Barchart Morning Call
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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ17 -0.44%) this morning are down -0.52% at a 2-week low and European stocks are down -0.78% at a 1-3/4 month low. Global stock markets moved lower as weakness in energy and mining stocks led losses in world bourses. Energy stocks declined with Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ17 -1.10%) down -1.17% after API data late Tuesday showed U.S. crude inventories rose +6.51 million bbl last week. Mining stocks moved lower after Dec COMEX copper (HGZ17-0.54%) slid -0.65% to a 5-week low on the prospect of slower growth in China that will curb its demand for copper and other industrial metals. Asian stocks settled lower: Japan -1.57%, Hong Kong -1.03%, China -0.79%, Taiwan -0.53%, Australia -0.58%, Singapore -0.89%, South Korea -0.43%, India -0.55%. China's Shanghai Composite fell to a 1-week low and Japan's Nikkei Stock Index dropped to a 2-week low, led by losses in commodity producers and energy stocks. Japanese stocks were also under pressure after Japan Q3 GDP grew at a slower-than-expected pace.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.31%) is down -0.30% at a 3-week low after Chicago Fed President Evans said we're facing "below-target inflation expectations." EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.38% at a 3-week high after ECB Governing Council member Hansson said the short-term economic risks in the Eurozone are to the upside. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.65% at a 3-week low as the sell-off in global stocks boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.31%) is down -0.30% at a 3-week low after Chicago Fed President Evans said we're facing "below-target inflation expectations." EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.38% at a 3-week high after ECB Governing Council member Hansson said the short-term economic risks in the Eurozone are to the upside. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.65% at a 3-week low as the sell-off in global stocks boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen.
Dec 10-year T-note prices (ZNZ17 +0.25%) are up +11.5 ticks.
Chicago Fed President Evans said we're facing "below-target inflation expectations" and he is concerned "that persistent factors are holding down inflation, rather than idiosyncratic transitory ones." and that he has an "open mind" when it comes toward a decision in Dec on interest rates.
ECB Governing Council member Hansson said the short-term economic risks in the Eurozone are to the upside and the ECB is increasingly confident inflation will reach the levels consistent with our aim.
Japan Q3 GDP rose +1.4% (q/q annualized), weaker than expectations of +1.5% (q/q annualized). The Q3 deflator rose +0.1% y/y, right on expectations. Q3 private consumption fell -0.5% q/q, weaker than expectations of -0.4% q/q. Q3 business spending rose +0.2% q/q, weaker than expectations of +0.3% q/q.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (voter) takes part in a panel discussion at a UBS European Conference in London, (2) weekly MBA mortgage applications (previous -0.03% with purchase sub-index +0.5% and refi sub-index -0.5%), (3) Oct CPI (expected +0.1% m/m and +2.0% y/y, Sep +0.5% m/m and +2.2% y/y) and Oct CPI ex food & energy (expected +0.2% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Sep +0.1% m/m and +1.7% y/y), (4) Nov Empire manufacturing index (expected -5.2 to 25.0, Oct +5.8 to 30.2), (5) Oct retail sales (expected unchanged and +0.2% ex autos, Sep +1.6% and +1.0% ex autos), (6) Sep business inventories (expected unch, Aug +0.7%), (7) EIA weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Notable Russell 2000 earnings reports today include: Cisco Systems (consensus $0.60), L Brands (0.30), NetApp (0.69), Target (0.86), Sally Beauty Holdings (0.47).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Arsanis Inc (ASNS), MPM Holdings (MPMQ).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Future of Financials Conference on Tue-Wed, Goldman Sachs Industrials Conference on Tue-Wed, Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference on Tue-Wed, Barclays Global Automotive Conference on Wed, MoffettNathanson Inaugural Software Forum on Wed, Morgan Stanley Global Chemicals and Agriculture Conference on Wed, UBS Industrial and Transportation Conference on Wed, Universal Companion Diagnostic Test Personalized Medicine Conference on Wed, Jefferies London Health Care Conference on Wed-Thu, Morgan Stanley European Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on Wed-Thu, Deutsche Bank Lithium Supply Chain and Energy Storage Conference on Thu, MKM Partners Entertainment, Travel & Technology Conference on Thu, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Energy Conference on Thu-Fri, Gabelli & Co Financial Services Conference on Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Acorda Therapeutics (ACOR +1.81%) plunged 32% in pre-market trading after it reported possible drug-related deaths in a Phase 3 study of its tozadenant for treatment of Parkinson's disease.
Tyson Foods (TSN +0.64%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold at Argus Research.
Lam Research (LRCX -0.28%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it boosted its quarterly dividend to 50 cents a share from 45 cents, and then announced a $2 billion share buyback authorization.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE -1.56%) rose 1% in after-hours trading after holder Greenlight Capital boosted its stake in the company to 7.81 million shares from 3.36 million shares.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI -1.53%) climbed over 4% in after-hours trading after director of the company, Alan Moore, reported that he purchased 22,400 shares of the company stock at around $44.60 on Monday.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI +0.11%) tumbled almost 13% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $166.4 million, weaker than consensus of $170.6 million, and then said it sees Q1 revenue of $130 million to $136 million, well below consensus of $171.1 million.
Genpact Ltd (G -0.13%) slid nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it announced a secondary offering of 10 million shares on behalf of selling holders.
Cargurus (CARG +0.91%) jumped over 11% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 2 cents, better than consensus of 0, and then said it sees Q4 EPS of 1 cent to 2 cents, the mid-point above consensus of 1 cent.
Beazer Homes USA (BZH +3.36%) rose over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 revenue of $673 million, higher than consensus of $640.3 million.
OM Asset Management Plc (OMAM -0.68%) lost 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a secondary offering of 6 million shares of its common stock.
SITO Mobile Ltd (SITO +2.33%) dropped 6% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q3 loss of -12 cents per share, wider than consensus of -5 cents per share loss.
Achillion Pharmaceuticals (ACHN -4.16%) fell 7% in after-hours trading after holder Johnson & Johnson Innovation said it intends to offer 18.4 million shares of ACHN, which constitutes its entire stake in the company.
SORL Auto Parts (SORL -4.01%) surged over 35% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 revenue of $101.3 million, well above consensus of $63.8 million.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec S&P 500 E-mini stock futures (ESZ17 -0.44%) this morning are down -13.50 points (-0.52%) at a 2-week low. Tuesday's closes: S&P 500 -0.23%, Dow Jones -0.13%, Nasdaq -0.36%. The S&P 500 on Tuesday closed lower on concern a slowdown in Chinese growth will undercut global economic growth after China Oct industrial production rose +6.2% y/y, less than expectations of +6.3% y/y, and after China Oct retail sales rose +10.0% y/y, weaker than expectations of +10.5% y/y and the slowest pace of increase in a year. Weakness in energy stocks was another negative after crude oil prices fell -1.87%to a 1-week low.
Dec 10-year T-note prices (ZNZ17 +0.25%) this morning are up +11.5 ticks. Tuesday's closes: TYZ7 +3.50, FVZ7 +1.50. Dec 10-year T-notes recovered from a 2-week low and closed higher due to a slump in crude oil prices to a 1-week low, which undercut inflation expectations, and to a slide in stocks, which boosted the safe-haven demand for T-notes. A negative factor for T-notes was the +2.4% y/y increase in U.S. Oct core PPI, stronger than expectations of +2.2% y/y and the largest year-on-year increase in 5-1/2 years.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.31%) this morning is down -0.282 (-0.30%) at a 3-week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0045 (+0.38%) at a 3-week high and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.74 (-0.65%) at a 3-week low. Tuesday's closes: Dollar Index -0.663 (-0.70%), EUR/USD +0.0131 (+1.12%), USD/JPY -0.16 (-0.14%). The dollar index on Tuesday dropped to a 2-week low and closed lower due to strength in EUR/USD which rose to a 2-week high after German Q3 GDP rose more than expected and after the German Nov ZEW survey expectations of economic growth climbed to a 6-month high. Another negative for the dollar was a decline in the 10-year T-note yield, which lowered the dollar's interest rate differentials.
Dec crude oil (CLZ17 -1.10%) this morning is down -65 cents (-1.17%) and Dec gasoline (RBZ17 -1.53%) is -0.0291 (-1.65%). Tuesday's closes: Dec WTI crude -1.06 (-1.87%), Dec gasoline -0.0317 (-1.77%). Dec crude oil and gasoline on Tuesday fell to 1-week lows and closed lower after the IEA cut its global 2018 crude oil demand forecast by 200,000 bpd to 98.9 million bpd from a prior forecast of 99.1 million bpd. Gasoline prices were also pressured after the crack spread fell to a 3-week low, which may curb crude demand from refineries to refine crude into gasoline.
Metals prices this morning are mixed with Dec gold (GCZ17 +0.20%) +2.4 (+0.19%), Dec silver (SIZ17 +0.33%) +0.047 (+0.28%) and Dec copper (HGZ17 -0.54%) -0.020 (-0.65%) at a 5-week low. Tuesday's closes: Dec gold +4.0 (+0.31%), Dec silver +0.026 (+0.15%), Dec copper -0.0515 (-1.65%). Metals on Tuesday settled mixed with Dec copper at a 5-week low. A fall in the dollar index to a 2-week low boosted gold and silver prices along with the stronger-than-expected U.S. Oct PPI, which boosted demand for gold as an inflation hedge. Copper prices fell on Chinese demand concerns after China Oct industrial production rose less than expected.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR11/15/2017
| Wednesday, Nov 15 | ||
| US | 0300 ET | Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (voter) takes part in a panel discussion at a UBS European Conference in London. |
| 0700 ET | Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -0.03% with purchase sub-index +0.5% and refi sub-index -0.5%. | |
| 0830 ET | Oct CPI expected +0.1% m/m and +2.0% y/y, Sep +0.5% m/m and +2.2% y/y. Oct CPI ex food & energy expected +0.2% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Sep +0.1% m/m and +1.7% y/y. | |
| 0830 ET | Nov Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions expected -4.7 to 25.5, Oct +5.8 to 30.2. | |
| 0830 ET | Oct retail sales expected unchanged and +0.2% ex autos, Sep +1.6% and +1.0% ex autos. | |
| 1000 ET | Sep business inventories expected unch, Aug +0.7%. | |
| 1030 ET | EIA weekly Petroleum Status Report. | |
| Thursday, Nov 16 | ||
| US | 0830 ET | Weekly initial unemployment claims expected -4,000 to 235,000, previous +10,000 to 239,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -1,000 to 1.900 million, previous +17,000 to 1.901 million. |
| 0830 ET | Nov Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey expected -3.3 to 24.6, Oct +4.1 to 27.9. | |
| 0830 ET | Oct import price index expected +0.4% m/m and +2.5% y/y, Sep +0.7% m/m and +2.7% y/y. Oct import price index ex-petroleum expected +0.2%, Sep +0.3%. | |
| 0830 ET | Oct export price index expected +0.4% m/m, Sep +0.8% m/m and +2.9% y/y. | |
| 0830 ET | USDA weekly Export Sales. | |
| 0910 ET | Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester (non-voter) delivers keynote address at the Cato Institute conference on The Future of Monetary Policy. | |
| 0915 ET | Oct industrial production expected +0.5%, Sep +0.3%. Oct manufacturing production expected +0.5%, Sep +0.1%. Oct capacity utilization expected +0.3 to 76.3%, Sep +0.2 to 76.0%. | |
| 1000 ET | Nov NAHB housing market index expected -1 to 67, Oct +4 to 68. | |
| 1100 ET | Treasury announces amount of 2-year floating-rate notes to be auctioned Nov 21. | |
| 1300 ET | Treasury auctions $11 billion 10-year TIPS. | |
| 1310 ET | Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (voter) speaks in a moderated Q&A at the CFA Society Houston. | |
| 1545 ET | Fed Governor Lael Brainard delivers keynote address at the FinTech Financial Stability Conference co-hosted by the University of Michigans Center on Finance, Law and Policy. | |
| 1645 ET | San Francisco Fed President John Williams (non-voter) gives keynote address at the Asia Economic Policy Conference in San Francisco. |
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR11/15/2017
| Name | Ticker | Time | Description | Period | Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sally Beauty Holdings Inc | SBH US | Bef-mkt | Q4 2017 Earnings Release | Q4 17 | 0.468 |
| Target Corp | TGT US | 06:30 | Q3 2018 Earnings Release | Q3 18 | 0.856 |
| Target Corp | TGT US | 08:00 | Q3 2018 Earnings Call | Q3 18 | |
| Sally Beauty Holdings Inc | SBH US | 08:30 | Q4 2017 Earnings Call | Q4 17 | |
| Atmos Energy Corp | ATO US | 09:00 | Analyst Meeting | ||
| CA Inc | CA US | 11:30 | Analyst Meeting | ||
| Clorox Co/The | CLX US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| Twenty-First Century Fox Inc | FOXA US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| CDK Global Inc | CDK US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| Campbell Soup Co | CPB US | Annual General Meeting | |||
| Equifax Inc | EFX US | Investor Meeting | |||
| Oracle Corp | ORCL US | 13:00 | Annual General Meeting | ||
| NetApp Inc | NTAP US | Aft-mkt | Q2 2018 Earnings Release | Q2 18 | 0.69 |
| L Brands Inc | LB US | Aft-mkt | Q3 2018 Earnings Release | Q3 18 | 0.299 |
| Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO US | 16:05 | Q1 2018 Earnings Release | Q1 18 | 0.60 |
| Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO US | 16:30 | Q1 2018 Earnings Call | Q1 18 | |
| NetApp Inc | NTAP US | 17:30 | Q2 2018 Earnings Call | Q2 18 | |
| News Corp | NWSA US | 18:00 | Annual General Meeting |
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