Showing posts with label MTZ. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MTZ. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

MORNING CALL 11/4

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.14%) are up +0.11% and European stocks are up +0.61% at a 2-1/2 month high on expectations of further stimulus from the ECB. Comments made late yesterday after European markets closed from ECB President Draghi gave stocks and European government bonds a boost when he said the ECB is "willing and able" to act to support the recovery. Also, energy producers and basic-resource companies gained as the price of crude oil and copper moved higher. On the negative side, automakers were lower led by a nearly 9% plunge in Volkswagen AG, as the emissions scandal widened after the company said it found faulty emissions readings for the first time in gasoline-powered vehicles. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1.30%, Hong Kong +2.15%, China +4.31%, Taiwan +1.65%, Australia +0.06%, Singapore +1.36%, South Korea +0.08%, India -0.14%. China's Shanghai Composite climbed to a 2-1/4 month high on speculation the government will continue to support the recovery after comments made after Asian markets closed Tuesday from Chinese President Xi Jinping that China GDP should be no less than 6.5% over the next 5 years.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.20%) is up +0.25%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.26% after comments from ECB President Draghi bolstered expectations for additional ECB stimulus. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.13%.
Dec T-note prices (ZNZ15 +0.11%) are up +1.5 ticks.
Speaking as part of a panel on financial stability at an event hosted by the ECB, Fed Governor Brainard said he sees some encouraging aspects for the U.S. economic outlook but there are still some elements of slack in the U.S. economy. He added that core inflation "has remained somewhat below target" and that the Fed is carefully monitoring inflation expectations.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Fed Governor Lael Brainard's participation in a panel discussion on financial stability at the ECB in Frankfurt, (2) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -3.5% with purchase mortgage sub-index -3.1% and refi sub-index -3.8%), (3) welcoming remarks by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker at an event on capital for communities in Philadelphia, PA, (4) Oct ADP employment (expected +180,000, Sep +200,000), (5) Sep U.S. trade deficit (expected -$41.00 billion, -$48.33 billion), (6) final-Oct Markit services PMI (expected +0.2 to 54.6, prelim-Oct -0.7 to 54.4), (7) Oct ISM non-manufacturing index (expected -0.4 to 56.5, Sep -2.1 to 56.9), (8) Fed Chair Yellen's appearance before the House Financial Services Committee on bank regulation, (9) the Treasury's auction of $26 billion of 2-year T-notes, (10) New York Fed President William Dudley's speech on the economy in New York, and (11) Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer's speech to the National Economists Club.
There are 26 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Facebook (consensus $0.52), Metlife (0.76), Prudential Financial (2.42), Transocean (0.65), Time Warner (1.09), Motorola Solutions (0.73), Marathon Oil (-0.41), Whole Foods (0.35),
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: HC2 Holdings (HCHC), Kura Oncology (KURO).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Goldman Sachs Industrials Conference on Tue-Wed, Citi China Investor Conference on Wed, Citi Industrials Conference on Wed, Citi Global Health Care Conference on Thu, Needham Next Generation Storage Networking Conference on Thu, Bernstein Technology Innovation Summit on Thu-Fri, BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference on Thu-Fri.



OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Tesla (TSLA -2.54%) soared 8% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q3 adjusted loss of -58 cents, a bigger loss than consensus of -56 cents, but said it will deliver 17,000 to 19,000 vehicles in Q4, more than the 16,820 vehicles needed to reach its full-year target of 50,000 to 52,000 vehicles.
Allergan Plc (AGN -1.78%) reported Q3 EPS of $3.48, better than consensus of $3.18.
Becton Dickson (BDX +1.26%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.94, higher than consensus of $1.90.
Groupon (GRPN +5.22%) plunged over 25% in pre-market trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 5 cents, more than double consensus of 2 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 revenue to $815 million-$865 million, well below consensus of $956.3 million.
Nortek (NTK +1.13%) lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 net sales to $2.500 billion-$2.515 billion from an earlier estimate of $2.500 billion-$2.575 billion, below consensus of $2.560 billion.
U.S. Steel (X +0.94%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q3 EPS loss of -70 cents, a much wider loss than consensus of -20 cents and said it sees "significantly" lower shipments and average realized prices than previously projected for 2015.
Diplomat Pharmac (DPLO +1.88%) surged over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 26 cents, well above consensus of 16 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to 69 cents-73 cents from 56 cents-60 cents, above consensus of 59 cents.
Zendesk (ZEN +1.30%) jumped over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS loss of -5 cents, a smaller loss than consensus of -9 cents.
MasTec (MTZ -0.81%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 26 cents, below consensus of 34 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 revenue to $4.1 billion-$4.15 billion, less than consensus of $4.27 billion.
Papa John's (PZZA -5.80%) slid over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 45 cents, right on consensus, but reported Q3 revenue of $389.3 million, below consensus of $398.4 million.
Zillow (Z +3.65%) fell over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported an unexpected Q3 EPS profit of 7 cents, better than consensus for a -3 cent loss, but lowered guidance on Q4 revenue to $165 million-$170 million, below consensus of $179.1 million.
Parker Drilling (PKD -0.33%) reported a Q3 adjusted loss of -10 cents, a smaller loss than consensus of -13 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 +0.14%) this morning are up +2.25 points (+0.11%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.27%, Dow Jones +0.50%, Nasdaq +0.32%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday rallied to a 3-1/4 month high and closed higher on underlying support from better-than-expected Q3 earnings and a rally in energy producers after crude oil prices climbed to a 2-week high. Stocks were undercut by the -1.0% decline in U.S. Sep factory orders, weaker than expectations of -0.9%.
Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ15 +0.11%) this morning are up +1.5 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYZ5 -8.50, FVZ5 -5.00. Dec T-notes on Tuesday tumbled to a 2-1/2 month nearest-futures low and closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in the S&P 500 to a 3-1/4 month high and on increased inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note inflation breakeven rate rose to a 1-1/2 month high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.20%) this morning is up +0.247 (+0.25%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0029 (-0.26%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.16 (+0.13%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.230 (+0.24%), EUR/USD -0.0052 (-0.47%), USD/JPY +0.31 (+0.26%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed higher on the jump in the 10-year T-note yield to a 2-1/2 month high and weakness in EUR/USD on divergent central bank policies with the Fed expected to raise interest rates while the ECB is expected to maintain or even expand QE.
Dec crude oil (CLZ15 +0.52%) this morning is up +9 cents (+0.19%) and Dec gasoline (RBZ15 +1.35%) is up +0.0137 (+0.95%). Tuesday's closes: CLZ5 +1.54 (+3.34%), RBZ5 +0.0657 (+4.78%). Dec crude oil and gasoline prices on Tuesday closed higher with Dec crude at a 2-week high and Dec gasoline at a 3-week high. Crude oil and gasoline prices rallied on expectations that Wednesday's weekly EIA data will show gasoline inventories fell -1.25 million bbl and the jump in the crack spread to a 1-month high, which may increase refinery demand for crude as refiners boost gasoline production to take advantage of the improved profit margins.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR11/04/2015
US0530 ETFed Governor Lael Brainard takes part in a panel discussion on financial stability at the ECB in Frankfurt.
0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -3.5% with purchase mortgage sub-index -3.1% and refi sub-index -3.8%.
0800 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Patrick Harker gives welcoming remarks at an event on capital for communities in Philadelphia, PA.
0815 ETOct ADP employment change expected +180,000, Sep +200,000.
0830 ETSep trade balance expected -$41.00 billion, -$48.33 billion.
0830 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $24 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $21 billion) and 30-year T-bonds (previous $13 billion) to be auctioned Nov 9-12 in the Nov quarterly refunding.
0945 ETFinal-Oct Markit services PMI expected +0.2 to 54.6, prelim-Oct -0.7 to 54.4. Final-Oct Markit composite PMI, prelim-Oct -0.5 to 54.5.
1000 ETOct ISM non-manufacturing index expected -0.4 to 56.5, Sep -2.1 to 56.9.
1000 ETFed Chair Yellen appears before the House Financial Services Committee on bank regulation.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $26 billion of 2-year T-notes.
1430 ETNew York Fed President William Dudley speaks on the economy in New York.
1930 ETFed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer speaks to the National Economists Club.
JPN0100 ETJapan Oct consumer confidence expected +0.2 to 40.8, Sep 40.6.
GER0355 ETRevised German Oct Markit services PMI, previous +1.1 to 55.2.
EUR0400 ETRevised Eurozone Oct Markit composite PMI, previous +0.4 to 54.0.
0500 ETEurozone Sep PPI expected -0.5% m/m and -3.3% y/y, Aug -0.8% m/m and -2.6% y/y.
0545 ETECB President Mario Draghi speaks at an event in Milan, Italy.
UK0430 ETUK Oct Markit/CIPS services PMI expected +1.2 to 54.5, Sep 53.3.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR11/04/2015

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX USBef-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20151.899
WEC Energy Group IncWEC USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.59
Time Warner IncTWX USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.088
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals IncREGN USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20153.213
Allergan plcAGN USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20153.177
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.136
Henry Schein IncHSIC USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20151.467
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.759
NRG Energy IncNRG USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.741
Spectra Energy CorpSE USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.221
Michael Kors Holdings LtdKORS USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.892
Motorola Solutions IncMSI US7:00Q3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.729
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA US7:30Q1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20160.375
Alcoa IncAA US8:00Investor DayY 2015
Becton Dickinson and CoBDX US8:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Cardinal Health IncCAH US8:00Annual General MeetingY 2015
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Michael Kors Holdings LtdKORS US8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Motorola Solutions IncMSI US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA US8:30Q1 2016 Earnings CallQ1 2016
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals IncREGN US8:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Allergan plcAGN US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Coach IncCOH US9:00Annual General Meeting
NRG Energy IncNRG US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Spectra Energy CorpSE US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Henry Schein IncHSIC US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Time Warner IncTWX US10:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
ONEOK IncOKE US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Allergan plcAGN US11:00R&D DayY 2015
Newfield Exploration CoNFX US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Devon Energy CorpDVN US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Cimarex Energy CoXEC US11:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Lam Research CorpLRCX US12:30Annual General MeetingY 2015
Apartment Investment & Management CoAIV US13:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
WEC Energy Group IncWEC US14:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
KLA-Tencor CorpKLAC US15:00Annual General Meeting
Computer Sciences CorpCSC US16:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.155
QUALCOMM IncQCOM US16:45Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
CenturyLink IncCTL US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Computer Sciences CorpCSC US17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Whole Foods Market IncWFM US17:00Q4 2015 Earnings CallQ4 2015
Microchip Technology IncMCHP US17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Facebook IncFB US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
CenturyLink IncCTL USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.686
Kimco Realty CorpKIM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.368
Marathon Oil CorpMRO USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 2015-0.414
QUALCOMM IncQCOM USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.863
Whole Foods Market IncWFM USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.345
Microchip Technology IncMCHP USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.629
Transocean LtdRIG USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.654
Prudential Financial IncPRU USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20152.419
MetLife IncMET USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.759
CF Industries Holdings IncCF USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.733
Facebook IncFB USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.52
WestRock CoWRK USAft-mktQ4 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20150.946
Costco Wholesale CorpCOST US21:00October 2015 Sales and Revenue Release2015
Western Digital CorpWDC USAnnual General Meeting
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO USAnnual General Meeting
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO USAnnual General Meeting
Linear Technology CorpLLTC USAnnual General Meeting
AutoNation IncAN USOctober 2015 Sales and Revenue Release2015
United Parcel Service IncUPS USRoadshow - Day1Y 2015

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 5/12



Friday, February 27, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 2/27

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
March E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.15%) this morning are down -0.12% and European stocks are down -0.04% on expectations for U.S. Q4 GDP to be revised lower later today. Stock losses were limited after German lawmakers approved an extension of Greece's loan program. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +0.06%, Hong Kong -0.32%, China +0.18%, Taiwan closed for holiday, Australia +0.34%, Singapore -0.68%, South Korea -0.58%, India +1.65%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index rose to a 14-3/4 year high after Jan industrial production rose more than expected by the most in 3-1/2 years. China's Shanghai Stock Index climbed to a 4-week high ahead of the annual National People's Congress meeting next week. China's yuan fell to 6.2699 per dollar, a 2-1/3 year low, after the PBOC cut its reference rate by the most in a month. Commodity prices are mixed. Apr crude oil (CLJ15 +1.43%) is up +1.74% and Apr gasoline (RBJ15 +1.12%) is up +0.95% at a 2-1/2 month high. Apr gold (GCJ15 -0.10%) is down -0.20%. Mar copper (HGH15 -0.94%) is down -0.87% after weekly Shanghai copper inventories surged +50,475 MT to 205,146 MT, an 11-month high. Agriculture prices are higher. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) is down -0.27%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.22%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.07%. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 -0.11%) are down -6 ticks.
The Japan Jan jobless rate unexpectedly rose +0.2 to 3.6% when expectations were for no change at 3.4%. The Jan job-to-applicant ratio was unchanged at 1.14, weaker than expectations of 1.15.
Japan Jan overall household spending fell -5.1% y/y, weaker than expectations of -4.1% y/y and the tenth consecutive month that spending has declined.
Japan Jan national CPI rose 2.4% y/y, right on expectations. Jan national CPI ex-fresh food rose +2.2% y/y, less than expectations of +2.3% y/y and the slowest pace of increase in 10 months. Jan national CPI ex food & energy rose +2.1% y/y, right on expectations.
Japan Jan industrial production rose +4.0% m/m, stronger than expectations of +2.7% m/m and the largest increase in 3-1/2 years. Year-over-year, Jan industrial production fell -2.6% y/y, less than expectations of -3.1% y/y.
Japan Jan retail sales fell -1.3% m/m and -2.0% y/y, weaker than expectations of -0.4% m/m and -1.2% y/y.
The German Jan import price index fell -0.8% m/m and -4.4% y/y, less than expectations of -1.1% m/m and -4.6% y/y.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s Q4 GDP report is expected to be revised substantially lower to +2.0% (q/q annualized) from +2.6% in the preliminary report due to weaker trade and inventory figures. Today’s final-Feb U.S. consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan is expected to be revised higher by +0.4 points to 94.0 from the early-Feb level of 93.6. Today’s Feb Chicago PMI is expected to show a decline of -1.4 to 58.0, more than offsetting the +0.6 point increase to 59.4 seen in January. The market is expecting today’s Jan pending home sales report to show a +2.0% m/m increase, recovering some ground after December’s -3.7% decline.
There are 3 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: NRG Energy (consensus $0.54), Pepco (0.20), Leucadia National Corp. Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Gabelli & Company Inaugural Waste & Environmental Services Symposium on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
CBOE Holdings (CBOE -1.63%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at BofA/Merrill Lynch.
FedEx (FDX -0.59%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Neutral' at Credit Suisse.
Universal Health (UHS +3.02%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.71, better than consensus of $1.50.
Southwestern Energy (SWN -5.79%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 52 cents, higher than consensus of 50 cents.
MasTec (MTZ -0.96%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 40 cents, above consensus of 38 cents.
Bio-Rad (BIO +0.91%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.34, higher than consensus of $1.18.
Tutor Perini (TPC -0.73%) reported Q4 EPS of 56 cents, weaker than consensus of 71 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $2.20-$2.50, well below consensus of $2.89.
Mentor Graphics (MENT -2.73%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.09, better than consensus of $1.07.
Ingram Micro (IM -0.04%) reported Q4 EPS of 98 cents, less than consensus of 99 cents.
Herbalife (HLF +3.45%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.41, better than consensus of $1.22, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 adjusted EPS to $4.10-$4.50, well below consensus of $5.08.
J.C. Penney (JCP +1.45%) dropped over 11% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 0 cents, well below consensus of 11 cents.
Monster Beverage (MNST +0.77%) gained over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 72 cents, well above consensus of 59 cents.
Autodesk (ADSK -1.61%) reported Q4 EPS of 25 cents, above consensus of 24 cents, but then lowerd guidance on fical 2016 EPS to $1.05-$1.20, below consensus of $1.32.
Ross Stores (ROST +0.60%) jumped nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of $1.20, higher than consensus of $1.11, and then announced a new $1.4 billion stock repurchase program.
The Gap (GPS +0.20%) rose nearly 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 75 cents, better than consensus of 74 cents, and then announced a $1 billion share repurchase program.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH15 -0.15%) this morning are down -2.50 points (-0.12%). The S&P 500 index on Thursday closed lower: S&P 500 -0.15%, Dow Jones -0.06%, Nasdaq +0.49%. Negative factors included (1) the +31,000 increase in U.S weekly initial unemployment claims, more than expectations of +7,000, (2) the +0.3% increase in Jan durable goods orders ex-transportation, weaker than expectations of +0.5%, and (3) weakness in energy producers as crude oil fell.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 -0.11%) this morning are down -6 ticks. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Thursday fell back from a 2-week high and closed lower. Closes: TYH5 -14.00, FVH5 -9.25. Bearish factors included (1) the larger-than-expected +0.2% m/m increase in Jan core CPI, which may put the Fed closer to raising interest rates, and (2) supply pressures as the Treasury auctioned $29 billion of 7-year T-notes.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) this morning is down -0.261 (-0.27%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0025 (+0.22%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.08 (-0.07%). The dollar index on Thursday rallied to a 1-month high and closed higher: Dollar index +1.079 (+1.15%), EUR/USD -0.01638 (-1.44%), USD/JPY +0.555 (+0.47%). Bullish factors included (1) the +0.2% m/m increase in U.S. Jan core CPI, stronger than expectations of +0.1%, which reduces deflation concerns and puts the Fed closer to raising interest rates, and (2) weakness in EUR/USD which fell to a 1-month low as the ECB will soon begin its QE program and start buying sovereign debt next month.
Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ15 +1.43%) this morning is up +84 cents (+1.74%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ15 +1.12%) is up +0.0181 (+0.95%) at a 2-1/2 month high. Apr crude and Apr gasoline prices on Thursday closed lower: CLJ5 -2.82 (-5.53%), RBJ5 -0.0022 (-0.11%). Bearish factors included (1) the rally in the dollar index to a 1-month high and (2) negative carry-over from Wednesday’s EIA data that showed an +8.4 million bbl increase in weekly EIA crude inventories to a record 434.1 million bbl (EIA data since 1982) and a +2.4 million bbl increase in crude supplies at Cushing, OK, the delivery point of WTI futures, to a 1-1/2 year high of 48.68 million bbl.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR02/27/2015
US0830 ETRevised Q4 GDP expected +2.0% (q/q annualized) vs. preliminary +2.6%. Q4 personal consumptions expected unrevised at +4.3%. Q4 GDP price index expected unrevised at unch. Q4 core PCE deflator expected unrevised at +1.1% q/q.
0900 ETFeb Milwaukee ISM expected +2.40 to 54.00, Jan -6.01 to 51.60.
0945 ETFeb Chicago PMI expected -1.4 to 58.0, Jan +0.6 to 59.4.
1000 ETJan pending home sales expected +2.0% m/m and +8.7% y/y, Dec -3.7% m/m and +8.5% y/y.
1000 ETFinal-Feb U.S. consumer confidence index (University of Michigan) expected +0.4 to 94.0, early-Feb -4.5 to 93.6.
1015 ETNew York Fed President William Dudley and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Nester are discussants of a report on the new neutral for the federal funds rate and condition of the economy at the University of Chicagos Booth School of Business 2015 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum.
1330 ETFed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio and BOJ Deputy Governor Hiroshi Nakaso participate in a panel discussion on Conducting Monetary Policy with a Large Balance Sheet at the University of Chicagos Booth School of Business 2015 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum.
JPN0000 ETJapan Jan housing starts expected -11.6% y/y to 880,000 annualized, Dec -14.7% y/y to 883,000 annualized.
0000 ETJapan Jan construction orders, Dec +7.5% y/y.
GER0200 ETGerman Jan import price index expected -1.1% m/m and -4.6% y/y, Dec -1.7% m/m and -3.7% y/y.
0800 ETGerman Feb CPI (EU harmonized) expected +0.6% m/m and -0.5% y/y, Jan -1.3% m/m and -0.5% y/y.
UK0430 ETRevised UK Q4 GDP, previous +0.5% q/q and +2.7% y/y.
0430 ETUK Q4 total business investment, Q3 -1.4% q/q and +5.2% y/y.
0430 ETUK Dec index of services, Nov +0.1% m/m and +0.8% 3-mon/3-mon.
0430 ETUK Feb Lloyds business barometer, Jan 52.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR02/27/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
NRG Energy IncNRG USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.541
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US8:00RoadshowY 2015
Eaton Corp PLCETN US8:30Analyst ConferenceY 2015
Universal Health Services IncUHS US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
NRG Energy IncNRG US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Whole Foods Market IncWFM US9:00Investor ConferenceY 2015
Southwestern Energy CoSWN US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Pepco Holdings IncPOM USQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.2
Leucadia National CorpLUK USQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2014

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL 8/12

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.16%) this morning are up +0.19% on optimism that Q2 company earnings results will remain strong, while European stocks are down -0.17% after German investor confidence dropped for an eighth month. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +0.20%, Hong Kong +0.18%, China -0.35%, Taiwan -0.11%, Australia +1.34%, Singapore -0.09%, South Korea +0.01%, India +1.42%. Commodity prices are mixed. Sep crude oil (CLU14 -0.71%) is down -0.81% after the IEA reduced its estimates for 2014 global oil demand by -180,000 barrels a day and by -90,000 barrels a day for 2015. Sep gasoline (RBU14 -0.36%) is down -0.47%. Dec gold (GCZ14 +0.18%) is up +0.21%. Sep copper (HGU14 +0.22%) is up +0.30%. Agriculture and livestock prices are lower ahead of today's USDA Aug WASDE crop production report. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.21%) is up +0.24%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.33% after German Aug ZEW investor confidence fell to the lowest in 20 months. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.10%. GBP/USD fell -0.03% to a 2-month low after a gauge of British retail sales fell for a second month. Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 -0.05%) are down -2 ticks.
The German Aug ZEW survey expectations of economic growth slumped -18.5 to 8.6, a much bigger decline than expectations of -10.1 to 17.0 and the lowest in 20 months. The Aug ZEW survey current situation fell -17.5 to 44.3, a bigger drop than expectations of -7.8 to 54.0 and the lowest in 7 months.
UK Jul BRC sales like-for-like unexpectedly fell for a second month as it slid -0.3% y/y, weaker than expectations of +0.9% y/y.
Japan Jul PPI rose +0.3% m/m and +4.3% y/y, less than expectations of +0.4% m/m and +4.4% y/y.
The Japan Jun industrial production was revised lower to -3.4% m/m and +3.1% y/y from the originally reported -3.3% m/m and +3.2% y/y. The -3.4% m/m drop is the largest monthly decline in 3-1/4 years. Jun capacity utilization fell -3.3% m/m, the biggest decline in 1-3/4 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
The Treasury today will sell $27 billion of 3-year T-notes. Today's July monthly budget statement is expected to show a deficit of -$96.0 billion in a turnaround from June's surplus of +$70.5 billion. There are 12 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including Fossil Group (consensus $0.96), Valspar (1.16), Kate Spade (0.00), Cree (0.41), and JDS Uniphase (0.13).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Pacific Crest Global Technology Leadership Forum on Mon-Tue, Jefferies Global Industrials Conference on Mon-Thu, Goldman Sachs Power, Utilities, MLP & Pipeline Conference on Tue, Wedbush Life Sciences Management Access Conference on Tue, 8/12/2014 on Tue-Wed, J.P. Morgan Auto Conference on Tue, Oppenheimer Technology, Internet & Communications Conference on Tue-Wed, JP Morgan Auto Conference on Wed, Canaccord Genuity Growth Conference on Wed-Thu, and Barclays Summer Utilities Conference on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Dean Foods (DF -3.86%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Neutral' at Credit Suisse.
Stryker (SYK -0.33%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Needham.
Citigroup added shares of First Solar (FSLR +1.98%) and Foot Locker (FT +0.55%) to its Focus List.
Towers Watson (TW +1.65%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.34, higher than consensus of $1.25.
Flowers Foods (FLO +0.35%) reported Q2 EPS of 21 cents, weaker than consensus of 24 cents, and then cut its fiscal 2014 EPS view to to 92 cents-98 cents from 98 cents-$1.05, below consensus of $1.02.
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF +0.39%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Stifel with a price target of $50.
Paulson & Co. reported a 10.1% passive stake in Cobalt (CIE +2.46%) .
MasTec (MTZ +4.50%) fell nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 40 cents, right on consensus, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 adjusted EPS to $1.55-$1.58, well below consensus of $1.82.
Convergys (CVG +1.62%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 34 cents, better than consensus of 32 cents.
Caesar's (CZR +2.32%) reported a Q2 EPS losss of -$3.24, over double consensus of a -$1.19 loss.
Ventas (VTR +0.35%) reported Q2 normalized FFO of $1.12, higher than consensus of $1.09
Nuance (NUAN +1.06%) tumbled 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 27 cents, right on consensus, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $1.03-$1.08, below consensus of $1.13.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.16%) this morning are up +3.75 points (+0.19%). The S&P 500 index on Monday rallied to a 1-week high and closed higher: S&P 500 +0.28%, Dow Jones +0.10%, Nasdaq +0.58%. Bullish factors included (1) carry-over support from a rally in European stocks on reduced tensions in Ukraine after Russia said it had withdrawn troops from the Ukraine border, and (2) signs of optimism about the global economic outlook after Japan Jul consumer confidence climbed to an 8-month high and UK Jul Lloyds employment confidence rose to its highest level since the data series began in 2004.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU14 -0.05%) this morning are down -2 ticks. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Monday closed slightly lower. Bearish factors included (1) reduced safe-haven demand as global equity markets rallied after Russia said it had withdrawn troops from the Ukraine border, and (2) supply pressures as the Treasury prepares to auction $67 billion of T-notes and T-bonds this week in the Aug quarterly refunding that begins with Tuesday’s $27 billion auction of 3-year T-notes. Closes: TYU4 -1.50, FVU4 -0.50.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.21%) this morning is up +0.197 (+0.24%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0044 (-0.33%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.10 (+0.10%). The dollar index on Monday closed higher. Bullish factors included (1) weakness in the yen as USD/JPY rallied after strength in global equity markets reduced the safe-haven demand for the yen, and (2) overall negative sentiment toward EUR/USD on speculation the Fed will tighten monetary policy before the ECB. Closes: Dollar index +0.077 (+0.09%), EUR/USD -0.00259 (-0.19%), USD/JPY +0.152 (+0.15%).
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU14 -0.71%) this morning is down -79 cents (-0.81%) after the IEA cut its global oil demand forecasts for this year and next. Sep gasoline (RBU14 -0.36%) is down -0.0129 (-0.47%). Sep crude and gasoline prices on Monday closed higher: CLU4 +0.43 (+0.44%), RBU4 +0.0009 (+0.03%). Bullish factors included (1) a rally in global stock markets, which signals confidence in the economic outlook and energy demand, and (2) expectations that Wednesday’s weekly EIA data will show crude stockpiles declined for the seventh consecutive week.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/12/2014
US1200 ETAug WASDE crop production.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $27 billion 3-year T-notes.
1400 ETJul monthly budget statement expected -$96.0 billion, Jun +$70.5 billion.
JPN0030 ETRevised Japan Jun industrial production, previous -3.3% m/m and +3.2% y/y.
0030 ETJapan Jun capacity utilization, May -0.7% m/m
1950 ETJapan Q2 GDP expected -7.0% q/q annualized, Q1 +6.7% q/q annualized. Q2 deflator expected +1.6% y/y, Q1 0.1% y/y. Q2 consumer spending expected -3.7% q/q, Q1 +2.2% q/q. Q2 business spending expected -3.0% q/q, Q1 +7.6% q/q.
GER0500 ETGerman Aug ZEW survey expectations of economic growth expected -10.1 to 17.0, Jul 27.1. Aug ZEW survey current situation expected -7.8 to 54.0, Jul 61.8.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/12/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Kate Spade & CoKATE USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014-0.003
Valspar Corp/TheVAL USBef-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.159
Flowers Foods IncFLO USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.235
CST Brands IncCST USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.487
Towers Watson & CoTW US6:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.252
Charles River Laboratories International IncCRL US8:30Investor MeetingY 2014
Flowers Foods IncFLO US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Ventas IncVTR US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Towers Watson & CoTW US9:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
CST Brands IncCST US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Kate Spade & CoKATE US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Chimera Investment CorpCIM US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Valspar Corp/TheVAL US11:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Precision Castparts CorpPCP US16:00Annual General Meeting
Fossil Group IncFOSL US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Myriad Genetics IncMYGN US16:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Cree IncCREE US17:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
JDS Uniphase CorpJDSU US17:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
URS CorpURS USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.74
Fossil Group IncFOSL USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.964
Jack Henry & Associates IncJKHY USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.595
Cree IncCREE USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.409
JDS Uniphase CorpJDSU USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.13
Myriad Genetics IncMYGN USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.464
Tahoe Resources IncTHO CNAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014