Showing posts with label PGR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PGR. Show all posts

Thursday, June 15, 2017

Progressive - Chart of the Day

Progressive (PGR) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The insurance company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 45.58+ and gained 40.35% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Progressive (PGR).  I found the insurance stock by using Barchart to sort today's Top Stocks to Own list first for the most frequent number of new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals of 80% or more.  Since The Trend Spotter signaled a buy in 4/27 the stock gained 11.10%.

Progressive Corp. is an auto insurance company and a writer of auto insurance through independent agents. Progressive is committed to providing independent agents with a financially strong company that offers competitive products designed specifically for the agency business; a strong national brand that drives consumers to independent agent's offices; 24-hour, in-person services for them and their customers; and continued innovations in technology. 


The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 18 new highs and up 10.79% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 82.61%
  • Technical support level at 43.75
  • Recently traded at 44.59 with a 50 day moving average of 40.98
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $25.80 billion
  • P/E 22.48
  • Dividend yield 1.56%
  • Revenue expected to grow 12.60% this year and another 10.50% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 38.80% this year, an additional 9.70% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 20.46% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 4 string buy, 2 buy, 6 hold and 1 sell recommendation on the stock


Monday, May 15, 2017

MORNING CALL - 5/15

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM17 +0.13%) this morning are up +0.10% as energy producing stocks rallied after Jun WTI crude oil (CLM17 +3.05%) surged +2.91% to a 2-week high when Saudi Arabia and Russia said they favored extending a crude oil production-cut deal for another nine months, longer than expectations of six months. European stocks are down -0.30% as the markets gauge the effect of a massive cyber-attack on European businesses. More than 200,000 computers from at least 150 countries have so far been infected with a ransomware, according to Europol. It has affected the UK's National Health Service, Russia's Ministry of Interior, Chinese government agencies, Germany's Deutsche Bahn rail system, automakers Renault SA and Nissan Motor, and other company and hospital computer systems. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan -0.07%, Hong Kong +0.86%, China +0.22%, Taiwan +0.50%, Australia +0.03%, Singapore +0.27%, South Korea +0.21%, India +0.44%. China's Shanghai Composite climbed to a 1-week high after Chinese President Xi Jinping unveiled an infrastructure spending plan at the Belt and Road Forum in Beijing. Gains were limited, though, after data on China Apr industrial production and retail sales missed estimates.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.36%) is down -0.35%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.34%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.04%.
Jun 10-year T-note prices (ZNM17 +0.01%) are up +2 ticks at a 1-week high.
Japan Apr PPI rose +0.2% m/m and +2.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of -0.1% m/m and +1.8% y/y with the +2.1% y/y gain the largest year-on-year increase in 2-1/3 years.
China Apr industrial production rose +6.5% y/y, weaker than expectations of +7.0% y/y.
China Apr retail sales rose +10.7% y/y, weaker than expectations of +10.8% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) May Empire manufacturing index (expected +2.1 to 7.3, Apr -11.2 to 5.2), (2) May NAHB housing market index (expected unch at 68, Apr -3 to 68), (3) USDA weekly grain export inspections, (4) USDA crop conditions and planting progress.
Notable Russell 2000 earnings reports today include: Alere (consensus $0.52).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences: JP Morgan Denver Energy Bus Tour on Mon-Tue, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Mining Metals & Steel Conference on Tue, Deutsche Bank Clean Tech Utility & Power Conference on Tue, Needham Emerging Technology Conference on Tue-Wed, Goldman Sachs Basic Materials Conference on Tue-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Barclays Americas Select Franchise Conference on Tue-Fri, Stephens Energy Executive Summit on Wed, BMO Capital Markets Farm to Market Conference on Wed-Thu, J.P. Morgan Homebuilding & Building Products Conference on Wed-Thu, MoffettNathanson Media & Communications Summit on Wed-Thu, RBC Capital Markets Canadian Automotive, Transportation & Industrials Conference on Thu, Barclays Water Symposium - Panel on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Cisco (CSCO -0.54%) climbed nearly 2% in pre-market trading after it was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Equal-Weight' at Morgan Stanley with a price target of $39.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ +0.36%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Neutral' at JP Morgan Chase with a price target of $140.
Acadia Health (ACHC +0.59%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Leerink Partners LLC.
JC Penney (JCP -13.99%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Deutsche Bank.
TD Ameritrade (AMTD -1.30%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from ‘Market Perform' at Wells Fargo with a price target of $44.
Starbucks (SBUX -0.56%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Deutsche Bank with a price target of $69.
Xylem (XYL +0.20%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Equal Weight' at Barclays with a price target of $59.
Cimarex Energy (XEC -0.84%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Williams Capital with a price target of $160.
Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD -0.19%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Deutsche Bank with a price target of $180.
Tesla (TSLA +0.53%) is down over 2% in pre-market trading after it was downgraded to 'Equal-Weight' from 'Overweight.'
Avis Budget Group (CAR -1.65%) fell 2% in after-hours trading after CFO David Wyshner resigned, effective next month, to pursue other opportunities.
Progressive (PGR -0.62%) announced that its board authorized the repurchase of up to 25 million of its common shares.
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions (MDRX -2.53%) announced that Dennis Olis has been named interim CEO and will replace Melinda Whittington who is leaving the company.

MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM17 +0.13%) this morning are up +2.50 points (+0.10%). Friday's closes: S&P 500 -0.15%, Dow Jones -0.11%, Nasdaq +0.22%. The S&P 500 on Friday closed lower on concerns about U.S. consumer spending after Apr retail sales rose +0.4% and +0.3% ex autos, weaker than expectations of +0.6% and +0.5% ex autos. There was also weakness in retail stocks, led by an 11% plunge in Nordstrom's, after it reported an unexpected -0.8% decline in Q1 comparable-store-sales, weaker than consensus of unchanged. Stocks found support on news that the May University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment rose +0.7 to 97.7, stronger than expectations of unch at 97.0.
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM17 +0.01%) this morning are up +2 ticks at a 1-week high. Friday's closes: TYM7 +17.50, FVM7 +12.00. Jun T-=notes on Friday rose to a 1-week high and settled higher on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Apr CPI and Apr retail sales, which takes some of the urgency away for future Fed rate hikes. T-note prices were also supported by comments from Chicago Fed President Evans who said inflation pressures are "still under-running" the Fed's 2% objective.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.36%) this morning is down -0.238 (-0.35%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0037 (+0.34%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.05 (+0.04%). Friday's closes: Dollar index -0.371 (-0.37%), EUR/USD -0.0007 (-0.06%), USD/JPY -0.42 (-0.37%). The dollar index on Friday closed lower on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Apr retail sales and Apr CPI reports, which may delay a Fed rate hike, and Chicago Fed President Evans' comment that downside risks to inflation "still predominate."
June WTI crude oil prices (CLM17 +3.05%) this morning are up +$1.39 a barrel (+2.91%) at a 2-week high and June gasoline (RBM17 +2.36%) is +0.0307 (+1.95%) at a 2-week high. Friday's closes: Jun crude +0.01 (+0.02%), Jun gasoline +0.0139 (+0.89%). Jun crude oil and gasoline on Friday closed higher with Jun gasoline at a 2-week high. Crude oil prices were boosted by a weaker dollar and by the jump in the crack spread to a 2-week high, which may boost refinery demand for crude oil to refine into gasoline. Crude oil prices were undercut by last Friday's report from Baker Hughes that active U.S. oil rigs in the week of May 12 rose 9 to 712, a 2-year high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/15/2017
Monday, May 15
US0830 ETMay Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions expected +2.1 to 7.3, Apr -11.2 to 5.2.
1000 ETMay NAHB housing market index expected unch at 68, Apr -3 to 68.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1600 ETUSDA crop conditions and planting progress.
Tuesday, May 16
US0830 ETApr housing starts expected +3.7% to 1.260 million, Mar -6.8% to 1.215 million. Apr building permits expected +0.2% to 1.270 million, Mar +4.2% to 1.267 million.
0915 ETApr industrial production expected +0.4%, Mar +0.5%. Apr manufacturing production expected +0.4%, Mar -0.4%. Apr capacity utilization expected +0.2 to 76.3%, Mar +0.4 to 76.1%.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/15/2017

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
American International Group IncAIG US09:30Investor Day
Liberty Expedia Holdings IncLEXEA USQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 17
Alere IncALR USQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 160.516
Ultimate Software Group Inc/TheULTI USAnnual General Meeting
Motorola Solutions IncMSI USAnnual General Meeting
Markel CorpMKL USAnnual General Meeting
Consolidated Edison IncED USAnnual General Meeting
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - Zurich
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - Geneva
PacWest BancorpPACW US13:30Annual General Meeting

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

MORNING CALL 1/25

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 +0.32%) are up +0.26% at a new all-time nearest-futures high and European stocks are up +1.10% at a 1-week high on optimism over the global economic outlook. Mar COMEX copper (HGH17 -0.55%) climbed to a 1-3/4 month high in overnight trade before falling back as expectations for stronger economic growth fueled gains in commodity producing stocks. European bourses found support on strength in bank stocks and insurance companies, while the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, a gauge of fear in the equity market, fell to a 2-1/2 year low today. Positive Japanese trade data also gave global equity markets a boost after Japan Dec exports climbed +5.4% y/y, the biggest increase in 17 months. Mar WTI crude oil (CLH17 -0.92%) is down -0.96% after API data late Tuesday showed U.S. crude supplies rose +2.93 million bbl last week. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1.43%, Hong Kong +0.43%, China +0.22%, Taiwan closed for holiday, Australia +0.38%, Singapore -0.07%, South Korea +0.32%, India +1.21%.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.42%) is down -0.32%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.18%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.27%.
Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 +0.01%) are down -1.5 ticks.
ECB Executive Board member Lautenschlaeger said "all preconditions for a stable rise in inflation exist and I am optimistic that we can soon turn to the question of an exit" from the ECB's bond-buying program.
The German Jan IFO business climate unexpectedly fell -1.2 to 109.8, weaker than expectations of +0.3 to 111.3.
The Japan Dec trade balance widened to a surplus of 641.4 billion yen, larger than expectations of 281.1 billion yen. Dec exports rose +5.4% y/y, stronger than expectations of +1.1% y/y and the largest increase in 17 months. Dec imports fell -2.6% y/y, weaker than expectations of -0.8% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous +0.8% with purchase sub-index -5.2% and refi sub-index +6.8%), (2) Nov FHFA house price index (expected +0.4%, Oct +0.4% m/m), (3) the Treasury auctions $15 billion of 2-year floating-rate notes and $34 billion of 5-year T-notes, (4) House and Senate Republicans begin a 3-day policy retreat in Philadelphia, (5) EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Abbott Labs (consensus $0.65), Boeing (2.32), Citrix (1.50), eBay (0.54), AT&T (0.66).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: App Dynamics (APPD), ObsEva (OBSV), AnaptysBio (ANAB).
Equity conferences: Hart Energy DUG Marcellus Utica Midstream Conference on Wed-Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Boeing (BA +1.72%) climbed 1.5% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 core EPS of $2.47, above consensus of $2.32.
Seagate Technology PLC (STX +2.94%) jumped 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.38, higher than consensus of $1.08, and said it sees fiscal 2017 EPS "at least" $4.50, above consensus of $3.77.
Discover Financial Service (DFS +0.87%) lost 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 provision for loan losses of $579 million, up from $445 million in Q3.
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG +1.68%) rose 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $6.09, better than consensus of $5.98.
Capital One Financial (COF +2.14%) slipped nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.45, weaker than consensus of $1.62.
Alcoa (AA +3.33%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it said it sees 2017 adjusted Ebitda ex-items $2.1 billion-$2.3 billion, up from $1.1 billion in 2016.
Phillips 66 Partners (PSXP +1.17%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' by Citigroup, citing strong organic growth, ability to attract third-party revenue and compete with large non-sponsored MLPs.
Cree Inc (CREE -0.29%) rallied 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 20 cents, higher than consensus of 11 cents.
CA Technologies (CA +1.54%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it cut its full year adjusted EPS from continuing operations growth estimate to flat to up +2%, below a previous projection of up 2%-5%.
Bob Evans (BOBE -0.39%) jumped 15% in after-hours trading after it announce a sale of its restaurants to Golden Gate Capital for $565 million.
Concho Resources (CXO +2.24%) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it sold a Permian Basin crude oil gathering system to Plains All-American for $1.2 billion.
Mercury Systems (MRCY +8.37%) lost 3% in after-hours trading after it announced a public offering of 5 million shares of common stock.
Newtek Business Services (NEWT +2.33%) dropped nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it announced a public offering of 1.5 million shares of common stock.
Michaels Cos. (MIK +0.65%) slid 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a secondary offering of 18 million shares of common stock.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 +0.32%) this morning are up +6.00 points (+0.26%) at a new all-time nearest-futures high. Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.66%, Dow Jones +0.57%, Nasdaq +0.70%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday rallied to a fresh record high and closed higher on the +0.8 point increase in the U.S. Jan Markit manufacturing PMI o 55.1, stronger than expectations of +0.2 to 54.5 and the fastest pace of expansion in 1-3/4 years. In addition, mining stocks rallied after copper prices rose to a 1-week high and energy producers rallied as the price of crude oil rose +0.36%. Stocks were undercut by the -2.8% decline in U.S. Dec existing home sales to 5.49 million, weaker than expectations of -1.6% to 5.52 million.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 +0.01%) this morning are down -1.5 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYH7 -19.00, FVH7 -11.00. Mar 10-year T-notes on Tuesday closed lower on signs of strength in U.S. manufacturing that bolstered the case for additional Fed rate hikes after the Jan Markit manufacturing PMI rose +0.8 to a 1-3/4 year high of 55.1. T-notes were also undercut by reduced safe-haven with the rally in stocks and supply pressures as the Treasury auctions $103 billion of T-notes this week.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.42%) this morning is down -0.32 (-0.32%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0019 (+0.18%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.31 (-0.27%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar index +0.19 (+0.19%), EUR/USD -0.0034 (-0.32%), USD/JPY +1.08 (+0.96%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed higher on the stronger than expected U.S. Jan Markit manufacturing PMI report and the increase in T-note yields, which improved the dollar's interest rate differentials.
Mar WTI crude oil prices (CLH17 -0.92%) this morning are down -51 cents (-0.96%) and Mar gasoline (RBH17 -1.55%) is -0.0274 (-1.71%). Tuesday's closes: Mar crude +0.19 (+0.36%), Mar gasoline -0.0087 (-0.55%). Mar crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday settled mixed. Oil prices were boosted by signs that OPEC members are adhering to their production cut agreements after Iraq, OPEC's second-biggest producer, said it has already reduced crude output by 180,000 bpd and will cut its output by another 30,000 bpd by the end of the month. Crude oil prices were undercut by a stronger dollar and by expectations that Wednesday's EIA crude inventories will climb by 2.5 million bbl.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/25/2017
Wednesday, Jan 25
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +0.8% with purchase sub-index -5.2% and refi sub-index +6.8%.
0900 ETNov FHFA house price index expected +0.4%, Oct +0.4% m/m.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1130 ETTreasury auctions $15 billion of 2-year floating-rate notes.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $34 billion of 5-year T-notes.
n/aHouse and Senate Republicans begin a 3-day policy retreat in Philadelphia.
Thursday
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +13,000 to 247,000, previous -15,000 to 234,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -6,000 to 2.040 million, previous -47,000 to 2.046 million.
0830 ETDec wholesale inventories expected +0.1% m/m, Nov +1.0% m/m. Dec retail inventories, Nov +1.0% m/m.
0830 ETDec Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.22 to -0.05, Nov -0.22 to -0.27.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
0945 ETJan Markit services PMI expected +0.5 to 54.4, Dec -0.7 to 53.9.
1000 ETDec new home sales expected -0.8% to 587,000, Nov +5.2% to 592,000.
1000 ETDec leading indicators expected +0.5%, Nov unch. LEI benchmark revisions.
1100 ETJan Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey expected -3 to 8, Dec +10 to 11.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $28 billion of 7-year T-notes.
n/aPresident Trump is scheduled to meet with House and Senate Republicans at their 3-day policy retreat in Philadelphia.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/25/2017
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Progressive Corp/ThePGR USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.506
McCormick & Co Inc/MDMKC USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.276
Huntington Bancshares Inc/OHHBAN USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.222
TE Connectivity LtdTEL USBef-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.003
Textron IncTXT US6:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.865
United Technologies CorpUTX US6:55Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.564
State Street CorpSTT US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.325
Rockwell Automation IncROK US7:00Q1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.449
Abbott LaboratoriesABT US7:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.646
Hess CorpHES US7:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2016-1.074
Boeing Co/TheBA US7:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20162.322
WW Grainger IncGWW US7:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20162.358
Freeport-McMoRan IncFCX US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.35
Illinois Tool Works IncITW US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.372
Norfolk Southern CorpNSC US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.362
Amphenol CorpAPH US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.72
Kinder Morgan Inc/DEKMI US9:00Analyst MeetingY 2017
McKesson CorpMCK US16:00Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20172.915
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:00Q1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.938
Citrix Systems IncCTXS US16:05Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.495
Western Digital CorpWDC US16:15Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20172.125
eBay IncEBAY US16:15Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.535
Murphy Oil CorpMUR USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2016-0.162
AT&T IncT USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.66
Varian Medical Systems IncVAR USAft-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.053
Lam Research CorpLRCX USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20172.196
QUALCOMM IncQCOM USAft-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.181
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncVRTX USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.297
Xilinx IncXLNX USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20170.49
SL Green Realty CorpSLG USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.433
United Rentals IncURI USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20162.296
Crown Castle International CorpCCI USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.111