Showing posts with label TTOO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TTOO. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

MORNING CALL 3/15

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM17 +0.24%) this morning are up +0.16% and European stocks are up +0.05% as a rally in crude oil prices lifts energy producing stocks. Apr WTI crude (CLJ17 +2.14%) is up sharply by +2.01% after API data released late Tuesday showed U.S. crude stockpiles fell -531,000 bbl last week. The markets are expecting the FOMC to raise the fed funds rate by 25 bp today, but will be looking at the Fed's economic projections and any guidance from Fed Chair Yellen as to the future course of monetary policy. European stocks and EUR/USD also received a boost as the latest polls show the pro-EU Liberal Party leading against the anti-EU Freedom Party in today's elections in the Netherlands. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan -0.16%, Hong Kong -0.15%, China +0.08%, Taiwan -0.04%, Australia +0.26%, Singapore -0.19%, South Korea unchanged, India -0.15%. Chinese stocks erased losses and closed higher after Chinese Premier Li Keqiang played down the risk of a trade conflict when he said it was important for both China and the U.S. to keep talking to build trust.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.12%) is down -0.13%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.20%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.09%.
Jun 10-year T-note prices (ZNM17 +0.09%) are up +2.5 ticks.
ECB Executive Board member Praet said "looking through recent volatility, the inflation outlook does not at this stage warrant a reassessment of the current monetary policy stance." He added that "the recovery has yet to translate into a durable and self-sustained pick-up in inflation."
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous +3.3% with purchase sub-index +1.7% and refi sub-index +5.2%), Mar Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions index (expected -3.7 to 15.0, Feb +12.2 to 18.7), (3) Feb CPI (expected unch m/m and +2.7% y/y, Jan +0.6% m/m and +2.5% y/y) and Feb CPI ex food & energy (expected +0.2% m/m and +2.2% y/y, Jan +0.3% m/m and +2.3% y/y), (4) Feb retail sales (expected +0.1% and +0.1% ex autos, Jan +0.4% and +0.8% ex autos), (5) Mar NAHB housing market index (expected unch at 65, Feb -2 to 65), (6) Jan business inventories (expected +0.3%, Dec +0.4%), (7) FOMC interest rate decision (expected 25 bp increase in fed funds target range to 0.75%-1.00%. FOMC releases updated macroeconomic forecasts and Fed Chair Yellen holds a press conference), (8) President Trump scheduled to release fiscal 2018 budget proposal, (9) EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Notable Russell 1000 earnings reports today include: Oracle (consensus $0.62), Williams-Sonoma (1.51), Jabil Circuit (0.46), Perrigo (1.78).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS).
Equity conferences: JP Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Industrials Conference on Mon-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Consumer and Retail Tech Conference on Tue-Wed, Barclays Emerging Payments Forum on Tue-Wed, Barclays Global Health Care Conference on Tue-Thu, Gabelli & Co. Waste & Environmental Services Symposium on Thu, American College of Cardiology Meeting on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Netflix (NFLX -0.23%) was upgraded to 'Hold' from 'Underperform' at Jeffries.
Intel (INTC +0.06%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Outperform' at Credit Suisse.
WedMD (WBMD +0.38%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Cowen with a 12-month target price of $55.
AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC +0.49%) was downgraded to 'Underperform' from 'Neutral' at Credit Suisse.
Penn Virginia (PVAC -0.20%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Johnson Rice.
Snapchat (SNAP -2.42%) was rated new 'Underweight' at Cantor Fitzgerald.
NeoPhotonics (NPTN -5.05%) sold-off 13% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 revenue of $67 million-$73 million, well below consensus of $98 million.
Achaogen (AKAO -5.75%) sank 10% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q4 loss of -$1.04 a share, a much bigger loss than consensus of -48 cents.
Endo International PLC (ENDP -4.22%) lost 2% in after-hours trading after an FDA advisory panel said that the benefits of Endo's Opana XR no longer outweigh the risks.
FTD Cos. (FTD -0.68%) dropped over 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $280.7 million, below consensus of $282.5 million.
Rosetta Stone (RST +3.27%) jumped 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $51.7 million, higher than consensus of $48.1 million, and said it will provide Sourcenext in a license deal for education markets in Japan.
Fogo De Chao (FOGO -5.02%) rose almost 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 28 cents, better than consensus of 27 cents, and then said it sees full-year adjusted EPS of 92 cents-95 cents, above consensus of 92 cents.
Rubicon Project (RUBI -1.99%) slumped 14% in after-hours trading after it forecast a Q1 adjusted loss per share of -22 cents to -26 cents, much weaker than consensus of a profit of 10 cents.
T2 Biosystems (TTOO unch) fell over 3% in after-hours trading after it was downgraded to 'Underweight' from Equal-Weight' at Morgan Stanley.
MARKET COMMENTS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM17 +0.24%) this morning are up +3.75 points (+0.16%). Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.34%, Dow Jones -0.21%, Nasdaq -0.23%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday closed lower on the U.S. Feb PPI final demand report of +0.3% m/m and +2.2% y/y (stronger than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +1.9% y/y with the +2.2% y/y gain the largest year-on-year increase in 4-3/4 years) and the -1.40% slump in crude oil prices to a 3-1/2 month low, which undercut energy producing stocks.
Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM17 +0.09%) this morning are up +2.5 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYM7 +2.50, FVM7 +1.00. Jun 10-year T-notes recovered from a 2-1/2 month low Tuesday and closed higher on the slump in crude oil prices to a 3-1/2 month low, which reduces inflation expectations, and on the slide in stocks that boosted the safe-haven demand for T-notes. Gains were limited after U.S. Feb PPI final demand rose more than expected, which may prompt the Fed to speed up the pace of its rate hikes.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.12%) this morning is down -0.13 (-0.13%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0021 (+0.20%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.10 (-0.09%). Tuesday's closes: Dollar index +0.44 (+0.43%), EUR/USD -0.0049 (-0.46%), USD/JPY -0.13 (-0.11%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed higher on the +2.2% y/y gain in U.S. Feb PPI final demand report, the largest year-on-year increase in 4-3/4 years, which bolsters the case for the Fed to continue raising interest rates. There was also weakness in GBP/USD which fell to a 1-3/4 month low on Brexit concerns after the UK Parliament voted to give Prime Minister May the go-ahead to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty that takes the UK out of the European Union.
Apr WTI crude oil prices (CLJ17 +2.14%) this morning are up +96 cents (+2.01%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ17 +1.47%) is +0.0209 (+1.32%). Tuesday's closes: Apr crude -0.68 (-1.40%), Apr gasoline +0.0028 (+0.18%). Apr crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday settled mixed with Apr crude at a 3-1/2 month low. Crude oil prices were undercut by a stronger dollar and by increased Saudi crude output after Saudi Arabian Feb crude oil production rose +2.7% m/m to 10.0111 million bpd. Crude oil prices were also undercut by expectations for Wednesday's EIA data to show crude inventories rose +3.0 million bbl. Gasoline closed higher on expectations for Wednesday's EIA gasoline stockpiles to fall -2.0 million bbl.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR03/15/2017
Wednesday, Mar 15
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous +3.3% with purchase sub-index +1.7% and refi sub-index +5.2%.
0830 ETMar Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions expected -3.7 to 15.0, Feb +12.2 to 18.7.
0830 ETFeb CPI expected unch m/m and +2.7% y/y, Jan +0.6% m/m and +2.5% y/y. Feb CPI ex food & energy expected +0.2% m/m and +2.2% y/y, Jan +0.3% m/m and +2.3% y/y.
0830 ETFeb retail sales expected +0.1% and +0.1% ex autos, Jan +0.4% and +0.8% ex autos.
1000 ETMar NAHB housing market index expected unch at 65, Feb -2 to 65.
1000 ETJan business inventories expected +0.3%, Dec +0.4%.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1400 ETFOMC interest rate decision expected 25 bp increase in fed funds target range to 0.75%-1.00%. FOMC releases updated macroeconomic forecasts and Fed Chair Yellen holds a press conference.
n/aPresident Trump scheduled to release fiscal 2018 budget proposal.
n/aU.S. debt ceiling suspension expires, but Treasury has until Aug-Sep until default.
Thursday, Mar 16
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected -3,000 to 240,000, previous +20,000 to 243,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -5,000 to 2.053 million, previous -6,000 to 2.058 million.
0830 ETFeb housing starts expected +1.4% to 1.263 million, Jan -2.6% to 1.246 million. Feb building permits expected -2.0% to 1.267 million, Jan +5.3% to 1.293 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
0830 ETMar Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey expected -13.3 to 30.0, Feb +19.7 to 43.3.
1000 ETJan JOLTS job openings expected +61,000 to 5.562 million, Dec -4,000 to 5.501 million.
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 10-year TIPS to be auctioned Mar 23 (previous $13 billion).
1300 ETTreasury Secretary Mnuchin and German Finance Minister Schaeuble meet in Berlin to discuss trade and economic issues, with a joint press conference to follow the meeting.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR03/15/2017

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Agilent Technologies IncA US11:00Annual General Meeting
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO USQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 161.775
Jabil Circuit IncJBL USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.464
Oracle CorpORCL USAft-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.618
Williams-Sonoma IncWSM USAft-mktQ4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 171.508
Jabil Circuit IncJBL US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Oracle CorpORCL US17:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Williams-Sonoma IncWSM US17:00Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17

Tuesday, August 2, 2016

MORNING CALL 8/2

MORNING CALL
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.23%) are down -0.15% and European stocks are down -1.45% at a 2-week low as weakness in European bank stocks leads the overall market lower. Commerzbank AG, Germany's second-largest lender, is down 8% after it scrapped its profit target for this year and forecast a drop in earnings, while Italy's UniCredit dropped over 5% after Il Messaggero reported that the bank may consider a capital increase of as much as 8 billion euros ($8.96 billion). Another negative for European stocks is concern that rising prices may keep the ECB from boosting stimulus measures after Eurozone Jun PPI rose a more-than-expected +0.7% m/m, the largest monthly increase in 3-3/4 years. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan -1.47%, Hong Kong closed for holiday, China +0.61%, Taiwan -0.13%, Australia -0.84%, Singapore -1.24%, South Korea -0.74%, India -0.08%. Japanese stocks closed lower after USD/JPY dropped to a 3-week low when the Japanese government announced 4.6 trillion yen ($45 billion) in extra spending for the current fiscal year, much less than the 28 trillion-yen amount Japanese Prime Minister Abe had signaled in a speech last week. Australia's 10-year bond yield fell to a record low 1.823% after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its benchmark rate by 25 bp to a record low 1.5% today.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.29%) is down -0.30% at a week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.26% at a 1-1/4 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down-0.63% at a 3-week low.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.34%) are down -14 ticks.
The RBA cut its benchmark rate by 25 bp to a record low 1.5% and RBA Governor Stevens said that "recent data confirm that inflation remains quite low and given very subdued growth in labor costs and very low cost pressures elsewhere in the world, this is expected to remain the case for some time."
The Eurozone Jun PPI of +0.7% m/m and -3.1% y/y was stronger than expectations of +0.4% m/m and -3.4% y/y with the +0.7% m/m gain the largest monthly increase in 3-3/4 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan speaks on economic conditions and implications for monetary policy at an Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum City Lecture in Beijing, China, (2) Jun personal spending (expected +0.3%, May +0.4%) and Jun personal income (expected +0.3%, May +0.2%), (3) Jun PCE deflator (expected +0.2% m/m and +0.9% y/y, May +0.2% m/m and +0.9% y/y) and Jun core PCE deflator (expected +0.1% m/m and +1.6% y/y, May +0.2% m/m and +1.6% y/y), (4) Jul New York ISM (May 45.4), (5) Jul total vehicle sales (expected 17.30 million, Jun 16.61 million).
There are 40 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Procter & Gamble (consensus $0.75), Emerson Electric (0.84), Royal Caribbean Cruises (1.02), Martin Marietta Materials (2.02), Seagate Technology (0.60), Aetna (2.12), Harris Corp (1.05), Pfizer (0.62), CVS Health (1.30), ADM (0.45), Cummins (2.16), Devon Energy (-0.20), Electronic Arts (-0.02), Verisk Analytics (0.76).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week include: Wells Fargo Services Conference on Wed-Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD +1.21%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from 'Buy' at Maxim Group.
Frontier Communications (FTR -2.31%) slid over 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 adjusted Ebitda of $1.03 billion, less than consensus of $1.05 billion.
Charter Communications (CHTR +0.48%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch with a price target of $300.
Williams Cos. (WMB -6.01%) rallied over 4% in after-hours trading after the company cut its dividend to 20 cents a share from 64 cents and said it will reinvest $1.7 billion into Williams Partners through 2017 with the cash saved from the lower dividends.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH +1.02%) dropped over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 franchise comps of +2.6%, below consensus of +3.7%.
FormFactor (FORM +0.53%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Stifel with a 12-month target price of $13.
Tenet Healthcare (THC -5.55%) lost over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 38 cents, weaker than consensus of 51 cents.
Chegg (CHGG +2.78%) climbed nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 5 cents, better than consensus of 3 cents.
Trex Co. (TREX +0.82%) gained nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 79 cents, higher than consensus of 71 cents.
Atwood Oceanics (ATW -3.65%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 revenue of $227.8 million, above consensus of $225.2 million.
T2 Biosystems (TTOO +24.38%) slumped 9% in after-hours trading after it reported an Q2 EPS loss of -58 cents, wider than consensus of -56 cents
Amkor Technology (AMKR +2.54%) jumped 11% in after-hours trading after it reported an unexpected Q2 EPS profit of 2 cents, better than consensus for an -8 cent loss, and said it sees Q3 sales of $1.01 billion-$1.09 billion, higher than consensus of $936 million.
Cognex (CGNX +0.33%) surged 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS continuing operations of 50 cents, higher than consensus of 44 cents, and then said it sees Q3 revenue of $142 million-$147 million, above consensus of $127.6 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.23%) this morning are down -3.25 points (-0.15%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 -0.13%, Dow Jones -0.15%, Nasdaq +0.55%. The S&P 500 on Monday retreated from a new all-time high and closed lower on the -0.6 point decline in the U.S. Jul ISM manufacturing index to 52.6 (weaker than expectations of -0.2 to 53.0) and on the sell-off in energy producers caused by the -3.7% drop in crude oil prices to a new 3-1/2 month low.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 -0.34%) this morning are down -14 ticks. Monday's closes: TYU6 -8.00, FVU6 -2.50. Sep T-notes on Monday closed lower on hawkish comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said investors "appear to be too complacent" on interest rates" and "it is premature” to rule out Fed rate hikes this year.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.29%) is down -0.285 (-0.30%) at a 4-week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0029 (+0.26%) at a 1-1/4 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.64 (-0.63%) at a 3-week low. Monday's closes: Dollar index +0.183 (+0.195%), EUR/USD -0.0011 (-0.10%), USD/JPY +0.33 (+0.32%). The dollar index on Monday closed higher on hawkish comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said "it is premature to rule out further monetary policy tightening this year." USD/JPY saw strength ahead of expectations that Japanese Prime Minister Abe on Tuesday will unveil the details of his 28 trillion-yen ($273 billion) fiscal stimulus package.
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 +1.45%) this morning is up +50 cents (+1.25%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16 +1.69%) is up +0.0227 (+1.74%). Monday's closes: CLU6 -1.54 (-3.70%), RBU6 -0.0158 (-1.20%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed lower with Sep crude at a 3-1/2 month low on the stronger dollar and on global energy demand concerns after the U.S. Jul ISM manufacturing PMI and the China Jul manufacturing PMI were both weaker-than-expected. There was also negative carryover from last Friday's Baker Hughes report that U.S. active oil rigs increased for a fifth straight week.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/02/2016
Tuesday, Aug 2
US0615 ETDallas Fed President Robert Kaplan speaks on economic conditions and implications for monetary policy at an Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum City Lecture in Beijing, China.
0830 ETJun personal spending expected +0.3%, May +0.4%. Jun personal income expected +0.3%, May +0.2%.
0830 ETJun PCE deflator expected +0.2% m/m and +0.9% y/y, May +0.2% m/m and +0.9% y/y. Jun core PCE deflator expected +0.1% m/m and +1.6% y/y, May +0.2% m/m and +1.6% y/y.
0945 ETJul New York ISM, May 45.4.
n/aJul total vehicle sales expected 17.30 million, Jun 16.61 million. Jul domestic vehicle sales expected 13.06 million, Jun 12.76 million.
Wednesday, Aug 3
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications.
0815 ETJul ADP employment change expected +170,000, Jun +172,000.
0830 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $24 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $20 billion) and 30-year T-bonds (previous $12 billion) to be auctioned Aug 9-11 in the Aug quarterly refunding.
0945 ETRevised Jul Markit services PMI expected +0.1 to 51.0; prelim-Jul -0.5 to 50.9. Revised Jul Markit composite PMI, prelim-Jul +0.3 to 51.5.
1000 ETJul ISM non-manufacturing PMI expected -0.6 to 55.9, Jun +0.6 to 56.5.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
GER0355 ETRevised German Jul Markit services PMI, prelim-Jul +0.9 to 54.6.
EUR0400 ETRevised Eurozone Jul Markit composite PMI, prelim-Jul -0.2 to 52.9.
0500 ETEurozone Jun retail sales expected unch m/m and +1.8% y/y, May +0.4% m/m and +1.6% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/02/2016

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Emerson Electric CoEMR USBef-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20160.843
NiSource IncNI USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.072
Pinnacle West Capital CorpPNW USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.135
Expeditors International of Washington IncEXPD USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.589
Welltower IncHCN USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.14
Royal Caribbean Cruises LtdRCL USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.021
Martin Marietta Materials IncMLM USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.017
Seagate Technology PLCSTX USBef-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.604
Teradata CorpTDC USBef-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.596
Mallinckrodt PLCMNK USBef-mktQ3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20162.011
Aetna IncAET US6:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.118
Eaton Corp PLCETN US6:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.069
Entergy CorpETR US6:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.049
Harris CorpHRS US6:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.438
Pfizer IncPFE US6:45Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.624
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US6:45Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.094
AmerisourceBergen CorpABC US6:45Q3 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20161.268
CVS Health CorpCVS US6:50Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.303
Xylem Inc/NYXYL US6:55Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.474
Archer-Daniels-Midland CoADM US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.448
Pitney Bowes IncPBI US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.39
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.745
Cardinal Health IncCAH US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.13
Mosaic Co/TheMOS US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.117
Discovery Communications IncDISCA US7:00Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.567
Cummins IncCMI US7:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20162.164
Pitney Bowes IncPBI US8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Cardinal Health IncCAH US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Dun & Bradstreet Corp/TheDNB US8:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Ecolab IncECL US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.078
Harris CorpHRS US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
CVS Health CorpCVS US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Aetna IncAET US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Teradata CorpTDC US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Discovery Communications IncDISCA US8:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Mallinckrodt PLCMNK US8:30Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
Archer-Daniels-Midland CoADM US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
NiSource IncNI US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
General Growth Properties IncGGP US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Seagate Technology PLCSTX US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Mosaic Co/TheMOS US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Xylem Inc/NYXYL US9:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Ford Motor CoF US9:15July 2016 Sales and Revenue Release
Williams Cos Inc/TheWMB US9:30Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Cummins IncCMI US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Eaton Corp PLCETN US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Equifax IncEFX US10:00Business Update Call
Ford Motor CoF US10:00July 2016 Sales and Revenue Call
Pfizer IncPFE US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Vornado Realty TrustVNO US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Alliant Energy CorpLNT US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Welltower IncHCN US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Royal Caribbean Cruises LtdRCL US10:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Entergy CorpETR US11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US11:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
AmerisourceBergen CorpABC US11:00Q3 2016 Earnings CallQ3 2016
American International Group IncAIG USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.922
FMC CorpFMC USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.68
ONEOK IncOKE USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.437
Cerner CorpCERN USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.571
Electronic Arts IncEA USAft-mktQ1 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ1 2017-0.023
Fiserv IncFISV USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20161.074
Newfield Exploration CoNFX USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.157
Hanesbrands IncHBI USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.524
Concho Resources IncCXO USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.053
Verisk Analytics IncVRSK USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.762
Fortive CorpFTV USAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.613
Alaska Air Group IncALK USJuly 2016 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2016
Delta Air Lines IncDAL USJuly 2016 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2016
General Motors CoGM USJuly 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016

Monday, July 11, 2016

MORNING CALL 7/11

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.35%) this morning are mildly higher by +5.25 (+0.25%) on carry-over support from last Friday's strong U.S. June payroll report of +287,000 combined with today's +4% rally in the Nikkei index on positive Sunday election results in Japan. Asian stocks today closed higher across the board: Japan +3.98%, Hong Kong +1.54%, Chinese Shanghai Composite +0.23%, Taiwan +1.68%, Australia +2.04%, Singapore +1.02%, South Korea +1.46%, India +1.84%, Turkey +1.01%. European stocks are higher nearly across the board this morning with the Euro Stoxx 50 index up +0.47%, the FTSE up +0.52%, and the German DAX up +0.97%.
The Nikkei index today rallied sharply by +4% after Prime Minister Abe's ruling LDP party won a convincing victory in Sunday's upper house election, thus ensuring that PM Abe can focus on new stimulus measures to help the economy. Abe has on June 1 said that he will take "broad, bold" measures to support the economy that will include delaying the planned sales-tax increase. There have been reports that a new fiscal stimulus package could be as large as 20 trillion yen ($200 billion) in the current fiscal year. The LDP party won 56 of the 121 upper house seats in contention, giving Mr. Abe a ruling supermajority after including uncontested seats and the 14 seats won by junior coalition party Komeito.
Energy Minister Andrea Leadsom today withdrew from the UK Conservative leadership race, thus giving Home Secretary Theresa May a clear path to becoming the new Conservative Party leader and prime minister. That news is positive for Britain since it reduces political uncertainty and should help the Conservative Party navigate its way on negotiating a Brexit deal with Europe. The British pound this morning rallied on the news that Ms. Leadsom dropped out of the race due to the reduced political uncertainty.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.26%) is up +0.34 (+0.35%) this morning while EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0008 (-0.07%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is sharply higher by +1.78 (+1.77%). The yen is weaker on reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in global stocks. The dollar index is higher on continued support from the strong U.S. interest differentials combined with increased confidence about the U.S. economy after last Friday's strong U.S. payroll report.
Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.27%) this morning are down -5.5 ticks due to reduced safe-haven demand with the global rally in stocks today and carry-over weakness from last Friday's strong U.S. payroll report.
Commodity prices this morning are up strongly by +0.71% due to strength in metals and ag prices, which has overshadowed weakness in petroleum prices. Sep copper (HGU16 +1.63%) this morning is up +0.036 (+1.68%) and Sep silver (SIU16 +1.62%) is up +0.351 (+1.75%) due to expectations for a new Japanese fiscal stimulus package combined with continued optimism from last Friday's stronger-than-expected payroll report of +287,000. Gold prices (GCQ16 +0.07%) are slightly higher by +2.1 (+0.15%) despite the stronger dollar.
Aug WTI crude oil prices (CLQ16 -0.64%) this morning are down -0.66 (-1.45%) and Aug gasoline prices (RBQ16 +0.06%) are down -0.0097 (-0.71%) due to carry-over downward pressure from last Friday's news from Baker Hughes that active U.S. oil rigs rose by +10 rigs to 351 in the week ended July 8, adding to the previous week's +11 rig increase. The 2-week gain of +6.4% in the U.S. oil rig count may indicate that U.S. oil production will be on the rise again with oil companies reopening some rigs due to higher oil prices.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Kansas City Fed President Esther George (voter) speaks on the U.S. economy at the Mid-America Labor Management Conference, (2) Treasury auctions $24 billion of 3-year T-notes, (3) USDA weekly grain export inspections, and (4) USDA Weekly Crop Progress.
Russell 1000 companies reporting earnings today: Alcoa (consensus $0.09).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: LINE Corp (LN)
Equity conferences this week include: none.
Sep E-mini S&Ps this morning are mildly higher by +5.25 (+0.25%) on carry-over support from last Friday's strong U.S. June payroll report of +287,000 combined with today's +4% rally in the Nikkei index on positive Sunday election results in Japan. Friday's closes: S&P 500 +1.53%, Dow Jones +1.40%, Nasdaq +1.54%. The S&P 500 on Friday rallied to an 11-1/2 month high and closed higher on the +287,000 increase in U.S. Jun non-farm payrolls, stronger than expectations of +180,000 and the largest increase in 8 months, which bolstered confidence in the U.S. economy.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
  • Nintendo (7974 Japan) rallied sharply by +25% today, adding to last Friday's rally of +9% after the runaway success of the company's new Pokeman GO phone game that challenges players to find Pokeman characters in the physical world.
  • HeartWare International (HTWR +0.19%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Leerink Partners.
  • A U.S. Court of Appeals in San Francisco said that Monster Beverage (MNST +0.24%) can be sued over false advertising claims related to the caffeine content of its drinks.
  • T2 Biosystems (TTOO -30.09%) gained over 1% in after-hours trading after Tiger Management reported a 5.2% passive stake in the company.
  • Biostar Pharmaceutical (BSPM -8.40%) slipped -2% in after-hours trading after GeoInvesting said the recent 260% surge in the stock price warrants some "due diligence" to confirm the market's euphoria.
  • BorgWarner (BWA +3.91%) rose 0.3% in after-hour trading after GIC Private reported a new 5.09% passive stake in the company.
  • Network-1 Technologies (NTIP +2.55%) jumped 17% in after-hours trading after its subsidiary, Mirror World Technologies, agreed to settled its patent litigation against Apple. NTIP will receive $25 million from Apple for the settlement.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep 10-year T-note prices this morning are down -5.5 ticks due to reduced safe-haven demand with the global rally in stocks today and carry-over weakness from last Friday's strong U.S. payroll report. Friday's closes: TYU6 +3.50. FVU6 +1.00. Sep T-notes on Friday closed higher on signs of tepid U.S. wage growth after Jun average hourly earnings rose +0.1% m/m and +2.6% y/y, slightly weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.7% y/y. T-note prices were undercut by reduced safe-haven demand as the stock market rallied and by the much larger-than-expected +278,000 increase in U.S. Jun non-farm payrolls.
The dollar index is up +0.34 (+0.35%) this morning while EUR/USD is down -0.0008 (-0.07%) and USD/JPY is sharply higher by +1.78 (+1.77%). The yen is weaker on reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in global stocks. The dollar index is higher on continued support from the strong U.S. interest differentials combined with increased confidence about the U.S. economy after last Friday's strong U.S. payroll report. Friday's closes: Dollar Index -0.026 (-0.03%), EUR/USD -0.0012 (-0.11%), USD/JPY -0.23 (-0.23%). The dollar index on Friday posted a 1-1/2 week high but fell back and closed little changed. The dollar was undercut by the smaller-than-expected increase in U.S. Jun average hourly earnings, which signals tepid wage growth that may keep the Fed from raising interest rates. On the bullish side was the strong U.S. payroll report and the slide in EUR/USD to a 1-1/2 week low after German May exports unexpectedly fell -1.8% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.4% m/m and the biggest decline in 9 months.
Aug WTI crude oil prices this morning are down -0.66 (-1.45%) and Aug gasoline prices are down -0.0097 (-0.71%) due to carry-over downward pressure from last Friday's news from Baker Hughes that active U.S. oil rigs rose by +10 rigs to 351 in the week ended July 8, adding to the previous week's +11 rig increase. Friday's closes: CLQ6 +0.27 (+0.60%), RBQ6 +0.0077 (+0.56%). Aug crude and gasoline on Friday closed higher on the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Jun non-farm payrolls, which bolstered confidence in the U.S. economy and in energy demand. Crude oil prices were also boosted by ongoing rebel attacks in Nigeria after Agip Oil reported several of their oil pipelines in the Nigeria Delta were damaged by rebel attacks.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR07/11/2016
Monday, July 11, 2016
US1000 ETKansas City Fed President Esther George (voter) speaks on the U.S. economy at the Mid-America Labor Management Conference.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $24 billion of 3-year T-notes.
1600 ETUSDA Weekly Crop Progress.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
US0915 ETFed Governor Danial Tarullo delivers opening remarks at a conference on shadow banking.
0935 ETSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard (voter) delivers a presentation at a breakfast meeting of the NABE.
1000 ETMay wholesale inventories expected +0.2% m/m, Apr +0.6% m/m. May wholesale trade sales expected +0.5% m/m, Apr +1.0% m/m.
1000 ETMay JOLTS job openings, Apr +118,000 to 5.788 million.
1200 ETUSDA Jul WASDE crop production.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $20 billion of 10-year T-notes.
1730 ETMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari (non-voter) holds a town hall forum at Northern Michigan University on the state of the economy and the role of the Federal Reserve.
JPN0030 ETJapan May tertiary industry index expected -0.8% m/m, Apr +1.4% m/m.
GER0200 ETGerman Jun wholesale price index, May +0.9% m/m and -2.3% y/y.
0200 ETRevised German Jun CPI (EU harmonized), prelim-Jun +0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y.
CHIn/aChina Jun trade balance expected +$46.00 billion, May +$49.98 billion. Jun exports expected -5.0% y/y, May 4.1% y/y. Jun imports expected -6.2% y/y, May -0.4% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR07/11/2016

CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Alcoa IncAA17:00Q2 2016 Earnings CallQ2 2016
Alcoa IncAAAft-mktQ2 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20160.093
TD Ameritrade Holding CorpAMTDJune 2016 Sales and Revenue Release2016
Spirit Airlines IncSAVEJune 2016 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2016
IHS IncIHSSpecial Meeting - M&A Vote
United Continental Holdings IncUALJune 2016 Sales and Revenue Release - Traffic Results2016