Thursday, July 21, 2016

MORNING CALL 7/21

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.08%) are down -0.06% and European stocks are down -0.16% ahead of the results of today's ECB meeting and press conference from ECB President Draghi. The markets are not expecting any action from the ECB today, but will scour comments from Draghi as to if and when the ECB may boost easing measures. Global stocks took a hit after BOJ Governor Kuroda in a BBC Radio 4 program broadcast dismissed the use on helicopter money as stimulus. Losses were limited on increased M&A activity as Joy Global jumped 20% in pre-market trading after it was acquired by Komatsu for $2.89 billion and Relypsa surged over 50% in pre-market trading after being acquired by Galencia for $1.53 billion. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.77%, Hong Kong +0.54%, China +0.37%, Taiwan +0.54%, Australia +0.43%, Singapore -0.18%, South Korea -0.09%, India -0.74%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index had rallied to a 1-1/2 month high after USD/JPY climbed to a 1-1/2 month high and lifted exporter stocks along with increased M&A activity after Japan's Komatsu agreed to buy Joy Global, the world's largest maker of underground mining equipment, for $2.89 billion.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) is down -0.18%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.04%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.52%.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.05%) are down -4.5 ticks.
USD/JPY fell back from a 1-1/2 month high and turned lower after BOJ Governor Kuroda in a BBC Radio 4 program broadcast said there was "no need and no possibility of easing monetary policy via helicopter money," where the central bank directly finances government spending. Kuroda said "at this moment, the BOJ has three options with quantitative and qualitative easing with negative interest rates.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected +11,000 to 265,000, previous unch at 254,000) and continuing claims (expected -9,000 to 2.140 million, previous +32,000 to 2.149 million), (2) Jul Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey (expected +0.1 to 4.8, Jun +6.5 to 4.7), (3) Jun Chicago Fed national activity index (expected +0.31 to -0.20, May -0.56 to -0.51), (4) May FHFA house price index (expected +0.4% m/m, Apr +0.2% m/m), (5) Jun existing home sales (expected -0.9% to 5.48 million, May +1.8% to 5.53 million), (6) Jun leading indicators (expected +0.2%, May-0.2%), (7) Treasury auctions $13 billion of 10-year TIPS, and (8) USDA weekly Export Sales.
There are 34 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Visa (consensus $0.67), Starbucks (0.49), AT&T (0.72), Capital One (1.87), General Motors (1.52), PulteGroup (0.32).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week include: none.


OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Intel (INTC +1.54%) lost 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 59 cents, higher than consensus of 54 cents, but said it remains cautious on the PC market and forecasts a high-single-digit PC market contraction in 2016.
Qualcomm (QCOM +1.23%) jumped nearly 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.16, well above consensus of 97 cents.
eBay (EBAY +1.85%) rallied nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS continuing operations of 43 cents, higher than consensus of 42 cents and then added $2.5 billion to its stock buyback plan.
Relypsa (RLYP +1.31%) surged over 50% in pre-market trading after Galencia agreed to buy it for $1.53 billion or $32 a share.
Mattel (MAT +1.42%) rose nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q2 adjusted EPS loss of -2 cents, a smaller loss than consensus of -5 cents
Joy Global (JOY +1.07%) jumped 20% in pre-market trading after Komatsu Ltd. agreed to buy the company for $2.89 billion or $28.30 a share.
United Rentals (URI +2.84%) jumped 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.06, well above consensus of $1.82.
F5 Networks (FFIV +0.72%) climbed 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.81, above consensus of $1.79, and said it sees Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.92-$1.95, stronger than consensus of $1.92.
Kinder Morgan Inc/DE (KMI +0.68%) slid over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 revenue of $3.14 billion, below consensus of $3.41 billion.
Trueblue (TBI +1.23%) gained almost 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 51 cents, better than consensus of 43 cents, and said it sees Q3 adjusted EPS of 73 cents-78 cents, higher than consensus of 67 cents.
IMAX Corp. (IMAX -0.17%) gained over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 18 cents, higher than consensus of 17 cents, and raised its 2016 installation view to 155 theaters from a prior estimate of 135-140 theaters
PTC Inc. (PTC +1.33%) climbed nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted revenue of $289.7 million, above consensus of $288 million.
Tractor Supply (TSCO +0.16%) slipped 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of $1.16 and Q2 revenue of $1.85 billion, both right on expectations.
Newmont Mining (NEM -5.07%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 sales of $2.04 billion, stronger than consensus of $1.91 billion.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.08%) this morning are down -1.25 points (-0.06%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.43%, Dow Jones +0.19%, Nasdaq +1.17%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday rallied to a new record high and closed higher on a positive start to quarterly company earnings season as 78% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings results thus far have exceeded expectations. Stocks were also boosted by strength in technology stocks as bellwether Microsoft soared +7% after beating quarterly profit estimates. Stock market anxiety also faded as the VIX volatility index fell to a 1-3/4 year low.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.05%) this morning are down -4.5 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYU6 -8.00, FVU6 -4.75. Sep T-notes on Wednesday closed lower on the reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in the S&P 500 to an all-time high and on carryover weakness from a slide in German bund prices.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) this morning is down -0.175 (-0.18%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0004 (+0.04%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.56 (-0.52%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar index +0.138 (+0.14%), EUR/USD -0.0006 (-0.05%), USD/JPY +0.77 (+0.73%). The dollar index on Wednesday rallied to a 4-1/4 month high and closed higher on optimism about the U.S economic outlook after the S&P 500 climbed to a record high. In addition, USD/JPY rose to a 3-week high as the rally in stocks reduced the safe-haven demand for the yen.
Sep WTI crude oil prices (CLU16 -0.37%) this morning are up +9 cents (+0.20%) and Sep gasoline prices (RBU16 +0.15%) are up +0.0122 (+0.89%). Wednesday's closes: CLU6 +0.21 (+0.46%), RBU6 -0.0143 (-1.03%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday settled mixed. Sep crude oil recovered from a 2-1/4 month low and closed higher after weekly EIA crude inventories fell -2.34 million bbl, a bigger decline than expectations of -2.0 million bbl. Crude oil and gasoline were undercut by the rally in the dollar index to a 4-1/4 month high and by the unexpected increase in EIA gasoline inventories by +911,000 bbl (vs expectations of -500,000 bbl).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR07/21/2016
Thursday, July 21
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +11,000 to 265,000, previous unch at 254,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -9,000 to 2.140 million, previous +32,000 to 2.149 million.
0830 ETJul Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey expected +0.1 to 4.8, Jun +6.5 to 4.7.
0830 ETJun Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.31 to -0.20, May -0.56 to -0.51.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
0900 ETMay FHFA house price index expected +0.4% m/m, Apr +0.2% m/m.
1000 ETJun existing home sales expected -0.9% to 5.48 million, May +1.8% to 5.53 million.
1000 ETJun leading indicators expected +0.2%, May -0.2%,
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 2-year T-notes (previous $26 billion), 2-year floating-rate notes (previous $13 billion), 5-year T-notes (previous $34 billion) and 7-year T-notes (previous $28 billion) to be auctioned Jul 25-28.
1300 ETTreasury auctions 10-year TIPS.
EUR0745 ETECB announces interest rate decision.
0830 ETECB President Mario Draghi delivers press conference following ECB meeting.
Friday, July 22
US0945 ETPreliminary-Jul Markit U.S. manufacturing PMI expected +0.2 to 51.5, Jun +0.6 to 51.3.
1500 ETUSDA Jun Cold Storage.
1500 ETUSDA Jun Cattle on Feed.
n/aG-20 finance ministers and central bank governor deputies meet in Chengdu, China (Jul 22-24).
GER0330 ETGerman Jul Markit/BME manufacturing PMI expected -1.1 to 53.4, Jun +2.4 to 54.5. Jul Markit services PMI expected -0.5 to 53.2, Jun -1.5to 53.7.
EUR0400 ETEurozone Jul Markit manufacturing PMI expected -0.8 to 52.0, Jun +1.3 to 52.8. Jul composite PMI expected -0.6 to 52.5, Jun unch at 53.1.
UK0430 ETUK Jul Markit manufacturing PMI expected -3.4 to 48.7, Jun +1.7 to 52.1.
0430 ETUK Jul Markit/CIPS services PMI expected -3.5 to 48.8, Jun -1.2 to 52.3.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR07/21/2016
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Interpublic Group of Cos Inc/TheIPG USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.331
Johnson Controls IncJCI USBef-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20161.031
Nucor CorpNUE USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.697
PulteGroup IncPHM USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.321
PPG Industries IncPPG USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.855
Sherwin-Williams Co/TheSHW USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20164.158
Snap-on IncSNA USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.23
BB&T CorpBBT USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.68
Southwest Airlines CoLUV USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.207
Travelers Cos Inc/TheTRV USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.044
Union Pacific CorpUNP USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.163
DR Horton IncDHI USBef-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.656
Huntington Bancshares Inc/OHHBAN USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.209
Quest Diagnostics IncDGX USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.317
Alliance Data Systems CorpADS USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20163.59
General Motors CoGM USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.523
Bank of New York Mellon Corp/TheBK US6:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.751
Dover CorpDOV US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.864
Citizens Financial Group IncCFG US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.435
Biogen IncBIIB US7:15Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20164.685
Alaska Air Group IncALK US8:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.095
Bank of New York Mellon Corp/TheBK US8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
BB&T CorpBBT US8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Interpublic Group of Cos Inc/TheIPG US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
PulteGroup IncPHM US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Biogen IncBIIB US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Quest Diagnostics IncDGX US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Citizens Financial Group IncCFG US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Alliance Data Systems CorpADS US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Union Pacific CorpUNP US8:45Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Travelers Cos Inc/TheTRV US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Huntington Bancshares Inc/OHHBAN US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
FMC Technologies IncFTI US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Dover CorpDOV US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Newmont Mining CorpNEM US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Snap-on IncSNA US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
DR Horton IncDHI US10:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
General Motors CoGM US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Johnson Controls IncJCI US11:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Citigroup IncC US11:00Q2 2016 Earnings Call - Fixed Income InvestorC2 2016
Sherwin-Williams Co/TheSHW US11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
United Rentals IncURI US11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Alaska Air Group IncALK US11:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Southwest Airlines CoLUV US12:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Nucor CorpNUE US14:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
PPG Industries IncPPG US14:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
SL Green Realty CorpSLG US14:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
AT&T IncT US16:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.717
PayPal Holdings IncPYPL US16:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.358
Capital One Financial CorpCOF US16:05Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.87
Visa IncV US16:05Q3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.667
Schlumberger LtdSLB US16:10Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.21
Chipotle Mexican Grill IncCMG US16:10Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.909
American Express CoAXP US16:30Q2 2016 Earnings Call - Fixed IncomeC2 2016
AT&T IncT US16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Stryker CorpSYK US16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Chipotle Mexican Grill IncCMG US16:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Skyworks Solutions IncSWKS US17:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
People's United Financial IncPBCT US17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Starbucks CorpSBUX US17:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Capital One Financial CorpCOF US17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
E*TRADE Financial CorpETFC US17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Visa IncV US17:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Southwestern Energy CoSWN USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2016-0.108
Stryker CorpSYK USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.366
Skyworks Solutions IncSWKS USAft-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20161.214
People's United Financial IncPBCT USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.22
Starbucks CorpSBUX USAft-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.487
E*TRADE Financial CorpETFC USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.379
Crown Castle International CorpCCI USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.076
PayPal Holdings IncPYPL US18:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Posted by Jim Van Meerten at
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