Thursday, August 7, 2014

BARCHART MORNING CALL

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.21%) this morning are up +0.16% as Q2 stock earnings results continue to surprise on the upside, while European stocks are down -0.36% after German industrial output rose less than expected along with concern the Ukraine conflict and sanctions against Russia will undermine the European economy. Russia's Micex Stock Index tumbled to a 3-month low as retailers plunged on concern a ban on food imports from sanctioned countries will cut earnings after Russian President Putin ordered restrictions on food and agricultural imports for one year from countries that have imposed or supported sanctions against Russia. Limiting losses in European stocks is the fall in the 10-year German bund yield to a record low 1.078% ahead of today's ECB meeting. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan +0.48%, Hong Kong -0.80%, China -1.51%, Taiwan -0.14%, Australia -0.05%, Singapore -0.18%, South Korea -0.36%, India -0.30%. Commodity prices are mostly lower. Sep crude oil (CLU14 -0.02%) is down -0.33% at a fresh 6-month low. Sep gasoline (RBU14 +0.07%) is down -0.11%. Dec gold (GCZ14 -0.05%) is down -0.09%. Sep copper (HGU14 +0.16%) is up +0.14%. Agriculture and livestock prices are mostly lower with Oct lean hogs down -0.71% at a 3-1/2 month low. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) is up +0.05%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.06%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.20%. Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 +0.16%) are up +4.5 ticks on positive carry-over from a rally in German bunds.
German Jun industrial production rose +0.3% m/m and unexpectedly fell -0.5% y/y, weaker than expectations of +1.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y with the -0.5% y/y drop the largest annual decline in 11 months.
As expected, the BOE maintained its benchmark rate at 0.50% and kept its asset purchase target at 375 billion pounds.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Today’s U.S. weekly unemployment claims report should continue to show a slowly-improving layoff picture. Today’s initial unemployment claims report is expected to show a slight +3,000 increase to 305,000 after last week’s +23,000 gain to 302,000.  Today’s June U.S. consumer credit report is expected to show another strong increase of +$18.700 billion, close to May’s increase of +$19.602 billion.
There are 17 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Mylan (consensus $0.72), AES Corp. (0.28), Wendy's (0.10), InterContinentalExchange (2.02), Scripps Networks (1.13), Duke Energy (0.98). Equity conferences for the remainder of this week include: Black Hat USA 2014 on Wed-Thu and Needham Advanced Industrial Technologies Conference on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Duke Energy (DUK -1.61%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.11, well above consensus of 98 cents.
Carnival Corp. (CCL +0.69%) rose nearly 3% in pre-market trading after BOA/Merril upgraded the stock to 'Buy' from 'Neutral.'
Aetna (AET -0.18%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.
Esterline (ESL +0.14%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs who also raised their price target on the stock to $140 from $111.
Energy Transfer Partners (ETP -1.49%) reported Q2 EPS of 79 cents, higher than consensus of 64 cents.
Babcock & Wilcox (BWC -0.35%) sank over 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 44 cents, lower than consensus of 49 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS view to $1.70-$1.85 from $2.00-$2.20, below consensus of $2.12.
Transocean (RIG -1.09%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.61, well ahead of consensus of $1.12.
CF Industries (CF +1.36%) reported Q2 EPS of $6.10, well below consensus of $6.71.
Envision Healthcare (EVHC -0.62%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 28 cents, better than consensus of 25 cents, and then raised guidance on 2014 adjusted EPS view to $1.15-$1.20 from $1.10-$1.15, higher than consensus of $1.13.
CenturyLink (CTL -1.32%) rallied nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 72 cents, higher than consensus of 64 cents.
Prudential (PRU +0.96%) reported Q2 EPS of $2.49, stronger than consensus of $2.35.
21st Century Fox (FOXA +3.29%) climbed over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 42 cents, higher than consensus of 38 cents.
Symantec (SYMC -0.79%) reported Q1 EPS of 45 cents, better than consensus of 42 cents.
Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR +0.33%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 99 cents, above consensus of 88 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS outlook to $3.71-$3.78 from $3.63-$3.73, although that is still below consensus of $3.78.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.21%) this morning are up +3.00 points (+0.16%). The S&P 500 index on Wednesday opened lower at a 2-1/4 month low on geopolitical concerns after NATO said there's a risk of Russia sending troops into Ukraine under the "pretext" of a humanitarian or peacekeeping mission. Stock prices recovered, however, and closed little changed: S&P 500 unch, Dow Jones +0.08%, Nasdaq -0.02%. Bullish factors included (1) the U.S. Jun trade balance that unexpectedly narrowed to a -$41.5 billion deficit, better than expectations of an increase to a -$44.8 billion deficit and the smallest deficit in 5 months, which is positive for GDP growth, and (2) positive Q2 company earnings results as 75% of companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings thus far have beaten profit estimates.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU14 +0.16%) this morning are up +4.5 ticks. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Wednesday climbed to a 2-month high on increased safe-haven demand after NATO said that there's a risk that Russia will invade Ukraine. Another positive was the Treasury's announcement that it will auction $67 billion of T-notes and bonds in next week's quarterly refunding, -$2 billion less than the prior refunding. T-notes came off of their best levels after the S&P 500 recovered from a 2-1/4 month low and. Closes: TYU4 +3.50, FVU4 +2.50.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) this morning is up +0.039 (+0.05%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0008 (-0.06%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is UP +0.20 (+0.20%). The dollar index on Wednesday posted a 10-3/4 month high on increased safe-haven demand over concern Russia may soon invade Ukraine. EUR/USD fell to an 8-3/4 month low on concern over the European economy after German factory orders unexpectedly fell -3.2% m/m, the largest monthly decline in 2-3/4 years, and after Italy Q2 GDP fell -0.2% q/q, which puts it into recession. EUR/USD recovered its losses and closed higher ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting. Closes: Dollar index +0.116 (+0.14%), EUR/USD +0.00067 (+0.05%), USD/JPY -0.494 (-0.48%).
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU14 -0.02%) this morning is down -32 cents (-0.33%) at a fresh 6-month low and Sep gasoline (RBU14 +0.07%) is down -0.0031 (-0.11%). Sep crude and gasoline prices on Wednesday settled mixed: CLU4 -0.46 (-0.47%), RBU4 +0.0270 (+0.99%). Crude oil fell back after the dollar index strengthened to a 10-3/4 month high and after crude supplies at Cushing, OK, the delivery point for WTI futures, rose +83,000 bbl, their first increase in a month. Gasoline closed higher after weekly EIA gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly plunged -4.387 million bbl, more than expectations for no change.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/07/2014
US0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +3,000 to 305,000, previous +23,000 to 302,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -27,000 to 2.512 million, previous +31,000 to 2.539 million.
0830 ETUSDA weekly Export Sales.
1500 ETJun consumer credit expected +$18.700 billion, May +$19.602 billion.
GER0200 ETGerman Jun industrial production expected +1.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y, May -1.8% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
UK0700 ETBOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected no change to the 0.50% benchmark rate or to the 375 billion pound asset purchase target.
EUR0745 ETECB announces interest rate decision.
0830 ETECB President Mario Draghi speaks at monthly press conference following ECB meeting.
CHIn/aChina Jul trade balance expected +$26.00 billion, Jun +$31.56 billion. Jul exports expected +7.3% y/y, Jun +7.2% y/y. Jul imports expected +3.0% y/y, Jun +5.5% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/07/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Brinker International IncEAT USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.866
Mylan Inc/PAMYL USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.716
AES Corp/VAAES USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.277
Wendy's Co/TheWEN USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.095
Royal Gold IncRGLD USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.301
Teekay CorpTK USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014-0.251
Lamar Advertising CoLAMR USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.374
AMC Networks IncAMCX USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.868
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20142.021
NRG Energy IncNRG USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.183
NorthStar Realty Finance CorpNRF USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.373
Teradata CorpTDC USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.645
Broadridge Financial Solutions IncBR USBef-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.161
Scripps Networks Interactive IncSNI USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.134
Laredo Petroleum IncLPI USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.179
Mallinckrodt PLCMNK USBef-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.874
CBS Outdoor Americas IncCBSO USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.229
Duke Energy CorpDUK US7:00Q2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.979
L Brands IncLB US7:30July 2014 Sales and Revenue Call - Pre-Recorded2014
Harman International Industries IncHAR US8:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20141.214
Hill-Rom Holdings IncHRC US8:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
MBIA IncMBI US8:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
SunEdison IncSUNE US8:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Dun & Bradstreet Corp/TheDNB US8:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Babcock & Wilcox Co/TheBWC US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Windstream Holdings IncWIN US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Intercontinental Exchange IncICE US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Teradata CorpTDC US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Broadridge Financial Solutions IncBR US8:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Mallinckrodt PLCMNK US8:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Stratasys LtdSSYS US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
CBS Outdoor Americas IncCBSO US8:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
OGE Energy CorpOGE US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Integrys Energy Group IncTEG US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
AES Corp/VAAES US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Wendy's Co/TheWEN US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Gulfport Energy CorpGPOR US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Sempra EnergySRE US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.13
QEP Resources IncQEP US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Charles River Laboratories International IncCRL US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
NRG Energy IncNRG US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
NorthStar Realty Finance CorpNRF US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Brookdale Senior Living IncBKD US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
SandRidge Energy IncSD US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
American Water Works Co IncAWK US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Two Harbors Investment CorpTWO US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Huntington Ingalls Industries IncHII US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
EP Energy CorpEPE US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Sabre CorpSABR US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Concho Resources IncCXO US9:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Atmos Energy CorpATO US10:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Brinker International IncEAT US10:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Duke Energy CorpDUK US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Mylan Inc/PAMYL US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Westar Energy IncWR US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Alliant Energy CorpLNT US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Lamar Advertising CoLAMR US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Annaly Capital Management IncNLY US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
WhiteWave Foods Co/TheWWAV US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Scripps Networks Interactive IncSNI US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Laredo Petroleum IncLPI US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Markel CorpMKL US10:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Harman International Industries IncHAR US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Forest City Enterprises IncFCE/A US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Middleby Corp/TheMIDD US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Teekay CorpTK US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
AMERCOUHAL US11:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Prudential Financial IncPRU US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Corrections Corp of AmericaCXW US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
AMC Networks IncAMCX US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Murphy USA IncMUSA US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
CF Industries Holdings IncCF US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Copa Holdings SACPA US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
EchoStar CorpSATS US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Antero Resources CorpAR US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Royal Gold IncRGLD US12:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Essex Property Trust IncESS US13:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Sempra EnergySRE US13:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Regency Centers CorpREG US14:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
American Express CoAXP US15:00Fixed Income Investor Conference Call
IDEXX Laboratories IncIDXX US16:00Analyst Day - Day 1Y 2014
Assured Guaranty LtdAGO US16:00Q2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.413
Computer Sciences CorpCSC US16:15Q1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.938
NVIDIA CorpNVDA US16:20Q2 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20150.256
CBS CorpCBS US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Salix Pharmaceuticals LtdSLXP US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Medivation IncMDVN US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions IncMDRX US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals IncALNY US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Air Lease CorpAL US16:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Computer Sciences CorpCSC US17:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
DeVry Education Group IncDV US17:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Monster Beverage CorpMNST US17:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
NVIDIA CorpNVDA US17:00Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
Zynga IncZNGA US17:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
CareFusion CorpCFN US17:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Sprouts Farmers Market IncSFM US17:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
SolarCity CorpSCTY US17:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Consolidated Edison IncED USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.538
Federal Realty Investment TrustFRT USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.211
Great Plains Energy IncGXP USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.408
Monster Beverage CorpMNST USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.748
CBS CorpCBS USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.715
Lions Gate Entertainment CorpLGF USAft-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.212
Salix Pharmaceuticals LtdSLXP USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.689
Medivation IncMDVN USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.233
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions IncMDRX USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.089
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals IncALNY USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014-0.516
Columbia Property Trust IncCXP USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.498
Zynga IncZNGA USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.002
CareFusion CorpCFN USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.723
Sprouts Farmers Market IncSFM USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.178
SolarCity CorpSCTY USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014-0.994
News CorpNWSA USAft-mktQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.029
Frank's International NVFI USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.309
News CorpNWSA US17:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Foster Wheeler AGFWLT USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.47
Gap Inc/TheGPS USJuly 2014 Sales and Revenue Release2014
Hill-Rom Holdings IncHRC USQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.594
L Brands IncLB USJuly 2014 Sales and Revenue Release2014
National Fuel Gas CoNFG USQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.728
OGE Energy CorpOGE USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.515
Costco Wholesale CorpCOST USJuly 2014 Sales and Revenue Release2014
DeVry Education Group IncDV USQ4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.674
Eagle Materials IncEXP USAnnual General Meeting
SunEdison IncSUNE USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014-0.259
Ralph Lauren CorpRL USAnnual General Meeting
WhiteWave Foods Co/TheWWAV USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.218
Red Hat IncRHT USAnnual General Meeting
Windstream Holdings IncWIN USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.08
EchoStar CorpSATS USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.165
Air Lease CorpAL USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.51
Huntington Ingalls Industries IncHII USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.814
Stratasys LtdSSYS USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.447
Sabre CorpSABR USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.18

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