Showing posts with label WY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WY. Show all posts

Friday, February 3, 2017

MORNING CALL 2/3

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 +0.16%) are up +0.15% and European stocks are up +0.63% ahead of this morning's U.S. payroll report that may provide clues as to the timing of the next Fed rate hike. Mar WTI crude oil (CLH17 +0.19%) is up +0.50% and is giving energy producing stocks a lift after President Trump tweeted this morning that Iran was "playing with fire" following its ballistic missile test this week. European stocks also found support after the Eurozone Jan Markit composite PMI was revised upward to its fastest pace in 3 years. Gains in stocks were contained as mining companies weakened as Mar COMEX copper prices (HGH17 -1.06%) fell -0.89% after a gauge of Chinese manufacturing activity weakened more than expected last month, and after Chinese copper supplies rose after weekly Shanghai copper inventories climbed +10,928 MT to 223,853 MT, an 8-1/2 month high. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.02%, Hong Kong -0.24%, China -0.60%, Taiwan +0.28%, Australia -0.42%, Singapore -0.07%, South Korea +0.13%, India +0.05%.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.28%) is up +0.33%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.26% after ECB Executive Board member Praet said "the firming recovery is not yet sufficiently robust to ensure a self-sustained convergence of inflation rates to levels closer to 2%." USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.33%.
Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 -0.11%) are down -5.5 ticks.
ECB Executive Board member Praet said that "the firming recovery is not yet sufficiently robust to ensure a self-sustained convergence of inflation rates to levels closer to 2% as underlying inflation dynamics remain subdued, and risks and uncertainties still prevail, especially those related to the geopolitical environment."
The Eurozone Jan Markit composite PMI was revised upward to 54.4 from the originally reported 54.3, the fastest pace of expansion since the data series began in 2014.
The China Jan Caixin (flash) manufacturing PMI fell -0.9 to 51.0, weaker than expectations of -0.1 to 51.8.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jan non-farm payrolls (expected +175,000, Dec +156,000) and Jan unemployment rate (expected unch at 4.7%, Dec +0.1 to 4.7%), (2) Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (voter) speaks on economic conditions and monetary policy at a Prairie State College Economic Breakfast in Olympia Fields, IL, (3) revised Jan Markit services PMI (prelim-Jan +1.2 to 55.1), (4) Jan ISM non-manufacturing PMI (expected +0.4 to 57.0, Dec +0.4 to 56.6), (5) Dec factory orders expected +0.7%, Nov -2.4% and +0.1% ex-transportation.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Weyerhaeuser (consensus $0.16), AutoNation (0.96), LyondellBasell (2.17), Clorox (1.22), Hershey (1.08), Phillips (0.40).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences: none.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Visa (V -0.17%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 operating revenue of $4.5 billion, above consensus of $4.3 billion, and then was initiated with an 'Outperform' at RBC Capital Markets with a 12-month target price of $97.
Amazon.com (AMZN +0.91%) fell 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 net sales of $43.7 billion, below consensus of $44.7 billion, and said it sees Q1 net sales of $33.3 billion-$35.8 billion, less than consensus of $36.0 billion.
Esterline Technologies (ESL +0.70%) rallied over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 82 cents, well above consensus of 46 cents.
Tableau Software (DATA -0.52%) surged 13% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $250.7 million, well above consensus of $230.2 million.
Amgen (AMGN -0.06%) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported that a Phase 3 trial of its Repatha showed significantly reduced risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.
Computer Sciences (CSC +1.12%) gained 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 81 cents, higher than consensus of 70 cents.
Fortinet (FTNT +0.24%) climbed 10% in after-hours trading after it forecast full-year EPS of 87 cents-89 cents, better than consensus of 80 cents.
Cypress Semiconductor (CY -1.58%) rallied 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted revenue of $530.2 million, higher than consensus of $525.6 million.
athenahealth (ATHN +1.41%) tumbled 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $288.2 million, below consensus of $303.7 million.
Hanesbrands (HBI -2.24%) sank over 10% in after-hours trading after it said it sees 2017 adjusted EPS of $1.93-$2.03, below consensus of $2.14.
GoPro (GPRO +3.78%) tumbled 13% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 revenue of $190 million=-$210 million, well below consensus of $267.6 million.
Paylocity Holding (PCTY -1.32%) jumped 8% in after-hours trading after it said it sees fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS of 41 cents-43 cents, stronger than consensus of 38 cents.
Deckers Outdoor (DECK -2.30%) plunged over 20% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $4.11, below consensus of $4.22, and then cut its 2017 adjusted EPS forecast to $3.45-$3.55 from a prior view of $4.05-$4.25.
Neos Therapeutics (NEOS unch) slumped 14% in after-hours trading after it announced an offering of common stock, although no size was given.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 +0.16%) this morning are up +3.50 points (+0.15%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +0.06%, Dow Jones -0.03%, Nasdaq -0.10%. The S&P 500 on Thursday closed slightly higher on the -14,000 decline in U.S. weekly jobless claims (a bigger decline than expectations of -9,000) and the +1.3% increase in U.S. Q4 non-farm productivity (better than expectations of +1.0%). Stocks were undercut by uncertainty regarding the Trump administration’s fiscal and trade policies and by position squaring ahead of Friday's monthly U.S. payrolls report.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 -0.11%) this morning are down -5.5 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYH7 +1.50, FVH7 +1.00. Mar 10-year T-notes on Thursday rallied to a 1-week high and closed higher on positive carry-over from Wednesday's post-FOMC meeting statement where policy makers gave no signal as to the timing of another interest rate hike.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.28%) this morning is up +0.33 (+0.33%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0028 (-0.26%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.37 (+0.33%). Thursday's closes: Dollar index +0.149 (+0.15%), EUR/USD -0.0010 (-0.09%), USD/JPY -0.45 (-0.40%). The dollar index on Thursday recovered from a 2-1/2 month low and closed higher on the larger-than-expected decline in U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims, a sign of labor market strength, and the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Q4 non-farm productivity. The dollar index posted an early 2-1/2 month low on negative carry-over from Wednesday's FOMC meeting where policy makers failed to signal the timing of the next Fed interest rate increase.
Mar WTI crude oil prices (CLH17 +0.19%) this morning are up +27 cents (+0.50%) and Mar gasoline (RBH17 -0.11%) is +0.0063 (+0.41%). Thursday's closes: Mar crude -0.34 (-0.63%), Mar gasoline -0.0462 (-2.93%). Mar crude oil and gasoline on Thursday closed lower on concern that ramped-up oil production in Libya and Nigeria may offset cuts in crude production from other OPEC members as Libya's crude output rose to 690,000 bpd, a 2-year high, and Nigerian Jan crude production rose to 1.64 million bpd, up +9.3% m/m. In addition, the slide in the crack spread to a 2-1/4 month low, which may curb refinery demand for crude.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR02/03/2017
Friday, Feb 3
US0830 ETJan non-farm payrolls expected +175,000, Dec +156,000. Jan private payrolls expected +170,000, Dec +144,000. Jan manufacturing payrolls expected +5,000, Dec +17,000. Jan unemployment rate expected unch at 4.7%, Dec +0.1 to 4.7%.
0830 ETJan avg hourly earnings expected +0.3% m/m and +2.8% y/y, Dec +0.4% m/m and +2.9% y/y. Jan avg weekly hours all-employees expected unch at 34.3 hours, Dec unch at 34.3 hours.
0915 ETChicago Fed President Charles Evans (voter) speaks on economic conditions and monetary policy at a Prairie State College Economic Breakfast in Olympia Fields, IL.
0945 ETRevised Jan Markit services PMI, prelim-Jan +1.2 to 55.1.
1000 ETJan ISM non-manufacturing PMI expected +0.4 to 57.0, Dec +0.4 to 56.6.
1000 ETDec factory orders expected +0.7%, Nov -2.4% and +0.1% ex-transportation.
Monday, Feb 6
US1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1500 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Patrick Harker (voter) speaks at a payment conference in San Diego.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR02/03/2017

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Weyerhaeuser CoWY USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.162
AutoNation IncAN USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.963
LyondellBasell Industries NVLYB USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20162.152
Clorox Co/TheCLX US6:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20171.219
Hershey Co/TheHSY US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.078
Phillips 66PSX US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.396
Hershey Co/TheHSY US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Hartford Financial ServicesHIG US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Kimco Realty CorpKIM US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Weyerhaeuser CoWY US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
AutoNation IncAN US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
LyondellBasell Industries NVLYB US11:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Phillips 66PSX US12:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Apartment Investment & MangAIV US13:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Clorox Co/TheCLX US13:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 2017
Essex Property Trust IncESS US14:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016

Monday, August 8, 2016

MORNING CALL 8/7

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.17%) are up +0.18% at a fresh all-time nearest-futures high and European stocks are up +0.66% on positive carryover from last Friday's stronger-than-expected U.S. Jul non-farm payrolls. European stocks rose and commodity prices also gained after German Jun industrial production rose more than expected at the fastest pace in 5 months. Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +2.44%, Hong Kong +1.57%, China +0.93%, Taiwan 0.64%, Australia +0.74%, Singapore +1.51%, South Korea +0.69%, India +0.37%. Chinese stocks gained after weaker than expected China Jul exports and imports bolstered speculation the government may boost stimulus measures, and Japanese stocks were led higher by a rally in exporters as USD/JPY rose.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.17%) is up +0.14%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.02%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.49%.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.06%) are down -1 tick, but recovered nearly all of their losses from a 1-week low after Fed Governor Powell said he sees a "very gradual" path for interest rate increases.
Eurozone Aug Sentix investor confidence rose +2.5 to 4.2, stronger than expectations of +1.3 to 3.0.
German Jun industrial production rose +0.8% m/m, was stronger than expectations of +0.7% m/m and the largest increase in 5 months.
The China Jul trade balance unexpectedly widened to a surplus of +$52.31 billion, bigger than expectations of +$47.30 billion and the most in 6 months. Jul exports fell -4.4% y/y, weaker than expectations of -3.5% y/y and Jul imports fell -12.5% y/y, weaker than expectations of -7.0% y/y and the biggest decline in 5 months.
Fed Governor Powell said he sees an increasing risk that the U.S. is trapped in a prolonged period of subdued growth that requires a "very gradual" path for interest rate increases.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) USDA weekly grain export inspections, and (2) USDA Weekly Crop Progress.
There are 7 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: Tyson Foods (consensus $1.06), Allergan (3.31), Intl Flavors and Fragrances (1.40), DaVita HealthCare Partners (0.98), Endo Intl (0.74), Microchip Technology (0.75), News Corp (0.13).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week: Cowen and Company Communications Infrastructure Summit on Mon-Tue, Pacific Crest Global Technology Leadership Forum on Mon-Tue, UBS Financial Services Conference on Tue, J.P. Morgan Auto Conference on Tue-Wed, Oppenheimer Technology, Internet & Communications Conference on Tue-Wed, Jefferies Industrials Conference on Tue-Thu, Canaccord Genuity Growth Conference on Wed-Thu, Jefferies Financial Services Conference on Wed-Thu, Goldman Sachs Power, Utilities, MLP, and Pipeline Conference on Thu.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
U.S. Concrete (USCR -4.15%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Suntrust Robinson with a price target of $75.
EOG Resources (EOG +7.03%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Wunderlich Securities.
Wyerhaeuser (WY +0.70%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at DA Davidson.
Level 3 Communications (LVLT +0.59%) was rated a new 'Buy' at BTIG with a price target of $63.
JP Morgan Chase (JPM +2.70%) is down -0.5% in pre-market trading after it was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Citigroup.
Mattress Firm Holding (MFRM +1.47%) surged 100% in pre-market trading after Steinhoff International Holdings NV bought the company for $2.4 billion.
Delta Air Lines (DAL +3.09%) fell nearly 2% in pre-market trading after a computer-system failure grounded all of the carrier's flights across the U.S.
U.S. Steel (X +1.92%) gained over 1% in after-hours trading after the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) said that U.S. Steel can proceed with its case that charges Chinese manufacturers of carbon and alloy steel of misappropriating U.S. Steel trade secrets that a U.S. judge had put on hold July 6.
Berkshire Hathaway ({=BRK/B=}) lost almost 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 operating EPS of $2,803, below consensus of $2,911.
Rackspace Holdings (RAX +10.24%) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading, adding to last Friday's +10% surge, on reports that Apollo Global Management LLC is reportedly offering $3.5 billion for the company.
Lantheus Holdings (LNTH +54.24%) dropped almost 3% in after-hours trading after the company registered 17.8 million shares for sale for top share holder Avista Capital Partners.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.17%) this morning are up +4.00 points (+0.18%) at a new all-time high. Friday's closes: S&P 500 +0.86%, Dow Jones +1.04%, Nasdaq +1.00%. The S&P 500 on Friday climbed to a new record high and closed higher on the +255,000 increase in U.S. July payrolls (stronger than expectations of +180,000) and the +0.3% m/m increase in U.S. July average hourly earnings (stronger than expectations of +0.2% m/m) that help sustain the economic recovery.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 -0.06%) this morning are down -1 tick. Friday's closes: TYU6 -26.00, FVU6 -17.25. Sep T-notes on Friday fell to a 1-week low and closed sharply lower on the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. July non-farm payrolls, which may prompt the Fed to raise interest rates sooner rather than later. T-notes were also undercut by reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in the S&P 500 to a record high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.17%) this morning is up +0.138 (+0.14%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0002 (-0.02%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.50 (+0.49%). Friday's closes: Dollar index +0.436 (+0.46%), EUR/USD -0.0044 (-0.40%), USD/JPY +0.60 (+0.59%). The dollar index on Friday closed higher on the stronger-than-expected U.S. July payroll report, which bolstered the case for the Fed to raise interest rates. In addition, EUR/USD fell to a 1-week low after German Jun factory orders unexpectedly fell -0.4% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.5% m/m.
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 +1.46%) this morning is up +62 cents (+1.48%) at a 1-week high and Sep gasoline (RBU16 +0.68%) is up +0.0083 (+0.60%) at a 2-week high. Friday's closes: CLU6 -0.13 (-0.31%), RBU6 +0.0083 (+0.53%). Sep crude and gasoline on Friday settled mixed. Crude oil prices were undercut by the rally in the dollar and by the Baker Hughes report that showed that active U.S. oil rigs rose by +7 rigs in the week ended Aug 5 to a 4-1/2 month high of 381, the sixth straight week of increases. Crude oil prices found support on the rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high and on strong refinery demand after the crack spread rose to a 1-1/4 month high.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/08/2016
Monday, Aug 8
US1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1600 ETUSDA Weekly Crop Progress.
Tuesday, Aug 9
US0830 ETQ2 non-farm productivity expected +0.5%, Q1 -0.6%. Q2 unit labor costs expected +1.8%, Q1 +4.5%.
1000 ETJun wholesale inventories expected unch, May unch. Jun wholesale trade sales expected +0.5%, May +0.5%.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $24 billion of 3-year T-notes.
JPN0200 ETJapan Jul machine tool orders, Jun -19.9% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Jun machine orders expected +3.3% m/m and -4.4% y/y, May -1.4% m/m and -11.7% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Jul PPI expected -0.1% m/m and -4.0% y/y, Jun -0.1% m/m and -4.2% y/y.
GER0200 ETGerman Jun trade balance expected +22.5 billion euros, May +21.0 billion euros. Jun exports expected +1.3% m/m, May -1.9% m/m. Jun imports expected +0.8% m/m, May +0.1% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Jun industrial production expected unch m/m and +1.6% y/y, May -0.5% m/m and +1.4% y/y.
0430 ETUK Jun manufacturing production expected -0.2% m/m and +1.3% y/y, May -0.5% m/m and +1.7% y/y.
CHIn/aChina Jul new yuan loans expected 900.0 billion yuan, Jun 1.38 trillion yuan.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/08/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Tyson Foods IncTSN7:30Q3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20161.059
Allergan plcAGN7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20163.307
Allergan plcAGN8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Tyson Foods IncTSN9:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
International Flavors & Fragrances IncIFF16:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.404
Gap Inc/TheGPS16:15July 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
Endo International PLCENDP16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
News CorpNWSA16:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Microchip Technology IncMCHP17:00Q1 2017 Earnings CallQ1 2017
DaVita HealthCare Partners IncDVA17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
DaVita HealthCare Partners IncDVAAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.976
Endo International PLCENDPAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.74
Southwest Airlines CoLUVJuly 2016 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2016
Microchip Technology IncMCHPQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20170.749
United Continental Holdings IncUALJuly 2016 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2016
News CorpNWSAQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.127

Thursday, June 23, 2016

MORNING CALL 6/23

MORNING CALL