Showing posts with label OC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label OC. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Morning Call 6/20

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU17 unch) this morning are up +0.01% and European stocks are up +0.18% at a 2-week high. European stocks moved higher Tuesday on the heels of Monday's rally in U.S. markets where the S&P 500 climbed to a new all-time high. Gains were limited as energy stocks moved lower with Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ17 -1.85%) down -1.78% at a 7-month low on concern that rising Libyan oil production will increase the global oil surplus. According to people with knowledge of the matter, Libyan oil output is now at 900,000 bpd, the most in 4-years, after a deal with Wintershall AG enabled at least two more Libyan oil fields to resume production. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.81%, Hong Kong-0.31%, China -0.14%, Taiwan +0.72%, Australia -0.83%, Singapore -0.52%, South Korea +0.23%, India -0.04%. Chinese stocks closed slightly lower ahead of tomorrow’s decision by MSCI on whether it will include Chinese stocks in its benchmark share indexes. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index climbed to a 1-3/4 year high and garnered support from Monday's rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high spurred on by comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said the U.S. economic expansion "has a long way to go." Japanese exporters also rallied on improved earnings prospects after USD/JPY rose to a 3-week high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.10%) is up +0.06% at a 3-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.03%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.03% at a 3-week high.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU17 unch) are up +1.5 ticks.
Fed Vice Chair Fischer said a long period of low interest rates may have contributed to "high and rising" home prices in several countries. He added that the social benefits of home-ownership "come at a cost" through tax treatment and government assumption of risk and that "the world as we know it cannot afford another pair of crisis of the magnitude of the Great Recession and the Global Financial Crisis."
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer is keynote speaker at a macroprudential conference in Amsterdam jointly hosted by the Dutch and Swedish central banks, (2) Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren (non-voter) speaks at a macroprudential conference in Amsterdam jointly hosted by the Dutch and Swedish central banks, (3) Q1 current account balance (expected -$122.4 billion, Q4 -$112.4 billion), (4) Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (voter) discusses current economic conditions and monetary policy with the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco.
Notable Russell 2000 earnings reports today include: FedEx (consensus $3.87), Adobe (0.95), Red Hat (0.53), Lennar (0.79).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week: Goldman Sachs Leveraged Finance Conference on Tue, JMP Group Securities Life Sciences Conference on Tue, Macquarie Group Ltd Global Quantitative Research Conference on Tue, Jefferies Global Consumer Conference on Tue-Wed, Oppenheimer Consumer Conference on Tue-Wed, Tudor Picker & Holt Hotter N Hell Energy Conference on Tue-Thu, Wells Fargo Securities West Coast Energy Conference on Tue-Wed, SunTrust Robinson Utilities & Power Summit on Thu, Wells Fargo Securities 5G Forum on Thu.



OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Tesla (TSLA -0.43%) gained over 2% in pre-market trading after it said it is close to an agreement to produce its electric cars in China.
Costco Wholesale (COST -1.66%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Northcoast with a price target of $190.
Goodyear (GT +0.36%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Jeffries with a 12-month target price of $39.
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY -0.44%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Positive' at Susquehanna.
Galapagos NV (GLPG +3.69%) was initiated with a 'Buy' rating at BTIG LLC with a 12-month target price of $98.
Owens Corning (OC +2.60%) ws upgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Underperform' at Macquarie Research.
Clovis Oncology (CLVS +46.54%) lost 1% in after-hours trading after it proposed an underwritten public offering of $250 million of its common stock.
Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS +0.10%) dropped over 6% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on Q2 EPS to $1.30-$1.40 from an April 27 estimate of $1.50-$1.60, citing "challenging" conditions.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG +1.73%) fell 2% in after-hours trading after it said it expects expenses to r1se as much as 0.3% this quarter as it spends more on marketing and promotions to bounce back from a food-safety crisis.
Fidus Investment (FDUS +1.00%) lost 1% in after-hours trading after it announced the commencement of a registered underwritten public offering of 1.5 million shares of its common stock.
AveXis (AVXS +1.62%) slid 2% in after-hours trading after it said it intends to offer up to $200 million of its shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering.
Lipocoine (LPCN +3.88%) surged over 30% in after-hours trading after it said its LPCN 1021 testosterone drug met the FDA primary efficacy guidelines in a dosing valuation study where 81% of the subjects achieved average testosterone levels.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU17 unch) this morning are up +0.25 of a point (+0.01%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.83%, Dow Jones +0.68%, Nasdaq +1.60%. The S&P 500 on Monday rallied to a fresh all-time high and closed higher on carry-over support from a rally in European stocks after Sunday's second-round of French elections showed French President Macron's pro-European party won about 350 seats in France's 577-member National Assembly, the largest majority in 15 years. Stocks were also boosted by a rally in technology stocks and by upbeat comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said the U.S. expansion "still has quite a long way to go."
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU17 unch) this morning are up +1.5 ticks. Monday's closes: TYU7 -9.50, FVU7 -6.75. Sep 10-year T-notes on Monday closed lower on comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said the U.S. economic expansion has "a long way to go," which bolsters the case for additional Fed tightening. There was also reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.10%) this morning is up +0.058 (+0.06%) at a 3-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0003 (+0.03%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.03% at a 3-week high. Monday's closes: Dollar index +0.37 (+0.3%), EUR/USD -0.0049 (-0.44%), USD/JPY +0.65 (+0.59%). The dollar index on Monday closed higher on comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said the U.S. economic expansion has "quite a long way to go." There was also weakness in the yen against the dollar as a rally in the S&P 500 to new all-time high reduced the safe-haven demand for the yen.
Aug WTI crude oil prices (CLQ17 -1.85%) this morning are down -79 cents (-1.78%) at a 7-month low and Aug gasoline (RBQ17 -1.43%) is -0.0192 (-1.33%). Monday's closes: Aug crude -0.54 (-1.20%), Aug gasoline -0.0055 (-0.38%). Aug crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed lower on a stronger dollar and Friday afternoon's data from Baker Hughes that showed U.S. active oil rigs in the week ended Jun 16 rose +6 to 747, the most in over 2 years.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR06/20/2017
Tuesday, June 20
US0315 ETFed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer is keynote speaker at a macroprudential conference in Amsterdam jointly hosted by the Dutch and Swedish central banks.
0815 ETBoston Fed President Eric Rosengren (non-voter) speaks at a macroprudential conference in Amsterdam jointly hosted by the Dutch and Swedish central banks.
0830 ETQ1 current account balance expected -$122.4 billion, Q4 -$112.4 billion
1500 ETDallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (voter) discusses current economic conditions and monetary policy with the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco.
Wednesday, June 21
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +2.8% with purchase sub-index -2.8% and refi sub-index +9.2%.
1000 ETMay existing home sales expected -0.4% to 5.55 million, Apr -2.3% to 5.57 million.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR06/20/2017
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
General Electric CoGE US02:00Investor Meeting
Lennar CorpLEN USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.786
Analog Devices IncADI US08:30Investor Day
Fiserv IncFISV US09:30Investor Conference
Liberty Expedia Holdings IncLEXEA US10:00Annual General Meeting
Lennar CorpLEN US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Humana IncHUM USInvestor Meeting
Workday IncWDAY US12:00Annual General Meeting
Cypress Semiconductor CorpCY US13:00Annual General Meeting
Equity CommonwealthEQC US14:00Annual General Meeting
Red Hat IncRHT USAft-mktQ1 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ1 180.527
Adobe Systems IncADBE US16:05Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.946
FedEx CorpFDX US16:15Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 173.873
FedEx CorpFDX US17:00Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
Red Hat IncRHT US17:00Q1 2018 Earnings CallQ1 18
Adobe Systems IncADBE US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17

Monday, June 23, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL 6/23

BARCART MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.05%) this morning are unchanged and European stocks are down % after a composite gauge of European manufacturing and services activity slowed to its slowest pace in 6 months. Another negative for stocks was heightened geopolitical risk as the fighting in Iraq intensified after the al-Queda breakaway group ISIL seized all of Iraq's border crossings with Jordan and Syria. The advances made by ISIL have edged Iraq closer to sectarian strife and an all-out civil war. Losses in stocks were muted after a gauge of Chinese manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in 7 months. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan +0.13%, Hong Kong -1.68%), China -0.12%, Taiwan -0.49%, Australia +0.62%, Singapore -0.04%, South Korea +0.57%, India -0.30%. Commodity prices are mixed. Aug crude oil (CLQ14 +0.14%) is up +0.12%. Aug gasoline (RBQ14 +0.18%) is up +0.17%. Aug gold (GCQ14 -0.32%) is down -0.39%. July copper (HGN14 +0.74%) is up +0.78% at a 2-1/2 week high on signs of increased Chinese demand after manufacturing growth expanded in China. Agriculture prices are higher on crop concerns after heavy rains inundated the Midwest over the weekend. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.06%) is unchanged. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.11% after ECB President Draghi signaled Eurozone interest rates may remain low for another 2-1/2 years. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.06%. Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 +0.14%) are up +4 ticks.
The Jun China HSBC flash manufacturing PMI rose +1.4 to 50.8, stronger than expectations of +0.3 to 49.7 and the fastest rate of expansion in 7 months.
The Japan Jun Markit/JMMA manufacturing PMI rose +1.2 to 51.1, better than expectations of +0.2 to 50.1 and the highest in 3 months.
The German Jun Markit/BME manufacturing PMI rose +0.1 to 52.4, less than expectations of +0.2 to 52.5. The Jun Markit services PMI fell -1.2 to 54.8, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.2 to 55.8.
The Eurozone Jun Markit composite PMI fell -0.7 to 52.8, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.1 to 53.4 and the slowest rate of expansion in 6 months.
In an interview with Dutch newspaper De Telegraaf, ECB President Draghi signaled that interest rates will probably remain low for at least another 2-1/2 years when he said "We have prolonged banks' access to unlimited liquidity up to the end of 2016. That is a signal." The recovery "is still weak and unevenly distributed across the Eurozone" and that broad-based asset purchases will be "the answer" if the inflation outlook weakens further.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s May existing home sales report is expected to show a +1.9% increase to 4.74 million, adding to the +1.3% increase to 4.65 million seen in April. There are two of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Micron Technology (consensus $0.72), Hertz (0.08). Equity conferences this week include: Smart Grid World Conference 2014 on Tue, Global Hunter Securities LLC Energy Conference on Tue-Wed, Oppenheimer Consumer Conference on Tue-Wed, Mobile Pharma Biztech 2014 on Wed-Thu.








OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Barclays (BCS -1.05%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Canaccord.
Wisconsin Energy (WEC +0.02%) will acquire Integrys Energy (TEG +0.25%) for $9.1 billion.
NVIDIA (NVDA -1.10%) was downgraded to 'Underperform' from 'Sector Perform' at Pacific Crest.
Burlington Stores (BURL +1.12%) were upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs.
Owens Corning (OC -6.03%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Longbow.
Helmerich & Payne (HP +0.44%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at FBR Capital.
Express (EXPR -0.54%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Janney Capital.
Teradata (TDC -0.93%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at JMP Securities.
Ashland (ASH +0.32%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at KeyBanc.
DISH (DISH +2.47%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Citigroup.
AMD (AMD -5.96%) was downgraded to 'Underperform' from 'Sector Perform' at Pacific Crest.
Nordstrom (JWN -0.39%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
SunPower (SPWR +1.10%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Brean Capital.
Cubist Pharmaceuticals (CBST +5.38%) announced the U.S. FDA approved its SIVEXTRO drug for the treatment of adult acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.05%) this morning are unch. The S&P 500 index on Friday rose to yet another record high and closed higher. Bullish factors for stocks included (1) technical buying after the S&P 500 posted record highs for three straight sessions, (2) a rally in health-care stocks and drug makers on increased M&A activity after Shire turned down AbbVie’s offer to buy the company for 27.3 billion pounds ($47 billion), and (3) a rally in gold producers after gold prices climbed to a 2-1/4 month high. Closes: S&P 500 +0.17%, Dow Jones +0.15%, Nasdaq +0.05%.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU14 +0.14%) this morning are up +4 ticks. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Friday closed lower. Bearish factors included (1) reduced safe-haven demand for Treasuries as the S&P 500 posted a new all-time high, and (2) inflation concerns after the Treasury 5-year break-even rate, which measures the difference between yields on benchmark 5-year T-notes and similar maturity TIPS, rose to 209 bp, the highest in 13 months. Closes: TYU4 -2.50, FVU4 -1.75.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.06%) this morning is unch. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0015 (-0.11%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.22 (-0.22%). The dollar index on Friday closed higher. Weakness in EUR/USD helped push the dollar higher after (1) Eurozone Jun consumer confidence unexpectedly fell -0.3 to -7.4, weaker than expectations of -6.5, and (2) the German May PPI that unexpectedly fell -0.2% m/m, weaker than expectations of unch m/m and the fourth decline in the last 5 months, which may push the ECB into its own quantitative easing program. Closes: Dollar Index +0.055 (+0.07%), EUR/USD -0.0009 (-0.07%), USD/JPY +0.122 (+0.12%).
Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ14 +0.14%) this morning is up +13 cents (+0.12%). Aug gasoline (RBQ14 +0.18%) is up +0.0052 (+0.17%). Aug crude and gasoline prices on Friday closed higher. Bullish factors included (1) a rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high, which boosts confidence in the economic outlook and energy demand, and (2) heightened geopolitical risks with NATO’s condemnation of Russia’s increased troop presence along Ukraine’s border and with the escalation of violence in Iraq that may lead to a disruption in supplies of OPEC’s second-largest producer. Closes: CLQ4 +0.78 (+0.74%) RBQ4 +0.0034 (+0.11%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR06/23/2014
US0830 ETMay Chicago Fed activity index expected +0.52 to 0.20, Apr -0.32.
0945 ETPreliminary Jun Markit manufacturing PMI expected -0.4 to 56.0, May +1.0 to 56.4.
1000 ETMay existing home sales expected +1.9% to 4.74 million, Apr +1.3% to 4.65 million.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1500 ETUSDA May Cold Storage.
1600 ETUSDA weekly crop progress.
EUR0300 ETECB Vice President Vitor Constancio speaks at the ESCBs Macro-prudential Research Network conference.
0400 ETEurozone Jun Markit composite PMI expected -0.1 to 53.4, May 53.5.
0800 ETECB Governing Council member Yves Mersch speaks at the European Financial Congress on Is Growth of Competitiveness of the European Economy Possible Without Ensuring Financial Safety?
GER0330 ETGerman Jun Markit/BME manufacturing PMI expected +0.2 to 52.5, May 52.3. Jun Markit services PMI expected -0.2 to 55.8, May 56.0.
UKn/aUK Jun nationwide house prices expected +0.5% m/m and +11.2% y/y, May +0.7% m/m and +11.1% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR06/23/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Applied Materials IncAMAT US13:00Extraordinary Shareholders MeetingY 2014
CarMax IncKMX US13:00Annual General MeetingY 2014
Micron Technology IncMU US16:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Micron Technology IncMU USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.723
Kennametal IncKMT USFinancial Community Meeting - Day 1Y 2014
Questar CorpSTR USRoadshow - Day 1Y 2014
Weyerhaeuser CoWY USAnnual General MeetingY 2014
Hertz Global Holdings IncHTZ USQ1 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20140.078