Showing posts with label SGY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SGY. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 3, 2016

MORNING CALL 8/3

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.22%) are down -0.20% ahead of data on U.S. Jul ADP employment. Losses in U.S. stock index futures were limited as energy producing stocks rose as the price of crude oil (CLU16 +0.38%) climbed +0.51% after API data late yesterday showed U.S. oil inventories fell by -1.34 million bbl. European stocks are down -0.01% at a 3-week low as automakers fell after tire manufacturer Continental AG dropped over 1% when it reported Q2 revenue that was below expectations. Losses in European stocks were contained after the Eurozone Jul Markit composite PMI unexpectedly accelerated to the highest in six months. Activity in European trading was muted ahead of tomorrow's BOE policy meeting that is expected to show the BOE boosting easing measures to contain the Brexit fallout. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan -1.88%, Hong Kong -1.76%, China +0.24%, Taiwan -0.74%, Australia-1.35%, Singapore -1.02%, South Korea -1.30%, India -1.02%. Chinese stocks closed higher after brokerage-related stocks rallied after people familiar with the matter said that China's futures exchange is planning to relax trading restrictions it implemented last year after China's stock market rout. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index fell to a 3-week low as exporter stocks sold-off when USD/JPY tumbled to a 3-week low on disappointment over the size of Prime Minister Abe's stimulus package.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.20%) is up +0.20%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.20%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.36%.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.01%) are down -1 tick.
The Eurozone Jul Markit composite PMI was revised upward to 53.2 from the originally reported 52.9, the fastest pace of expansion in 6 months.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -11.2% with purchase sub-index -3.3% and refi sub-index -15.1%), (2) Jul ADP employment (expected +170,000, Jun +172,000), (3) revised-Jul Markit services PMI (expected +0.1 to 51.0, prelim-Jul -0.5 to 50.9), (4) Jul ISM non-manufacturing PMI (expected -0.5 to 56.0, Jun +3.6 to 56.5), (5) EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
There are 29 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Time Warner (consensus $1.17), Marathon Oil (-0.25), Allstate (0.58), ICE (3.38), Humana (2.28), Prudential Financial (2.50), MetLife (1.35), First Solar (0.54). TripAdvisor (0.42).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: At Home Group (HOME), Atomera (ATMR)
Equity conferences this week include: Wells Fargo Services Conference on Wed-Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
American International Group (AIG -0.13%) gained over 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 operating EPS of 98 cents, higher than consensus of 92 cents, and then said it will add up to $3 billion to its stock buyback plan.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK -1.34%) lost over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 73 cents, below consensus of 76 cents.
Hanesbrands (HBI -3.39%) fell nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 51 cents, weaker than consensus of 52 cents.
Phillips 66 (PSX +2.55%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Cowen.
Fitbit (FIT -3.87%) rose over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 12 cents, above consensus of 11 cents.
Qorvo (QRVO -3.18%) slid over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported fiscal-year Q1 gross margin of 48.2%, weaker than consensus of 50% and then said it sees fiscal-year Q2 gross margin of 47%, below consensus of 50.3%.
Community Health Systems (CYH -3.02%) dropped over 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 9 cents, well below consensus of 56 cents, and then lowered its view of 2016 EPS continuing operations to $1.40-$1.90 from a prior view of $2.50-$2.80.
Hudson Technologies (HDSN +7.41%) gained over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 14 cents, higher than consensus of 11 cents.
Oclaro (OCLR -3.99%) rose over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 11 cents, better than consensus of 6 cents, and then forecast Q1 revenue of $126 million-$134 million, above consensus of $118.6 million.
Stone Energy (SGY -1.16%) sank 20% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 adjusted loss of -$7.45, a bigger loss than consensus of -$6.12.
Big 5 Sporting Goods (BGFV +1.65%) climbed nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 net sales of $241.4 million, above consensus of $239 million.
ZAGG Inc. (ZAGG -0.31%) jumped over 11% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 11 cents, well above consensus of 2 cents.
Cray (CRAY -0.92%) plunged 20% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 adjusted EPS loss of -29 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -2 cents, and then cut its fiscal 2016 revenue estimate to in the range of $650 million, well below consensus of $796 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.22%) this morning are down -4.25 points (-0.20%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.64%, Dow Jones -0.49%, Nasdaq -0.77%. The S&P on Tuesday tumbled to a 2-1/2 week low and closed lower on the weaker-than-expected +0.2% increase in U.S. Jun personal income (vs expectations of +0.3%) and weakness in energy producers due to the -1.37% drop in crude oil prices to a new 3-1/2 month low. Stocks were also undercut by long liquidation pressures after the +9.4% rally in the S&P 500 over the past month to Monday's all-time high.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 -0.01%) this morning are down -1 tick. Tuesday's closes: TYU6 -8.00, FVU6 -3.00. Sep T-notes on Tuesday closed lower on negative carry-over from a slide in German bund prices after Eurozone Jun PPI rose more than expected and the +0.4% increase in U.S. Jun personal spending (stronger than expectations of +0.3%).
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.20%) this morning is up +0.187 (+0.20%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0023 (-0.20%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.36 (+0.36%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar index -0.649 (-0.68%), EUR/USD +0.0061 (+0.55%), USD/JPY -1.50 (-1.46%). The dollar index on Tuesday dropped to a 1-1/4 month low and closed lower on strength in EUR/USD which rallied to a 1-1/4 month high after Eurozone Jun PPI rose +0.7% m/m, the largest monthly increase in 3-3/4 years, perhaps keeping the ECB from expanding stimulus measures. In addition, USD/JPY fell to a 3-week low on a yen rally generated by some disappointment that the Japanese government announced only 4.6 trillion yen ($45 billion) in extra spending for the current fiscal year as part of its fiscal stimulus package.
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 +0.38%) this morning is up +20 cents (+0.51%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16 -0.41%) is down -0.0037 (-0.38%). Tuesday's closes: CLU6 -0.55 (-1.37%), RBU6 +0.0080 (+0.61%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday settled mixed with Sep crude at a 3-1/2 month low. Crude oil was undercut by increased OPEC output as OPEC July crude production rose +130,000 bpd to a record 33.24 million bpd. Gasoline received a boost from the fall in the dollar index to a 1-1/4-month low and on increased refinery demand for gasoline as the crack spread rose to a 1-month high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/03/2016
Wednesday, Aug 3
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -11.2% with purchase sub-index -3.3% and refi sub-index -15.1%.
0815 ETJul ADP employment change expected +170,000, Jun +172,000.
0830 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $24 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $20 billion) and 30-year T-bonds (previous $12 billion) to be auctioned Aug 9-11 in the Aug quarterly refunding.
0945 ETRevised Jul Markit services PMI expected +0.1 to 51.0; prelim-Jul -0.5 to 50.9. Revised Jul Markit composite PMI, prelim-Jul +0.3 to 51.5.
1000 ETJul ISM non-manufacturing PMI expected -0.5 to 56.0, Jun +3.6 to 56.5.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Thursday, Aug 4
ThuUS0730 ETJul Challenge job cuts, Jun -14.1% y/y.
0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -1,000 to 265,000, previous +14,000 to 266,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-9,000 to 2.130 million, previous +7,000 to 2.139 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1000 ETJun factory orders expected -1.9% and -0.2% ex transportation, May -1.0% and +0.1% ex-transportation.
GER0330 ETGerman Jul Markit construction PMI, Jun 50.4.
UK0400 ETUK Jul new car registrations, Jun -0.8% y/y.
0700 ETBOE Quarterly inflation report.
0700 ETBOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected -25 bp cut to the benchmark rate to 0.25% and the asset purchase target to remain unch at 375 billion pounds.
JPN2000 ETJapan Jun labor cash earnings expected +0.3% y/y, May -0.1%y/y. Jun real cash earnings, May +0.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/03/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Clorox Co/TheCLXBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.277
Dominion Resources Inc/VADBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.708
Noble Energy IncNBLBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.286
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXYBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.18
Time Warner IncTWXBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.165
Xcel Energy IncXELBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.404
Spectra Energy CorpSEBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.266
Zoetis IncZTSBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.444
Delphi Automotive PLCDLPH6:45Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.556
Humana IncHUM7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.283
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20163.378
American International Group IncAIG8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Time Warner IncTWX8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Verisk Analytics IncVRSK8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Zoetis IncZTS8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
FMC CorpFMC9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Spectra Energy CorpSE9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Delphi Automotive PLCDLPH9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Qorvo IncQRVO9:00Annual General Meeting
Concho Resources IncCXO9:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CA IncCA10:00Annual General Meeting
Dominion Resources Inc/VAD10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Noble Energy IncNBL10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
ONEOK IncOKE10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Xcel Energy IncXEL10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Newfield Exploration CoNFX11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Devon Energy CorpDVN11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Clorox Co/TheCLX13:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA16:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.369
Allstate Corp/TheALL16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.582
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA16:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Western Union Co/TheWU16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
First Solar IncFSLR16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CenturyLink IncCTL17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CF Industries Holdings IncCF17:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.664
CenturyLink IncCTLAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.595
Lincoln National CorpLNCAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.563
Tesoro CorpTSOAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.764
Marathon Oil CorpMROAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.245
Transocean LtdRIGAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.016
Albemarle CorpALBAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.005
Prudential Financial IncPRUAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.498
Western Union Co/TheWUAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.401
MetLife IncMETAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.349
Cimarex Energy CoXECAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.012
Equinix IncEQIXAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.998
First Solar IncFSLRAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.543
TripAdvisor IncTRIPAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.418
American Water Works Co IncAWKAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.73
Equinix IncEQIX17:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Costco Wholesale CorpCOST21:00July 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
Equifax IncEFXInvestor MeetingY 2016
Leucadia National CorpLUKQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.13

Thursday, June 30, 2016

MORNING CALL 6/30

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.17%) are up +0.25% and European stocks are up +0.80%. A rally in U.S. bank stocks is leading the overall market higher with Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup all up over 1% in pre-market trading after they passed the Fed's annual stress tests and said they will increase their stock buyback programs. A +0.16% gain in copper prices (HGU16 -0.05%) to a 1-3/4 month high is giving European mining stocks a lift, as is data that showed German May retail sales rose +0.9% m/m, the biggest increase in 10 months. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +0.06%, Hong Kong +1,75%, China -0.07%, Taiwan +0.93%, Australia +1,77%, Singapore +1.73%, South Korea +0.75%, India +0.97%.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.33%) is down -0.31%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.16% after Eurozone Jun CPI rose more than expected, which reduces the chances of additional ECB stimulus. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.04%.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.26%) are down -13.5 ticks.
German May retail sales rose +0.9% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.6% m/m and the largest increase in 10 months.
The Eurozone Jun CPI estimate rose +0.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of unch y/y. The Jun core CPI rose +0.9% y/y, stronger than expectations of +0.8% y/y.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected +8,000 to 267,000, previous -18,000 to 259,000) and continuing claims (expected +9,000 to 2.151 million, previous -20,000 to 2.142 million), (2) Jun Chicago PMI (expected +1.7 to 51.0, May -1.1 to 49.3), (3) St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speaks at the Society of Business Economists’ dinner in London, (4) USDA weekly Export Sales, and (5) USDA Q2 Quarterly Grain Stocks and 2016 U.S. planted acreage.
There are 7 of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today: McCormick (consensus $0.74), Paychex (0.49), Constellation Brands (1.52), Darden Restaurants (1.09), ConAgra Foods (0.52), Micron Technology (-0.10), Alere (0.58).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD)
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: none.


OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
JPMorgan Chase (JPM +2.82%) , Bank of America (BAC +3.86%) ,and Goldman Sachs (GS +2.17%) all rose over 1% in pre-market trading after they passed the Fed's CCAR stress tests without conditions.
Marriott International (MAR +3.69%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Evercore ISI with a price target of $75.
American International Group (AIG +3.29%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Neutral' at Atlantic Equities with a 12-month price target of $60.
Progress Software (PRGS +1.74%) rallied 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 33 cents, higher than consensus of 29 cents.
CIT Group (CIT +4.28%) climbed 6% in after-hours trading after it sold its Canadian Equipment Finance and Corporate Finance businesses to Laurentian Bank of Canada.
Pier 1 Imports (PIR +4.02%) slid 3% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on full-year adjusted EPS to 32 cents-40 cents from an April 13 view of 42 cents-50 cents.
Shutterstock (SSTK +4.47%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after it was announced that it will replace Southwest Gas in the S&P Smallcap 600.
Alliant Energy (LNT +0.03%) gained 0.5% in after-hours trading after it was announced that it will replace AGL Resources in the S&P 500 after the close of trading on Thursday, June 30.
Tractor Supply (TSCO +1.06%) dropped over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 revenue of $1.85 billion, below consensus of $1.93 billion, and then lowered guidance on full-year EPS to $3.35-$3.40 from a prior view of $3.40-$3.48.
Citigroup (C +4.15%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a $8.6 billion stock buyback and said it will lift its quarterly dividend to 16 cents from 5 cents.
Stone Energy (SGY +4.03%) jumped over 7% in after-hours trading after it said it ended its pact with ESV and ended its contract with Midstream and entered into a new gas gathering, processing pact with Williams at Mary Field in Appalachia.
Care.com (CRCM +2.79%) surged 18% in after-hours trading after it received a $46.35 million investment from Google Capital, who will add a representative to CRCM's board and is now the company's largest shareholder.

MARKET COMMENTS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.17%) this morning are up +5.25 points (+0.25%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +1.70%, Dow Jones +1.64%, Nasdaq +1.73%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed sharply higher on reduced Brexit concerns on speculation global central banks will take the necessary measures to mitigate the damage done by the UK's decision to leave the European Union. Stocks were also boosted by the as-expected +0.4% increase in U.S. May personal spending and by strength in energy producers after crude oil prices climbed +4.24%. Stocks were undercut by the-3.7% m/m decline in U.S. May pending home sales, the largest monthly decline in 6 years.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.26%) this morning are down -13.5 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYU6 -6.00. FVU6 -4.00. Sep T-notes on Wednesday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand with the 2-day recovery rally in stocks and the Atlanta Fed's hike in its U.S. Q2 GDP estimate to 2.7% from a previous estimate of 2.6%.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.33%) this morning is down -0.296 (-0.31%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0018 (+0.16%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.04 (-0.04%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.476 (-0.49%), EUR/USD +0.0060 (+0.54%), USD/JPY +0.08 (+0.08%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed lower on the weaker-than-expected U.S. May pending home sales report of -3.7% and the as-expected increase in German Jun CPI, which may keep the ECB from expanding stimulus and boosted EUR/USD.
Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ16 -1.06%) this morning is down -43 cents (-0.86%). Aug gasoline (RBQ16 -0.13%) is up +0.0002 (+0.01%). Wednesday's closes: CLQ6 +2.03 (+4.24%), RBQ6 +0.0184 (+1.21%). Aug crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday settled higher on the weaker dollar and the -4.05million bbl decline in EIA crude inventories (vs expectations of -2.5 million bbl). Crude oil was also boosted by the -0.6% drop in U.S. crude production in the week ended Jun 24 to a 1-3/4 year low of 8.622 million bpd. Gasoline prices were undercut on news that EIA gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly rose +1.37 million bbl, more than expectations for a -300,000 bbl decline.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR06/30/2016
Thursday, June 30, 2016
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +8,000 to 267,000, previous -18,000 to 259,000. Weekly continuing claims expected +9,000 to 2.151 million, previous -20,000 to 2.142 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
0945 ETJun Chicago PMI expected +1.7 to 51.0, May -1.1 to 49.3.
1200 ETUSDA Q2 Quarterly Grain Stocks and 2016 U.S. planted acreage.
1330 ETSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard speaks at the Society of Business Economists dinner in London.
CHI2100 ETChina Jun manufacturing PMI expected -0.1 to 50.0, May unch at 50.1. Jun non-manufacturing PMI, May -0.4 to 53.1.
2145 ETChina Jun Caixin manufacturing PMI expected unch at 49.2, May -0.2 to 49.2.
Friday, July 1, 2016
US0945 ETFinal-Jun Markit manufacturing PMI expected -0.1 to 51.3, prelim-Jun +0.7 to 51.4.
1000 ETJun ISM manufacturing index expected +0.1 to 51.4, May +0.5 to 51.3. Jun ISM new orders, May -0.1 to 55.7. Jun ISM employment, May unch at 49.2. Jun ISM prices paid expected +0.1 to 63.6, May +4.5 to 63.5.
1000 ETMay construction spending expected +0.6%, Apr -1.8% m/m.
n/aJun total vehicle sales expected 17.29 million, May 17.37 million. Jun domestic vehicle sales expected 13.40 million, May 13.33 million.
JPN0100 ETJapan Jun vehicle sales, May +6.6% y/y.
0100 ETJapan Jun consumer confidence index expected +0.2 to 41.1, May 40.9.
GER0355 ETRevised German Jun Markit/BME manufacturing PMI, prelim-Jun +2.3 to 54.4.
EUR0400 ETRevised Eurozone Jun Markit manufacturing PMI, prelim-Jun +1.1 to 52.6.
0500 ETEurozone May unemployment rate expected -0.1 to 10.1%, Apr unch at 10.2%.
UK0430 ETUK Jun Markit manufacturing PMI expected +0.1 to 50.2, May +0.7 to 50.1.
0430 ETUK Q1 labor costs expected +1.5% y/y, Q4 +1.3% y/y.

U.S. STOCK CALENDAR06/30/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
McCormick & Co Inc/MDMKCBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.741
Paychex IncPAYXBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.489
Constellation Brands IncSTZBef-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.519
Darden Restaurants IncDRIBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.085
ConAgra Foods IncCAG7:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.522
McCormick & Co Inc/MDMKC8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Darden Restaurants IncDRI8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
ConAgra Foods IncCAG9:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Paychex IncPAYX9:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Constellation Brands IncSTZ10:30Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
Red Hat IncRHT13:30Analyst DayY 2016
Micron Technology IncMU16:00Q3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2016-0.095
Micron Technology IncMU16:30Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Yahoo! IncYHOO17:00Annual General Meeting
Rowan Cos PlcRDCExtraordinary Shareholders Meeting
Rowan Cos PlcRDCSpecial Meeting
Alere IncALRQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.583

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

MORNING CALL 12/22

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.02%) are up +0.02%and European stocks are up +0.09%% as crude oil prices (CLG16 +0.20%) gained +0.45% in overnight trading. European stocks also found support after German Dec GfK consumer confidence unexpectedly rose. Gains in stocks were limited as weaker metals prices undercut miners and raw-material producers. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan -0.16%, Hong Kong +0.18%, China +0.26%, Taiwan +0.13%, Australia +0.15%, Singapore +0.26%, South Korea +0.71%, India -0.56%. China's Shanghai Composite eked out a new 3-week high on positive carryover from Monday when the Chinese government signaled more stimulus measures.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.12%) is down -0.13%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.26 % after German Nov import prices fell less than expected and German Dec GfK consumer confidence unexpectedly rose. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.21%.
Mar T-note prices (ZNH16 -0.02%) are down -2.5 ticks.
German Dec GfK consumer confidence unexpectedly rose +0.1 to 9.4, stronger than expectations of unch at 9.3.
The German Nov import price index fell -0.2% m/m and -3.5% y/y, a slower pace of decline than expectations of -0.2% m/m and -3.7% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Q3 GDP (expected revised to +1.9% from +2.1%), (2) Oct FHFA house price index (expected +0.5% m/m, Sep +0.8% m/m), (3) Nov existing home sales (expected -0.4% at 5.34 million, Oct -3.4% to 5.36 million), (4) Dec Richmond Fed manufacturing survey (expected +2 to -1, Nov -2 to -3).
There are 4 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: ConAgra Foods (consensus $0.60), Paychex (0.51), NIKE (0.86), Micron Technology (0.23).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week: none.







OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Express Scripts Holdings (ESRX +1.78%) rose over 1% in pre-market trading after it gave guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS of $6.08-$6.28, above consensus of $6.05.
American Express (AXP +0.78%) was rated new 'Market Perform' at JMP Securities.
Chipolte Mexican Grill (CMG -3.52%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Overweight' at JPMorgan Chase.
Whiting Petroleum (WLL -8.58%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at BMO.
Alaska Air Group (ALK +3.19%) was downgraded to 'Hod' from 'Buy' at Stifel.
Box Inc. (BOX +0.36%) was rated new 'Market Outperform' at JMP Securities with a 12-month price target of $18.
NetApp (NTAP unch) said it will acquire SolidFire for $870 million.
Pfizer (PFE +1.47%) reported that a Phase 3 study of its Pristiq drug did demonstrate superior efficacy versus a placebo in pediatric patients ages 7 to 17 with Major Depressive Disorder.
Cintas (CTAS +0.80%) rallied over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 continuing operations EPS of $1.03, better than consensus of $1.00.
Steelcase (SCS +3.00%) slumped over 15% in after-hours trading after reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 30 cents, below consensus of 33 cents, and then lowered guidance on Q4 adjusted EPS to 20 cents-24 cents, weaker than consensus of 26 cents.
Stone Energy (SGY -14.36%) slid nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it lowered its Q4 production forecast to 23-24 Mboepd (thousand barrels of oil equivalents per day) from 25-26 Mboepd.
Alexza Pharmaceuticals (ALXA -2.22%) soared over 30% in after-hours trading after it said it was "encouraged" by data in a Phase 2a study of it AZ-002drug being developed for the management of epilepsy in patients with acute repetitive seizures.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.02%) this morning are up +0.50 of a point (+0.02%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.78%, Dow Jones +0.72%, Nasdaq +1.01%. The S&P 500 on Monday closed higher on positive carryover from a +1.77% increase in China's Shanghai Composite on speculation China may boost stimulus measures after a statement from the government's Central Economic Work Conference said that monetary policy must be more "flexible" and fiscal policy more "forceful." There was also strength in mining and raw-material producing stocks after metals prices rallied.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 -0.02%) this morning are down -2.5 ticks. Monday's closes: TYH6 +2.50, FVH6 +2.25. Mar T-notes on Monday settled higher on the fall in crude oil prices to a 6-3/4 year low, which undercuts inflation expectations, and on the weaker-than-expected Nov Chicago Fed national activity index. T-notes were undercut by a rally in stocks curbed the safe-haven demand for T-notes.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.12%) this morning is down -0.132 (-0.13%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0028 (+0.26%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.26 (-0.21%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index -0.340 (-0.34%), EUR/USD +0.0047 (+0.43%), USD/JPY +0.03 (+0.02%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower on the weaker-than-expected Nov Chicago Fed national activity index, which fell to a 6-month low, and on strength in EUR/USD after Eurozone Dec consumer confidence unexpectedly climbed to a 6-month high.
Feb crude oil (CLG16 +0.20%) this morning is up +16 cents (+0.45%) and Feb gasoline (RBG16 -1.86%) is down -0.0237 (-1.95%). Monday's closes: CLG6 +0.01 (+0.03%), RBG6 -0.0627 (-4.94%). Feb crude oil and gasoline on Monday settled mixed with nearest-futures (F16) crude at a new 6-3/4 year low and Feb gasoline at a 1-1/2 week low. Crude oil prices were undercut by concern that energy stockpiles may increase further as the above-normal winter temperatures in the U.S. reduce demand for heating fuels. Crude oil prices recovered from their worst levels as a weak dollar spurred short covering in crude futures.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR12/22/2015
US0830 ETQ3 GDP expected revised to +1.9% from +2.1% (q/q annualized). Q3 personal consumption expected revised to +2.9% from +3.0%. Q3 GDP price index expected unrevised from +1.3%. Q3 core PCE expected unrevised from +1.3% q/q.
0900 ETOct FHFA house price index expected +0.5% m/m, Sep +0.8% m/m.
1000 ETNov existing home sales expected -0.4% at 5.34 million, Oct -3.4% to 5.36 million.
1000 ETDec Richmond Fed manufacturing survey expected +2 to -1, Nov -2 to -3.
1500 ETUSDA Nov Cold Storage.
GER0200 ETGerman Jan GfK consumer confidence expected unch at 9.3.
0200 ETGerman Nov import price index expected -0.2% m/m and -3.7% y/y, Oct -0.3% m/m and -4.1% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Nov public sector net borrowing expected +11.1 billion pounds, Oct +7.5 billion pounds.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR12/22/2015

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
ConAgra Foods IncCAG US7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.598
Paychex IncPAYX US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.513
Express Scripts Holding CoESRX US9:00Q4 2016 Guidance CallQ4 2016
ConAgra Foods IncCAG US9:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Paychex IncPAYX US9:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Donaldson Co IncDCI US10:00Annual General Meeting
Avangrid IncEAS US12:00Business Update Call
NIKE IncNKE US16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.856
Micron Technology IncMU US16:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
NIKE IncNKE US17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Micron Technology IncMU USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.233
Raymond James Financial IncRJF USNovember 2015 Sales and Revenue Release - Operating Data2015
NVIDIA CorpNVDA USITC Due to Release Findings in 2nd Samsung vs. Nvidia Patent Case

Friday, April 4, 2014

5 Great Small Caps

Today I used Barchart to sort the S&P 600 Small Cap Index to find the 5 stocks with the best technical indicators and charts and found Post Properties (PPS), Marriot Vacations WorldWide (VAC), USA Mobility (USMO), Stone Energy (SGY) and Piedmont Natural Gas (PNY):

Post Properties (PPS)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 5 new highs and up 1.80% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 64.54%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 49.19
  • Recently traded at 50.38 with a 50 day moving average of 48.25


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11 new highs and up 5.80% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 76.94%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 56.91
  • Recently traded at 57.80 with a 50 day moving average of 52.16


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 13 new highs and up 27.69% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 76.87%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 18.47
  • Recently traded at 18.86 with a 50 day moving average of 15.35


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11 new highs and up 15.19% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 69.61%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 41.64
  • Recently traded at 42.63 with a 50 day moving average of 35.70


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 8 new highs and up 3.83% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 60.76%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 35.40
  • Recently traded at 35.54 with a 50 day moving average of 33.94










Tuesday, March 25, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL 3/25

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM14 +0.32%) this morning are up +0.20% and European stocks are up +0.85% ahead of U.S. data later today on consumer confidence, home prices and new home sales. Gains in European stocks were muted after a gauge of German investor confidence fell for the first time in five months. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -0.36%, Hong Kong -0.52%. China -0.10%, Taiwan +0.98%, Australia -0.19%, Singapore -0.25%, South Korea -0.30%, India closed for holiday. China's Shanghai Stock Index rose to a 1-month high on speculation the Chinese government will take steps to support economic growth. Commodity prices are mixed. May crude oil (CLK14 +0.57%) is up +0.37%. May gasoline (RBK14 +0.48%) is up +0.44%. Apr gold (GCJ14 +0.28%) is up +0.34%. May copper (HGK14 +1.49%) is up +1.46%. Agriculture and livestock prices are weaker. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.15%) is up +0.10%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.16%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.02%. June T-note prices (ZNM14 unch) are up +1.5 ticks.
The German Mar IFO business climate fell -0.6 to 110.7, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.4 to 110.9. The Mar IFO current assessment rose +0.8 to 115.2, a bigger increase than expectations of +0.1 to 114.5 and the highest in 1-3/4 years. Mar IFO expectations fell -1.9 to 106.4, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.6 to 107.7.
UK Feb CPI rose +0.5% m/m and +1.7% y/y, right on expectations, with the +1.7% y/y increase the smallest annual gain in 4-1/3 years. Feb core CPI gained +1.7% y/y, higher than expectations of unch at +1.6 y/y.
UK Feb RPI rose +0.6% m/m and +2.7% y/y, higher than expectations of +0.5% m/m and +2.6% y/y. Feb RPI ex-mortgage interest payments rose +2.7% y/y, higher than expectations of +2.6% y/y.
UK Feb PPI input prices fell -0.4% m/m and -5.7% y/y, bigger declines than expectations of +0.3% m/m and -5.3% y/y, with the -5.7% y/y decline the largest annual fall in 4-1/3 years.
UK Feb PPI output prices were unch m/m and +0.5% y/y, less than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +0.7% y/y. Feb PPI output core prices rose +0.1% m/m and +1.1% y/y, close to expectations of unch m/m and +1.1% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s Feb new home sales report is expected to show a decline of -4.9% to 445,000, reversing part of January’s surprise +9.6% increase to a 5-1/2 year high of 468,000. Today’s Jan CaseShiller composite-20 home price index report is expected to show an increase of +0.6% m/m while the Jan FHFA house price index report is expected to show an increase of +0.5% m/m. Today’s March U.S. consumer confidence index from the Conference Board is expected to show a +0.4 point increase to 78.5, reversing part of the -1.3 point drop to 78.1 seen in February. Today’s March Richmond Fed manufacturing index is expected to show a +10 point increase to 4, reversing more than one-half of the sharp -18 point drop to -6 seen in February.
There are 5 of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today: Carnival (consensus -0.08), McCormick (0.58), HD Supply (-0.03), Walgreen (0.93), PVH Corp (1.42). Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Barclays Emerging Payments Forum on Mon-Tue, TAG Spring Consumer Conference on Tue, Gastech Conference & Exhibition on Mon-Wed, BB&T Capital Markets Commercial & Industrial Conference on Wed, CIBC Retail and Consumer Conference on Wed, JPMorgan Insurance Conference on Wed, Oracle Storage Summit New York on Wed, Jefferies Animal Health Day on Thu, and Jefferies Animal Health Day on Thu
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
BofA/Merrill added CSX (CSX -0.24%) to its top stock pick list for 2014.
Walgreens (WAG -0.68%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 91 cents, below consensus of 93 cents.
AT&T (T +0.47%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Overweight' at HSBC.
The NYT reports that General Motors (GM +0.37%) told its customers and families of accident victims that it did not have sufficient evidence to determine that there were defects in its cars, even after the company had definitive evidence of such a defect.
Arch Coal (ACI +3.08%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Jefferies.
Navistar (NAV +0.06%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at UBS.
KBR (KBR -0.98%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Domtar (UFS +0.08%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
RealD (RLD -3.39%) and Wanda Cinema Line Corporation announced an extended agreement to install an additional 780 RealD 3D Cinema Systems in China.
Integrated Core Strategies reported a 6% passive stake in Stone Energy (SGY +0.08%) .
Standard & Poor's Ratings Services lowered its long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating on Brazil to 'BBB-' from 'BBB' with a stable outlook on its long-term credit rating.
PL Capital reported a 5.2% stake in Metro Bancorp (METR +0.98%) .
Disney (DIS -1.07%) has agreed to acquire Maker Studios for $500 million.
BioMarin (BMRN -0.30%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman.
Blackstone Holdings I reported a 6% passive stake in Ardmore Shipping (ASC -1.77%) .
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM14 +0.32%) this morning are up +3.75 points (+0.20%). The S&P 500 on Monday closed lower. Bearish factors included (1) the China Mar HSBC manufacturing PMI that unexpectedly weakened for the fifth straight month as it fell by -0.4 to an 8-month low of 48.1, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 48.7, and (2) concern the Ukraine crisis may escalate after Ukraine’s foreign minister said the risk of war is growing as Russia continues to mass troops along the Ukraine border. Closes: S&P 500 -0.49%, Dow Jones -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.98%.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM14 unch) this morning are up +1.5 ticks. Jun 10-year T-note futures prices on Monday closed lower. Bearish factors included (1) supply pressures with $109 billion T-notes to be auctioned this week, and (2) negative carry-over from Fed Chair Yellen’s indication last Wednesday that the funds rate might be raised as soon as spring 2015. Closes: TYM4 -1.00, FVM4 -3.00.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.15%) this morning is up +0.079 (+0.10%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0022 (-0.16%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.02 (+0.02%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower. EUR/USD recovered from early losses and closed higher after the Bundesbank stated in its monthly report said that it sees a “substantial strengthening of the overall pace of economic expansion” in Q1 German economic growth. Closes: Dollar index -0.171 (-0.21%), EUR/USD +0.00461 (+0.33%), USD/JPY +0.004 (+0.01%).
May WTI crude oil (CLK14 +0.57%) this morning is up 37 cents (+0.37%) and May gasoline (RBK14 +0.48%) is up +0.0128 (+0.44%). May crude and gasoline prices on Monday settled mixed. Crude oil prices rose on concern that the closure of the Houston Ship Canal since Saturday due to an oil spill will disrupt refinery operations and lead to reduced production at refineries along the Gulf Coast. Bearish factors included global demand concerns after the Chinese manufacturing PMI fell to an 8-month low and the German manufacturing PMI slipped to its slowest pace in 4 months. Closes: CLK4 +0.14 (+0.14%). RBK4 -0.0139 (-0.48%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/25/2014
US0900 ETJan S&P/CaseShiller composite-20 home price index expected +0.60% m/m and +13.34% y/y, Dec +0.76% m/m and +13.42% y/y.
0900 ETJan FHFA house price index expected +0.5% m/m, Dec +0.8% m/m.
1000 ETMarch U.S. consumer confidence (Conference Board) expected +0.4 to 78.5, Feb -1.3 to 78.1.
1000 ETMar Richmond Fed manufacturing index expected +10 to 4, Feb -18 to -6.
1000 ETFeb new home sales expected -4.9% to 445,000, Jan +9.6% to 468,000.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $32 billion 2-year T-notes.
1600 ETAtlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart speaks on the economic outlook at the Rutberg Global Summit.
1900 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks on the economic outlook and monetary policy to the Money Marketeers of NYU.
GER0500 ETGerman Mar IFO business climate expected -0.4 to 110.9, Feb 111.3. Mar IFO current assessment expected +0.1 to 114.5, Feb 114.4. Mar IFO expectations expected -0.6 to 107.7, Feb 108.3.
UK0530 ETUK Feb CPI expected +0.5% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Jan -0.6% m/m and +1.9% y/y. Feb core CPI expected +1.6% y/y, Jan +1.6% y/y.
0530 ETUK Feb RPI expected +0.5% m/m and +2.6% y/y, Jan -0.3% m/m and +2.8% y/y. Feb RPI ex mortgage interest payments expected +2.6% y/y, Jan +2.8% y/y.
0530 ETUK Feb PPI input prices expected +0.3% m/m and -5.3% y/y, Jan -0.9% m/m and -3.1% y/y.
0530 ETUK Feb PPI output prices expected +0.2% m/m and +0.7% y/y, Jan +0.3% m/m and +0.9% y/y. Feb PPI output core expected unch m/m and +1.0% y/y, Jan +0.5% m/m and +1.2% y/y.
0700 ETUK Mar CBI reported sales expected -9 to 28, Feb 37.
EUR1200 ETECB President Mario Draghi gives a lecture in Paris.
JPN1950 ETJapan Feb corporate service price index expected +0.8% y/y, Jan +0.8% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/25/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Carnival CorpCCL USBef-mktQ1 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ1 2014-0.083
McCormick & Co Inc/MDMKC USBef-mktQ1 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20140.579
HD Supply Holdings IncHDS US6:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2014-0.029
Walgreen CoWAG US7:30Q2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.932
McCormick & Co Inc/MDMKC US8:00Q1 2014 Earnings CallQ1 2014
HD Supply Holdings IncHDS US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Walgreen CoWAG US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Akamai Technologies IncAKAM US8:30Investor MeetingY 2014
L-3 Communications Holdings IncLLL US9:00Investor ConferenceY 2014
Carnival CorpCCL US10:00Q1 2014 Earnings CallQ1 2014
Panera Bread CoPNRA US10:30Investor DayY 2014
Beam IncBEAM US12:00Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting - M&A VoteY 2014
NVIDIA CorpNVDA US12:00Investor DayY 2014
Adobe Systems IncADBE US17:00Financial Analyst BriefingY 2014
PVH CorpPVH USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.42
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - BostonY 2014
Xcel Energy IncXEL USInvestors Meeting - Day 1Y 2014
General Motors CoGM USGM Recall Documentation Submittal to US House Energy & Commerce Committee