Friday, May 2nd, 2014View Older Reports
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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM14 +0.07%) this morning are up +0.05% ahead of this morning's U.S. Apr non-farm payrolls report and European stocks are down -0.32% as the Ukraine crisis intensified when two Ukrainian helicopters were shot down as government forces launched a military offensive to retake Slovyansk, a stronghold for pro-separatist forces. Losses in European stocks were limited after Royal Bank of Scotland jumped nearly 7% when it reported Q1 profit of 1.2 billion pounds, six times better than consensus of 200 million pounds. Another positive for European stocks is reduced European sovereign debt concerns as Eurozone government bond yields fell to record lows after Italy's 10-year government bond yield fell to 3.047% and Spain's 10-year bond yield dropped to 2.98%, both the lowest since data began in 1993. Asian stocks closed mixed: Japan -0.19%, Hong Kong +0.57%, China closed for holiday, Taiwan +0.86%, Australia +0.17%, Singapore -0.37%, South Korea -0.10%, India -0.06%. Commodity prices are mostly higher. Jun crude oil (CLM14 +0.42%) is up +0.42%. Jun gasoline (RBM14 +0.27%) is up +0.28%. Jun gold (GCM14 +0.26%) is up +0.25%. July copper (HGN14 +0.58%) is up +0.60%. Agriculture and livestock prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.04%) is up +0.07%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.07%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.18%. June T-note prices (ZNM14 -0.06%) are down -4 ticks.The Eurozone Mar unemployment rate was unchanged from Feb at 11.8%, which was revised lower from the originally reported 11.9%.
The Eurozone Apr Markit manufacturing PMI was revised upward to 53.4 from the originally reported 53.3.
The German Apr Markit/BME manufacturing PMI was revised down to 54.1 from the originally reported 54.2.
The Japan Mar jobless rate held steady at a 16-1/3 year low of 3.6%, right on expectations. The Mar job-to-applicant ration rose +0.02 to 1.07, better than expectations of +0.01 to 1.06 and the most in 7-1/2 years.
Japan Mar overall household spending jumped +7.2% y/y, over three times expectations of +2.0% y/y and the largest increase since the data series began in 2001.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s April payroll report is expected to show an increase of +215,000, strengthening from +192,000 in March. Today’s April unemployment rate is expected to fall -0.1 point to 6.6%, thus matching the 5-1/2 year low posted in January. Today’s March factory orders report is expected to show a +1.5% increase, adding to the +1.6% increase seen in February.There are 10 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today. Notable reports include Berkshire Hathaway (cosnensus $2171.39), Chevron (2.52), Sempra Energy (0.95), Newell Rubbermaid (0.32), CVS Caremark (1.04), Estee Lauder (0.55). There are no equity conferences today.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Newell Rubbermaid (NWL -0.23%) reported Q1 EPS of 35 cents, higher than consensus of 32 cents.CVS Caremark (CVS +0.51%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.02, weaker than consensus of $1.04.
XL Group (XL +1.28%) reported Q1 EPS of 85 cents, better than consensus of 74 cents.
Manitowoc (MTW +1.57%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 17 cents, below consensus of 20 cents.
Fluor (FLR -0.21%) reported Q1 EPS of 92 cents, weaker than consensus of 97 cents.
Tempur Sealy (TPX +0.74%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 53 cents, better than consensus of 51 cents.
Southwestern Energy (SWN -0.98%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 66 cents, stronger than consensus of 63 cents.
Akamai (AKAM +2.75%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 58 cents, higher than consensus of 53 cents.
Covance (CVD -0.28%) reported Q1 EPS ex-items of 90 cents, better than consensus of 89 cents.
Mohawk (MHK +0.69%) reported Q1 EPS ex-items of $1.23, stronger than consensus of $1.17.
DaVita (DVA +0.91%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 85 cents, less than consensus of 86 cents, although Q1 revenue of $3.04 billion was slightly above consensus of $3.03 billion.
Outerwall (OUTR -2.86%) reported Q1 EPS of 94 cents, better than consensus of 93 cents.
Avon Products (AVP -10.21%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at BTIG.
Western Union (WU -0.13%) reported Q1 EPS of 37 cents, better than consensus of 35 cents.
Wynn Resorts (WYNN +1.34%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.32, well ahead of consensus of $2.07.
LinkedIn (LNKD +5.05%) fell nearly 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 38 cents, better than consensus of 34 cents, but then said it sees fiscal 2014 revenue of $2.05 billion-$2.06 billion, lower than cosnensus of $2.11 billion.
Kraft Foods (KRFT -0.30%) reported Q1 EPS ex-items of 78 cents, higher than consensus of 76 cents.
Expedia (EXPE +4.06%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 16 cents, better than consensus of 15 cents.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM14 +0.07%) this morning are up +1.00 point (+0.05%). The S&P 500 index on Thursday rose to a 3-week high but fell back and closed little changed. Bullish factors included (1) the +0.9% increase in Mar personal spending, more than expectations of +0.6% and the largest increase in 4-1/2 years, and (2) the +1.2 point increase in the Apr ISM manufacturing index, a larger increase than expectations of +0.6 to 54.3. Limiting strength in stocks was the unexpected +14,000 jump in weekly initial unemployment claims to a 2-month high of 344,000, more than expectations of a -9,000 decline to 320,000. Closes: S&P 500 -0.01%, Dow Jones -0.13%, Nasdaq +0.34%.Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM14 -0.06%) this morning are down -4 ticks. Jun 10-year T-note futures prices on Thursday climbed to a 2-week high and closed higher. Bullish factors included (1) the unexpected increase in weekly U.S. jobless claims to a 2-month high, and (2) scant inflation pressures after the Mar core PCE deflator of +1.2% y/y remained far below the Fed’s inflation target of +2.0% y/y. Closes: TYM4 +7.50, FVM4 +4.00.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.04%) this morning is up +0.055 (+0.07%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0010 (-0.07%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.18 (+0.18%). The dollar index on Thursday rebounded from a 2-week low and closed higher: Dollar index +0.053 (+0.07%), EUR/USD +0.0002 (+0.02%), USD/JPY +0.092 (+0.09%). Bullish factors for the dollar included signs of strength in the U.S. economy after (1) U.S. Mar personal spending rose more than expected by +0.9% at the fastest pace in 4-1/2 years, and (2) the larger-than-expected increase in the Apr ISM manufacturing index.
Jun WTI crude oil (CLM14 +0.42%) this morning is up +42 cents (+0.42%). Jun gasoline (RBM14 +0.27%) is up +0.0083 (+0.28%). Jun crude and gasoline prices on Thursday closed lower with Jun crude at a 4-week low and Jun gasoline at a 3-week low. Bearish factors included (1) negative carry-over from Wednesday’s EIA data where U.S. crude inventories rose to their highest since EIA data began in 1982 and monthly government data began in 1920, and (2) the recovery in the dollar which rebounded from a 2-1/2 week low and closed higher. Closes: CLM4 -1.54 (-1.52%). RBM4 -0.0436 (-1.45%).
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR05/02/2014
| US | 0830 ET | Apr non-farm payrolls expected +215,000, Mar +192,000. Apr private payrolls expected +215,000, Mar +192,000. Apr manufacturing payrolls expected +8,000, Mar 1,000. Apr unemployment rate expected -0.1 to 6.6%, Mar unch at 6.7%. |
| 0830 ET | Apr avg hourly earnings expected +0.2% m/m and +2.1% y/y, Mar unch m/m and +2.1% y/y. Apr avg weekly hours expected unch at 34.5 hours, Mar 34.5 hours. | |
| 0945 ET | Apr New York ISM expected +2.0 to 54.0, Mar 52.0. | |
| 1000 ET | Mar factory orders expected +1.5%, Feb +1.6%. | |
| EUR | 0400 ET | Eurozone Apr Markit manufacturing PMI, Mar 53.4. |
| 0500 ET | Eurozone Mar unemployment rate expected unch at 11.9%, Feb 11.9%. | |
| UK | 0430 ET | UK Apr Markit/CIPS construction PMI, Mar 62.5. |
| CHI | 2100 ET | China Apr non-manufacturing PMI (National Bureau of Statistics), Mar -0.5 to 54.5. |
| n/a | Chinese markets closed for Labour Day holiday. |
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR05/02/2014
| Company Name | Ticker | Time | Event Description | Period | Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newell Rubbermaid Inc | NWL US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 0.321 |
| Pinnacle West Capital Corp | PNW US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 0.129 |
| Marsh & McLennan Cos Inc | MMC US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 0.803 |
| CVS Caremark Corp | CVS US | Bef-mkt | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 1.044 |
| Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The | EL US | 7:30 | Q3 2014 Earnings Release | Q3 2014 | 0.55 |
| Newell Rubbermaid Inc | NWL US | 8:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| XL Group PLC | XL US | 8:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Chevron Corp | CVX US | 8:30 | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 2.524 |
| Graham Holdings Co | GHC US | 8:30 | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | |
| Marsh & McLennan Cos Inc | MMC US | 8:30 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| CVS Caremark Corp | CVS US | 8:30 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Northeast Utilities | NU US | 9:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Integrys Energy Group Inc | TEG US | 9:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Sempra Energy | SRE US | 9:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 0.948 |
| Alcoa Inc | AA US | 9:30 | Annual General Meeting | Y 2014 | |
| Equifax Inc | EFX US | 9:30 | Annual General Meeting | ||
| Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The | EL US | 9:30 | Q3 2014 Earnings Call | Q3 2014 | |
| Southwestern Energy Co | SWN US | 10:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Mohawk Industries Inc | MHK US | 11:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Chevron Corp | CVX US | 11:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Entergy Corp | ETR US | 11:00 | Annual General Meeting | ||
| Wisconsin Energy Corp | WEC US | 11:00 | Annual General Meeting | ||
| Pinnacle West Capital Corp | PNW US | 12:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Public Storage | PSA US | 13:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Apartment Investment & Management Co | AIV US | 13:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Sempra Energy | SRE US | 13:00 | Q1 2014 Earnings Call | Q1 2014 | |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc | ITW US | 16:00 | Annual General Meeting | Y 2014 | |
| Occidental Petroleum Corp | OXY US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| Berkshire Hathaway Inc | BRK/A US | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 2171.37 | |
| Ryder System Inc | R US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| Consolidated Edison Inc | ED US | Q1 2014 Earnings Release | Q1 2014 | 1.048 | |
| AutoNation Inc | AN US | April 2014 Sales and Revenue Release | 2014 | ||
| FMC Technologies Inc | FTI US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| Merck & Co Inc | MRK US | FDA Adcomm, Singulair Allergy (montelukast 10mg tablet) OTC, allergy |
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