Wednesday, October 28, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 10/28

BARCHART MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.23%) are up +0.19% and European stocks are up +0.65% as Apple climbed nearly 2% in pre-market trading after reporting better-than-expected quarterly profits late yesterday. The markets also await the Fed's interest rate announcement later today as to whether there will be an interest rate increase this year. European stocks also garnered support from a decline in the German 10-year bund yield to a 5-1/2 month low of 0.431% on the prospects of additional ECB easing after comments from ECB Executive Board member Coeure who said have been "lively" discussions within the ECB about additional measures to promote growth and boost inflation. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan +0.67%, Hong Kong -0.80%, China -1.72%, Taiwan -0.41%, Australia -0.20%, Singapore -0.39%, South Korea -0.10%, India -0.78%. China's Shanghai Composite fell on growth concerns after the Oct Westpac-MNI consumer sentiment fell to a record low and after UBS cut its China 2016 GDP forecast to 6.2% from 6.5%. Japanese stocks were the only bright spot in Asian markets as the Nikkei Stock Index closed higher on speculation the BOJ will increase stimulus when it meets this Thursday and Friday.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.17%) is down -0.14%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.14%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.11%.
Dec T-note prices (ZNZ15 -0.07%) are down -2 ticks.
ECB Executive Board member Coeure said that the risks have increased that inflation will remain below the ECB's goal of 2.0% and that warrants vigilance from policy makers. He added that there have been "lively" discussions within the ECB of whether the deposit rate could be lowered from its current -0.2%or about expanding asset purchases.
The China Oct Westpac-MNI consumer sentiment fell -8.5 to 109.7, the lowest since the data series began in 2007.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous +11.8% with purchase mortgage sub-index +16.4% and refi sub-index +8.8%), (2) the Treasury's auction of $15 billion of 2-year floating rate notes and $35 billion of 5-year T-notes, and (3) the FOMC's interest rate decision after its 2-day meeting concludes.
There are 44 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: PayPal Holdings (consensus $0.29), Valero Energy (2.66), ICE Exchange (2.92), Walgreens (0.81), Hess Corp (-1.20), ADP (0.65%), General Dynamics (2.13), Northrop Grumman (2.19), Amgen (2.38), Murphy Oil *-0.93), Newmont Mining (0.17), Willaims Copmanies (0.18),
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Optex Systems MyoKardia (MYOK).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Money20/20 Conference on Mon-Wed.



OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Apple (AAPL -0.63%) climbed 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 EPS of $1.96, higher than consensus of $1.88.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise ({=HPE-W=}) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading when it was reported that it will replace Hudson City Bancorp in the S&P 500 after the close of trading on Friday, Oct 30.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE +3.36%) reported Q3 EPS of $2.91, below consensus of $2.92.
Twitter (TWTR +1.46%) dropped over 10% in pre-market trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 10 cents, double consensus of 5 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 revenue to $695 million to $710 million, below consensus of $748.6 million.
Gilead Sciences (GILD +2.14%) fell almost 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of $3.22, well ahead of consensus of $2.88, but said it sees 2015 fiscal sales of $30 billion-$31 billion, below consensus of $31.5 billion.
Valero Energy (VLO +0.90%) reported Q3 EPS of $2.79, higher than consensus of $2.66.
Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA +6.35%) reported Q4 EPS of 88 cents, better than consensus of 81 cents.
NCR Corp. (NCR -6.92%) rose nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 78 cents, above consensus of 70 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $2.70-$2.80 from an earlier forecast of $2.60-$2.80, above consensus of $2.68.
Akamai (AKAM +0.24%) fell over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 62 cents, above consensus of 57 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 EPS to 60 cents-64 cents, below consensus of 65 cents.
Northrop Grumman (NOC +0.17%) jumped over 8% in after-hours trading after the U.S. Air Force announced that it chose NOC to build the next-generation long-range strike bomber, beating out rivals Boeing and Lockheed Martin. The contract may be worth up to $80 billion if all 100 planes are built.
Infinera (INFN +0.05%) jumped 8% in after-hours trading after it reported adjusted Q3 EPS of 22 cents, higher than consensus of 18 cents.
Zeltiq Aesthetics (ZLTQ +3.54%) climbed 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 5 cents, better than consensus of a -5 cent loss, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 revenue to $252 million from a previous estimate of $245 million-$247 million, above consensus of $247.2 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.23%) this morning are up +4.00 points (+0.19%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.25%, Dow Jones -0.24%, Nasdaq +0.18%. The S&P 500 index on Tuesday closed lower on signs of weak capital spending after Sep capital goods orders non-defense ex-aircraft unexpectedly fell-0.3% (vs expectations of +0.2%) and on the -5.0 point decline in U.S. Oct consumer confidence to 97.6 (vs expectations of -0.2 to 102.8). There were also some concerns that the FOMC in its post-meeting statement on Wednesday might adopt less dovish language to allow for a December rate hike, although the FOMC is unanimously expected to leave interest rates unchanged.
Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ15 -0.07%) this morning are down -2 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYZ5 +10.50, FVZ5 +6.75. Dec T-notes on Tuesday settled higher on carryover support from a rally in German bunds to a 5-1/2 month high, the larger-than-expected -5.0 point decline in U.S. Oct consumer confidence, and increased safe-haven demand with the sell-off in stocks.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.17%) this morning is down -0.139 (-0.14%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0016 (+0.14%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.13 (-0.11%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.045 (+0.05%), EUR/USD -0.0007 (-0.06%), USD/JPY -0.64 (-0.53%). The dollar index on Tuesday settled higher on weakness in GBP/USD, which fell to a 1-1/2 week low after UK Q3 GDP grew at a slower-than-expected pace. In addition, EUR/USD saw weakness on ECB Governing Council member Nowotny's comment that the Eurozone is "still in this situation of very low inflation rates," which bolstered speculation that the ECB may expand QE.
Dec crude oil (CLZ15 +0.88%) this morning is up +34 cents (+0.79%) and Dec gasoline (RBZ15 +0.91%) is up +0.0088 (+0.69%). Tuesday's closes: CLZ5-0.59 (-1.34%), RBZ5 -0.0018 (-0.14%). Dec crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday closed lower with Dec crude at a 2-month low. Crude oil prices were undercut by the stronger dollar, the sharp -5.0 point drop in U.S. consumer confidence, and expectations for Wednesday's weekly EIA report to show that crude inventories rose by +3.5 million bbl.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR10/28/2015
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +11.8% with purchase mortgage sub-index +16.4% and refi sub-index +8.8%.
0730 ETSep advance U.S. goods trade deficit expected -$64.3 billion, Aug -$66.6 billion.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1130 ETTreasury auctions $15 billion 2-year floating rate notes.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $35 billion 5-year T-notes.
1400 ETFOMC interest rate decision.
GER0300 ETGerman Nov GfK consumer confidence expected -0.2 to 9.4, Oct 9.6.
0300 ETGerman Sep import price index expected -0.2% m/m and -3.5% y/y, Aug -1.5% m/m and -3.1% y/y.
EUR0515 ETECB Executive Board member Peter Praet speaks on a panel discussion on What Challenges High Public Debts Pose for Monetary Policy at a banking conference in Riga, Latvia.
1045 ETECB Vice President Vitor Constancio delivers keynote speech on Macroprudential Policy in Europe: Ensuring Financial Stability in a Banking and Capital Markets Union at a conference in Berlin.
JPN1950 ETJapan Sep industrial production expected -0.6% m/m and -2.6% y/y, Aug -1.2% m/m and -0.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR10/28/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Hess CorpHES USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-1.197
Automatic Data Processing IncADP USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.652
Boston Scientific CorpBSX USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.225
NextEra Energy IncNEE USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.649
General Dynamics CorpGD USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.127
Hershey Co/TheHSY USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.124
International Paper CoIP USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.88
Northrop Grumman CorpNOC USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.194
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.003
PG&E CorpPCG USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.955
AutoNation IncAN USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.058
Level 3 Communications IncLVLT USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.46
Valero Energy CorpVLO USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.664
Garmin LtdGRMN USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.519
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.919
TE Connectivity LtdTEL USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.922
Anthem IncANTM US6:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.325
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide IncHOT US6:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.718
Walgreens Boots Alliance IncWBA US7:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.813
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY US7:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.634
National Oilwell Varco IncNOV US7:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.556
Southern Co/TheSO US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.162
FLIR Systems IncFLIR US7:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.412
Boston Scientific CorpBSX US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Norfolk Southern CorpNSC US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.414
Owens-Illinois IncOI US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.406
Assurant IncAIZ US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Automatic Data Processing IncADP US8:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Hershey Co/TheHSY US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Walgreens Boots Alliance IncWBA US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Express Scripts Holding CoESRX US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRW US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Anthem IncANTM US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
TE Connectivity LtdTEL US8:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Verisk Analytics IncVRSK US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Norfolk Southern CorpNSC US8:45Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Aflac IncAFL US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Anadarko Petroleum CorpAPC US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
NextEra Energy IncNEE US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
General Dynamics CorpGD US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
International Paper CoIP US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Parker-Hannifin CorpPH US9:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
Universal Health Services IncUHS US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
National Oilwell Varco IncNOV US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Hess CorpHES US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Level 3 Communications IncLVLT US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Garmin LtdGRMN US10:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
PG&E CorpPCG US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Cincinnati Financial CorpCINF US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
AutoNation IncAN US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
FLIR Systems IncFLIR US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Valero Energy CorpVLO US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Northrop Grumman CorpNOC US11:45Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide IncHOT US13:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Southern Co/TheSO US13:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Macerich Co/TheMAC US13:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Realty Income CorpO US16:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.697
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:00Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.745
O'Reilly Automotive IncORLY US16:30Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.38
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:30Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Hanesbrands IncHBI US16:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Varian Medical Systems IncVAR US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Western Digital CorpWDC US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Amgen IncAMGN US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.383
Amgen IncAMGN US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncVRTX US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Marriott International Inc/MDMAR US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.743
PayPal Holdings IncPYPL US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
FMC CorpFMC USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.381
Lincoln National CorpLNC USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.524
Murphy Oil CorpMUR USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.93
Newmont Mining CorpNEM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.174
Public StoragePSA USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.262
Tesoro CorpTSO USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20156.081
Unum GroupUNM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.904
Varian Medical Systems IncVAR USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.02
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.177
Range Resources CorpRRC USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.047
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncVRTX USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.312
Equinix IncEQIX USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20153.064
Hanesbrands IncHBI USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.449
PayPal Holdings IncPYPL USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.289
Equinix IncEQIX US17:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Posted by Jim Van Meerten at
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