Showing posts with label gpn. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gpn. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

MORNING CALL 4/20

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.18%) are unchanged as a nearly 2% decline in Intel in pre-market trading undercuts technology stocks. Also, energy producers are lower and weighing on the overall market as crude oil (CLM16 -1.48%) falls -1.77% in early trade after Kuwait oil workers ended their 3-day strike. Sings of increased M&A activity limited declines in equities after a consortium led by Apex Technology and PAG Asia Capital acquired Lexmark International for $3.6 billion. European stocks are up +0.23%, led by a rally in mining stocks, as both BHP Billiton Ltd. and Rio Tinto Group climbed 3% as the price of iron ore rose after BHP cut its iron ore production forecast for its Australian operations. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.19%, Hong Kong -0.93%, China -2.31%, Taiwan 01.38%, Australia +0.52%, Singapore -0.06%, South Korea -0.25%, India +0.11%. Chinese stocks tumbled on speculation of reduced stimulus from China's central bank after PBOC research bureau chief economist Ma Jun said that future policy operations will pay attention to heading off macroeconomic risks. Japan’s Nikkei Stock Index rallied to a 3-week high after Japanese trade data showed Japan exports and imports fell less than expected last month.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.05%) is up +0.10%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.11%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.02%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.01%) are up +1 tick.
PBOC research bureau chief economist Ma Jun said that future policy operations, while observing the need to continue to support growth, will also pay attention to heading off macroeconomic risks, especially an over-expansion of corporate leverage. This suggests that the PBOC is satisfied with the results of its current easing measures and may not add to them as that risks creating bubbles in financial markets.
German Mar PPI was unch m/m and fell -3.1% y/y, weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and -2.9% y/y, with the -3.1% y/y fall the largest year-on-year decline in 6 years.
Japan’s Mar trade balance was in surplus by 755.0 billion yen, narrower than expectations of a 834.6-billion-yen surplus. Mar exports fell -6.8% y/y, less than expectations of -7.0% y/y and Mar imports fell -14.9% y/y, a smaller decline than expectations of -16.6% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous +10.0% with purchase sub-index +8.4% and refi sub-index +11.3%), and (2) Mar existing home sales (expected +3.9% to 5.28 million, Feb -7.1% to 5.08 million).
There are 25 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: American Express (consensus $1.33), Abbott Labs (0.39), Coca-Cola (0.44), Kinder Morgan (0.19), Citrix (0.92), Newmont Mining (0.18), Yum Brands (0.83).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: American Rental Associates (ARA).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: American Academy Of Neurology Meeting on Mon-Wed, American Association for Cancer Research Meeting on Mon-Wed, Rx Sample Management and logistics Summit on Tue-Wed.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Intel (INTC -0.16%) lost nearly 2% in pre-market trading after it said Q2 net revenue will be about $13.5 billion, below consensus of $14.2 billion, and said it will cut 12,000 jobs, or 11% of its workforce.
Halliburton (HAL +2.69%) declined 1% in pre-market trading as the price of crude oil is down -1.77% in early trade.
Lexmark International (LXK +0.99%) jumped over 10% in pre-market-trading after it was acquired by a consortium led by Apex Technology and PAG Asia Capital for $3.6 billion.
Boeing (BA +0.54%) slipped 2% in pre-market trading after Bank of America downgraded it to 'Underperform' from 'Neutral.'
Yahoo! (YHOO -0.52%) climbed over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted Ebitda of $147 million, above consensus of $115.9 million.
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG -0.52%) gained nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $4.42, better than consensus of $4.33.
Global Payments (GPN -0.42%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading when it was announced that it will replace GameStop GME in the S&P 500 at the end of trading on Friday, April 22.
Discover Financial Services (DFS +1.15%) climbed 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of $1.35, better than consensus of $1.29.
VMware (VMW -0.44%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 86 cents, higher than consensus of 84 cents, and said it authorized a $1.2 billion stock buyback program.
Woodward (WWD +0.04%) slid over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 65 cents, below consensus of 66 cents.
Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR -0.55%) rose nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 comprehensive EPS of 60 cents, well above consensus of 47 cents.
Manhattan Associates (MANH +0.51%) gained over 7% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to $1.73-$1.76 from a February 2 estimate of $1.69-$1.72, above consensus of $1.71.
CalAmp (CAMP +1.69%) fell over 7% in after-hours trading after it said it sees fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS from continuing operations of $1.15-$1.35, below consensus of $1.43.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.18%) this morning are unchanged. Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.31%, Dow Jones +0.27%, Nasdaq -0.62%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday rose to a 4-1/2 month high and closed higher on strength in energy-producer stocks as crude oil rallied 3%, on a rally in commodity producers after silver surged +4.4% to a 10-1/2 month high, and on a decent start to Q1 corporate earnings season. Stock prices were undercut by the-8.8% decline in U.S. Mar housing starts to a 5-month low of 1.089 million, weaker than expectations of -1.1% to 1.166 million.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.01%) this morning are up +1 tick. Tuesday's closes: TYM6 -4.50, FVM6 -4.00. Jun T-notes on Tuesday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes with the rally in he S&P 500 to a 4-1/2 month high, on the rise in the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate to a 2-week high, and on hawkish comments from Boston Fed President Rosengren who said "we will be raising rates faster than what's reflected in the financial markets."
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.05%) this morning is up +0.096 (+0.10%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0012 (+0.11%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.02 (+0.02%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.514 (-0.54%), EUR/USD +0.0045 (+0.40%), USD/JPY +0.39 (+0.36%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed lower on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Mar housing starts report and on strength in EUR/USD after the German Apr ZEW expectations index rose more than expected to a 4-month high.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 -1.48%) is down -75 cents (-1.77%). June gasoline (RBM16 -0.66%) is down -0.0107 (-0.71%). Tuesday's closes: CLM6 +1.28 (+3.11%), RBM6 +0.0428 (+2.94%). Jun crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday settled higher on a weaker dollar, the third day of the Kuwaiti oil workers strike that has slashed Kuwait oil production by 50%, and the rally in the S&P 500 to a 4-1/2 month high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR04/20/2016
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +10.0% with purchase sub-index +8.4% and refi sub-index +11.3%.
1000 ETMar existing home sales expected +3.9% to 5.28 million, Feb -7.1% to 5.08 million.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
JPN0200 ETRevised Japan Mar machine tool orders.
GER0200 ETGerman Mar PPI expected +0.2% m/m and -2.9% y/y, Feb -0.5% m/m and -3.0% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Mar jobless claims change expected -10,000, Feb -18,000. Mar claimant count rate expected unch at 2.1%.
0430 ETUK Feb avg weekly earnings expected +2.3% 3-mon avg y/y, Jan +2.1% 3-mon avg y/y. Feb avg weekly earnings ex-bonus expected +2.1% 3-mon avg y/y, Jan +2.2% 3-mon avg y/y.
0430 ETUK ILO unemployment rate expected +5.1% 3-months through Feb, previous 5.1% 3-months through Jan.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR04/20/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Abbott LaboratoriesABT USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.393
Coca-Cola Co/TheKO USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.444
Textron IncTXT USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.516
Huntington Bancshares Inc/OHHBAN USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.201
US BancorpUSB USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.758
Amphenol CorpAPH USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.565
TE Connectivity LtdTEL USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.891
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSN USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.501
EMC Corp/MAEMC US7:00Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.334
St Jude Medical IncSTJ US7:15Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.885
EQT CorpEQT US8:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Illinois Tool Works IncITW US8:00Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.259
Textron IncTXT US8:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
St Jude Medical IncSTJ US8:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Navient CorpNAVI US8:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSN US8:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
EMC Corp/MAEMC US8:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
TE Connectivity LtdTEL US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Abbott LaboratoriesABT US9:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Coca-Cola Co/TheKO US9:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Huntington Bancshares Inc/OHHBAN US9:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
US BancorpUSB US9:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Stanley Black & Decker IncSWK US9:30Annual General Meeting
Illinois Tool Works IncITW US10:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
SanDisk CorpSNDK US10:00Webinar - GleSYS success story
Newmont Mining CorpNEM US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Linear Technology CorpLLTC US11:30Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Amphenol CorpAPH US13:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Stryker CorpSYK US16:00Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.202
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.627
Kinder Morgan Inc/DEKMI US16:00Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.187
Tractor Supply CoTSCO US16:01Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.464
Mattel IncMAT US16:05Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 2016-0.074
Citrix Systems IncCTXS US16:05Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.924
Stryker CorpSYK US16:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
F5 Networks IncFFIV US16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Kinder Morgan Inc/DEKMI US16:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
QUALCOMM IncQCOM US16:45Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Citrix Systems IncCTXS US16:45Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
American Express CoAXP US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Danaher CorpDHR US17:00ITC Final Decision Due in Instradent vs. Danaher Corp. Patent Case
Mattel IncMAT US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Lam Research CorpLRCX US17:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Tractor Supply CoTSCO US17:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
American Express CoAXP USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.331
Newmont Mining CorpNEM USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.182
Lam Research CorpLRCX USAft-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20161.087
QUALCOMM IncQCOM USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.962
SL Green Realty CorpSLG USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.657
Yum! Brands IncYUM USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.83
United Rentals IncURI USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.201
United Continental Holdings IncUAL USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.18
CR Bard IncBCR USAnnual General Meeting
Sherwin-Williams Co/TheSHW USAnnual General Meeting

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

MORNING CALL 4/6

MORNING CALL


Friday, January 22, 2016

Barchart Van Meerten New High Portfolio Changes

In the past week I trimmed out the stocks that weren't performing but decided not to replace any positions until I see some stability in the market.  As of last night:

I owned:

  • NJR New Jersey Resources
  • CUBE CubeSmart
Trimmed in the past week:
  • FIZZ National Beverage
  • GPN Global Payments
  • NCLH Norwegian Cruise Lines
  • OMI Owens & Minor
  • SIGI Selective Insurance
  • SNX Synnex
  • TBK Triumph Bancorp
  • TOWN Towne Bank
  • VII Vicon Industries
  • XRS Tal Education Group

Monday, January 11, 2016

NJR, BKH,CUBE buy signals - GPN Sell signal

Today I made some changes to the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio based on current price momentum.

I added New Jersey Resources (NJR), Black Hills (BKH) and CubeSmart (CUBE) based on positive price momentum.

I deleted Global Payments (GPN) based on negative price momentum.

BOUGHT

New Jersey Resources (NJR)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 14 new highs and up 21.25% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 66.03%
  • Technical support level at 32.72
  • Recently traded at 34.05 with a 50 day moving average of 30.99


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 88% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 13 new highs and up 13.01% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 61.53
  • Technical support level at 46.51%
  • Recently traded at 46.74 with a 50 day moving average of 44.18
CubeSmart (CUBE)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 11 new highs and up 7.19% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 62.71%
  • Technical support level at 30.81
  • Recently traded at 31.44 with a 50 day moving average of 29.42
SOLD



Barchart technical indicators:
  • 64% technical sell signals
  • Trend Spotter sell signal
  • Below its 20, 50, and 100 day moving averages
  • 20.50% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 28.70%
  • Recently traded at 59.31 which is below its 50 day moving average of 67.97









MORNING CALL 1/11

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.33%) are up +0.50% and European stocks are up +0.74%. The Mar E-mini S&P had posted a 3-1/4 month low in overnight trade when China's Shanghai Composite slid over 5% to a 3-3/4 month low, but recovered their losses and moved higher as they attempt to stabilize ahead of Q4 company earnings season that begins this week. European stocks were led higher by a rally in automakers, with Volkswagen, BMW AG, and Daimler AG all up over 1.5%. Asian stocks settled lower: Japan closed for holiday, Hong Kong -2.76%, China -5.33%, Taiwan -1.34%, Australia -1.17%, Singapore -1.54%, South Korea -1.22%, India -0.44%. China's Shanghai Composite closed down % after China Dec producer prices fell for a record 46th consecutive month and declined at the fastest pace in 6-1/2 years, which pessimism over China's economy. The Shanghai Composite closed on its lows even as the yuan strengthened against the dollar, after Beijing News cited Premier Li Keqiang as saying policy makers won't seek strong stimulus or flood the economy with too much investment to boost demand.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.08%) is down -0.03%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.20%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.38% as it recovered from a 4-1/2 month low after a rally in U.S. and European stocks curbed safe-haven demand for the yen.
Mar T-note prices (ZNH16 -0.12%) are down -4.5 ticks.
Eurozone Jan Sentix investor confidence fell -6.1 to 9.6, weaker than expectations of -4.3 to 11.4 and a 1-year low.
China Dec CPI rose +1.6% y/y, right on expectations. Dec PPI fell -5.9% y/y, weaker than expectations of -5.8% y/y and matched the fastest pace of decline in 6-1/4 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart speaks on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy to the Rotary Club of Atlanta, (2) Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan speaks on economic conditions and monetary policy at the North Texas Economic Forum.
There are 3 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Alcoa (consensus $0.02), Global Payments (0.75), Lumentum Holdings (0.28).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week: North American International Auto Show (Detroit) - Press Days on Mon-Tue, J.P. Morgan Health Care Conference on Mon-Thu, Needham & Company Growth Conference on Tue, Deutsche Bank Global Auto Conference on Tue-Wed.






OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Wyndham Worldwide (WYN -0.30%) was upgraded to 'Hold' from 'Sell' at Deutsche Bank.
Ilumina (ILMN -1.52%) is up 6% in pre-market trading after it raised guidance on 2016 core adjusted EPS to $3.80-$3.90, higher than estimates of $3.76.
Whiting Petroleum (WLL +3.05%) was upgraded to 'Outperfom' from 'Market Perform' at Wells Fargo Securities.
Marathon Oil (MRO -3.00%) and Devon Energy (DVN +1.57%) were both upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Equalweight' at Barclays.
Williams-Sonoma (WSM -3.22%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Outperform' at Wedbush.
M&T Bank (MTB -2.05%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Statoil (STO -2.74%) was added to the 'Conviction Sell' list at Goldman Sachs.
L'oreal (LRLCY -0.45%) was added to the 'Conviction Buy' list at Goldman Sachs.
Keycorp (KEY -2.13%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Cheniere Energy (LNG +0.11%) climbed nearly 3% in after-hours trading after Baupost raised its stake in eh company to 15.01% from 9.60% in September.
HCA Holdings (HCA -0.03%) rose nearly 6% in after-hours trading after the company said its fiscal 2015 adjusted EBITDA will be about $7.9 billion, higher than consensus of $7.77 billion.
Affymetrix (AFFX -1.39%) surged over 40% in after-hours trading after Thermo Fisher Scientific TMO acquired the company for $1.3 billion or $14 a share.
Actuity Brands (AYI -3.73%) fell over 3% in after-hours trading, adding on to Friday's -3.7% decline, after the company reported Q1 revenue of $736.6 million, below estimates of $740.1 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.33%) this morning are up +9.50 points (+0.50%). Friday's closes: S&P 500 -1.08%, Dow Jones -1.02%, Nasdaq -0.81%. The S&P 500 on Friday erased an early rally and fell to a 3-1/4 month low on weakness in energy producers as crude oil prices declined and on concern that the recent weakness in Chinese stocks has yet to run its course. Stocks initially opened higher on carry-over support from a +1.97% rally in China's Shanghai Composite and the +292,000 increase in U.S. Dec non-farm payrolls, stronger than expectations of +200,000.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 -0.12%) this morning are down -4.5 ticks. Friday's closes: TYH6 +9.50, FVH6 +6.50. Mar T-notes on Friday posted a 2-1/4 month high and closed higher on (1) a lack of wage pressures after U.S. Dec average hourly earnings were unch m/m and up +2.5% y/y (weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.7% y/y) (2) weaker commodity prices that reduced inflation expectations as the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate fell to a 2-week low, and (3) increased safe-haven demand after the S&P 500 gave up an early rally and fell to a 3-1/4 month low.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.08%) this morning isdown -0.030 (-0.03%) . EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0022 (-0.20%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.45 (+0.38%). Friday's closes: Dollar Index +0.321 (+0.33%), EUR/USD -0.0010 (-0.09%), USD/JPY -0.41 (-0.35%). The dollar index on Friday settled higher on the stronger-than-expected U.S. Dec payroll report, which bolsters the case for the Fed to continue to raise interest rates. In addition, there was weakness in EUR/USD after German Nov industrial production unexpectedly fell -0.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.5% m/m. The dollar was undercut by the slide in stocks, which boosted safe-haven demand for the yen as USD/JPY tumbled to a 4-1/2 month low.
Feb crude oil (CLG16 -1.54%) this morning is down -54 cents (-1.63%) and Feb gasoline (RBG16 +0.20%) is down -0.0056 (-0.50%). Friday's closes: CLG6 -0.39 (-1.17%), RBG6 -0.0241 (-2.10%). Feb crude oil and gasoline on Friday closed lower on a stronger dollar and on concern that the turmoil in China will exacerbate a global oil glut. Losses in crude oil were limited after U.S. Dec non-farm payrolls rose more than expected in a sign of U.S. economic strength.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/11/2016
US1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1240 ETAtlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart speaks on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy to the Rotary Club of Atlanta.
1750 ETDallas Fed President Rob Kaplan speaks on economic conditions and monetary policy at the North Texas Economic Forum.
EUR0430 ETEurozone Jan Sentix investor confidence expected -4.4 to 11.3, Dec 15.7.
UK1901 ETUK Dec BRC sales like-for-like expected +0.5% y/y, Nov -0.4% y/y.
JPNn/aJapanese markets closed for Coming-of-Age Day.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/11/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
American Airlines Group IncAAL USBef-mktDecember 2015 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2015
Sirona Dental Systems IncSIRO US13:00Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting
Alcoa IncAA US16:03Q4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.024
Alcoa IncAA US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
United Continental Holdings IncUAL US17:00December 2015 Sales and Revenue Release - Operational Performance2015
DENTSPLY International IncXRAY USSpecial Meeting - M&A Vote
Sirona Dental Systems IncSIRO USSpecial Meeting - M&A Vote
Global Payments IncGPN USQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.753
Lumentum Holdings IncLITE USQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.283

Friday, January 8, 2016

MORNING CALL 1/8

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.75%) are up +0.32% as global stocks attempt to recover after China took steps to alleviate market stress. The PBOC set a higher reference rate for the yuan today, the first time it has done so in the last nine sessions, which strengthened the yuan against the dollar. U.S. stocks fell back from their best levels after crude oil erased an overnight rally and is now lower by -0.27%. European stocks are down -0.55% after German Nov industrial production unexpectedly declined. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan -0.39%, Hong Kong +0.59%, China +1.97%, Taiwan +0.53%, Australia -0.39%, Singapore +0.78%, South Korea +0.75%, India +0.33%. China's Shanghai Composite rebounded from a 3-1/4 month low and closed higher after the government suspended a circuit-breaker system that had halted Chinese equity trading on Monday and Thursday when stock losses reached -7%. Chinese stocks also found support on signs that state-controlled funds were said to be buying equities.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.54%) is up +0.50%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.56%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.53%.
Mar T-note prices (ZNH16 -0.17%) are down -6 ticks.
ECB Governing Council member Lane said "no door has been closed" in relation to QE, even as there's "plenty of evidence" that the ECB's sovereign-debt purchase program is working.
German Nov industrial production of -0.3% m/m and +0.1% y/y was weaker than expectations of +0.5% m/m and +0.5% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Dec non-farm payrolls (expected +200,000, Nov +211,000) and Dec unemployment rate (expected unch at 5.0%, Nov unch at 5.0%), (2) Nov wholesale trade sales (expected unch m/m, Oct unch m/m) and Nov wholesale inventories (expected -0.1% m/m, Oct -0.1% m/m), (3) San Francisco Fed President John Williams' speech on the economic outlook to the California Association of Bankers in Santa Barbara, CA, (4) Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker's comments on his 2016 economic outlook to the Maryland Bankers Association, and (5) Nov consumer credit (expected +$18.5 billion, Oct +$15.982 billion).
There are 2 of the Russell 3000 companies that report earnings today: Acuity Brands (consensus $1.58), Global Payments (0.75).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences today: none.







OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Foot Locker (FL -1.21%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Bank of America.
Dupont (DD -2.97%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from Market Perform' at Bernstein who also raised their price target on the stock to $81 from $71.
Williams-Sonoma (WSM +1.47%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Buckingham Research Group.
Five Below (FIVE -0.18%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on Q4 sales to $323 million-$326 million from a December outlook of $318 million-$323 million, above estimates of $320 million.
Helen of Troy (HELE -1.34%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.07, higher than consensus of $1.93.
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX -9.08%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Outperform' at Macquarie.
Synnex (SNX -2.15%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.80, stronger than consensus of $1.75, but then lowered guidance on Q1 adjusted EPS to $1.34-$1.39, below consensus of $1.54.
The Gap (GPS +5.73%) slipped over 6% in after-hours trading after it reported December comparable same-store-sales fell -5.0% y/y, a bigger decline than expectations of -3.9% y/y.
Container Store Group (TCS -5.15%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported an unexpected Q3 adjusted EPS loss of -4 cents, weaker than consensus of a 5 cent profit, and then lowered guidance on Q4 EPS to 19 cents-22 cents, well below consensus of 29 cents.
Alcoa (AA -3.95%) said it will close an aluminum smelter in Evansville, IN and curtail capacity at its Point Comfort, TX refinery to increase the competitiveness of its upstream business.
Suppliers of Apple products fell in after-hours trading with Skyworks Solutions (SWKS -2.88%) and Invensense (INVN -0.32%) down 3%, Avago Technologies (AVGO -3.18%) down 5%, and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI -5.41%) and Broadcom (BRCM -1.57%) both down 2% after Cirrus Logic and Qorvo blamed weakness in mobile products for their slowdown in revenue growth.
Cirrus Logic (CRUS unch) tumbled over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 preliminary revenue of $347 million, below consensus of $386 million.
Qorvo (QRVO +2.29%) lowered guidance on Q3 revenue to $629 million from a prior estimate of $720 million-$730 million, well below consensus of $723.8 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +0.75%) this morning are up +6.25 points (+0.32%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 -2.37%, Dow Jones -2.32%, Nasdaq -3.11%. The S&P 500 on Thursday sank to a 3-month low and closed sharply lower on carry-over weakness from the -7% plunge in the Chinese stock market, the Chinese government's eighth day of devaluing the yuan, and weakness in energy and raw-material producers after crude oil fell to a 12-year low and copper slumped to a 6-1/2 year low. Stocks recovered from their worst levels on speculation Chinese markets may stabilize after China's regulator suspended circuit breakers that had halted stock trading in China twice this week once losses reached 7%.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 -0.17%)this morning are down -6 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYH6 +8.00, FVH6 +6.75. Mar-T-notes on Thursday climbed to a 2-month high on (1) increased safe-haven demand with the sharp sell-off in global equity markets, and (2) speculation that the financial turmoil in China will delay the Fed's next rate hike. T-notes fell back from their best levels as stocks recovered from their lows on speculation Chinese stock markets may stabilize after China's regulator suspended a circuit breaker that had halted stock trading twice this week.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.54%) this morning is up +0.494 (+0.50%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0061 (-0.56%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.62 (+0.53%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index -0.962 (-0.97%), EUR/USD +0.0151 (+1.40%), USD/JPY -0.80 (-0.68%). The dollar index on Thursday closed lower on speculation that this week's sell-off in global equity markets may prompt the Fed to delay the next interest rate increase. In addition, USD/JPY fell to a 4-1/2 month low as the sell-off in global equity markets boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen.
Feb crude oil (CLG16 +0.72%) this morning is down -9 cents (-0.27%) and Feb gasoline (RBG16 +0.35%) is down -0.0067 (-0.58%). Thursday's closes: CLG6 -0.71 (-2.09%), RBG6 -0.0122 (-1.05%). Feb crude oil and gasoline on Thursday closed lower with Feb crude at a 12-year nearest-futures low and Feb gasoline at a 6-3/4 year low. Energy prices were undercut by the slump in global stock markets and by negative carryover from Wednesday’s EIA inventory report that showed a +917,000 bbl increase in crude supplies at Cushing to a record high of 63.91 million bbl and a +10.58 million bbl surge in weekly EIA gasoline inventories to a 9-1/2 month high. Prices recovered from their worst levels on as the dollar moved lower.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR01/08/2016
US0830 ETDec non-farm payrolls expected +200,000, Nov +211,000. Dec private payrolls expected +200,000, Nov +197,000. Dec manufacturing payrolls expected unch, Nov -1,000. Dec unemployment rate expected unch at 5.0%, Nov unch at 5.0%.
0830 ETDec avg hourly earnings expected +0.2% m/m and +2.8% y/y, Nov +0.2% m/m and +2.3% y/y. Dec avg weekly hours all employees expected unch at 34.5 hours.
1000 ETNov wholesale trade sales expected unch m/m, Oct unch m/m. Nov wholesale inventories expected -0.1% m/m, Oct -0.1% m/m.
1130 ETSan Francisco Fed President John Williams speaks on the economic outlook to the California Association of Bankers in Santa Barbara, CA.
1300 ETRichmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker delivers his 2016 economic outlook to the Maryland Bankers Association.
1500 ETNov consumer credit expected +$18.5 billion, Oct +$15.982 billion.
JPN0000 ETJapan Nov leading index CI expected -0.3 to 103.9, Oct 104.2. Nov coincident index expected -1.6 to 111.6, Oct 113.3.
GER0200 ETGerman Nov industrial production expected +0.5% m/m and +0.5% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and unch y/y.
0200 ETGerman Nov trade balance expected +20.2 billion euros, Oct +22.3 billion euros. Nov exports expected +0.5% m/m, Oct -1.3% m/m. Nov imports expected +1.0% m/m, Oct -3.3% m/m.
CHI2030 ETChina Dec CPI expected +1.6% y/y, Nov +1.5% y/y. Dec PPI expected -5.8% y/y, Nov -5.9% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR01/08/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Acuity Brands IncAYI USBef-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.578
Global Payments IncGPN US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.753
WP Glimcher IncWPG US9:00Analyst & Investor DayY 2016
SolarWinds IncSWI US9:30Special Meeting - M&A Vote
Acuity Brands IncAYI US10:00Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016