Showing posts with label ALDR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ALDR. Show all posts

Thursday, April 7, 2016

MORNING CALL 4/7

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.61%) are down -0.51% and European stocks are down -0.51%. Energy producers are lower with crude oil down -0.19%, and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV is down nearly 3% in pre-market trading and is leading automaker stocks lower after it said it is indefinitely laying off 1,300 employees at a Michigan factory. Cautious comments from ECB President Draghi undercut stocks as well when he said "We face uncertainty about the outlook for the global economy." Concern over the global outlook pushed raw material producing stocks lower as well as the price of copper dropped -2.08% to a 1-month low. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.22%, Hong Kong +0.29%, China -1.38%, Taiwan -0.27%, Australia +0.37%, Singapore +0.08%, South Korea +0.12%, India -0.86%. Japanese stocks closed higher, despite a fall in USD/JPY to a fresh 17-month low, after the Mar 15-16 FOMC meeting minutes showed the Fed won't rush to raise interest rates.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.13%) is down -0.01% at a fresh 5-1/2 month low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.16% and fell back from a 5-1/2 month high on speculation the ECB may expand stimulus measures after ECB President Draghi said that policy makers won't "surrender" to excessively low price growth. USD/JPY (^USDJPY)is down -1.37% at a fresh 17-month low.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 +0.17%) are up +6.5 ticks.
ECB President Draghi said that policy makers won't "surrender" to excessively low price growth. "We face uncertainty about the outlook for the global economy, continued disinflationary forces, and we face questions about the direction of and its resilience to new shocks."
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected -6,000 to 270,000, previous +11,000 to 276,000) and continuing claims (expected -3,000 to 2.170 million, previous -7,000 to 2.173 million), (2) Feb consumer credit (expected +14.9 billion, Jan +$10.538 billion), (3) Fed Chair Yellen's participation in a discussion with former Fed chiefs Ben Bernanke, Alan Greenspan and Paul Volker, and (4) Kansas City Fed President Esther George's speech about the U.S. economy at an event in York, NE.
There are 3 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: CarMax (consensus $0.71), Rite Aid (0.06), ConAgra Foods (0.55).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Cowen & Co Retail & Luxury Day on Thu
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV (FCAU -1.36%) is down nearly 3% in pre-market trading after Reuters reported that it is indefinitely laying off 1,300 employees at a Michigan factory.
Verizon Communications (VZ -1.05%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Jeffries.
Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN -1.51%) ws upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Telsey Advisory Group.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International (VRX +18.93%) rose nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it won support from a majority its lenders to waive a default and ease some restrictions on its $32 billion debt load.
Harley-Davidson (HOG -7.02%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at William Blair & Co.
Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT +8.27%) gained almost 1% in after-hours trading after it was initiated with an 'Outperform' at BMO Capital Markets.
Ebay (EBAY -0.59%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported March same-store-sales fell -0.2%, a decline from February's +9.5% increase.
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY -0.51%) rallied over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 comparable sales rose +1.7%, more than double consensus of +0.8%.
Apollo Education (APOL +0.12%) slid over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 adjusted EPS loss of -31 cents continuing operations, a much wider loss than consensus of -10 cents, and said it will not provide future guidance at this time.
Terex (TEX +1.82%) jumped over 3% in after-hours trading after Reuters reported that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology told Terex that it will cover the risk of its acquisition of Terex being approved by Chinese authorities.
Alder Biopharmaceuticals (ALDR +7.06%) dropped over 4% in after-hours trading after it began a $100 million secondary offering of stock.
Sprint (S +2.57%) climbed over 2% in after-hours trading after it said it agreed to sell and lease back network assets to generate $2.2 billion in funding to cushion its liquidity position.
Apogee Enterprises (APOG +3.22%) rose almost 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 69 cents, higher than consensus of 64 cents.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI +0.93%) gained almost 6% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on full-year adjusted EPS to 83 cents-85cents, above consensus of 76 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.61%) this morning are down -10.50 points (-0.51%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +1.05%, Dow Jones +0.64%, Nasdaq +1.63%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed higher on strength in energy producer stocks as crude oil rallied by more than 5%. Stocks also received a boost from upbeat comments from Cleveland Fed President Mester who said that U.S. economic fundamentals "remain sound" despite "gyrations" in financial markets earlier this year.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 +0.17%) this morning are up +6.5 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYM6 -4.50, FVM6 -2.25. Jun T-notes on Wednesday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand as stocks rallied and on the minutes from the Mar 15-16 FOMC meeting stating that some participants indicated that an increase in the federal funds rate target at the Apr 26-27 meeting "might well be warranted" if economic data comes in as expected.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.13%) this morning down -0.009 (-0.01%) at a fresh 5-1/2 month low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0018 (-0.16%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -1.50 (-1.37%) at a new 17-month low. Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.201 (-0.21%), EUR/USD +0.0015 (+0.13%), USD/JPY -0.55 (-0.50%). The dollar index on Wednesday fell to a 5-1/2 month low and closed lower on the slump in USD/JPY to a 17-month low and on the stronger-than-expected German Feb industrial production report, which was positive for EUR/USD.
May WTI crude oil (CLK16 +0.03%) is down -7 cents (-0.19%). May gasoline (RBK16 +0.42%) is up +0.0048 (+0.34%). Wednesday's closes: CLK6 +1.86 (+5.18%), RBK6 +0.0169 (+1.23%). May crude and gasoline on Wednesday closed higher on the unexpected -4.94 million bbl decline in weekly EIA crude inventories (vs. expectations of +3.0 million bbl) and on the -0.2% decline in U.S. crude production to a 16-1/2 month low of 9.008 million bpd. Gasoline prices were undercut by the +1.44 million bbl rise in EIA gasoline inventories versus expectations for a -1.0 million bbl draw.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR04/07/2016
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -6,000 to 270,000, previous +11,000 to 276,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-3,000 to 2.170 million, previous -7,000 to 2.173 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $24 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $20 billion and 30-year T-bonds (previous $12 billion) to be auctioned Apr 12-14.
1500 ETFeb consumer credit expected +14.9 billion, Jan +$10.538 billion.
1730 ETFed Chair Yellen takes part in a discussion with former Fed chiefs, Ben Bernanke, Alan Greenspan and Paul Volker.
2115 ETKansas City Fed President Esther George speaks about the U.S. economy at an event in York, NE.
EUR0300 ETECB Vice President Vitor Constancio presents the ECBs Annual Report 2015 at the Economic Committee of the European Parliament in Brussels.
n/aECB President Draghi will make a presentation about the economic and financial situation in Europe at a meeting of the Portuguese Presidents Council in Lisbon.
UK0330 ETUK Mar Halifax house prices expected +0.9% m/m and +9.5% y/y, Feb -1.4% m/m and +9.7% 3-months y/y.
0430 ETUK Q4 unit labor costs expected +1.9% y/y, Q3 +1.9% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR04/07/2016

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
CarMax IncKMX USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.708
Rite Aid CorpRAD US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.062
ConAgra Foods IncCAG US7:30Q3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.547
L Brands IncLB US7:30March 2016 Sales and Revenue Call2016
CarMax IncKMX US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
ConAgra Foods IncCAG US9:30Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Brocade Communications Systems IncBRCD US14:30Annual General Meeting
Gap Inc/TheGPS US16:15March 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
L Brands IncLB USMarch 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Alder Biopharmaceuticals - All Time High

Alder Biopharmaceuticals (ALDR) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The bio medical company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 145.50+ and gained 163.63% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day belongs to Alder Biopharmaceuticals (ALDR).  I found the bio medical stock when I used Barchart to sort the All Time High list for the stocks with the highest technical buy signals then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts,  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 5/6 the stock gained 88.16%.

Alder Biopharmaceuticals Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and seeks to commercialize therapeutic antibodies. It is developing monoclonal antibodies comprising ALD403, for the prevention of migraine; and Clazakizumab, in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis and psoriatic arthritis. Alder Biopharmaceuticals Inc. is headquartered in Bothell, Washington.


The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below.  Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates.  The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report


Barchart technical indicators:

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 10 new highs and up 22.44% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 68.80%
  • Barchart computes a technical support level at 42.61
  • Recently traded at 52.85 with a 50 day moving average of 38.77
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $1.95 billion
  • Revenue expected to decrease 98.10% this year but increase again by 1,367.30% next year
  • Earnings estimated to decrease by 643.30% this year and decrease again by an additional 14.10% next year
  • Despite this poor projections Wall Street analysts issued 2 strong buy and 1 buy recommendation.
The most reliable technical trading strategy has been the 100 day moving average vs price and should continue to be used.

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL 5/20

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM14 +0.03%) this morning are down -0.08% and European stocks are down -0.28%. Vodaphone Group Plc is down over 3% after predicting that profit will decline this year and Marks & Spencer Group Plc fell over 2% after UK's largest clothing retailer reported a third straight drop in annual profit. UK gilts declined and the British pound rose after UK Apr consumer prices rose more than expected. Asian stocks closed mostly higher: Japan +0.49%, Hong Kong +0.57%, China +0.02%, Taiwan -0.14%, Australia +0.21%, Singapore +0.09%, South Korea -0.14%, India +0.06%. Commodity prices are mixed. July crude oil (CLN14 +0.24%) is up +0.16%. July gasoline (RBN14 -0.18%) is down -0.14%. Jun gold (GCM14 -0.22%) is down -0.08%. July copper (HGN14 -0.52%) is down -0.36%. Agriculture and livestock prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.06%) is up +0.08%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.08%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.12%. June T-note prices (ZNM14 -0.01%) are up +1.5 ticks.
ECB Council member and Bank of Spain Governor Linde said that the "most immediate risk in the Eurozone today" is the possibility of a scenario of low inflation during too prolonged a period.
German Apr PPI unexpectedly fell -0.1% m/m, less than expectations of unch and an on annual basis Apr PPI fell -0.9% y/y, right on expectations.
UK Apr CPI rose +0.4% m/m and +1.8% y/y, more than expectations of +0.3% m/m and +1.7% y/y. Apr core CPI rose +2.0% y/y, more than expectations of +1.8% y/y and the fastest pace of increase in 7 months.
Japan Apr nationwide department store sales fell -12.0% y/y, the biggest decline in 3 years.
The Japan Mar all industry activity index rose +1.5% m/m, less than expectations of +1.6% m/m.
The Japan Mar leading index CI was revised upward to 107.1 from the originally reported 106.5, still the lowest level in a year. The Mar coincident index was revised upward to 114.5 from the originally reported 114.0.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
There are no U.S. economic reports today. There are 7 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: Medtronic (consensus $1.12), TJX (0.67), Analog Devices (0.56), Salesforce.com (0.10), Intuit (3.50), Home Depot (0.99), Staples (0.21).
Equity conferences this week include: EPG (Electrical Products Group) Spring Conference on Mon-Tue, J.P. Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on Mon-Tue, UBS Global Healthcare Conference on Mon-Wed, UBS Global Oil and Gas conference on Mon-Thu, CRU World Aluminum Conference on Tue, Bloomberg CFO Conference on Tue, Digital Summit Atlanta 2014 on Tue, J.P. Morgan Consumer & Retail Conference on Tue, Goldman Sachs Basic Materials Conference on Tue-Wed, Wolfe Research Global Transportation Conference on Tue-Wed, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Financial Services Unconference on Tue-Wed, UBS Global Financial Services Conference on Tue-Thu, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Services One-On-One Conference on Wed, National Association of Publicly Traded Partnerships NAPTP MLP Investor Confere on Wed, BMO Capital Markets Farm to Market Conference on Wed-Thu, Medical Devices & Diagnostics Business Review on Thu, St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) 2014 on Thu, and Bloomberg Industries & CME Group Precious Metals Forum on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS +3.08%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 50 cents, lower than consensus of 52 cents.
J.C. Penney (JCP -3.80%) was downgraded to 'Underperform' from 'Market Perform' at Wells Fargo.
Staples (SPLS +1.13%) reported Q1 EPS of 18 cents, below consensus of 21 cents.
Home Depot (HD -1.11%) reported Q1 EPS of 96 cents, weaker than consensus of 99 cents.
Dow Chemical (DOW +0.73%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Wells Fargo.
Credit Suisse raised Canadian Pacific's (CP +1.11%) price target to $205 from $183 and kept an 'Outperform' rating on the stock.
Donaldson (DCI +1.54%) reported Q3 EPS of 46 cents, below consensus of 47 cents.
Carnival (CCL +1.57%) rose almost 3% in pre-market tradng after it announced it will add two new ships to its fleet in Australia, making it Australia's biggest year-round fleet of cruise ships.
According to Bloombreg, Credit Suisse (CS -0.92%) will plead guilty to charges that it assisted American citizens in evading income taxes through the use of secret accounts and will pay $2.5 billion to resolve the 3-year probe.
Mast Capital Management reported a 5% passive stake in Ardmore Shipping (ASC +0.23%) .
Bristol-Myers reported a 5.35% passive stake in Alder Biopharmaceuticals (ALDR +0.40%) .
Urban Outfitters (URBN -0.11%) fell nearly 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 26 cents, below consensus of 27 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM14 +0.03%) this morning are down -1.50 points (-0.08%). The S&P 500 index on Monday opened lower on Chinese economic concerns after weakness in China Apr new-home prices bolstered speculation the slowdown in China's housing market was spreading. Stocks recovered their losses and closed higher, however, on bullish factors that included (1) increased M&A activity after AT&T bought DirecTV for $48.5 billion, and (2) a rebound in internet and small-cap stocks on bargain hunting after the sectors had sold-off sharply over the past month: S&P 500 +0.38%, Dow Jones +0.12%, Nasdaq +0.79%.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM14 -0.01%) this morning are up +1.5 ticks. Jun 10-year T-note futures prices on Monday closed slightly lower as a rally in stocks reduced safe-haven demand for Treasuries: TYM4 -1.50, FVM4 +1.750. Losses were limited after San Francisco Fed President Williams said "given where inflation is and where the labor market is, the Fed should not start raising interest rates until the second half of next year."
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.06%) this morning is up +0.062 (+0.08%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0011 (-0.08%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.12 (-0.12%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar after U.S. stocks erased early losses and closed higher: Dollar index -0.050 (-0.06%), EUR/USD +0.0015 (+0.11%), USD/JPY +0.018 (+0.02%). USD/JPY fell to a 3-1/2 month low after a slide in global stocks boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen, while gains in EUR/USD were muted after ECB Executive Board member Mersch said that the chances of the ECB easing monetary policy further at the next meeting in June have risen "significantly."
July WTI crude oil (CLN14 +0.24%) this morning is up +16 cents (+0.16%). July gasoline (RBN14 -0.18%) is down -0.0041 (-0.14%). July crude and gasoline prices on Monday settled mixed: CLN4 +0.58 (+0.57%) RBN4 -0.0064 (-0.22%). July crude rose to a 3-1/2 week high on bullish factors that included (1) a weaker dollar, and (2) concern that an escalation of unrest in Libya will further reduce the country's oil exports after a Libyan military police chief said he disbanded Libya's parliament. July gasoline fell back from a 2-week high and closed lower on speculation that U.S. gasoline production will increase now that seasonal refinery maintenance has ended.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/20/2014
US1230 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks on the economic outlook to the Women in Housing & Finance at a luncheon in Washington D.C.
1300 ETNew York Fed President William Dudley speaks at an event hosted by the New York Association for Business Economics.
JPN0030 ETJapan Mar all-industry activity index expected +1.6% m/m, Feb -1.1% m/m.
0100 ETRevised Japan Mar leading index CI, previous 106.5. Revise Mar coincident index, previous 114.0.
0130 ETJapan Apr nationwide department store sales, Mar +25.4% y/y.
0200 ETRevised Japan Apr machine tool orders, previous +48.8% y/y.
1950 ETJapan Apr trade balance expected -646.3 billion yen, Mar -1.446 trillion yen. Apr exports expected +4.4% y/y, Mar +1.6% y/y. Apr imports expected +1.2% y/y, Mar +18.1% y/y.
2300 ETBank of Japan announces policy decision after 2-day meeting.
GER0200 ETGerman Apr PPI expected unch m/m and -0.9% y/y, Mar -0.3% m/m and -0.9% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Apr CPI expected +0.3% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and +1.6% y/y. Apr core CPI expected +1.8% y/y, Mar +1.6% y/y.
0430 ETUK Apr RPI expected +0.5% m/m and +2.6% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and +2.5% y/y. Apr RPI ex mortgage interest payments expected +2.7% y/y, Mar +2.5% y/y.
0430 ETUK Apr PPI input prices expected -0.2% m/m and -4.9% y/y, Mar -0.6% m/m and -6.5% y/y. Apr PPI output prices expected +0.2% m/m and +0.7% y/y, Mar +0.2% m/m and +0.5% y/y. Apr PPI output core prices expected +0.1% m/m and +1.0% y/y, Mar +0.1% m/m and +1.0% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/20/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Donaldson Co IncDCI USBef-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.47
Dick's Sporting Goods IncDKS USBef-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.524
Medtronic IncMDT US7:15Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.122
TJX Cos Inc/TheTJX US9:30Q1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.668
Analog Devices IncADI US16:00Q2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.562
Tidewater IncTDW USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.625
Intuit IncINTU USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20143.498
Salesforce.com IncCRM USAft-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.098
Home Depot Inc/TheHD USQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.986
Staples IncSPLS USQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.208