Showing posts with label OXY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label OXY. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 3, 2016

MORNING CALL 8/3

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.22%) are down -0.20% ahead of data on U.S. Jul ADP employment. Losses in U.S. stock index futures were limited as energy producing stocks rose as the price of crude oil (CLU16 +0.38%) climbed +0.51% after API data late yesterday showed U.S. oil inventories fell by -1.34 million bbl. European stocks are down -0.01% at a 3-week low as automakers fell after tire manufacturer Continental AG dropped over 1% when it reported Q2 revenue that was below expectations. Losses in European stocks were contained after the Eurozone Jul Markit composite PMI unexpectedly accelerated to the highest in six months. Activity in European trading was muted ahead of tomorrow's BOE policy meeting that is expected to show the BOE boosting easing measures to contain the Brexit fallout. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan -1.88%, Hong Kong -1.76%, China +0.24%, Taiwan -0.74%, Australia-1.35%, Singapore -1.02%, South Korea -1.30%, India -1.02%. Chinese stocks closed higher after brokerage-related stocks rallied after people familiar with the matter said that China's futures exchange is planning to relax trading restrictions it implemented last year after China's stock market rout. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index fell to a 3-week low as exporter stocks sold-off when USD/JPY tumbled to a 3-week low on disappointment over the size of Prime Minister Abe's stimulus package.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.20%) is up +0.20%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.20%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.36%.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.01%) are down -1 tick.
The Eurozone Jul Markit composite PMI was revised upward to 53.2 from the originally reported 52.9, the fastest pace of expansion in 6 months.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -11.2% with purchase sub-index -3.3% and refi sub-index -15.1%), (2) Jul ADP employment (expected +170,000, Jun +172,000), (3) revised-Jul Markit services PMI (expected +0.1 to 51.0, prelim-Jul -0.5 to 50.9), (4) Jul ISM non-manufacturing PMI (expected -0.5 to 56.0, Jun +3.6 to 56.5), (5) EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
There are 29 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Time Warner (consensus $1.17), Marathon Oil (-0.25), Allstate (0.58), ICE (3.38), Humana (2.28), Prudential Financial (2.50), MetLife (1.35), First Solar (0.54). TripAdvisor (0.42).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: At Home Group (HOME), Atomera (ATMR)
Equity conferences this week include: Wells Fargo Services Conference on Wed-Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
American International Group (AIG -0.13%) gained over 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 operating EPS of 98 cents, higher than consensus of 92 cents, and then said it will add up to $3 billion to its stock buyback plan.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK -1.34%) lost over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 73 cents, below consensus of 76 cents.
Hanesbrands (HBI -3.39%) fell nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 51 cents, weaker than consensus of 52 cents.
Phillips 66 (PSX +2.55%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Cowen.
Fitbit (FIT -3.87%) rose over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 12 cents, above consensus of 11 cents.
Qorvo (QRVO -3.18%) slid over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported fiscal-year Q1 gross margin of 48.2%, weaker than consensus of 50% and then said it sees fiscal-year Q2 gross margin of 47%, below consensus of 50.3%.
Community Health Systems (CYH -3.02%) dropped over 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 9 cents, well below consensus of 56 cents, and then lowered its view of 2016 EPS continuing operations to $1.40-$1.90 from a prior view of $2.50-$2.80.
Hudson Technologies (HDSN +7.41%) gained over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 14 cents, higher than consensus of 11 cents.
Oclaro (OCLR -3.99%) rose over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 11 cents, better than consensus of 6 cents, and then forecast Q1 revenue of $126 million-$134 million, above consensus of $118.6 million.
Stone Energy (SGY -1.16%) sank 20% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 adjusted loss of -$7.45, a bigger loss than consensus of -$6.12.
Big 5 Sporting Goods (BGFV +1.65%) climbed nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 net sales of $241.4 million, above consensus of $239 million.
ZAGG Inc. (ZAGG -0.31%) jumped over 11% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 11 cents, well above consensus of 2 cents.
Cray (CRAY -0.92%) plunged 20% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 adjusted EPS loss of -29 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -2 cents, and then cut its fiscal 2016 revenue estimate to in the range of $650 million, well below consensus of $796 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.22%) this morning are down -4.25 points (-0.20%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.64%, Dow Jones -0.49%, Nasdaq -0.77%. The S&P on Tuesday tumbled to a 2-1/2 week low and closed lower on the weaker-than-expected +0.2% increase in U.S. Jun personal income (vs expectations of +0.3%) and weakness in energy producers due to the -1.37% drop in crude oil prices to a new 3-1/2 month low. Stocks were also undercut by long liquidation pressures after the +9.4% rally in the S&P 500 over the past month to Monday's all-time high.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 -0.01%) this morning are down -1 tick. Tuesday's closes: TYU6 -8.00, FVU6 -3.00. Sep T-notes on Tuesday closed lower on negative carry-over from a slide in German bund prices after Eurozone Jun PPI rose more than expected and the +0.4% increase in U.S. Jun personal spending (stronger than expectations of +0.3%).
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.20%) this morning is up +0.187 (+0.20%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0023 (-0.20%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.36 (+0.36%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar index -0.649 (-0.68%), EUR/USD +0.0061 (+0.55%), USD/JPY -1.50 (-1.46%). The dollar index on Tuesday dropped to a 1-1/4 month low and closed lower on strength in EUR/USD which rallied to a 1-1/4 month high after Eurozone Jun PPI rose +0.7% m/m, the largest monthly increase in 3-3/4 years, perhaps keeping the ECB from expanding stimulus measures. In addition, USD/JPY fell to a 3-week low on a yen rally generated by some disappointment that the Japanese government announced only 4.6 trillion yen ($45 billion) in extra spending for the current fiscal year as part of its fiscal stimulus package.
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 +0.38%) this morning is up +20 cents (+0.51%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16 -0.41%) is down -0.0037 (-0.38%). Tuesday's closes: CLU6 -0.55 (-1.37%), RBU6 +0.0080 (+0.61%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday settled mixed with Sep crude at a 3-1/2 month low. Crude oil was undercut by increased OPEC output as OPEC July crude production rose +130,000 bpd to a record 33.24 million bpd. Gasoline received a boost from the fall in the dollar index to a 1-1/4-month low and on increased refinery demand for gasoline as the crack spread rose to a 1-month high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/03/2016
Wednesday, Aug 3
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -11.2% with purchase sub-index -3.3% and refi sub-index -15.1%.
0815 ETJul ADP employment change expected +170,000, Jun +172,000.
0830 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $24 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $20 billion) and 30-year T-bonds (previous $12 billion) to be auctioned Aug 9-11 in the Aug quarterly refunding.
0945 ETRevised Jul Markit services PMI expected +0.1 to 51.0; prelim-Jul -0.5 to 50.9. Revised Jul Markit composite PMI, prelim-Jul +0.3 to 51.5.
1000 ETJul ISM non-manufacturing PMI expected -0.5 to 56.0, Jun +3.6 to 56.5.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Thursday, Aug 4
ThuUS0730 ETJul Challenge job cuts, Jun -14.1% y/y.
0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -1,000 to 265,000, previous +14,000 to 266,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-9,000 to 2.130 million, previous +7,000 to 2.139 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1000 ETJun factory orders expected -1.9% and -0.2% ex transportation, May -1.0% and +0.1% ex-transportation.
GER0330 ETGerman Jul Markit construction PMI, Jun 50.4.
UK0400 ETUK Jul new car registrations, Jun -0.8% y/y.
0700 ETBOE Quarterly inflation report.
0700 ETBOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected -25 bp cut to the benchmark rate to 0.25% and the asset purchase target to remain unch at 375 billion pounds.
JPN2000 ETJapan Jun labor cash earnings expected +0.3% y/y, May -0.1%y/y. Jun real cash earnings, May +0.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/03/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Clorox Co/TheCLXBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.277
Dominion Resources Inc/VADBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.708
Noble Energy IncNBLBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.286
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXYBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.18
Time Warner IncTWXBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.165
Xcel Energy IncXELBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.404
Spectra Energy CorpSEBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.266
Zoetis IncZTSBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.444
Delphi Automotive PLCDLPH6:45Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.556
Humana IncHUM7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.283
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20163.378
American International Group IncAIG8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Time Warner IncTWX8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Verisk Analytics IncVRSK8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Zoetis IncZTS8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
FMC CorpFMC9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Spectra Energy CorpSE9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Delphi Automotive PLCDLPH9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Qorvo IncQRVO9:00Annual General Meeting
Concho Resources IncCXO9:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CA IncCA10:00Annual General Meeting
Dominion Resources Inc/VAD10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Noble Energy IncNBL10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
ONEOK IncOKE10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Xcel Energy IncXEL10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Newfield Exploration CoNFX11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Devon Energy CorpDVN11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Clorox Co/TheCLX13:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA16:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.369
Allstate Corp/TheALL16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.582
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA16:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Western Union Co/TheWU16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
First Solar IncFSLR16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CenturyLink IncCTL17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
CF Industries Holdings IncCF17:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.664
CenturyLink IncCTLAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.595
Lincoln National CorpLNCAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.563
Tesoro CorpTSOAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.764
Marathon Oil CorpMROAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.245
Transocean LtdRIGAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.016
Albemarle CorpALBAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.005
Prudential Financial IncPRUAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.498
Western Union Co/TheWUAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.401
MetLife IncMETAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.349
Cimarex Energy CoXECAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.012
Equinix IncEQIXAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.998
First Solar IncFSLRAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.543
TripAdvisor IncTRIPAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.418
American Water Works Co IncAWKAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.73
Equinix IncEQIX17:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Costco Wholesale CorpCOST21:00July 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
Equifax IncEFXInvestor MeetingY 2016
Leucadia National CorpLUKQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.13

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

MORNING CALL 12/15

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.81%) are up +0.83% and European stocks are up +2.37% as a rally in crude oil gives energy producers a lift. Also, European automakers moved higher after Eurozone Nov new car registrations rose more than expected at the fastest pace in 5 months. Mining stocks gained as well, led by a nearly 5% increase in Glencore Plc, after JPMorgan Chase upgraded the stock to a 'Buy,' citing its "credible" strategy update. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan -1.68%, Hong Kong -0.17%, China -0.29%, Taiwan +0.41%, Australia -0.39%, Singapore +0.02%, South Korea +0.26%, India +0.68%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index fell to a 1-3/4 month low as exporter stocks declined after USD/JPY slipped to a 6-week low, which reduces exporters' earnings prospects.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.02%) is down -0.07% at a 5-week low on speculation the Fed will reiterate that it sees a gradual pace of interest rate increases even after it raises interest rates tomorrow. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.14% at a 1-1/2 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.10%.
Mar T-note prices (ZNH16 -0.10%) are down -7 ticks.
Eurozone Nov new car registrations rose +13.7% y/y to 1.085 million units, the biggest increase in 5 months.
The German Dec ZEW survey expectations of economic growth rose +5.7 to 16.1, stronger than expectations of +4.6 to 15.0.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: Dec Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions (expected +3.74 to -7.00, Nov +0.62 to -10.74), (2) Nov CPI (expected unch m/m and +0.5% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +0.2% y/y) and core CPI (expected +0.2% m/m and+2.0% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +1.9% y/y), (3) the first day of the 2-day FOMC meeting where the market is discounting a three-quarters chance of a 25 bp rate hike, and (4) Dec NAHB housing market index (expected +1 to 63, Nov -3 to 62).
There is 1 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: FactSet Research Systems (1.46).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences: European Society for Medical Oncology Asia Congress on Fri.







OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Amgen (AMGN +1.91%) rose nearly 2% in pre-market trading after it said it reacquired all product rights to Prolia, Xgeva and Vectibix from Glaxo in 48 countries.
Lumber Liquidators (LL +1.22%) surged over 15% in after-hours trading when short seller Whitney Tilson said he covered his short position in the company after he said he received new information that shows management wasn't aware it was selling Chinese-made laminate with high levels of formaldehyde.
Amazon.com (AMZN +2.77%) was rated a new 'Buy' at MKM Partners with a price target of $800.
Verizon Communications (VZ +1.41%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at BTIG.
Occidental Petroleum (OXY +0.94%) was rated a new 'Buy' at CLSA with a price target of $83.
Chevron (CVX +3.34%) was rated a new 'Outperform' at CLSA with a price target of $95 and ConocoPhillips (COP +2.91%) was also rated a new 'Outperform' at CLSA with a price target of $52.
VeriFone Systems (PAY unch) climbed nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to $2.15-$2.17, higher than consensus of $2.12.
Xerox (XRX -1.79%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after Carl Icahn reported he raised his stake in the company to 8.1% from 7.1%.
Lockheed Martin (LMT -0.29%) was awarded a $1.09 billion U.S. Army pact modification to foreign military sales for Patriot PAC-3 production.
Boeing (BA -1.12%) raised its quarterly dividend to $1.09 a share from 91 cents, higher than expectations of a hike to $1.02, and then raised its stock buyback authorization to $14 billion from $12 billion.
Kennametal (KMT -0.12%) slumped over 20% in after-hours trading after it said it expects its fiscal 2016 revenue may fall as much as 30% to 60% due to weakness in China's auto market and in U.S. coal mining.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.81%) this morning are up +16.75 points (+0.83%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.48%, Dow Jones +0.60%, Nasdaq +0.72%. The S&P 500 on Monday recovered from a 2-month low and closed higher. Stocks received a boost from reduced Chinese economic concerns after China Nov industrial production rose +6.2% y/y, stronger than expectations of +5.7% y/y and the fastest pace of increase in 5 months. In addition, energy producers saw some strength after crude oil prices rebounded from a 6-3/4 year low and closed higher.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 -0.10%) this morning are down -7 ticks. Monday's closes: TYH6 -23.50, FVH6 -13.50. Mar T-notes on Monday closed lower on long liquidation on expectations for the FOMC to raise the federal funds rate by 25 bp on Wednesday and on carryover weakness from a slide in German bund prices after ECB President Draghi said he expects inflation to return to target "without delay."
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.02%) this morning is down -0.067 (-0.07%) at a 5-week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0015 (+0.14%) at a 1-1/2 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.12 (+0.10%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index +0.039 (+0.04%), EUR/USD +0.0006 (+0.05%), USD/JPY +0.02 (+0.02%). The dollar index on Monday closed slightly higher on expectations for the Fed to raise interest rates at the conclusion of Wednesday's FOMC meeting and on the rally in stocks, which caused USD/JPY to recover from a 5-week low and close higher on reduced safe-haven demand or the yen. The dollar was undercut as EUR/USD which rose to 5-week high after Eurozone Oct industrial production rose more than expected and after ECB President Draghi said he expects inflation to return to target "without delay."
Jan crude oil (CLF16 +0.77%) this morning is up +47 cents (+1.29%) and Jan gasoline (RBF16 -1.50%) is down -0.0199 (-1.58%). Monday's closes: CLF6 +0.65 (+1.82%), RBF6 -0.0386 (-3.01%). Jan crude oil and gasoline on Monday settled mixed as Jan crude recovered from a 6-3/4 year low. Crude oil prices received a boost from short-covering on news that China Nov industrial production and retail sales rose more than expected, and optimism that Congress may lift the 40-year old U.S. crude export ban. Crude prices earlier slumped to a fresh 6-3/4 year low after Iran's deputy oil minister said that there's "absolutely no chance" Iran will delay its plan to increase crude exports even as prices decline.
 China Nov industrial production rose +6.2% y/y, stronger than expectations of +5.7% y/y and the fastest pace of increase in 5 months. In addition, energy producers saw some strength after crude oil prices rebounded from a 6-3/4 year low and closed higher.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 -0.10%) this morning are down -7 ticks. Monday's closes: TYH6 -23.50, FVH6 -13.50. Mar T-notes on Monday closed lower on long liquidation on expectations for the FOMC to raise the federal funds rate by 25 bp on Wednesday and on carryover weakness from a slide in German bund prices after ECB President Draghi said he expects inflation to return to target "without delay."
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.02%) this morning is down -0.067 (-0.07%) at a 5-week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0015 (+0.14%) at a 1-1/2 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.12 (+0.10%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index +0.039 (+0.04%), EUR/USD +0.0006 (+0.05%), USD/JPY +0.02 (+0.02%). The dollar index on Monday closed slightly higher on expectations for the Fed to raise interest rates at the conclusion of Wednesday's FOMC meeting and on the rally in stocks, which caused USD/JPY to recover from a 5-week low and close higher on reduced safe-haven demand or the yen. The dollar was undercut as EUR/USD which rose to 5-week high after Eurozone Oct industrial production rose more than expected and after ECB President Draghi said he expects inflation to return to target "without delay."
Jan crude oil (CLF16 +0.77%) this morning is up +47 cents (+1.29%) and Jan gasoline (RBF16 -1.50%) is down -0.0199 (-1.58%). Monday's closes: CLF6 +0.65 (+1.82%), RBF6 -0.0386 (-3.01%). Jan crude oil and gasoline on Monday settled mixed as Jan crude recovered from a 6-3/4 year low. Crude oil prices received a boost from short-covering on news that China Nov industrial production and retail sales rose more than expected, and optimism that Congress may lift the 40-year old U.S. crude export ban. Crude prices earlier slumped to a fresh 6-3/4 year low after Iran's deputy oil minister said that there's "absolutely no chance" Iran will delay its plan to increase crude exports even as prices decline.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR12/15/2015
US0830 ETDec Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions expected +3.74 to -7.00, Nov +0.62 to -10.74.
0830 ETNov CPI expected unch m/m and +0.5% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +0.2% y/y. Nov CPI ex food & energy expected +0.2% m/m and+2.0% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +1.9% y/y.
0930 ETFOMC begins 2-day policy meeting.
1000 ETDec NAHB housing market index expected +1 to 63, Nov -3 to 62.
EUR0200 ETEurozone Nov new car registrations, Oct +2.9% y/y.
0500 ETEurozone Q3 employment, Q2 +0.3% q/q and +0.8% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Nov CPI expected -0.1% m/m and +0.1% y/y, Oct +0.1% m/m and -0.1% y/y. Nov core CPI expected +1.2% y/y, Oct +1.1% y/y.
0430 ETUK Nov RPI expected unch m/m and +0.9% y/y, Oct unch m/m and +0.7% y/y. Nov RPI ex mortgage interest payments expected +1.0% y/y, Oct +0.8% y/y.
0430 ETUK Nov PPI input prices expected -1.0% m/m and -12.4% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and -12.1% y/y.
0430 ETUK Nov PPI output prices expected -0.1% m/m and -1.3% y/y, Oct unch m/m and -1.3% y/y. Nov PPI output core expected unch m/m and +0.1% y/y, Oct -0.1% m/m and +0.3% y/y.
0430 ETUK Oct ONS house prices, Sep +6.1% y/y.
GER0500 ETGerman Dec ZEW expectations of economic growth survey expected +4.6 to 15.0, Nov 10.4. Dec ZEW survey current situation expected-0.2 to 54.2, Nov 54.4.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR12/15/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
FactSet Research Systems IncFDS US7:00Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.463
AGCO CorpAGCO US8:30Analyst MeetingY 2015
Kennametal IncKMT US9:00Analyst DayY 2015
3M CoMMM US9:00Q4 2016 Guidance CallQ4 2016
AECOMACM US9:00Investor DayY 2015
American Water Works Co IncAWK US9:00Analyst DayY 2015
Liberty Property TrustLPT US10:00Q4 2016 Guidance CallQ4 2016
AmTrust Financial Services IncAFSI US10:00Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting
FactSet Research Systems IncFDS US11:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
WESCO International IncWCC US11:00Q4 2016 Guidance CallQ4 2016
SolarCity CorpSCTY US12:30Analyst DayY 2015
FactSet Research Systems IncFDS US15:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
Dover CorpDOV US18:30Investor MeetingY 2015
American Express CoAXP USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Baker Hughes IncBHI USU.S. Justice Department Deadline on Decision of Halliburton's Takeover of Baker
JPMorgan Chase & CoJPM USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - BaltimoreY 2015
Halliburton CoHAL USU.S. Justice Department Deadline on Decision of Halliburton's Takeover of Baker
Bank of America CorpBAC USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Citigroup IncC USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Questar CorpSTR USRoadshow - Los AngelesY 2015
Morgan StanleyMS USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Capital One Financial CorpCOF USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
AmTrust Financial Services IncAFSI USSpecial Meeting
Discover Financial ServicesDFS USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies
Synchrony FinancialSYF USCredit-card Charge-offs and Delinquencies

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 10/28

BARCHART MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.23%) are up +0.19% and European stocks are up +0.65% as Apple climbed nearly 2% in pre-market trading after reporting better-than-expected quarterly profits late yesterday. The markets also await the Fed's interest rate announcement later today as to whether there will be an interest rate increase this year. European stocks also garnered support from a decline in the German 10-year bund yield to a 5-1/2 month low of 0.431% on the prospects of additional ECB easing after comments from ECB Executive Board member Coeure who said have been "lively" discussions within the ECB about additional measures to promote growth and boost inflation. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan +0.67%, Hong Kong -0.80%, China -1.72%, Taiwan -0.41%, Australia -0.20%, Singapore -0.39%, South Korea -0.10%, India -0.78%. China's Shanghai Composite fell on growth concerns after the Oct Westpac-MNI consumer sentiment fell to a record low and after UBS cut its China 2016 GDP forecast to 6.2% from 6.5%. Japanese stocks were the only bright spot in Asian markets as the Nikkei Stock Index closed higher on speculation the BOJ will increase stimulus when it meets this Thursday and Friday.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.17%) is down -0.14%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.14%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.11%.
Dec T-note prices (ZNZ15 -0.07%) are down -2 ticks.
ECB Executive Board member Coeure said that the risks have increased that inflation will remain below the ECB's goal of 2.0% and that warrants vigilance from policy makers. He added that there have been "lively" discussions within the ECB of whether the deposit rate could be lowered from its current -0.2%or about expanding asset purchases.
The China Oct Westpac-MNI consumer sentiment fell -8.5 to 109.7, the lowest since the data series began in 2007.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous +11.8% with purchase mortgage sub-index +16.4% and refi sub-index +8.8%), (2) the Treasury's auction of $15 billion of 2-year floating rate notes and $35 billion of 5-year T-notes, and (3) the FOMC's interest rate decision after its 2-day meeting concludes.
There are 44 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: PayPal Holdings (consensus $0.29), Valero Energy (2.66), ICE Exchange (2.92), Walgreens (0.81), Hess Corp (-1.20), ADP (0.65%), General Dynamics (2.13), Northrop Grumman (2.19), Amgen (2.38), Murphy Oil *-0.93), Newmont Mining (0.17), Willaims Copmanies (0.18),
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Optex Systems MyoKardia (MYOK).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Money20/20 Conference on Mon-Wed.



OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Apple (AAPL -0.63%) climbed 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 EPS of $1.96, higher than consensus of $1.88.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise ({=HPE-W=}) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading when it was reported that it will replace Hudson City Bancorp in the S&P 500 after the close of trading on Friday, Oct 30.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE +3.36%) reported Q3 EPS of $2.91, below consensus of $2.92.
Twitter (TWTR +1.46%) dropped over 10% in pre-market trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 10 cents, double consensus of 5 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 revenue to $695 million to $710 million, below consensus of $748.6 million.
Gilead Sciences (GILD +2.14%) fell almost 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of $3.22, well ahead of consensus of $2.88, but said it sees 2015 fiscal sales of $30 billion-$31 billion, below consensus of $31.5 billion.
Valero Energy (VLO +0.90%) reported Q3 EPS of $2.79, higher than consensus of $2.66.
Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA +6.35%) reported Q4 EPS of 88 cents, better than consensus of 81 cents.
NCR Corp. (NCR -6.92%) rose nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 78 cents, above consensus of 70 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $2.70-$2.80 from an earlier forecast of $2.60-$2.80, above consensus of $2.68.
Akamai (AKAM +0.24%) fell over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 62 cents, above consensus of 57 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 EPS to 60 cents-64 cents, below consensus of 65 cents.
Northrop Grumman (NOC +0.17%) jumped over 8% in after-hours trading after the U.S. Air Force announced that it chose NOC to build the next-generation long-range strike bomber, beating out rivals Boeing and Lockheed Martin. The contract may be worth up to $80 billion if all 100 planes are built.
Infinera (INFN +0.05%) jumped 8% in after-hours trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 22 cents, higher than consensus of 18 cents.
Zeltiq Aesthetics (ZLTQ +3.54%) climbed 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 5 cents, better than consensus of a -5 cent loss, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 revenue to $252 million from a previous estimate of $245 million-$247 million, above consensus of $247.2 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.23%) this morning are up +4.00 points (+0.19%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.25%, Dow Jones -0.24%, Nasdaq +0.18%. The S&P 500 index on Tuesday closed lower on signs of weak capital spending after Sep capital goods orders non-defense ex-aircraft unexpectedly fell-0.3% (vs expectations of +0.2%) and on the -5.0 point decline in U.S. Oct consumer confidence to 97.6 (vs expectations of -0.2 to 102.8). There were also some concerns that the FOMC in its post-meeting statement on Wednesday might adopt less dovish language to allow for a December rate hike, although the FOMC is unanimously expected to leave interest rates unchanged.
Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ15 -0.07%) this morning are down -2 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYZ5 +10.50, FVZ5 +6.75. Dec T-notes on Tuesday settled higher on carryover support from a rally in German bunds to a 5-1/2 month high, the larger-than-expected -5.0 point decline in U.S. Oct consumer confidence, and increased safe-haven demand with the sell-off in stocks.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.17%) this morning is down -0.139 (-0.14%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0016 (+0.14%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.13 (-0.11%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.045 (+0.05%), EUR/USD -0.0007 (-0.06%), USD/JPY -0.64 (-0.53%). The dollar index on Tuesday settled higher on weakness in GBP/USD, which fell to a 1-1/2 week low after UK Q3 GDP grew at a slower-than-expected pace. In addition, EUR/USD saw weakness on ECB Governing Council member Nowotny's comment that the Eurozone is "still in this situation of very low inflation rates," which bolstered speculation that the ECB may expand QE.
Dec crude oil (CLZ15 +0.88%) this morning is up +34 cents (+0.79%) and Dec gasoline (RBZ15 +0.91%) is up +0.0088 (+0.69%). Tuesday's closes: CLZ5-0.59 (-1.34%), RBZ5 -0.0018 (-0.14%). Dec crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday closed lower with Dec crude at a 2-month low. Crude oil prices were undercut by the stronger dollar, the sharp -5.0 point drop in U.S. consumer confidence, and expectations for Wednesday's weekly EIA report to show that crude inventories rose by +3.5 million bbl.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR10/28/2015
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +11.8% with purchase mortgage sub-index +16.4% and refi sub-index +8.8%.
0730 ETSep advance U.S. goods trade deficit expected -$64.3 billion, Aug -$66.6 billion.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1130 ETTreasury auctions $15 billion 2-year floating rate notes.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $35 billion 5-year T-notes.
1400 ETFOMC interest rate decision.
GER0300 ETGerman Nov GfK consumer confidence expected -0.2 to 9.4, Oct 9.6.
0300 ETGerman Sep import price index expected -0.2% m/m and -3.5% y/y, Aug -1.5% m/m and -3.1% y/y.
EUR0515 ETECB Executive Board member Peter Praet speaks on a panel discussion on What Challenges High Public Debts Pose for Monetary Policy at a banking conference in Riga, Latvia.
1045 ETECB Vice President Vitor Constancio delivers keynote speech on Macroprudential Policy in Europe: Ensuring Financial Stability in a Banking and Capital Markets Union at a conference in Berlin.
JPN1950 ETJapan Sep industrial production expected -0.6% m/m and -2.6% y/y, Aug -1.2% m/m and -0.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR10/28/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Hess CorpHES USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-1.197
Automatic Data Processing IncADP USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.652
Boston Scientific CorpBSX USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.225
NextEra Energy IncNEE USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.649
General Dynamics CorpGD USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.127
Hershey Co/TheHSY USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.124
International Paper CoIP USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.88
Northrop Grumman CorpNOC USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.194
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.003
PG&E CorpPCG USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.955
AutoNation IncAN USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.058
Level 3 Communications IncLVLT USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.46
Valero Energy CorpVLO USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.664
Garmin LtdGRMN USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.519
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.919
TE Connectivity LtdTEL USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.922
Anthem IncANTM US6:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.325
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide IncHOT US6:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.718
Walgreens Boots Alliance IncWBA US7:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.813
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY US7:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.634
National Oilwell Varco IncNOV US7:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.556
Southern Co/TheSO US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.162
FLIR Systems IncFLIR US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.412
Boston Scientific CorpBSX US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Norfolk Southern CorpNSC US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.414
Owens-Illinois IncOI US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.406
Assurant IncAIZ US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Automatic Data Processing IncADP US8:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Hershey Co/TheHSY US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Walgreens Boots Alliance IncWBA US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Express Scripts Holding CoESRX US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRW US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Anthem IncANTM US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
TE Connectivity LtdTEL US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Verisk Analytics IncVRSK US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Norfolk Southern CorpNSC US8:45Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Aflac IncAFL US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Anadarko Petroleum CorpAPC US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
NextEra Energy IncNEE US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
General Dynamics CorpGD US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
International Paper CoIP US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Parker-Hannifin CorpPH US9:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
Universal Health Services IncUHS US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
National Oilwell Varco IncNOV US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Hess CorpHES US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Level 3 Communications IncLVLT US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Garmin LtdGRMN US10:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
PG&E CorpPCG US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Cincinnati Financial CorpCINF US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
AutoNation IncAN US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
FLIR Systems IncFLIR US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Valero Energy CorpVLO US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Northrop Grumman CorpNOC US11:45Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide IncHOT US13:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Southern Co/TheSO US13:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Macerich Co/TheMAC US13:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Realty Income CorpO US16:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.697
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.745
O'Reilly Automotive IncORLY US16:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.38
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Hanesbrands IncHBI US16:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Varian Medical Systems IncVAR US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Western Digital CorpWDC US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Amgen IncAMGN US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.383
Amgen IncAMGN US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncVRTX US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Marriott International Inc/MDMAR US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.743
PayPal Holdings IncPYPL US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
FMC CorpFMC USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.381
Lincoln National CorpLNC USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.524
Murphy Oil CorpMUR USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.93
Newmont Mining CorpNEM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.174
Public StoragePSA USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.262
Tesoro CorpTSO USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20156.081
Unum GroupUNM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.904
Varian Medical Systems IncVAR USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.02
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.177
Range Resources CorpRRC USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.047
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncVRTX USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.312
Equinix IncEQIX USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20153.064
Hanesbrands IncHBI USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.449
PayPal Holdings IncPYPL USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.289
Equinix IncEQIX US17:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015