciences International (BDSI -8.11%) dropped over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 19 cents, well below consensus of 55 cents.

Bojangles' (BOJA -0.20%) gained 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 22 cents, better than consensus of 19 cents, and then raised guidance on 2016 adjusted Ebitda to $83.5 million-$86.5 million, higher than consensus of $80.2 million.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS -2.90%) jumped over 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 ongoing adjusted EPS of 2 cents, better than consensus of a -4 cent loss.

Sunrun (RUN +7.52%) plunged over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $99.6 million, below consensus of $101.8 million.

Bonanza Creek Energy (BCEI -2.42%) slipped 5% in after-hours trading after it elected to draw down $209 million on its credit facility.

Strata Skin Sciences (SSKN +2.80%) catapulted up over 30% in after-hours trading after the FDA approved Strata's PMA supplement for the MelaFind System that aids in detection of melanoma.

MARKET COMMENTS

Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.93%) this morning are up +19.50 points (+0.98%) at a 2-month high. Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +0.02%, Dow Jones-0.03%, Nasdaq -0.15%. The S&P 500 on Thursday gave up early gains and fell to a 1-week low on global economic concerns after the ECB cut its Eurozone 2016 GDP forecast to +1.4% from +1.7% and ECB President Draghi said that risks to economic growth are still to the downside. Stocks were also undercut by weakness in energy producers after the price of crude fell. Stocks saw strength early on the -18,000 drop in U.S. weekly jobless claims and on the ECB's interest rate cut and QE expansion to 80 billion euros from 60 billion euros a month.

Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM16 -0.15%) this morning are down -5 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYM6 -13.50, FVM6 -8.50. Jun T-notes on Thursday slid to a 1-1/4 month low and closed lower on the larger-than-expected drop in weekly U.S. jobless claims to a 4-3/4 month low and on negative carryover from a decline in German bund prices to a 1-1/4 month low.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.50%) this morning is up +0.522 (+0.54%). EUR/USD ^EURUSD) is down -0.0069 (-0.62%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.56 (+0.49%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index -1.107 (-1.14%), EUR/USD +0.0178 (+1.62%), USD/JPY -0.16 (-0.14%). The dollar index on Thursday whipsawed up to a 1-week high and then down to a 3-week low and closed lower. The dollar was undercut by strength in EUR/USD which recovered from a 5-week low and rallied up to a 3-week high when ECB President Draghi said that he "doesn’t anticipate" more rate cuts from the ECB. EUR/USD initially saw weakness after the ECB cut interest rates and expanded QE to 80 billion euros a month from 60 billion euros.

Apr WTI crude (CLJ16 +2.14%) this morning is up +87 cents (+2.30%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ16 +0.55%) is up +0.0079 (+0.55%). Thursday's closes: CLJ6 -0.45 (-1.18%), RBJ6 -0.0315 (-2.14%). Apr crude and gasoline on Thursday closed lower on reduced optimism about a freeze in crude production after Russian Energy Minister Novak said that a time and date for a meeting among major oil producers remains uncertain and on negative carryover from Wednesday's EIA data that showed an increase in EIA crude stockpiles to a record high 521.8 million bbl and the rise in oil inventories at Cushing, OK, the delivery point for WTI futures, to a record 66.9 million bbl.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/11/2016

US	0830 ET	Feb import price index expected -0.7% m/m and -6.5% y/y, Jan -1.1% m/m and -6.2% y/y.
GER	0200 ET	Revised German Feb CPI (EU harmonized), previous +0.4% m/m and -0.2% y/y.
	0200 ET	German Feb wholesale price index, Jan -0.4% m/m and -1.0% y/y.
UK	0430 ET	UK Jan construction output expected +0.2% m/m and -1.7% y/y, Dec +1.5% m/m and +0.5% y/y.

U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/11/2016

Company	Ticker	Time	Event Description	Period	Estimate
Genesco Inc	GCO US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2016 Earnings Release	Q4 2016	2.134
Buckle Inc/The	BKE US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2016 Earnings Release	Q4 2016	1.073
Hibbett Sports Inc	HIBB US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2016 Earnings Release	Q4 2016	0.732
Progenics Pharmaceuticals Inc	PGNX US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	-0.142
Kirkland's Inc	KIRK US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2016 Earnings Release	Q4 2016	0.898
Citi Trends Inc	CTRN US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2016 Earnings Release	Q4 2016	0.25
Straight Path Communications Inc	STRP US	Bef-mkt	Q2 2016 Earnings Release	Q2 2016	-0.07
Lifetime Brands Inc	LCUT US	7:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	0.64
WW Grainger Inc	GWW US	8:00	February 2016 Sales and Revenue Call	2016
WW Grainger Inc	GWW US	8:00	February 2016 Sales and Revenue Release	2016
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc	PEG US	8:00	Financial Community Meeting
Providence Service Corp/The	PRSC US	8:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
Genesco Inc	GCO US	8:30	Q4 2016 Earnings Call	Q4 2016
Progenics Pharmaceuticals Inc	PGNX US	8:30	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
Surgery Partners Inc	SGRY US	8:30	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
General Electric Co	GE US	9:00	Investor Meeting - Healthcare	Y 2016
Citi Trends Inc	CTRN US	9:00	Q4 2016 Earnings Call	Q4 2016
Gastar Exploration Inc	GST US	9:30	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
AEP Industries Inc	AEPI US	10:00	Q1 2016 Earnings Call	Q1 2016
Buckle Inc/The	BKE US	10:00	Q4 2016 Earnings Call	Q4 2016
Hibbett Sports Inc	HIBB US	10:00	Q4 2016 Earnings Call	Q4 2016
Investors Real Estate Trust	IRET US	10:00	Q3 2016 Earnings Call	Q3 2016
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc	CVGI US	10:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
State National Cos Inc	SZTNZ US	10:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
Lifetime Brands Inc	LCUT US	11:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
Kirkland's Inc	KIRK US	11:00	Q4 2016 Earnings Call	Q4 2016
Green Brick Partners Inc	GRBK US	12:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
Straight Path Communications Inc	STRP US	16:15	Q2 2016 Earnings Call	Q2 2016
Earthstone Energy Inc	ESTE US	Aft-mkt	Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	-0.125
Hallador Energy Co	HNRG US	Aft-mkt	Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	0.18
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp	PKOH US	Aft-mkt	Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	0.89
Equifax Inc	EFX US		Investor Meeting - New York	Y 2016
Valhi Inc	VHI US		Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	-0.04
EMCORE Corp	EMKR US		Annual General Meeting
Tangoe Inc	TNGO US		Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	0.035
Stemline Therapeutics Inc	STML US		Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	-0.57
Carbylan Therapeutics Inc	CBYL US		Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	-0.247
Zynerba Pharmaceuticals Inc	ZYNE US		Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	-0.625

BARCHART MORNING CALL 6/3

BARCHART MORNING CALL

Wednesday, June 3rd, 2015View Older Reports

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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.49%) this morning are up +0.27% and European stocks are up +0.68% ahead of the ECB meeting. European stocks received a boost on stronger-than-expected economic data on Eurozone Apr retail sales that rose +0.7% m/m, the most in 15 months, and after Eurozone Apr unemployment fell -0.1 to 11.1%, the lowest in 3 years. Bank stocks also gave the overall market a boost as Credit Suisse climbed nearly 3% after RBC upgraded the lender to 'Outperform' from 'Sector Perform.' Another positive for European stocks is the decline in the Greek 10-year bond yield to a 2-week low of 10.92% on optimism that a solution to the Greek debt crisis can soon be found. Stock prices climbed even after the OECD cut its 2015 global GDP forecast to 3.1% from a 3.7% estimate in Oct. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -0.34%, Hong Kong +0.69%, China -0.01%, Taiwan -0.60%, Australia -0.93%, Singapore +0.27%, South Korea -0.85%, India -1.29%.
Commodity prices are mostly lower as the dollar strengthened. Jul crude oil (CLN15 -2.07%) is down -2.20% and Jul gasoline (RBN15 -2.11%) is down -2.16%. Metals prices are weaker. Aug gold (GCQ15 -0.35%) is down -0.50% and Jul copper (HGN15 -0.35%) is down -0.51%. Agricultural prices are lower.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.34%) is up +0.42%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.26%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.28%.

Sep T-note prices (ZNU15 -0.14%) are down -4 ticks at a 2-week low.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) lowered its 2015 global growth forecast to 3.1% from a 3.7% estimate in Oct, saying investment is lagging and risks including a possible Greek default are hurting confidence. The OECD cut its 2015 U.S. GDP forecast to 2.0% from a Mar estimate of 3.1%.
Eurozone Apr retail sales rose +0.7% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.6% m/m and the most in 15 months. On an annual basis, Apr retail sales rose +2.2% y/y, stronger than expectations of +2.0% y/y.
The Eurozone Apr unemployment rate fell -0.1 to 11.1% from a downward revised 11.2% in Mar, better than expectations of -0.1 to 11.2% and the lowest in 3 years.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (last week -1.6% with purchase sub-index +1.2% and refi sub-index -3.9%), (2) May ADP employment change (expected +200,000 after April's +169,000), (3) Apr trade deficit (expected -$44.0 billion after March's -$51.4 billion), (4) final-May Markit services PMI (expected unrevised at 56.4 after prelim-May -1.0 to 56.4), (5) May ISM non-manufacturing PMI (expected -0.8 to 57.0), (6) Fed Beige Book, and (7) a speech by Chicago Fed President Charles Evans at a banking symposium at the University Club of Chicago.
There is 1 of the Russell 1000 companies that reports earnings today: Brown-Forman (consensus $0.66).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today include: PennTex Midstream Partners (PTXP), VWR Corp (VWR), Molina Healthcare (MOH), AerCap Holdings (AER), STORE Capital (STOR).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference on Mon-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Technology Conference on Tue-Wed, Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Investor Conference on Tue-Wed, KBW Asset Management and Capital Markets Conference on Wed, Sandler O'Neill & Partners Global Exchange and Brokerage Conference on Wed, Deutsche Bank Global Industrials and Basic Materials Conference on Wed-Thu, FBN Securities: Field Trip - 8th Semi-Annual Silicon Valley Tour on Wed-Thu, Credit Suisse Engineering & Construction Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Leveraged Finance Conference on Thu.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Actavis (ACT -1.12%) was initiated with an 'Outperform' at Raymond James with a price target of $344.
Dean Foods (DF -0.43%) was downgraded to 'Equal Weight' from 'Overweight' at Morgan Stanley.
Humana (HUM -0.08%) was upgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Underperform' at Sterne Agee CRT.
Piper Jaffray reiterates an 'Overweight' rating on Amazon.com (AMZN +0.02%) and rasies the price target on the stock to $520 from $475.
Caterpillar (CAT +0.75%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at Societe Generale with a price target of $110.
Expedia (EXPE +0.17%) was initiated with an 'Overweight' at Barclays with a price target of $125.
Genesco (GCO +1.88%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Charles Schwab (SCHW +0.60%) was initiated with an 'Overweight' at Piper Jaffray with a price target of $39.
Legg Mason (LM +0.06%) was initiated with an 'Overweight' at Piper Jaffray with a price target of $65.
CNBC reports that Hewlett-Packard's (HPQ +0.36%) separation into HP Inc. and Hewlett-Packard Enterprise will be effective Nov 1.
Ciena (CIEN +0.62%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at Nomura with a price target of $29.
ABM Industries (ABM -0.34%) reports Q2 adjusted EPS of 37 cents, higher than consensus of 35 cents.
Guess (GES +6.21%) reported an unexpected Q1 EPS profit of 4 cents, better than consensus of a -5 cent loss, although Q1 revenue of $478.8 million was below consensus of $483.8 million.
Ascena Retail (ASNA -0.61%) reported Q3 EPS of 18 cents, weaker than consensus of 20 cents.
G-III Apparel (GIII +3.30%) climbed over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 15 cents, more than double consensus of 7 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2016 EPS view to $2.66-$2.76 from $2.53-$2.63, above consensus of $2.62.

MARKET COMMENTS

June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.49%) this morning are up +5.75 points (+0.27%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.10%, Dow Jones -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.29%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday slid to a 2-1/2 week low and closed lower on the -0.4% decline in U.S. Apr factory orders, weaker than expectations of -0.1%, and on a slide in utility companies caused by a rise in the 10-year T-note yield to a 1-1/2 week high. Stocks received support from Fed Governor Brainard's comment that she may favor waiting to raise interest rates.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU15 -0.14%) this morning are down -4 ticks at a 2-week low. Tuesday's closes: TYU5 -19.00, FVU5 -8.00. Sep T-notes on Tuesday sold-off to a 1-1/2 week low and closed lower on carry-over weakness from a slide in German bund prices to a 2-week low on reduced deflation concerns after Eurozone May CPI rose more than expected. In addition, there was reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes on optimism a Greek bailout deal may be closer after EU Economic Commissioner Moscovici said there was "real progress" in negotiations.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.34%) this morning is up +0.402 (+0.42%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0029 (-0.26%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.35 (+0.28%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index -1.557 (-1.60%), EUR/USD +0.02242 (+2.05%), USD/JPY -0.673 (-0.54%). The dollar index on Tuesday dropped to a 1-week low and closed sharply lower on Fed Governor Brainard's indication that she may favor delaying an interest rate hike when she said "the string of soft data in Q1 raises some questions about the contours of the economic outlook." In addition, EUR/USD rallied sharply on reduced deflation concerns after the Eurozone May CPI estimate rose +0.3% y/y, more than expectations of +0.2% y/y and the first increase in 6 months.
July WTI crude oil (CLN15 -2.07%) this morning is down -$1.35 a barrel (-2.20%). July gasoline (RBN15 -2.11%) is down -0.0445 (-2.16%). Tuesday's closes: CLN5 +1.06 (+1.76%), RBN5 +0.0167 (+0.82%). July crude oil and gasoline closed higher Tuesday with Jul crude at a 3-week high on the sharp sell-off in the dollar index and on expectations for Wednesday' weekly EIA crude inventories to fall -2.5 million bbl, the fifth straight weekly decline.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR06/03/2015

US	0700 ET	Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -1.6% with purchase sub-index +1.2% and refi sub-index -3.9%.
	0815 ET	May ADP employment change expected +200,000, Apr +169,000.
	0830 ET	Apr trade balance expected -$44.0 billion, Mar -$51.4 billion. Benchmark revisions.
	0945 ET	Final-May Markit services PMI expected unrevised at 56.4, prelim-May -1.0 to 56.4. Final-May Markit composite PMI, prelim-May -0.9 to 56.1.
	1000 ET	May ISM non-manufacturing PMI expected -0.8 to 57.0, Apr +1.3 to 57.8
	1030 ET	EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
	1400 ET	Fed Beige Book.
	1415 ET	Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speaks at a banking symposium at the University Club of Chicago.
GER	0355 ET	Revised German May Markit services PMI, previous 52.9.
EUR	0400 ET	Revised Eurozone May Markit composite PMI, previous 53.4.
	0500 ET	Eurozone Apr retail sales expected +0.6% m/m and +2.0% y/y, Mar -0.8% m/m and +1.6% y/y.
	0500 ET	Eurozone Apr unemployment rate expected -0.1 to 11.2%, Mar 11.3%.
	0745 ET	ECB announces interest rate decision.
UK	0200 ET	UK May nationwide house prices expected +0.4% m/m and +4.9% y/y.
	0430 ET	UK May Markit/CIPS services PMI expected -0.3 to 59.2, Apr 59.5.

U.S. STOCK CALENDAR06/03/2015

Company	Ticker	Time	Event Description	Period	Estimate
LinkedIn Corp	LNKD US	0:00	Annual General Meeting
Fastenal Co	FAST US	7:00	May 2015 Sales and Revenue Release	2015
Kosmos Energy Ltd	KOS US	7:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Brown-Forman Corp	BF/B US	8:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Release	Q4 2015	0.66
American Airlines Group Inc	AAL US	9:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Wendy's Co/The	WEN US	9:00	Q4 2015 Guidance Call	Q4 2015
Devon Energy Corp	DVN US	9:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Brown-Forman Corp	BF/B US	10:00	Q4 2015 Earnings Call	Q4 2015
Amgen Inc	AMGN US	10:00	U.S. Ct of Appeals Hears Amgen vs. Novartis AG's Sandoz Unit Patent Case
New York Community Bancorp Inc	NYCB US	10:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Rice Energy Inc	RICE US	10:00	Annual General Meeting
Rice Energy Inc	RICE US	10:00	Annual General Meeting
Michaels Cos Inc/The	MIK US	10:30	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Molson Coors Brewing Co	TAP US	11:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Alliance Data Systems Corp	ADS US	11:00	Annual General Meeting
Antero Resources Corp	AR US	11:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Google Inc	GOOGL US	12:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Workday Inc	WDAY US	12:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Cabela's Inc	CAB US	12:05	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
LinkedIn Corp	LNKD US	13:00	Annual General Meeting
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc	DKS US	13:30	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
Google Inc	GOOGL US	14:45	Economic Club of Canada Presents Managing Director, Sam Sebastian
Tech Data Corp	TECD US	15:00	Annual General Meeting	Y 2015
FireEye Inc	FEYE US	16:00	Analyst Day	Y 2015
Costco Wholesale Corp	COST US	Aft-mkt	May 2015 Sales and Revenue Release	2015
American Airlines Group Inc	AAL US		Annual General Meeting
Questar Corp	STR US		Roadshow - Europe - Day 3	Y 2015
Activision Blizzard Inc	ATVI US		Annual General Meeting
AutoNation Inc	AN US		May 2015 Sales and Revenue Release	2015
Post Properties Inc	PPS US		Annual General Meeting
Ingram Micro Inc	IM US		Annual General Meeting
CoStar Group Inc	CSGP US		Annual General Meeting
SunPower Corp	SPWR US		Annual General Meeting
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc	ULTA US		Annual General Meeting
KAR Auction Services Inc	KAR US		Annual General Meeting
Twitter Inc	TWTR US		Annual General Meeting
Brixmor Property Group Inc	BRX US		Annual General Meeting
Seventy Seven Energy Inc	SSE US		Annual General Meeting	Y 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 3/30

BARCHART MORNING CALL

Monday, March 30th, 2015View Older Reports

Everything you need to know about the markets in one free daily newsletter.

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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.51%) this morning are up +0.46% and European stocks are up +1.20% on the prospects for China to expand its stimulus measures after China's central bank said the government can do more to support growth. Another positive for European stocks was the larger-than-expected increase in Eurozone Mar economic confidence to the highest in 3-1/2 years. Asian stocks closed mostly higher: Japan +0.65%, Hong Kong +1.51%, China +2.93%, Taiwan +0.19%, Australia -1.25%, Singapore +0.12%, South Korea +0.22%, India +1.88%. China's Shanghai Index surged nearly 3% to a 7-year high after the head of the PBOC, Zhou Xiaochuan, said that China's growth rate has tumbled "a bit" too much, and that policy makers have room to act with both interest rates and "quantitative" measures, which bolstered speculation that China will boost stimulus measures. Commodity prices are mostly lower. May crude oil (CLK15 -1.35%) is down -2.07% on speculation a potential nuclear deal between Iran and Western nations may end sanctions against Iran and lead to increased Iranian crude exports that may exacerbate a global supply glut. May gasoline (RBK15 -0.84%) is down -1.24%. Apr gold (GCJ15 -1.38%) is down -1.20%. May copper (HGK15 +0.31%) is up +0.33%. Agriculture prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.56%) is up +0.53%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.47%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.51%. Jun T-note prices (ZNM15 -0.07%) are down -2.5 ticks.
The Eurozone Mar business climate indicator rose +0.14 to 0.23, stronger than expectations of +0.11 to 0.18 and matched the November 2014 reading as the highest in 9 months. Mar economic confidence rose +1.6 to 103.9, stronger than expectations of +0.9 to 103.0 and the highest in 3-1/2 years.
UK Feb mortgage approvals rose 61,800, stronger than expectations of 61,500 and the most in 6 months.
UK Feb net consumer credit rose +0.7 billion pounds, less than expectations of +0.9 billion pounds.
Japan Feb industrial production fell -3.4% m/m and -2.6% y/y, weaker than expectations of -1.9% m/m and -0.6% y/y.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Key news today includes (1) today's deadline for Greece to submit a list of sufficent reforms to Eurozone finance ministers to qualify for frozen bailout money and avoid a new default, (2) oil prices ahead of tomorrow's deadline for a political agreement on the Iran nuclear talks, (3) today's Feb personal income report (expected +0.3%) and spending report (expected +0.2%), (4) today's Feb PCE deflator report (expected +0.3% y/y vs +0.2% in Jan) and Feb core PCE deflator report (expected unchanged from Jan at +1.3%), (4) today's Feb pending home sales report (expected +0.4% m/m), (5) today's Mar Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index (expected +2.2 to -9.0), and (6) Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer's keynote address at the Atlanta Fed’s conference on “Central Banking in the Shadows: Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Post Crisis.”
There is one of the Russell 1000 companies that reports earnings today: American Realty Capital Properties (consensus $0.23).
There are no U.S. IPOs that are scheduled to price or begin trading today.
Equity conferences this week include: Bank of America Merrill Lynch New York Auto Summit on Wed, DUG Bakken and Niobrara Unconventional Oil Conference on Wed, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Utilities Conference on Wed, New York Interational Auto Show-Press Days on Wed, and Goldman Sachs Biosimilars Conference on Thu.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Nike (NKE +0.55%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Neutral' at RW Baird.
Genesco (GCO +0.49%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Outperform' at RW Baird
BHP Billiton (BHP -1.98%) was upgraded to 'Outperformer' from 'Sector Performer' at CIBC.
Western Union (WU +1.60%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Evercore ISI.
Xilinx (XLNX +5.85%) was downgraded to 'Equal Weight' from 'Overweight' at Morgan Stanley.
Madison Square Garden (MSG +1.55%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Topeka.
Horizon Pharma (HZNP +3.27%) will acquire Hyperion Therapeutics (HPTX -1.88%) for $46.00 per share, or $1.1 billion on a fully diluted basis.
Restoration Hardware (RH +4.06%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Barclays upgraded Analog Devices (ADI +2.47%) to 'Overweight' from 'Equal Weight' saying it believes the chip maker has secured multiple socket wins in Apple's iPhone and iPad.
Altera (ALTR +28.37%) is up over 3% in pre-market trading on carry-over support from Friday's 28% surge in the stock amid reports that Intel is in negotiations to acquire the company.
Realty Income (O -0.37%) will replace Windstream (WIN -5.10%) in the S&P 500 as the close of trading on April 6.
Fitch Ratings downgraded Greece's Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings to 'CCC' from 'B.'
Enterprise Partners reported a 8.3% passive stake in Celladon (CLDN +2.88%) .

MARKET COMMENTS

Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.51%) this morning are up +9.50 points (+0.46%). Friday's closes: S&P 500 +0.24%, Dow Jones +0.19%, Nasdaq +0.41%. The U.S. stock market closed higher on Friday on the stronger-than-expected +1.8 point increase to 93.0 in the final-March U.S. consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan and the rally in tech stocks sparked by the news that Intel is in talks to acquire Altera. Stock market gains were limited by disappointment that U.S. Q4 GDP was left unrevised at +2.2% versus expectations for an upward revision to +2.4%.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM15 -0.07%) this morning are down -2.5 ticks. Friday's closes: TYM5 +14.50, FVM5 +9.00. T-note prices rallied on Friday due to reduced inflation expectations sparked by the plunge in crude oil prices and the unrevised Q4 GDP report of +2.2% that suggests the Fed will to slow to raise interest rates.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.56%) this morning is up +0.520 (+0.53%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0051 (-0.47%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.61 (+0.51%). Friday's closes: Dollar index -0.145 (-0.15%), EUR/USD +0.005 (+0.05%), USD/JPY -0.06 (-0.05%). The dollar index on Friday closed mildly lower after the unrevised U.S. Q4 GDP report of +2.2% sparked ideas that the Fed may delay an interest rate hike. The dollar received some underlying support from the stronger-than-expected U.S. Mar University of Michigan consumer sentiment report.
May WTI crude oil (CLK15 -1.35%) this morning is down -$1.01 a barrel (-2.07%) and May gasoline (RBK15 -0.84%) is down -0.0222 (-1.24%). Friday's closes: CLK5 -2.56 (-4.98), RBK5 -0.0877 (-4.66%). May crude oil and gasoline prices on Friday fell sharply on the possibility for an Iranian nuclear agreement and on ideas that Saudi Arabia's military involvement in Yemen may actually reduce the chances of oil disruptions in the Middle East.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/30/2015

US	0830 ET	Feb personal spending expected +0.2%, Jan -0.2%. Feb personal income expected +0.3%, Jan +0.3%.
	0830 ET	Feb PCE deflator expected +0.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y, Jan -0.5% m/m and +0.2% y/y. Feb core PCE deflator expected +0.1% m/m and +1.3% y/y, Jan +0.1% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
	1000 ET	Feb pending home sales expected +0.4% m/m and +8.7% y/y, Jan +1.7% m/m and +6.5% y/y.
	1030 ET	Mar Dallas Fed manufacturing activity expected +2.2 to -9.0, Feb -6.8 to -11.2.
	1100 ET	USDA weekly grain export inspections.
	1915 ET	Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer delivers keynote address at the Atlanta Feds conference on Central Banking in the Shadows: Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Post Crisis.
UK	0430 ET	UK Feb net consumer credit expected +0.9 billion pounds, Jan +0.8 billion pounds.
	0430 ET	UK Feb mortgage approvals expected 61,500, Jan 60,800.
	0430 ET	UK Feb M4 money supply, Jan -0.8% m/m and -2.2% y/y.
	1905 ET	UK Mar GfK consumer confidence expected +1 to 2, Feb 1.
EUR	0500 ET	Eurozone Mar business climate indicator expected +0.11 to 0.18, Feb 0.07. Mar economic confidence expected +0.9 to 103.0, Feb 102.1.
	0500 ET	Revised Eurozone Mar consumer confidence, previous +3.0 to -3.7.
GER	0800 ET	German Mar CPI (EU harmonized) expected +0.5% m/m and +0.1% y/y, Feb +1.0% m/m and -0.1% y/y.
JPN	2130 ET	Japan Feb labor cash earnings expected +0.8% y/y, Jan +1.3% y/y. Feb real cash earnings, Jan -1.5% y/y.

U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/30/2015

Company	Ticker	Time	Event Description	Period	Estimate
American Realty Capital Properties Inc	ARCP US	10:00	Q4 2014 Earnings Call	Q4 2014
Mosaic Co/The	MOS US	18:00	Analyst Day - Day 1	Y 2015
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc	REGN US		Eylea, diabetic retinopathy in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME)
Tahoe Resources Inc	THO CN		Shareholders Meeting	Y 2015
American Realty Capital Properties Inc	ARCP US		Q4 2014 Earnings Release	Q4 2014	0.233

BARCHART MORNING CALL 3/13

BARCHART MORNING CALL

Friday, March 13th, 2015View Older Reports

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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.10%) this morning are up +0.12% ahead of U.S. producer prices for Feb and a preliminary reading of U.S. consumer confidence for March. European stocks ae down -0.12 as energy producers fall after the price of crude oil slipped to a 6-week low. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +1.39%, Hong Kong +0.11%, China +0.69%, Taiwan -0.17%, Australia -0.61%, Singapore -0.32%, South Korea +0.76%, India -1.48%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index rallied up to a 14-3/4 year high and China's Shanghai Stock Index rose to a 6-week high on receding Fed rate hike prospects after U.S. Feb retail sales unexpectedly declined for a third month. Commodity prices are mixed. Apr crude oil (CLJ15 -1.49%) is down -0.55% at a 6-week low on a supply glut in the U.S. after Wednesday's EIA data showed U.S. crude stockpiles at 448.9 million bbl, the most since EIA data started in 1982. Apr gasoline (RBJ15 -0.62%) is down -0.57% at a 3-week low. The IEA said today that the record oil surplus in the U.S. may soon strain the nation's storage capacity and further pressure oil prices. The IEA said that the oil-storage hub in Cushing, OK, the largest in the U.S., is now 70% full. Apr gold (GCJ15 +0.31%) is up +0.27%. May copper (HGK15 -0.24%) is down -0.23% as it retreated from a 1-week high on signs of ample global supplies after weekly Shanghai copper inventories rose +17,276 MT to 241,616 MT, a 1-3/4 year high, and LME copper inventories rose +2,825 MT to 333,575 MT, a 13-1/2 month high. Agriculture prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.14%) is up +0.11%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.47%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.13%. GBP/USD is down -0.38% at a 4-1/2 year low after UK Jan construction output unexpectedly fell at the fastest pace in 14 months. Jun T-note prices (ZNM15 -0.21%) are down -7.5 ticks.
Japan Jan industrial production was revised lower to +3.7% m/m and -2.8% y/y from the originally reported +4.0% m/m and -2.6% y/y. Jan capacity utilization rose +3.6% m/m and matched September's increase as the largest in a year.
UK Jan construction output unexpectedly fell -2.6% m/m and -3.1% y/y, weaker than expectations of +1.3% m/m and +2.1% y/y with the -2.6% m/m decline the biggest monthly drop in 14 months and the -3.1% y/y decline the largest annual fall in 22 months.
The German Feb wholesale price index rose +0.5% m/m and fell -2.1% y/y with the +0.5% m/m gain the biggest monthly increase in 17 months.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Today’s preliminary-March U.S. consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan is expected to show a small +0.1 point increase to 95.5, stabilizing after Feb’s fairly sharp -2.7 point decline to 95.4. Today’s Feb final-demand PPI index is expected to match January’s report of unchanged y/y and the core PPI is expected to match Jan’s report of +1.6% y/y. There is one of the Russell 1000 companies that reports earnings today: Ocwen Financial Corp (consensus $0.35). There are no equity conferences today.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Intel (INTC -4.73%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Canaccord.
Genesco (GCO -7.79%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Sterne Agee.
Children's Place (PLCE +8.81%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Citigroup.
Worldwide PC shipments are expected to drop 4.9% in 2015, compared to a previous forecast of 3.3%, reports DigiTimes, according to the IDC Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker.
Piper Jaffray said February video game software sales rose 7% y/y and maintains its 'Overweight' ratings on Activision Blizzard (ATVI -0.09%) , Electronic Arts (EA -0.05%) , GameStop (GME +0.51%) and Take-Two (TTWO +0.20%) .
General Motors (GM +1.72%) will recall approximately 64,000 2011-13 Chevrolet Volts for a software update to limit how long the car can be left idling.
Kronos Worldwide (KRO +1.76%) reported Q4 EPS of 17 cents, better than consensus of 14 cents.
Mobileye (MBLY +0.75%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Laurene Powell Jobs Trust reported a 7.7% passive stake in Disney (DIS +4.16%) .
Ulta Salon (ULTA +2.01%) jumped 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of $1.35, higher than consensus of $1.27.
Aeropostale (ARO -6.80%) slid 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 1 cent, better than consensus of a -3 cent loss, but then lowered guidance on Q1 EPS to a loss of -61 cents to -53 cwnts, a larger loss than consensus of -36 cents.

MARKET COMMENTS

Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.10%) this morning are up +2.50 points (+0.12%). The S&P 500 index on Thursday closed sharply higher: S&P 500 +1.26%, Dow Jones +1.47%, Nasdaq +0.72%. Bullish factors included (1) signs that China’s monetary easing is spurring demand for loans after data showed China Feb aggregate financing, China’s broadest measure of new credit, rose 1.35 trillion yuan, more than expectations of 1.00 trillion yuan, (2) a rally in bank stocks after 29 U.S. banks passed Fed stress tests, and (3) reduced interest rate hike concerns after Feb retail sales unexpectedly fell for a third month as they declined -0.6% and -0.1% ex autos, weaker than expectations of +0.5% and +0.3% ex autos.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM15 -0.21%) this morning are down -7.5 ticks. Jun 10-year T-note futures prices on Thursday rose to a 1-1/2 week high and closed higher. Closes: TYM5 +7.00, FVM5 +5.75. The main bullish factor was the unexpected decline in U.S. Feb retail sales for a third month, which may prompt the Fed to delay interest rate hikes. T-notes fell back from their best levels on weak demand for the Treasury’s $13 billion 30-year T-bond auction that had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.18, below the 12-auction average of 2.45 and the lowest in 10 months.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.14%) this morning is up +0.111 (+0.11%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0050 (-0.47%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.16 (+0.13%). The dollar index on Thursday closed lower: Dollar index -0.360 (-0.36%), EUR/USD +0.00876 (+0.83%), USD/JPY -0.159 (-0.13%). Bearish factors included the unexpected decline in U.S. Feb retail sales for a third month, which fueled long liquidation in the dollar, and (2) strength in EUR/USD on reduced Greek default concerns after the ECB increased the Emergency Liquidity Assistance for Greek banks by 600 million euros.
Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ15 -1.49%) this morning is down -26 cents (-0.55%) at a 6-week low and Apr gasoline (RBJ15 -0.62%) is down -0.0103 (-0.57%) at a 3-week low. Apr crude oil and gasoline prices on Thursday closed lower with Apr crude at a 5-week low and Apr gasoline at a 3-week low: CLJ5 -1.12 (-2.33), RBJ5 -0.0253 (-1.39%). Bearish factors included (1) abundant supplies as Wednesday’s EIA data showed EIA crude inventories rose +4.51 million bbl to 448.9 million bbl, the highest since EIA data began in 1982, and (2) the unexpected decline in U.S. Feb retail sales for a third month, which signals economic weakness.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/13/2015

US	0830 ET	Feb PPI final demand expected +0.3% m/m and unch y/y, Jan -0.8% m/m and unch y/y. Feb PPI final demand ex food & energy expected +0.1% m/m and +1.6% y/y, Jan -0.1% m/m and +1.6% y/y.
	1000 ET	Preliminary-Mar U.S. consumer confidence index (University of Michigan) expected +0.1 to 95.5, Feb -2.7 to 95.4.
JPN	0030 ET	Revised Japan Jan industrial production, previous +4.0% m/m and -2.6% y/y.
	0030 ET	Japan Jan capacity utilization, Dec +2.0% m/m.
GER	0300 ET	German Feb wholesale price index, Jan -2.6% m/m and -0.4% y/y.
UK	0530 ET	UK Jan construction output expected +1.3% m/m and +2.1% y/y, Dec +0.4% m/m and +5.5% y/y.

U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/13/2015

Company	Ticker	Time	Event Description	Period	Estimate
Ocwen Financial Corp	OCN US		Q4 2014 Earnings Release	Q4 2014	0.349

BARCHART MORNING CALL 12/10

BARCHART MORNING CALL

Wednesday, December 10th, 2014View Older Reports

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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 -0.10%) this morning are down -0.06% and European stocks are up +0.56% after Die Zeit reported that ECB President Draghi called German Finance Minister Schaeuble after the Dec 4 ECB meeting in an attempt to garner support in Germany for a government-bond purchase plan to be decided as soon as next month. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan -2.25%, Hong Kong +0.16%, China +3.69%, Taiwan -1.06%, Australia -0.45%, Singapore +0.18%, South Korea -1.52%, India +0.12%. Chinese stocks rallied nearly 4% after a slowdown in inflation bolstered the case for more monetary easing after China Nov CPI rose less than expected at the slowest pace in 5 years. Commodity prices are mostly lower. Jan crude oil (CLF15 -1.91%) is down -1.93% after OPEC cut its 2015 global demand forecast for its crude to a 12-year low. Jan gasoline (RBF15 -2.09%) is down -2.16% at a fresh 5-year low. Feb gold (GCG15 -0.34%) is down -0.33%. Mar copper (HGH15 -0.92%) is down -0.70%. Agriculture prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 unch) is down -0.02%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is unch. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.33%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 unch) are unch.
China Nov CPI rose +1.4% y/y, less than expectations of +1.6% y/y and the smallest pace of increase in 5 years. China Nov PPI fell -2.7% y/y, a larger decline than expectations of -2.4% y/y and the steepest drop in 1-1/2 years.
The Japan Nov consumer confidence index unexpectedly fell -1.2 to 37.7, weaker than expectations of +0.6 to 39.5 and the lowest in 7 months.
The Japan Q4 BSI large all-industry business conditions fell -6.1 to 5.0, a bigger decline than expectations of -1.1 to 10.0. Q4 BSI large manufacturing business conditions fell -4.6 to 8.1.
Japan Nov PPI fell -0.2% m/m, a smaller decline than expectations of -0.3% m/m. On an annual basis, Nov PPI rose +2.7% y/y, more than expectations of +2.6% y/y but still the slowest pace of increase in 8 months.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Today’s Nov monthly Treasury budget statement is expected to show a deficit of -$65.0 billion, which would be substantially better than the -$135.2 billion deficit seen a year ago in Nov 2013. The Treasury today will sell $21 billion of 10-year T-notes in a reopening of last month’s 2-1/4% 10-year note of Nov 2024. There are 2 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Toll Brothers (consensus $0.73), Costco (1.09).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference on Tue-Wed, Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference on Tue-Wed, Wells Fargo Energy Symposium on Tue-Wed, Barclays Real Estate Conference on Wed, BMO Technology Conference on Wed, Mitsubishi UFJ Securities Property REIT Conference on Wed, Wells Fargo Securities Research, Economics & Strategy Energy Symposium on Wed, Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia Ltd Americas Innovation Summit on Wed, Oppenheimer Healthcare Conference on Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Basic Materials Conference on Wed-Thu, Capital One Southcoast Energy Conference on Wed-Thu, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Animal & Dental Health Summit on Thu, and Desjardins Securities Materials Conference on Thu.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Goldman Sachs (GS +0.14%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Positive' at Susquehanna.
Disney (DIS -0.92%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Topeka due to valuation.
Genesco (GCO +1.16%) was upgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Sell' at Goldman Sachs.
British Petroleum (BP -0.90%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Deutsche Bank.
Costco Wholesale (COST +0.50%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.12, higher than consensus of $1.09.
Yum! Brands (YUM -1.62%) fell nearly 5% in pre-market trading after the company said 2014 EPS, excluding some items, wil rise by a mid-single-figit percentage, well below a previous forecast of 20% growth.
Krispy Kreme (KKD +0.50%) fell over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 18 cents, less than consensus of 19 cents.
Korn/Ferry (KFY +1.71%) rose over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 51 cents, better than consensus of 45 ccents.
Lazard reported a 5.072% passive stake in Mobile TeleSystems (MBT -0.31%) .
CHC Group (HELI +7.35%) reported a Q3 EPS loss of -31 cents, a smaller loss than consensus of -38 cents.

MARKET COMMENTS

Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 -0.10%) this morning are down -1.25 points (-0.06%). The S&P 500 index on Tuesday fell to a 3-week low and closed lower, although stocks recovered from their worst levels after energy producers and technology companies rose: S&P 500 -0.02%, Dow Jones -0.29%, Nasdaq +0.38%. Bearish factors included (1) carry-over weakness from a slide in world equity markets after China tightened collateral rules for short-term loans and sparked a sharp sell-off in Chinese stocks, and (2) renewed Greek debt concerns after the Greek government brought forward the process for choosing a new President this month, a move that risks triggering parliamentary elections that could put a party in power that opposes the terms of Greece’s bailout by the EU.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 unch) this morning are unch. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Tuesday closed higher: TYH5 +12.00, FVH5 +6.75. Bullish factors included (1) reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year break-even rate fell to a new low, and (2) increased safe-haven demand for Treasuries after the S&P 500 tumbled to a 3-week low.
The dollar index (DXY00 unch) this morning is down -0.022 (-0.02%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is unch. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.39 (-0.33%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed lower. Closes: Dollar index -0.351 (-0.39%), EUR/USD +0.00571 (+0.46%), USD/JPY -0.99 (-0.82%). Bearish factors included (1) strength in the yen as USD/JPY fell to a 1-week low after a slide in global equity markets boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen, and (2) strength in EUR/USD which rallied after German Nov exports were a bit stronger than expected.
Jan WTI crude oil (CLF15 -1.91%) this morning is down -$1.23 a barrel (-1.93%) and Jan gasoline (RBF15 -2.09%) is down -0.0372 (-2.16%) at a 5-year low. Jan crude Tuesday rebounded from a 5-1/3 year low and Jan gasoline prices recovered from a 5-year low and closed higher. Closes: CLF5 +0.77 (+1.22%), RBF5 +0.017 (+1.00%). Supportive factors included (1) short covering in most commodities after the dollar index fell, and (2) expectations for Wednesday’s weekly EIA crude inventories to fall -2.7 million bbl.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR12/10/2014

US	0700 ET	Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -7.3% with purchase sub-index +2.5% and refi sub-index -13.4%.
	1030 ET	EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
	1200 ET	USDA Dec WASDE crop production.
	1300 ET	Treasury auctions $21 billion 10-year T-notes.
	1400 ET	Nov monthly budget statement expected -$65.0 billion, Nov-2013 -$135.2 billion.
JPN	0000 ET	Japan Nov consumer confidence index expected +0.6 to 39.5, Oct 38.9.
	1850 ET	Japan Oct tertiary industry index expected -0.2% m/m, Sep +1.0% m/m.
	1850 ET	Japan Oct machine orders expected -1.7% m/m and -0.3% y/y, Sep +2.9% m/m and +7.3% y/y.
UK	1901 ET	UK Nov RICS house price balance expected 15%, Oct 20%.

U.S. STOCK CALENDAR12/10/2014

Company	Ticker	Time	Event Description	Period	Estimate
Toll Brothers Inc	TOL US	Bef-mkt	Q4 2014 Earnings Release	Q4 2014	0.727
Costco Wholesale Corp	COST US	Bef-mkt	Q1 2015 Earnings Release	Q1 2015	1.091
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc	BMRN US	8:00	Investor Day	Y 2014
Diebold Inc	DBD US	9:00	Investment Community Conference	Y 2014
Tyson Foods Inc	TSN US	9:30	Investor Day	Y 2014
McDonald's Corp	MCD US	11:00	Investor Meeting	Y 2014
Costco Wholesale Corp	COST US	11:00	Q1 2015 Earnings Call	Q1 2015
Brown-Forman Corp	BF/B US	13:00	Analyst Meeting	Y 2014
Pall Corp	PLL US	13:00	Annual General Meeting
Bunge Ltd	BG US	13:00	Investor Day	Y 2014
Toll Brothers Inc	TOL US	14:00	Q4 2014 Earnings Call	Q4 2014
Altera Corp	ALTR US	16:45	Q4 2015 Guidance Call	Q4 2015
Kennametal Inc	KMT US		November 2014 Monthly Orders Release
Progressive Corp/The	PGR US		November 2014 Sales and Revenue Release	2014
Charles Schwab Corp/The	SCHW US		November 2014 Sales and Revenue Release - Activity Report	2014