Thursday, July 27, 2017

Morning Call 7/27

Barchart Morning Call

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep S&P 500 E-mini stock futures (ESU17 +0.16%) this morning are trading slightly higher by +0.21% on generally positive global earnings and on higher European stocks with the Euro Stoxx 50 index up +0.1% this morning. Global stocks continued to receive a boost from the dovish outcome of Wednesday's FOMC meeting where the central bank adopted slightly more dovish language about inflation and did not set a date for its balance sheet normalization program, thus giving itself a dovish escape hatch if it wants to delay the program.
The U.S. markets today are watching a big earnings day and events in Washington, where the Senate late today plans to hold a so-called vote-a-rama on health care and where the House is trying to get a 2018 budget resolution passed before it leaves on Friday for its August recess. The 2018 budget resolution is of key importance because it will contain reconciliation provisions for tax reform. The markets are also waiting for Republicans to release a unified Congressional-White House tax reform plan before the House leaves on Friday for its recess.
Asian stocks today closed higher across the board with support from positive earnings from Samsung and Nintendo: Japan Nikkei +0.15%, Hong Kong Hang Seng +0.71%, China Shanghai Composite +0.06%, Taiwan TAIEX +0.86%, Australian S&P 200 +0.15, Singapore Straights Times +0.54, South Korea KOSPI +0.33%, India Sensex-30 unch.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial unemployment claims (expected +7,000 to 240,000, previous -15,000 to 233,000) and continuing claims (expected -18,000 to 1.959 million, previous +28,000 to 1.977 million), (2) Jun durable goods orders (expected +3.5% and +0.4% ex transportation, May -0.8% and +0.3% ex transportation), (3) Jun wholesale inventories (expected +0.3%, May +0.3%), (4) Jun Chicago Fed national activity index (May -0.83 to -0.26), (5) Jul Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity (expected +1 to 12, Jun +3 to 11), (6) Treasury auctions $28 billion of 7-year T-notes, (7) USDA weekly Export Sales.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Amazon.com (consensus 1.42), UPS (1.47), ConocoPhillips (-0.02), MGM Resorts (0.30), Starbucks (0.55), Intel (0.68), Procter & Gamble (0.78), Expedia (0.92), Verizon (0.96), Mastercard (1.04), Marathon Petroleum (1.07), Ratheon (1.76).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Redfin (RDFN).
Equity conferences this week: RSA Security Inc Conference (Wed-Thu).
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
  • There are 37 of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings this morning. Companies that beat their earnings consensus include Conoco Phillips (COP +0.11%) at 0.14, Valero (VLO -0.66%) at 1.23, Raytheon (RTN-0.42%) at 1.96, Procter & Gamble (PG +0.18%) at 0.85, Comcast (CMCSA -1.01%) at 0.52, UPS (UPS -0.82%) at 1.58, BorgWarner (BWA +0.04%) at 0.96, Dow Chemical (DOW -1.33%) at 1.08, S&P Global (SPGI -0.37%) at 1.65, Southwest Airlines (LUV +1.19%) at 1.24, Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY +0.05%) at 0.74.
  • Verizon (VZ +0.95%) matched expectations of 0.96. Companies that underperformed the consensus included Johnson Controls (JCI -1.95%) at 0.71, ADP (ADP +2.71%) at 0.65, Marathon Petroleum (MPC -0.64%) at 1.02, and Neilsen (NLSN +3.29%) at 0.43.
  • Facebook (FB +0.20%) rallied 4% in after-hours trading on positive earnings news driven in part by mobile video ads.
  • Gilead Sciences (GILD +0.61%) rallied 2% in after-hours trading after raising its annual sales guidance.
  • Whiting Petroleum (WLL -0.57%) fell 5% in after-hours trading on disappointing production guidance.
  • AstraZeneca (AZN +0.47%) plunged by -15% in European trading after disappointing trial results for its next-generation cancer therapies.
  • Diageo (DEO +1.02%) ralied more than 4% in European trading after raising its 3-year profitabilty goal and announcing a stock buyback.
  • Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD +1.54%) rallied more than 4% in European trading after reporting an earnings beat.
  • Deutsche Bank (DB +0.11%) fell 3% afer reporting a 10% drop in Q2 revenues.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep S&P 500 E-mini stock futures this morning are trading slightly higher by +0.21% on generally positive global earnings and on higher European stocks with the Euro Stoxx 50 index up +0.01% this morning. Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +0.03%, Dow Jones +0.45%, Nasdaq +0.16%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday closed higher on the -4.8 bp drop in the 10-year T-note yield to 2.287%, which was prompted by a dovish interpretation of the FOMC meeting outcome. Stocks also found carry-over support from the +0.51% rally in the Euro Stoxx 50 index. Energy stocks received another boost from the +1.80% rally in Sep crude oil.
Sep 10-year T-note prices this morning are down -4 ticks, giving back some of Wednesday's +14 tick rally. Wednesday's closes: TYU7 +14, FVU7 +10.5. Sep 10-year T-notes on Wednesday closed sharply higher on the slightly weaker-than-expected June new home sales report and on the FOMC's decision not to name an exact start date for its balance sheet normalization program, which gives the Fed a dovish escape hatch if it decides to delay the program. T-notes were also boosted by the fact that the FOMC's post-meeting statement that was a little softer on the inflation outlook.
The dollar index is trading slightly lower by -0.053 (-0.06%), while EUR/USD is down -0.0026 (-0.22%) and USD/JPY is up +0.15 (+0.13%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar index -0.382 (-0.41%), EUR/USD +0.0087 (+0.75%), USD/JPY -0.71 (-0.63%). The dollar index on Wednesday fell to another new 13-month low and closed moderately lower on the market's dovish interpretation of the FOMC meeting, which hurt the dollar's interest rate differentials by pushing the 10-year T-note yield lower by -4.8 bp. The dollar index was also hurt by continued Washington political uncertainty and technical weakness.
Sep WTI crude oil prices are up by another +0.11 (+0.23%) this morning, while Sep gasoline is up +0.0088 (+0.55%), as crude oil continues to benefit from Wednesday's bullish weekly EIA report. Wednesday's closes: Sep WTI crude +0.86 (+1.80%), Sep gasoline +2.24 (+1.42%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday closed sharply higher on the bullish EIA report which showed a plunge in U.S. crude oil inventories by -7.208 million bbls (vs expectations of -3.0 mln), a -1.852million bbl decline in distillate inventories (vs expectations of -1.0 million bbl), and a -0.2% w/w decline in U.S. oil production to 9.410 million bpd from the previous week's 2-year high of 9.429 million bpd. Gasoline inventories fell by -1.015 million bbls, which was less than expectations of -1.8 million bbls and was mildly negative for gasoline prices.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR07/27/2017
Thursday, July 27
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +7,000 to 240,000, previous -15,000 to 233,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -18,000 to 1.959 million, previous +28,000 to 1.977 million.
0830 ETJun durable goods orders expected +3.5% and +0.4% ex transportation, May -0.8% and +0.3% ex transportation. Jun capital goods orders non-defense ex aircraft expected +0.3%, May +0.2%.
0830 ETJun wholesale inventories expected +0.3%, May +0.3%.
0830 ETJun Chicago Fed national activity index, May -0.83 to -0.26.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1100 ETJul Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity expected +1 to 12, Jun +3 to 11.
1300 ETTreasury auctions $28 billion of 7-year T-notes.
Friday, July 28
US0830 ETQ2 employment cost index expected +0.6%, Q1 +0.8%.
0830 ETU.S. GDP revisions from 2014-16.
0830 ETQ2 GDP expected +2.5% (q/q annualized), Q1 +1.4%. Q2 personal consumption expected +2.9%, Q1 +1.1%. Q2 GDP price index expected +1.3%, Q1 +1.9%. Q2 core PCE expected +0.7%, Q1 +2.0% q/q.
1000 ETRevised U.S. Jul University of Michigan consumer sentiment expected unchanged at 93.1, prelim-Jul -2.0 to 93.1.
1320 ETMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari (voter) answers questions form a moderator art a townhall meeting in Oakdale, MN.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR07/27/2017
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Marsh & McLennan Cos IncMMC USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.004
International Paper CoIP USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.647
Allegion PLCALLE USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.002
Dr Pepper Snapple Group IncDPS USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.279
Automatic Data Processing IncADP USBef-mktQ4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 170.669
Alexion Pharmaceuticals IncALXN USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.255
Praxair IncPX USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.422
EQT CorpEQT USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.062
McKesson CorpMCK USBef-mktQ1 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ1 182.831
Johnson Controls International plcJCI USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.712
Bristol-Myers Squibb CoBMY USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.736
Marathon Petroleum CorpMPC USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.066
BorgWarner IncBWA USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.893
PG&E CorpPCG USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.781
Comcast CorpCMCSA USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.485
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSN USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.672
Valero Energy CorpVLO USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.095
L3 Technologies IncLLL USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 172.028
Xcel Energy IncXEL USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.419
MGM Resorts InternationalMGM USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.301
Celgene CorpCELG USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.775
ConocoPhillipsCOP USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 17(0.017)
Helmerich & Payne IncHP USBef-mktQ3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 17(0.309)
LKQ CorpLKQ USBef-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.519
Boston Scientific CorpBSX US06:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.311
Southwest Airlines CoLUV US06:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.196
Dow Chemical Co/TheDOW US06:45Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.007
Invesco LtdIVZ US06:55Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.612
American Electric Power Co IncAEP US06:57Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.816
CBRE Group IncCBG US06:59Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.531
American Tower CorpAMT US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.507
Altria Group IncMO US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.859
Masco CorpMAS US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.597
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG US07:00Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 170.782
Raytheon CoRTN US07:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.756
S&P Global IncSPGI US07:15Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.576
Verizon Communications IncVZ US07:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.96
Zimmer Biomet Holdings IncZBH US07:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 172.085
Comcast CorpCMCSA US07:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
United Parcel Service IncUPS US07:45Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.468
Allegion PLCALLE US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Zimmer Biomet Holdings IncZBH US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Boston Scientific CorpBSX US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Mastercard IncMA US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.044
Masco CorpMAS US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Nielsen Holdings PLCNLSN US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
TechnipFMC PLCFTI US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Whirlpool CorpWHR US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Charter Communications IncCHTR US08:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.768
Raymond James Financial IncRJF US08:15Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Marsh & McLennan Cos IncMMC US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Automatic Data Processing IncADP US08:30Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
Verizon Communications IncVZ US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Equifax IncEFX US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
American Tower CorpAMT US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
CBRE Group IncCBG US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
S&P Global IncSPGI US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
McKesson CorpMCK US08:30Q1 2018 Earnings CallQ1 18
Procter & Gamble Co/ThePG US08:30Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
United Parcel Service IncUPS US08:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Dow Chemical Co/TheDOW US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Mastercard IncMA US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Altria Group IncMO US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Packaging Corp of AmericaPKG US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Invesco LtdIVZ US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Marathon Petroleum CorpMPC US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
American Electric Power Co IncAEP US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Celgene CorpCELG US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Raytheon CoRTN US09:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Brown-Forman CorpBF/B US09:30Annual General Meeting
BorgWarner IncBWA US09:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Kimco Realty CorpKIM US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
International Paper CoIP US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Host Hotels & Resorts IncHST US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Dr Pepper Snapple Group IncDPS US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Alexion Pharmaceuticals IncALXN US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Valero Energy CorpVLO US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Xcel Energy IncXEL US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Charter Communications IncCHTR US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
LKQ CorpLKQ US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Mid-America Apartment Communities IncMAA US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
EQT CorpEQT US10:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Bristol-Myers Squibb CoBMY US10:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Praxair IncPX US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Johnson Controls International plcJCI US11:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
PG&E CorpPCG US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
O'Reilly Automotive IncORLY US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
L3 Technologies IncLLL US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Torchmark CorpTMK US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
MGM Resorts InternationalMGM US11:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Helmerich & Payne IncHP US11:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
ConocoPhillipsCOP US12:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Southwest Airlines CoLUV US12:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
UDR IncUDR US13:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Public StoragePSA US13:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Realty Income CorpO US14:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Duke Realty CorpDRE US15:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Digital Realty Trust IncDLR USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.474
Apartment Investment & Management CoAIV USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.591
Align Technology IncALGN US16:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.728
Republic Services IncRSG USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.598
Electronic Arts IncEA USAft-mktQ1 2018 Earnings ReleaseQ1 180.27
Cerner CorpCERN USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.613
Arthur J Gallagher & CoAJG USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.029
Expedia IncEXPE USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.92
Leggett & Platt IncLEG USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.649
Stryker CorpSYK US16:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.509
Essex Property Trust IncESS USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 172.916
FirstEnergy CorpFE USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.597
Fortive CorpFTV USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.694
Aflac IncAFL USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.634
Edison InternationalEIX USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.903
Flowserve CorpFLS USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.43
National Oilwell Varco IncNOV USAft-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 17(0.147)
Intel CorpINTC US16:00Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.68
Western Digital CorpWDC USAft-mktQ4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 172.833
Amazon.com IncAMZN US16:01Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.424
Starbucks CorpSBUX US16:04Q3 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ3 170.551
Mattel IncMAT US16:05Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 17(0.093)
VeriSign IncVRSN US16:05Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.993
Mohawk Industries IncMHK US16:05Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 173.60
Mettler-Toledo International IncMTD US16:10Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 173.894
Unum GroupUNM US16:15Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.011
Hartford Financial Services Group Inc/TheHIG US16:15Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.943
Principal Financial Group IncPFG US16:15Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.224
KLA-Tencor CorpKLAC US16:15Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 171.597
Eversource EnergyES US16:15Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 170.682
Align Technology IncALGN US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Cerner CorpCERN US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Expedia IncEXPE US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Stryker CorpSYK US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Edison InternationalEIX US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
VeriSign IncVRSN US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Mettler-Toledo International IncMTD US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Eastman Chemical CoEMN US16:30Q2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 171.905
Republic Services IncRSG US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Mattel IncMAT US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Electronic Arts IncEA US17:00Q1 2018 Earnings CallQ1 18
Starbucks CorpSBUX US17:00Q3 2017 Earnings CallQ3 17
Intel CorpINTC US17:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Digital Realty Trust IncDLR US17:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Amazon.com IncAMZN US17:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Fortive CorpFTV US17:30Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 17
Western Digital CorpWDC US17:30Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17
KLA-Tencor CorpKLAC US18:00Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 17

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