Thursday, April 14th, 2016View Older Reports
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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.04%) are down -0.05% as they consolidate after yesterday's sharp rally to a 4-month high. European stocks are up +0.01% at a 2-week high. Gains in European stocks were limited after German economic institutes cut their 2016 German GDP forecast to 1.6% from 1.8%. As expected, the BOE kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.50% and maintained its asset purchase target at 375 billion pounds following today's policy meeting. Asian stocks settled higher: Japan +3.23%, Hong Kong +0.85%, China +0.51%, Taiwan +0.18%, Australia +1.27%, Singapore +0.81%, South Korea +2.13%, India closed for holiday. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index rose to a 2-week high after USD/JPY gained for a second day, which boosted exporter stocks.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.18%) is up +0.20% at a 2-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.08% at a 2-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.06%.
The top German economic institutes that include Ifo, DIW, IWH and RWI cut their German 2016 growth estimate to 1.6% from 1.8%, citing a slump in global demand.
Singapore's central bank unexpectedly eased its monetary stance after the Monetary Authority of Singapore it moved to a neutral policy of zero percent appreciation in the local dollar, a policy last adopted during the 2008 global financial crisis.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected +3,000 to 270,000, previous -9,000 to 267,000) and continuing claims (expected -8,000 to 2.183 million, previous +19,000 to 2.191 million), (2) Mar CPI (expected +0.2% m/m and +1.1% y/y, Feb -0.2% m/m and +1.0% y/y) and Mar core CPI (expected +0.2% m/m and +2.3% y/y, Feb +0.3% m/m and +2.3% y/y), (3) Fed Governor Jerome Powell's appearance before the Senate Banking Committee in a hearing on current trends and changes in the fixed-income markets, (4) Alanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart's speech to the ENGAGE International Investment Education Symposium, and (5) the Treasury's auction of $12 billion of 30-year T-bonds.
There are 6 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: Bank of America (consensus $0.21), Wells Fargo (0.97), PNC Financial (1.70), Progressive (0.50), Blackrock (4.29), Delta Airlines (1.30).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Bats Global markets (BATS).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Goldman Sachs Cars Conference on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
BlackRock (BLK +2.65%) reported Q1 EPS of $4.25, less than consensus of $4.30.
Bank of America (BAC +3.92%) reported Q1 EPS of 20 cents, below consensus of 21 cents.
3D Systems (DDD -0.18%) jumped 7% in pre-market trading after it was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Underperform' by Bank of America/Merril Lynch.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG +0.01%) climbed over 2% in pre-market trading after it ws upgraded to 'Overweight' from 'Neutral' at JPMorgan Chase.
Applied Materials (AMAT +1.82%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at UBS with a price target of $26.
A U.S. District judge ruled that Microsoft's allegations that InterDigital (IDCC +1.25%) engaged in anticompetitive conduct are "sufficient" for the antitrust suit against InterDigital to proceed.
Insys Therapeutics (INSY +2.35%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Janney Montgomery with a 12-month price target of $22.
ECB Vice President Constancio said the ECB will do "whatever necessary" to bring Eurozone inflation close to objective.
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN +0.50%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after founder Steve Wynn spent $7.2 million to buy an additional 72,851 shares on April 11, according to a Form 4 filing.
Pier 1 Imports (PIR +5.61%) climbed 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 23 cents, above a March 7 estimate of 18 cents-22 cents.
Seagate Technology (STX -3.17%) fell 7% in pre-market trading after it reported preliminary Q3 revenue of $2.6 billion, below consensus of $2.7 billion and said it sees gross margins of 23%, below estimates of 25.7%.
Raytheon (RTN -0.40%) received a $1.01 billion contract from the U.S. Navy for design, manufacture, integration, demonstration and test of 15 Next Generation Jammer (NGJ) systems that will replace the ALQ-99 jammer system on EA-18G aircraft.
Dominion Diamond (DDC -3.06%) gained almost 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $178.1 million, better than consensus of $178 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 -0.04%) this morning are down -1.00 point (-0.05%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +1.00%, Dow Jones +1.06%, Nasdaq +1.31%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday climbed to a 4-month high and closed higher on reduced Chinese economic concerns after China Mar exports rose +11.5% y/y, stronger than expectations of +10.0% y/y and the biggest increase in 13 months. There was also a rally in bank stocks after JPMorgan Chase rose +4.2% on better-than-expected Q1 earnings results. The main bearish factor was that U.S. Mar retail sales unexpectedly fell -0.3%, weaker than expectations of +0.1%, and Mar retail sales ex-autos rose +0.2%, weaker than expectations of +0.4%.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.19%) this morning are down -6 ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYM6 +2.50, FVM6 unch. Jun T-notes on Wednesday fell to a 1-week but recovered and closed higher on the unexpected declines in the U.S. Mar retail sales and Mar PPI reports and on strong demand for the Treasury's $20 billion 10-year auction that had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.75, higher than the 12-auction average of 2.63. T-note prices were undercut by the rally in the S&P 500 to a 4-month high and by reduced global economic concerns after China Mar exports rose by the most in 13 months.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.18%) this morning is up +0.185 (+0.20%) at a 2-week high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.009 (-0.08%) at a 2-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.07 (-0.06%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar Index +0.785 (+0.84%), EUR/USD -0.0112 (-0.98%), USD/JPY +0.80 (+0.74%). The dollar index on Wednesday closed higher on weakness in EUR/USD which slid to a 2-week low after Eurozone Feb industrial production fell -0.8% m/m, weaker than expectations of -0.7% m/m and the biggest decline in 1-1/2 years.
May WTI crude oil (CLK16 +0.17%) is unch. May gasoline (RBK16 +0.18%) is down -0.0042 (-0.27%). Wednesday's closes: CLK6 -0.62 (-1.47%), RBK6-0.0071 (-0.46%). May crude and gasoline on Wednesday closed lower on the stronger dollar and on the +6.63 million bbl surge in EIA crude inventories to a record high 536.5 million bbl, more than expectations of a +1.0 million bbl increase. Crude oil received some underlying support from the -0.3% drop in U.S. crude production in the week ended Apr 8 to a 17-month low of 8.977 million bpd and from the -4.24 million bbl decline in weekly EIA gasoline supplies, a bigger decline than expectations of -1.5 million bbl.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR04/14/2016
| US | 0830 ET | Weekly initial unemployment claims expected +3,000 to 270,000, previous -9,000 to 267,000. Weekly continuing claims expected-8,000 to 2.183 million, previous +19,000 to 2.191 million. |
| 0830 ET | Mar CPI expected +0.2% m/m and +1.1% y/y, Feb -0.2% m/m and +1.0% y/y. Mar CPI ex-food & energy expected +0.2% m/m and +2.3% y/y, Feb +0.3% m/m and +2.3% y/y. | |
| 0830 ET | USDA weekly Export Sales. | |
| 1000 ET | Fed Governor Jerome Powell appears before the Senate Banking Committee in a hearing on current trends and changes in the fixed-income markets. | |
| 1000 ET | Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart speaks to the ENGAGE International Investment Education Symposium. | |
| 1100 ET | Treasury announces amount of 5-year TIPS (previous $16 billion) to be auctioned on Apr 21. | |
| 1300 ET | Treasury auctions $12 billion of 30-year T-bonds. | |
| EUR | 0500 ET | Revised Eurozone Mar CPI, preliminary -0.1% y/y. Revised Mar core CPI, preliminary +1.0% y/y |
| UK | 0700 ET | BOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected no change to the 0.50% benchmark rate or to the 375-billion-pound asset purchase target. |
| CHI | 2200 ET | China Mar industrial production expected +5.5% year-to-date y/y, Feb +5.4% year-to-date- y/y. |
| 2200 ET | China Q1 GDP expected +1.5% q/q and +6.7% y/y, Q4 +1.6% q/q and +6.8% y/y. | |
| 2200 ET | China Mar retail sales expected +10.2% year-to-date y/y, Feb +10.2% year-to-date y/y. |
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR04/14/2016
| Company | Ticker | Time | Event Description | Period | Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC Financial Services Group Inc/The | PNC US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 1.701 |
| Progressive Corp/The | PGR US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 0.5 |
| BlackRock Inc | BLK US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 4.294 |
| Delta Air Lines Inc | DAL US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 1.295 |
| First Republic Bank/CA | FRC US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 0.803 |
| Bank of America Corp | BAC US | 6:45 | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 0.205 |
| Wells Fargo & Co | WFC US | 8:00 | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 0.974 |
| Carnival Corp | CCL US | 8:30 | Annual General Meeting | Y 2016 | |
| Bank of America Corp | BAC US | 8:30 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
| BlackRock Inc | BLK US | 8:30 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
| Wells Fargo & Co | WFC US | 10:00 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
| Delta Air Lines Inc | DAL US | 10:00 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
| First Republic Bank/CA | FRC US | 10:00 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
| PNC Financial Services Group Inc/The | PNC US | 10:30 | Q1 2016 Earnings Call | Q1 2016 | |
| Wynn Resorts Ltd | WYNN US | 12:00 | Annual General Meeting | Y 2016 | |
| GameStop Corp | GME US | 13:30 | Investor Day | Y 2016 | |
| Equifax Inc | EFX US | Investor Meeting - Melbourne | Y 2016 | ||
| Progressive Corp/The | PGR US | Q1 2016 Earnings Release - March Sales | Q1 2016 | 0.5 | |
| SM Energy Co | SM US | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | -0.761 | |
| PacWest Bancorp | PACW US | Q1 2016 Earnings Release | Q1 2016 | 0.69 | |
| VCA Inc | WOOF US | Annual General Meeting |
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