Showing posts with label AEGR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AEGR. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

MORNING CALL 5/17

MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.10%) are little changed, down -0.05% and European stocks are up +0.12% as the price of crude oil rose to a 7-month high. Crude oil retreated from that high and is now unchanged in early trade, which pulled stocks back from their best levels. Home Depot rose over 1% in pre-market trading and gave recently battered retail stocks a lift after it raised guidance on its full-year EPS this year to $6.27, higher than expectations of $6.22. European stocks also received a boost from a rally in telecommunication stocks, led by a 2.4% gain in Vodafone Group Plc, after the company reported Q1 adjusted service revenue rose +1.8%, better than consensus of +1.5%. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1.13%, Hong Kong +1.18%, China -0.25%, Taiwan +0.90%, Australia +0.69%, Singapore +1.65%, South Korea +0.09%, India +0.47%.
The dollar index (DXY00 unch) is down -0.02%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.04%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.47% at a 2-week high.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.05%) are down -1.5 ticks.
In its monthly report published today, the Bundesbank said "growth in the German economy will probably lose momentum in the spring," even as the "solid underlying economic trend" is likely to stay intact.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Key U.S. reports today include: (1) Apr housing starts (expected +3.3% to 1.125 million, Mar -8.8% at 1.089 million), (2) Apr CPI (expected +0.3% m/m and +1.1% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +0.9% y/y; Apr core CPI expected +0.2% m/m and +2.1% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +2.2% y/y), (3) Apr industrial production (expected +0.3%, Mar -0.6%), and (4) San Francisco Fed President John Williams (non-voter) and Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart (non-voter) interview on the U.S. economic outlook.
There are 2 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Home Depot (consensus $1.35), TJX (0.71).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: PhaseRX (PZRX)
Equity conferences today: Electrical Products Group Investor Conference on Mon-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Transportation Conference on Tue, Goldman Sachs Basic Materials Conference on Tue-Wed, Barclays Americas Select Franchise Conference on Tue-Wed, CBI's Life Sciences IT Governance and Cybersecurity Summit on Tue-Wed, Barclays Insurance Forum on Wed, MoffettNathanson Media and Communications Conference on Wed, BMO Capital Markets Farm to Market Conference on Wed-Thu, Citi Car of the Future Symposium on Thu, ITG Global Industrials Conference on Thu, Needham Emerging Technology Conference Thu, Business Analytics Innovation Summit on Thu-Fri, Medical Affairs Summit on Fri.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG -0.32%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Wells Fargo Securities.
Home Depot (HD +1.66%) climbed over 1% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 EPS of $1.44, higher than consensu sof $1.35, and then raised guidance on full-year EPS to $6.27 from a previous view of $6.12-$6.18.
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX +6.05%) is up over 3% in pre-market trading after Jeffries Group upgraded toe stock to 'Buy' from 'Hold.'
Bob Evans Farms (BOBE +0.43%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Maxim Group with a 12-month price target of $59.
Agilent Technologies (A +0.75%) climbed nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to $1.88-$1.92 from a March 7 estimate of $1.81-$1.87, above consensus of $1.86.
Office Depot (ODP -5.16%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after the company hired Bain for a strategic review of its business.
Relypsa (RLYP +4.07%) dropped over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported no increase in April in the weekly average of new patients who began taking Veltassa with a free starter supply.
Amplify Snack Brands (BETR +0.39%) slid over 4% in after-hours trading after it started a 10-million share secondary offering of common stock.
Community Health Systems (CYH +2.00%) climbed nearly 4% in after-hours trading after Greenlight Capital Holdings reported a new stake in the company in Q1.
Akorn (AKRX +4.94%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 revenue of $268.3 million, better than consensus of $267.1 million.
Meritage Homes (MTH +0.77%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q2 EPS of 78 cents-85 cents, higher than consensus of 78 cents.
Globalstar (GSAT +12.24%) rose over 5% in after-hours trading after Greenlight Capital Holdings reported a new stake in the company in Q1.
Aegerion Pharmaceuticals (AEGR +33.53%) dropped over 13% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on full-year sales to $130 million-$150 million from a prior view of $160 million-$190 million, below consensus of $174.8 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.10%) this morning are down -1.00 point (-0.05%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.98%, Dow Jones +1.00%, Nasdaq +1.25%. The S&P 500 on Monday closed higher on strength in energy producer stocks after crude oil climbed to a 6-1/2 month high and on a rally in drug stocks on increased M&A activity after Pfizer agreed to buy Amacor Pharmaceuticals for $5.2 billion. Stocks were undercut by the -18.58 point plunge in the U.S. May Empire manufacturing index to -9.02, weaker than expectations of -3.56 to 6.50.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.05%) this morning are down -1.5 ticks. Monday's closes: TYM6 -14.50, FVM6 -8.75. Jun T-notes on Monday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in stocks and on increased inflation expectations after crude oil rallied to a 6-1/2 month high.
The dollar index (DXY00 unch) this morning is down -0.023 (-0.02%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0004 (-0.04%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.51 (+0.47%) at a 2-week high. Monday's closes: Dollar Index -0.036 (-0.04%), EUR/USD +0.0012 (+0.11%), USD/JPY +0.40 (+0.37%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower on strength in the currencies of the crude-producing countries of Russia and Canada after the price of crude soared to a 6-1/2 month high and on the weaker-than-expected May Empire manufacturing index and May HAHB housing market index.
June WTI crude oil (CLM16 unch) this morning is unchanged. June gasoline (RBM16 -0.26%) is down -0.0044 (-0.27%). Monday's closes: CLM6 +1.51 (+3.27%), RBM6 +0.0181 (+1.14%). Jun crude and gasoline on Monday closed higher with Jun crude at a 6-1/2 month high and Jun gasoline at an 8-1/2 month high. Crude oil prices were boosted by a weaker dollar, Chinese demand with the +2.4% y/y rise in China Apr crude processing to a record 10.93 million bpd, and stronger U.S. refinery demand for gasoline after the crack spread climbed to a 1-1/2 week high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/17/2016
US0830 ETApr housing starts expected +3.3% to 1.125 million, Mar -8.8% at 1.089 million. Apr building permits expected +5.5% to 1.135 million, Mar -8.6% to 1.076 million.
0830 ETApr CPI expected +0.3% m/m and +1.1% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +0.9% y/y. Apr CPI ex food & energy expected +0.2% m/m and +2.1% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +2.2% y/y.
0915 ETApr industrial production expected +0.3%, Mar -0.6%. Apr manufacturing production, Mar -0.3%. Apr capacity utilization expected +0.2 to 75.0%, Mar -0.5 to 74.8%.
1200 ETSan Francisco Fed President John Williams (non-voter) and Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart (non-voter) interview on the U.S. economic outlook.
JPN0030 ETRevised Japan Mar industrial production, preliminary +3.6% m/m and +0.1% y/y.
0030 ETJapan Mar capacity utilization, Feb -5.4% m/m.
1950 ETJapan Q1 GDP expected +0.3% q/q annualized, Q4 -1.1% q/q annualized. Q1 GDP deflator expected +1.0% y/y, Q4 +1.5% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Q1 private consumption expected +0.2% q/q, Q4 -0.9% q/q. Q1 business spending expected -0.8% q/q, Q4 +1.5% q/q.
UK0430 ETUK Apr CPI expected +0.3% m/m and +0.5% y/y, Mar +0.4% m/m and +0.5% y/y. Apr core CPI expected +1.4% y/y, Mar +1.5% y/y.
0430 ETUK Apr RPI expected +0.3% m/m and +1.5% y/y, Mar +0.4% m/m and +1.6% y/y. Apr RPI ex mortgage interest payments expected +1.6% y/y, Mar +1.6% y/y.
0430 ETUK Apr PPI input prices expected +1.1% m/m and -6.7% y/y, Mar +2.0% m/m and -6.5% y/y.
0430 ETUK Apr PPI output prices expected +0.2% m/m and -0.8% y/y, Mar +0.3% m/m and -0.9% y/y. Apr PPI output core expected +0.1% m/m and +0.3% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y.
0430 ETUK Mar ONS house price, Feb +7.6% y/y.
CHI2130 ETChina Apr property prices.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/17/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Home Depot Inc/TheHD USBef-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20171.352
Home Depot Inc/TheHD US9:00Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
TJX Cos Inc/TheTJX US9:30Q1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20170.708
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US10:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Boston Properties IncBXP US10:00Annual General Meeting
JPMorgan Chase & CoJPM US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
TJX Cos Inc/TheTJX US11:00Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
Electronic Arts IncEA US11:00Investor DayY 2016
Southwestern Energy CoSWN US12:00Annual General Meeting
Amazon.com IncAMZN US12:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Juniper Networks IncJNPR US12:00Investor DayY 2016
Gap Inc/TheGPS US13:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Morgan StanleyMS US14:00Annual General Meeting
Essex Property Trust IncESS US16:00Annual General MeetingY 2016
Charles Schwab Corp/TheSCHW US17:00Annual General Meeting
Time Warner Cable IncTWC USAft-mktDigital Realty Trust Replaces Time Warner Cable in S&P 500
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor Meeting - LondonY 2016
Leggett & Platt IncLEG USAnnual General Meeting
General Growth Properties IncGGP USAnnual General MeetingY 2016
Newfield Exploration CoNFX USAnnual General Meeting
Realty Income CorpO USAnnual General Meeting
Diamond Offshore Drilling IncDO USAnnual General Meeting
FirstEnergy CorpFE USAnnual General MeetingY 2016

Monday, July 6, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 7/6

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU15 -0.63%) are down -0.62% at a 3-month low and European stocks are down -1.73% at a 4-3/4 month low after Greek voters voted 'No' to austerity measures. The ECB will meet today to discuss its next move and German Chancellor Merkel will meet with French President Hollande today before Eurozone leaders meet on Tuesday. Stocks recovered from their worst levels after Greek Finance Minister Vaoufakis resigned, which boosted speculation a last-minute deal with Greece's creditors was possible. Another positive for European stocks was the upward revision to the Eurozone Jun Markit composite PMI which was revised higher to its best level since the data series began in 2012. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -2.08%, Hong Kong -3.18%, China +2.41%, Taiwan -1.09%, Australia -1.14%, Singapore -0.29%, South Korea -2.50%, India +0.41%. China's Shanghai Composite closed higher after the government over the weekend suspended initial public offerings and the PBOC said it would provide liquidity for margin trading.
Commodity prices are mostly lower. Aug crude oil (CLQ15 -2.32%) is down -4.67% at a 2-1/2 month low, Aug gasoline (RBQ15 -1.57%) is down -3.31%. Metals prices are mixed. Aug gold (GCQ15 -0.30%) is up +0.07%. Sep copper (HGU15 -3.04%) is down -3.93% at a 5-month low. Agricultural prices are weaker as a stronger dollar and drier weather pressured grain prices.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.38%) is up +0.35% at a 1-month high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.71% at a 1-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.09%.

Sep T-note prices (ZNU15 +0.26%) are up ticks at a 5-week high as global government bonds rally after the Sunday's Greek 'No' vote to austerity increases the chances that Greece will be forced to exit the Eurozone.
In an attempt to stop the recent plunge in Chinese stocks, China's State Council suspended initial public offerings and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) said 21 brokerages pledged not to reduce any proprietary investments in the equity market as long as the Shanghai Composite Index stays below 4,500. The PBOC also said it will offer China Securities Finance Corp., which manages China's short selling and margin trading, liquidity support, according to a statement on the CSRC website on Sunday.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) final-Jun Markit U.S. services PMI (expected +0.1 to 54.9 after prelim-Jun -1.4 to 54.8), (2) Jun ISM non-manufacturing index (expected +0.7 to 56.4 after May's -2.1 to 55.7), and (3) Jun Labor Market Conditions Index (expected 2.0 vs May's 1.3).
None of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today.
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today include: NephroGenex (NRX).
Equity conferences this week: none.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Celanese (CE +2.39%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at UBS.
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG +0.09%) was downgraded to 'Underweight' from 'Equal Weight' at Morgan Stanley.
Guess (GES -0.88%) was upgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Underweight' at Piper Jaffray.
Aegerion (AEGR -1.27%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Guggenheim.
VMware (VMW +0.40%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at FBR Capital.
Bank of America (BAC -1.10%) and Citigroup (C -0.56%) both fell over 1% in pre-market trading as financial stocks fell across the globe following the results of the Greek referendum.
Humana (HUM -2.92%) jumped over 8% in pre-market trading after Aetna agreed to buy the health insurer for about $35 billion,
The Financial Times reported that Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS +0.89%) could potentially face a judgment of nearly $13 billion in a case related to the subprime mortgage crisis.
Pershing Square reported a 13.2% stake in Howard Hughes (HHC -0.81%) .
Man Group reported a 5.31% stake in Perfect World (PWRD -0.25%) .
Point72 Asset Management reported a 5.1% passive stake in SPX Corp. (SPW -0.65%) .
Frigate Ventures reported a 6.8% passive stake in Novogen (NVGN unch) .
MARKET COMMENTS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU15 -0.63%) this morning are down -12.75 points (-0.62%0 at a 3-month low. Thursday's closes: S&P 500 -0.03%, Dow Jones -0.16%, Nasdaq +0.09%. The S&P 500 on Thursday settled slightly lower on (1) the slightly weaker-than-expected +223,000 increase in U.S. Jun payrolls and the downward revision in May payrolls to +254,000 from +280,000, and (2) the -1.0% drop in U.S. May factory orders, weaker than expectations of -0.5%. On the supportive side for stocks, the U.S. Jun unemployment rate fell -0.2 to a 7-year low of 5.3%, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.1 to 5.4%.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU15 +0.26%) this morning are up +24.5 ticks at a 5-week high. Thursday's closes: TYU5 +13.00, FVU5 +10.00. Sep T-notes on Thursday closed higher on the weaker-than-expected +223,000 increase in U.S. Jun payrolls and Jun average hourly earnings, which may push back the timing of a Fed interest rate increase.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.38%) this morning is up +0.341 (+0.35%) at a 1-month high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0079 (-0.71%) at a 1-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.11 (+0.09%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index -0.197 (-0.20%), EUR/USD +0.00312 (+0.28%), USD/JPY -0.116 (-0.09%). The dollar index on Thursday settled lower on (1) the weaker-than-expected U.S. Jun payroll and average hourly earnings reports, which may push back a Fed interest rate increase, and (2) strength in EUR/USD on short covering ahead of the July 5 Greek referendum.
Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ15 -2.32%) this morning is down sharply by -$2.66 (-4.67%) at a 2-1/2 month low. Aug gasoline (RBQ15 -1.57%) is down -0.0673 (-3.31%). Thursday's closes: CLQ5 -0.03 (-0.05%), RBQ5 +0.0275 (+1.37%). Aug crude oil and gasoline on Thursday settled mixed. Crude oil received support from a weaker dollar and the close-to-expected increase in U.S. Jun payroll report, which signals moderate economic growth that is beneficial for energy demand. Crude oil prices were undercut by the afternoon report from Baker Hughes that U.S. active oil rigs rose by +12 rigs to 640 rigs, the first increase in nearly 7 months.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR07/06/2015
US0945 ETFinal-Jun Markit U.S. services PMI expected +0.1 to 54.9, prelim-Jun -1.4 to 54.8. Final-Jun Markit U.S. Composite PMI, prelim-Jun -1.4 to 54.6.
1000 ETJun ISM non-manufacturing index expected +0.7 to 56.4, May -2.1 to 55.7.
1000 ETJun Labor Market Conditions Index expected 2.0, May 1.3.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1600 ETUSDA weekly crop progress.
JPN0100 ETJapan May leading index CI expected -0.1 to 106.3, Apr 106.4. May coincident index expected -1.7 to 109.3, Apr 111.0.
GER0200 ETGerman May factory orders expected unch m/m and +4.4% y/y, Apr +1.4% m/m and +0.4% y/y.
0330 ETGerman Jun Markit construction PMI, May 50.8.
UK0400 ETUK Jun new car registrations, May +2.4% y/y.
EUR0430 ETEurozone Jul Sentix investor confidence expected -1.6 to 15.5, Jun 17.1.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR07/06/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
AetnaAET US8:30Acquisition of Humana Inc by Aetna Inc Call
HumanaHUM US8:30Acquisition of Humana Inc by Aetna Inc Call
A Schulman IncSHLM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.77

Monday, June 1, 2015

BARCHART MORNING CALL 6/1

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.23%) this morning are little changed, down -0.06% ahead of U.S. economic data on May ISM manufacturing and Apr personal spending that are expected to show a pickup in growth. European stocks are up +0.02& as they hover just above a 2-week low. Gains in European stocks were limited as Greece's debt payment deadlines draw closer amid a standoff with creditors. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +0.03%, Hong Kong +0.63%, China +4.71%, Taiwan -0.78%, Australia -0.72%, Singapore closed for holiday, South Korea -0.63%, India +0.07%. Chinese stocks closed sharply higher after a gauge of Chinese manufacturing activity expanded or a third month. Another positive for Chinese stocks was a report from people familiar with the situation that China was considering doubling the size of a local bond-swap program to 1 trillion yuan ($81 billion) from 500 billion yuan that would be authorized to swap bonds issued by provinces and cities in an attempt to clean up local government finances. The bond-swap program includes inducements for banks to buy new, longer-maturity bonds that may alleviate a funding crunch among Chinese provinces that had threatened to deepen China's economic slowdown.
Commodity prices are mostly lower. Jul crude oil (CLN15 -1.19%) is down -1.04% and Jul gasoline (RBN15 -0.67%) is down -0.61. Metals prices are weaker. Aug gold (GCQ15 -0.26%) is down -0.31% and Jul copper (HGN15 -0.38%) is down -0.24%. Agricultural prices are lower.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.44%) is up +0.46%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.56%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.07%.

Sep T-note prices (ZNU15 -0.24%) are down -8 ticks.
Speaking at an event in Beijing, San Francisco Fed President John Williams said the U.S. economy is "basically in a good place," and he doesn't worry about a strong dollar weakening U.S. growth. He added that long-term interest rates are expected to rise and to be more normal in the next few years.
The China May manufacturing PMI rose +0.1 to 50.2, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 50.3. The May non-manufacturing PMI fell -0.2 to 53.2, the slowest pace of expansion in 6-1/3 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. reports today include: (1) Apr personal spending (expected +0.2% after March's +0.4%) and Apr personal income (expected +0.3% after March's unchanged), (2) Apr PCE deflator (expected +0.2% y/y after March's +0.3% y/y) and Apr PCE core deflator (+1.3% y/y after March's +1.3% y/y), (3) a speech by Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren at the 2015 Workforce Stars Breakfast in Hartford, CT, (4) Apr construction spending (expected +0.7% m/m after March's -0.6% m/m), (5) May ISM manufacturing index (expected +0.5 to 52.0 after April's unchanged at 51.5), and (6) final-May Markit manufacturing PMI (expected unrevised at 53.8 vs prelim-May -0.3 to 53.8).
There is 1 of the Russell 1000 companies that reports earnings today: PVH Corp (consensus $1.38).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today include: none.
Equity conferences today include: Stifel Financial Corp WasteExpo Inestor Summit on Mon, American Society of Clinical Oncology Meeting on Mon-Tue, Andean Institutional Real Estate Forum on Mon-Tue, RBC - Conference: Global Energy & Power Executive Conference - New York on Mon-Tue, Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference on Mon-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Telecom & Media Conference on Tue, Goldman Sachs Lodging, Gaming, Restaurant and Leisure Conference on Tue, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods Mortgage Finance Conference on Tue, RBC Global Energy Conference on Tue, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Technology Conference on Tue-Wed, Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Investor Conference on Tue-Wed, KBW Asset Management and Capital Markets Conference on Wed, Sandler O'Neill & Partners Global Exchange and Brokerage Conference on Wed, Deutsche Bank Global Industrials and Basic Materials Conference on Wed-Thu, FBN Securities: Field Trip - 8th Semi-Annual Silicon Valley Tour on Wed-Thu, Credit Suisse Engineering & Construction Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley Leveraged Finance Conference on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Juniper (JNPR +0.54%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at MKM Partners.
Wells Fargo said it sees a potential for 75% upside in DISH (DISH +0.70%) shares.
Duke Energy (DUK -0.29%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Bernstein.
Verifone (PAY +0.37%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Raymond James.
Enbridge (ENB -1.40%) and Boyd Gaming (BYD -0.28%) were both upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Neutral' at Credit Suisse.
Coca-Cola (KO -0.44%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at BMO Capital.
According to DigiTimes, data from Gartner showed Q1 global server shipments up 13% y/y.
Citigroup (C -0.86%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Altera (ALTR +4.00%) jumped over 6% in pre-market trading after people familiar with the matter said that Intel INTC is near a deal to acquire the chipmaker.
Stonepine Capital reported a 5.2% passive stake in Aegerion (AEGR -1.02%) .
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY -1.41%) increased its stock repurchase authorization by $500 million to $5.5 billion.
Ryanair (RYAAY -2.06%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Point72 reported a 5.0% passive stake in Achillion (ACHN +5.89%) .
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.23%) this morning are down -1.25 points (-0.06%). Friday's closes: S&P 500 -0.63%, Dow Jones -0.64%, Nasdaq -0.60%. The S&P 500 on Friday settled lower on the unresolved Greek situation and on the unexpected -6.1 point drop in the May Chicago PMI to 46.2, weaker than expectations of +0.7 to 53.0. Stocks found some support from the final-May U.S. consumer sentiment index, which rose +2.1 to 90.7, stronger than expectations of +0.9 to 89.5.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU15 -0.24%) this morning are down -8 ticks. Friday's closes: TYU5 +9.50, FVU5 +6.50. Sep 10-year T-notes on Friday rallied to a 1-month high on ideas the Fed will be forced to delay a rate hike after Q1 GDP was revised lower to -0.7% from +0.2% and the Chicago PMI was expectedly weak at -6.1 points to 46.2. T-notes also found some carry-over support from a rally in German bunds to a 3-week high on the unresolved Greek debt crisis.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.44%) this morning is u[ +0.443 (+0.46%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD)is down -0.0062 (-0.56%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.09 (-0.07%). Friday's closes: Dollar Index -0.058 (-0.06%), EUR/USD +0.00413 (+0.38%), USD/JPY +0.153 (+0.12%). The dollar index on Friday closed lower on talk of a delayed Fed rate hike after the downward revision for U.S. Q1 GDP to -0.7% and the unexpected -6.1 point decline in the May Chicago PMI.
July WTI crude oil (CLN15 -1.19%) this morning is down 63 cents (-1.04%). July gasoline (RBN15 -0.67%) is down -0.0126 (-0.61%). Friday's closes: CLN5 +2.62 (+4.54%), RBN5 +0.0922 (+4.68%). Jul crude oil and gasoline on Friday settled sharply higher on the weaker dollar and on the EPA's cut in its corn ethanol mandate levels to 13.4 billion gallons 2015 and 14 billion gallons for 2016 (from 15 billion gallons), which will increase U.S. gasoline usage levels.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR06/01/2015
US0830 ETApr personal spending expected +0.2%, Mar +0.4%. Apr personal income expected +0.3%, Mar unch.
0830 ETApr PCE deflator expected +0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y. Apr PCE core deflator expected +0.2% m/m and +1.3% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
0905 ETBoston Fed President Eric Rosengren speaks from a prepared text at the 2015 Workforce Stars Breakfast in Hartford, CT.
0945 ETFinal-May Markit manufacturing PMI expected unrevised at 53.8, prelim-May -0.3 to 53.8.
1000 ETApr construction spending expected +0.7% m/m, Mar -0.6% m/m.
1000 ETMay ISM manufacturing index expected +0.5 to 52.0, Apr unch at 51.5. May ISM new orders, Apr +1.7 to 53.5. May ISM employment, Apr -1.7 to 48.3. May ISM prices paid expected +2.5 to 43.0, Apr +1.5 to 40.5.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1600 ETUSDA weekly crop progress.
JPN0100 ETJapan May vehicle sales, Apr +5.0% y/y.
2130 ETJapan Apr labor cash earnings expected +0.4% y/y, Mar unch y/y. Apr real cash earnings, Mar -2.7% y/y.
GER0355 ETRevised German May Markit/BME manufacturing PMI, previous -0.7 to 51.4.
0800 ETGerman May CPI (EU harmonized) expected unch m/m and +0.6% y/y, Apr -0.1% m/m and +0.3% y/y.
EUR0400 ETRevised Eurozone May Markit manufacturing PMI, previous +0.3 to 52.3.
UK0430 ETUK May Markit manufacturing PMI expected +0.6 to 52.5, Apr 51.9.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR06/01/2015
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
American Water Works Co IncAWK US8:45Annual General Meeting - Second CallY 2015
Wendy's Co/TheWEN US10:00Annual General Meeting
Wendy's Co/TheWEN US10:00Annual General Meeting
Staples IncSPLS US16:00Annual General Meeting
PVH CorpPVH USAft-mktQ1 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20161.384
Windstream Holdings IncWIN USAft-mktTalen Energy Replaces Windstream Holdings in S&P MidCap 400
Arthur J Gallagher & CoAJG USAnnual General Meeting
Questar CorpSTR USRoadshow - Europe - Day 1Y 2015
UnitedHealth Group IncUNH USAnnual General Meeting
Hospitality Properties TrustHPT USAnnual General Meeting - Proxy Fight
Arista Networks IncANET USAnnual General Meeting

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL 11/19

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 +0.04%) this morning are down -0.05% ahead of the minutes of the Oct 28-29 FOMC meeting, while European stocks are up +0.24% at a 1-1/2 week high as health-care stocks gained on speculation of increased M&A activity. Yields on European government bonds rose after ECB policy maker Knot said he was skeptical about the benefits of quantitative easing. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -0.32%, Hong Kong -0.66%, China -0.16%, Taiwan +1.18%, Australia -0.57%, Singapore +0.63%, South Korea -0.13%, India -0.46%. Commodity prices are mixed. Dec crude oil (CLZ14 +0.20%) is up +0.27%. Dec gasoline (RBZ14 +0.90%) is up +0.75%. Dec gold (GCZ14 -0.18%) is up +0.06%. Dec copper (HGZ14 +0.38%) is up +0.32%. Agriculture prices are weaker with Dec corn and Jan soybeans at 1-week lows as the U.S. harvest nears completion. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.13%) is up +0.10%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is unch. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.64% at a fresh 7-year high after the BOJ concluded a 2-day policy meeting and maintained record stimulus and after BOJ Governor Kuroda warned that it's possible that core inflation may fall below 1%. Dec T-note prices (ZNZ14 -0.15%) are down -6.5 ticks.
Eurozone Sep construction output fell -1.8% m/m, the biggest decline in 20 months. On an annual basis Sep construction output fell -1.7% y/y, the most in 11 months.
Japan Oct nationwide department store sales fell-2.2% y/y, the seventh consecutive month that sales have declined year-over-year.
The Japan Sep all-industry activity index rose +1.0% m/m, right on expectations and the most in 6 months.
The Japan Sep leading index CI was left unrevised at 105.6. The Sep coincident index was revised upward to 109.8 from the originally reported 109.7.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s Oct housing starts report is expected to show a +0.8% increase to 1.025 million, adding to the +6.3% increase to 1.017 million seen in September. The markets suspect that today’s minutes from the Oct 28-29 FOMC meeting may be a bit bearish since the FOMC at that meeting ended QE3, upgraded its assessment of the labor market, and slightly revised its interest rate guidance language. There are 11 of the Russell 1000 companies report earnings today with notable reports including: Target (consensus $0.47), Lowe's (0.58), Staples (0.36), L Brands (0.40), Williams-Sonoma (0.63), Salesforce.com (0.13).
Equity conferences during the remainder of the week include: Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference on Tue-Wed, Stifel Healthcare Conference on Tue-Wed, UBS Global Technology Conference on Tue-Wed, Los Angeles Auto Show-Press & Trade Days on Tue-Thu, Citi Financial Technology Conference on Wed, Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference on Wed, World Internet Conference on Wed, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods Securities Brokerage & Market Structure Conference on Wed, Vertical Research Partners Paper and Packaging Conference on Wed, Barclays Global Automotive Conference on Wed-Thu, Citigroup Global Financial Conference on Wed-Thu, Goldman Sachs Global Metals & Mining/Steel Conference on Thu, Wells Fargo Securities E-Cig Conference on Thu, Morgan Stanley European Technology, Media & Telecoms Conference on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Consolidated Edison (ED +0.78%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at UBS.
Columbia Sportswear (COLM +0.48%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Citigroup.
JM Smucker (SJM +0.44%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.53, right on consensus, although Q2 revenue of $1.48 billion was less than consensus of $1.49 billion.
Lowe's (LOW -0.61%) rose 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 59 cents, better than consensus of 58 cents,and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $2.68, above consensus of $2.63.
Staples (SPLS -1.62%) climbed 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 37 cents, higher than consensus of 36 cents.
Mallinckrodt PLC (MNK +0.42%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.68, well above consensus of $1.41.
Integrated Core Strategies reported a 5.1% passive stake in Aegerion (AEGR +2.86%) .
PetSmart (PETM +0.01%) rose nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of $1.02, higher than consensus of 94 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $4.39-$4.43, above consensus of $4.33.
La-Z-Boy (LZB -0.70%) jumped over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 36 cents, better than consensus of 34 cents.
Jack in the Box (JACK +1.72%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 operating EPS of 54 cents, above consensus of 53 cents.
Vipshop (VIPS -1.17%) reported Q3 EPS of 8 cents, better than consensus of 7 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 +0.04%) this morning are down -1.00 point (-0.05%). The S&P 500 index on Tuesday pushed up to a new record high and closed higher: S&P 500 +0.51%, Dow Jones +0.23%, Nasdaq +0.67%. Supportive factors included (1) carry-over support from a rally in European equity markets after the German Nov ZEW survey expectations of economic growth rose for the first time in 11 months and posted a 4-month high, and (2) strength in homebuilders after the NAHB Nov housing market index rose +4 to 58, better than expectations of +1 to 55.
Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ14 -0.15%) this morning are down -6.5 ticks. Dec 10-year T-note futures prices on Tuesday closed higher: TYZ4 +5.50, FVZ4 +3.25. Bullish factors included (1) increased safe-haven demand on concern about escalation of the crisis in Ukraine after Ukraine President Poroshenko said his country is ready for “total war” with Russian President Putin’s troops, and (2) carry-over support from a rally in European government bonds when ECB President Draghi said that sovereign-bond buying could be a stimulus measure to improve the Eurozone’s “abysmal” economic performance.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.13%) this morning is up +0.086 (+0.10%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is unch. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.75 (+0.64%) at a fresh 7-year high. The dollar index on Tuesday closed lower. Closes: Dollar index -0.351 (-0.40%), EUR/USD +0.00859 (+0.69%), USD/JPY +0.209 (+0.18%). Bearish factors included (1) strength in EUR/USD after the German Nov ZEW survey pf expectations of economic growth rose to a 4-month high, and (2) weakness in the yen as USD/JPY posted a new 7-year high after Japanese Prime Minister Abe called for an early election and suspended a planned sales-tax increase.
Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ14 +0.20%) this morning is up +20 cents (+0.27%) and Dec gasoline (RBZ14 +0.90%) is up +0.0153 (+0.75%). Dec crude and Dec gasoline on Tuesday settled mixed. Closes: CLZ4 -1.03 (-1.36%), RBZ4 +0.0169 (+0.83%). Supportive factors included (1) a weak dollar, and (2) the rally in the S&P 500 to a record high, which may boost confidence in the economic outlook and energy demand. Negative factors included (1) speculation that OPEC will be unable to agree on production cuts at next week’s meeting, and (2) a report from Goldman Sachs that said a “large” production cut by OPEC to prop up prices isn’t in the cartel’s interest as it would likely bolster an expansion of U.S. shale oil production.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR11/19/2014
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -0.9% with purchase sub-index +1.1% and refi sub-index -1.9%.
0830 ETOct housing starts expected +0.8% to 1.025 million, Sep +6.3% to 1.017 million. Oct building permits expected +0.9% to 1.040 million, Sep +2.8% to 1.031 million.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1400 ETMinutes of the Oct 28-29 FOMC meeting.
JPN0000 ETRevised Japan Sep leading index CI, previous 105.6. Revised Sep coincident index, previous 109.7.
1950 ETJapan Oct trade balance expected -1.027 trillion yen, Sep -960.6 billion yen. Oct exports expected +4.5% y/y, Sep +6.9% y/y. Oct imports expected +3.4% y/y, Sep +6.2% y/y.
2035 ETJapan Nov Markit/JMMA manufacturing PMI expected +0.3 to 52.7, Oct 52.4.
n/aBOJ announces interest rate decision after 2-day meeting.
UK0430 ETMinutes of the Nov 5-6 BOE meeting.
EUR0500 ETEurozone Sep construction output, Aug +1.5% m/m and -0.3% y/y.
CHI2045 ETChina Nov HSBC manufacturing PMI expected -0.2 to 50.2, Oct 50.4.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR11/19/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Target CorpTGT USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.469
Lowe's Cos IncLOW USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.582
JM Smucker Co/TheSJM USBef-mktQ2 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20151.532
Staples IncSPLS USBef-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.362
Staples IncSPLS US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallC3 2015
Staples IncSPLS US8:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
JM Smucker Co/TheSJM US8:30Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
Mallinckrodt PLCMNK US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Atmos Energy CorpATO US9:00Analyst MeetingY 2014
Lowe's Cos IncLOW US9:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
National Oilwell Varco IncNOV US9:00Analyst Day - Day 2Y 2014
CBRE Group IncCBG US9:00Business Review DayY 2014
Liberty Interactive CorpQVCA US9:00Investor MeetingY 2014
QUALCOMM IncQCOM US10:00Analyst MeetingY 2014
PetSmart IncPETM US10:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Crown Castle International CorpCCI US10:00Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting - M&A VoteY 2014
Target CorpTGT US10:30Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Sysco CorpSYY US11:00Annual General MeetingY 2014
Clorox Co/TheCLX US12:00Annual General Meeting
Liberty Media CorpLMCA US12:30Investor MeetingY 2014
Liberty Broadband CorpLBRDA US13:35Investor MeetingY 2014
Charter Communications IncCHTR US13:40Investor MeetingY 2014
Alliant Techsystems IncATK US16:30Business Update Call
Manitowoc Co Inc/TheMTW US17:00ITC Final Decision Due on Manitowoc vs. Sany Heavy Patent-Infringement Case
Williams-Sonoma IncWSM US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
Keurig Green Mountain IncGMCR US17:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
salesforce.com incCRM US17:00Q3 2015 Earnings CallQ3 2015
L Brands IncLB USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.396
Williams-Sonoma IncWSM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.631
Keurig Green Mountain IncGMCR USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.772
salesforce.com incCRM USAft-mktQ3 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20150.128
Copa Holdings SACPA USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.997
ResMed IncRMD US18:00Annual General MeetingY 2014
Campbell Soup CoCPB USAnnual General Meeting
Questar CorpSTR USRoadshow - NorthwestY 2014
Raymond James Financial IncRJF USOctober 2014 Sales and Revenue Release - Operating Data2014
Terex CorpTEX USInvestor Day
Concur Technologies IncCNQR USSpecial Meeting - M&A Vote
Global Payments IncGPN USAnnual General Meeting
TRW Automotive Holdings CorpTRW USSpecial Meeting - M&A Vote
SandRidge Energy IncSD USQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.042
Mallinckrodt PLCMNK USQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2014