Wednesday, November 1, 2017

Morning Call 11/1

Barchart Morning Call

Barchart.com - 15 minutes ago
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ17 +0.42%) this morning are up +0.44% at a new record nearest-futures high and European stocks are up +0.85% at a 2-1/4 year high. Global stocks rallied today, led by strength in energy and mining stocks, as crude oil and metals prices surged. Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ17 +1.14%) is up +1.25% at a 9-3/4 month high after API inventory data released late Tuesday showed U.S. crude stockpiles fell by -5.09 million bbl and gasoline supplies fell by -7.7 million bbl last week. Nickel prices surged to a 2-year high on expectations of strong demand from electric car makers, while Dec COMEX copper (HGZ17 +1.87%) is up +2.25% on signs of strength in global manufacturing activity that will boost industrial metals demand after the UK Oct Markit manufacturing PMI expanded more than expected and the China Oct Caixin manufacturing PMI remained unchanged in expansionary territory. Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +1.86%, Hong Kong +1.23%, China +0.08%, Taiwan +0.12%, Australia +0.49%, Singapore +0.52%, South Korea +1.56%, India +1.17%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index jumped to a 21-1/3 year high, led by a 11% surge in Sony, after the company increased its annual operating profit outlook to a record 630 billion yen ($5.6 billion), well above analysts' estimates of 591 billion yen. 

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.10%) is up +0.09%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.05%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.31%.
Dec 10-year T-note prices (ZNZ17 -0.10%) are down -5 ticks.
The UK Oct Markit manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose +0.3 to 56.3, stronger than expectations of no change at 55.9.
The China Oct Caixin (flash) manufacturing PMI was unch at 51.0, right on expectations.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -4.6% with purchase sub-index -6.1% and refi sub-index -3.0%), (2) Oct ADP employment (expected +200,000, Sep +135,000), (3) Treasury refunding announcement for Nov 7-9, (4) revised Oct Markit U.S. manufacturing PMI (expected unch at 54.5, prelim-Oct +1.4 to 54.5), (5) Oct ISM manufacturing index (expected -1.4 to 59.4, Sep +2.0 to 60.8), (6) Sep construction spending (expected -0.1%, Aug +0.5% m/m), (7) 2-day FOMC meeting concludes with expectations for an unchanged federal funds target range of 1.00%-1.25%, (8) Oct total vehicle sales (expected 17.50 million, Sep 18.47 million), (9) EIA weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Facebook (consensus $1.28), Allergan (4.05), Southern Co (1.08), Estee Lauder (0.97), MetLife (0.92), Allstate (0.87), Kraft Heinz (0.82), Garmin (0.66), Symantec (0.43), Williams Cos (0.17), Occidental Petroleum (0.11), Marathon Oil (-0.15).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: LiveXLive Media (LIVXD), Spero Therapeutics (SPRO), Evoqua Water Technologies (AQUA), Allena Pharmaceuticals (ALNA).
Equity conferences this week: VancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference on Thu-Fri, American College of Rheumatology Meeting on Fri, North American Cystic Fibrosis Conference on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
American Airlines Group (AAL -0.91%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Neutral' at JP Morgan Chase with a price target of $65.
Altria (MO +0.27%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Edward Jones.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP +1.05%) fell 8% in after-hours trading after it said in an earnings call that it expects Q4 revenue to be $485 million-$525 million, below consensus of $529.1 million.
Fiserv (FISV -0.02%) lost 5% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on the top end of its full-year adjusted EPS view to $5.05-$5.12 from a prior view of $5.03-$5.17.
Paycom Software (PAYC +2.58%) dropped 5% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q4 revenue of $111.5 million-$113.5 million, the mid-point below consensus of $113.1 million.
B&G Foods (BGS -2.00%) rallied almost 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 55 cents, better than consensus of 46 cents, and then said it sees full-year adjusted EPS of $2.03 to $.217, the mid-point above consensus of $2.05.
Sturm Ruger (RGR -1.00%) fell over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 sales fell -35% to $104.8 million.
CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW +0.23%) gained 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 revenue of $3.78 billion, better than consensus of $3.65 billion.
Papa John's International (PZZA +1.51%) slid almost 3% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on 2017 North American comparable sales to up +1.5%, below a prior view of up 2% to 4%.
Qualys (QLYS +1.44%) jumped nearly 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 31 cents, well above consensus of 22 cents, and then said it sees full-year adjusted EPS of $1,04 to $1.06, better than consensus of 90 cents.
Envision Healthcare (EVHC +1.31%) plunged over 25% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 73 cents, weaker than consensus of 88 cents, and then said it sees Q4 adjusted EPS of 44 cents to 54 cents, well below consensus of $1.00.
Wabash National (WNC +2.23%) dropped 11% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 34 cents, below consensus of 39 cents, and then said it sees full-year EPS of $1.33 to $1.37, weaker than consensus of $1.45.
Modine Manufacturing (MOD +1.94%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 net sales of $508.3 million, stronger than expectations of $466.5 million.
3D Systems (DDD +4.74%) tumbled 14% in after-hours trading after it reported an unexpected loss of -20 cents per share, weaker than consensus of EPS of 12 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec S&P 500 E-mini stock futures (ESZ17 +0.42%) this morning are up +11.25 points (+0.44%) at a fresh nearest-futures record high. Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.09%, Dow Jones +0.12%, Nasdaq +0.34%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday closed higher on the +5.3 point increase in U.S. Oct consumer confidence (Conference Board) to 125.9, stronger than expectations of +1.7 to 121.5 and a 16-3/4 year high, and on the unexpected +1.0 point increase in the Oct Chicago PMI to 66.2, stronger than expectations of -5.2 to 60.0 and the fastest pace of expansion in 6-1/2 years. Stocks were undercut by the -0.8 point decline in the China Oct manufacturing PMI to 51.6, weaker than expectations of -0.4 to 52.0, which raises Chinese economic growth concerns.
Dec 10-year T-note prices (ZNZ17 -0.10%) this morning are down -5 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYZ7 -2.50, FVZ7 -2.25. Dec 10-year T-notes on Tuesday settled slightly lower on the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Oct consumer confidence to a 16-3/4 year high, and on the unexpected increase in the Oct Chicago PMI to a 6-1/2 year high. T-notes found some underlying support from expectations that President Trump on Thursday will appoint Jerome Powell as next Fed Chair, which would signal a continuation of Fed Chair Yellen's monetary policy direction.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.10%) this morning is up +0.088 (+0.09%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0006 (-0.05%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.35 (+0.31%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.008 (-0.01%), EUR/USD -0.0005 (-0.04%), USD/JPY +0.46 (+0.41%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed slightly lower on the stronger-than-expected Eurozone Q3 GDP report of +2.5% y/y, which is supportive for EUR/USD, and long liquidation in the dollar ahead of the outcome of Wednesday's FOMC meeting.
Dec crude oil (CLZ17 +1.14%) this morning is up +68 cents (+1.25% at a 9-3/4 month high and Dec gasoline (RBZ17+1.31%) is +0.0269 (+1.55%). Tuesday's closes: Dec WTI crude +0.23 (+0.42%), Dec gasoline +0.0193 (+1.13%). Dec crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday closed higher on a weaker dollar and on expectations for Wednesday’s EIA crude inventories to fall -2.0 million bbl. Crude oil prices were also supported by data from Jbc showing that OPEC compliance with its production cut agreement rose to 103% in Oct from 100% in Sep.
Metals prices this morning are stronger with Dec gold (GCZ17 +0.66%) +9.1 (+0.72%), Dec silver (SIZ17 +1.72%) +0.292 (+1.75%) and Dec copper (HGZ17 +1.87%) +0.071 (+2.29%). Tuesday's closes: Dec gold -7.2 (-0.56%), Dec silver -0.154(-0.91%), Dec copper -0.0110 (-0.35%). Metals on Tuesday closed lower on the rally in stocks, which reduced the safe-haven demand for precious metals, and on some concern about Chinese copper demand after the China Oct manufacturing PMI declined more than expected.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR11/01/2017
Wednesday, Nov 1
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -4.6% with purchase sub-index -6.1% and refi sub-index -3.0%.
0815 ETOct ADP employment change expected +200,000, Sep +135,000.
0830 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $24 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $20 billion) and 30-year T-bonds (previous $12 billion) to be auctioned Nov 7-9 in the Nov quarterly refunding.
0945 ETRevised Oct Markit U.S. manufacturing PMI expected unch at 54.5, prelim-Oct +1.4 to 54.5.
1000 ETOct ISM manufacturing index expected -1.4 to 59.4, Sep +2.0 to 60.8. Oct ISM new orders, Sep +4.3 to 64.6. Oct ISM employment, Sep +0.4 to 60.3. Oct ISM prices paid expected -4.0 to 67.5, Sep +9.5 to 71.5.
1000 ETSep construction spending expected -0.1%, Aug +0.5% m/m.
1030 ETEIA weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1400 ETFOMC announces interest rate decision; 1.00%-1.25% fed funds rate target expected unchanged.
n/aOct total vehicle sales expected 17.50 million, Sep 18.47 million. Oct domestic vehicle sales expected 13.70 million, Sep 14.33 million.
Thursday, Nov 2
US0730 ETOct Challenger job cuts, Sep -27.0% y/y.
0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +2,000 to 235,000, previous +10,000 to 233,000. Weekly continuing claims expected +1,000 to 1.894 million, previous -3,000 to 1.893 million.
0830 ETQ3 non-farm productivity expected +2.6%, Q2 +1.5%. Q3 unit labor costs expected +0.4%, Q2 +0.2%.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1220 ETNew York Fed President William Dudley delivers closing remarks at an Alternative Reference Rates Committee Roundtable.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR11/01/2017

NameTickerTimeDescriptionPeriodEstimate
NiSource IncNI USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.07
Allergan PLCAGN USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 174.046
TE Connectivity LtdTEL USBef-mktQ4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 171.156
PPL CorpPPL USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.538
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.954
Clorox Co/TheCLX US06:30Q1 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ1 181.418
Estee Lauder Cos Inc/TheEL US06:45Q1 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ1 180.971
Zimmer Biomet Holdings IncZBH US07:00Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.74
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US07:00Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.327
Garmin LtdGRMN US07:00Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.664
Southern Co/TheSO US07:30Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.077
Zimmer Biomet Holdings IncZBH US08:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH US08:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Allergan PLCAGN US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
CH Robinson Worldwide IncCHRW US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Verisk Analytics IncVRSK US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Envision Healthcare CorpEVHC US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
TE Connectivity LtdTEL US08:30Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
PPL CorpPPL US08:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
NiSource IncNI US09:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Anadarko Petroleum CorpAPC US09:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Concho Resources IncCXO US09:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Estee Lauder Cos Inc/TheEL US09:30Q1 2018 Earnings CallQ1 18
Garmin LtdGRMN US10:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US11:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Newfield Exploration CoNFX US11:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Devon Energy CorpDVN US11:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
ONEOK IncOKE US11:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
KLA-Tencor CorpKLAC USAnnual General Meeting
Southern Co/TheSO US13:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Clorox Co/TheCLX US13:30Q1 2018 Earnings CallQ1 18
CF Industries Holdings IncCF USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 17(0.547)
QUALCOMM IncQCOM USAft-mktQ4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 170.823
ANSYS IncANSS USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.969
Host Hotels & Resorts IncHST USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.332
Brighthouse Financial IncBHF USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 172.122
American Water Works Co IncAWK USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.085
Prudential Financial IncPRU USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 172.709
Boston Properties IncBXP USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.537
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.171
Hanesbrands IncHBI USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.60
Marathon Oil CorpMRO USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 17(0.146)
Qorvo IncQRVO US16:00Q2 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ2 181.434
Scripps Networks Interactive IncSNI USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.966
Flowserve CorpFLS USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.342
Equinix IncEQIX US16:01Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 173.534
Extra Space Storage IncEXR US16:01Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.098
Pioneer Natural Resources CoPXD US16:05Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.304
Symantec CorpSYMC US16:05Q2 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ2 180.426
Kraft Heinz Co/TheKHC US16:05Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.822
Facebook IncFB US16:05Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.283
Federal Realty Investment TrustFRT US16:05Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.473
Lincoln National CorpLNC US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 171.84
Allstate Corp/TheALL US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.874
MetLife IncMET US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.923
Essex Property Trust IncESS US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 172.967
Occidental Petroleum CorpOXY US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.112
Eversource EnergyES US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.834
Regency Centers CorpREG US16:15Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.903
Symantec CorpSYMC US16:30Q2 2018 Earnings CallQ3 18
Hanesbrands IncHBI US16:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
QUALCOMM IncQCOM US16:45Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
Kraft Heinz Co/TheKHC US17:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Qorvo IncQRVO US17:00Q2 2018 Earnings CallQ2 18
Facebook IncFB US17:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Equinix IncEQIX US17:30Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Posted by Jim Van Meerten at
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