Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Morning Call 2/28

Barchart Morning Call

Barchart.com - 31 minutes ago
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 -0.06%) this morning are down -0.02% on light profit taking ahead of U.S. President Trump's first address to Congress tonight where he is expected to layout specifics to his policy plans. Also, retail stocks are lower, led by a 4% decline in shares of Target, after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.45, below consensus of $1.51, and said it expects full-year adjusted EPS of $3.80 to $4.20, well below expectations of $5.34. European stocks are little changed, up +0.09%. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.06%, Hong Kong -0.77%, China +0.40%, Taiwan closed for holiday, Australia -0.21%, Singapore -0.39%, South Korea +0.41%, India -0.24%.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) is down -0.12%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.16%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.46%.
Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 +0.01%) are down -0.5 of a tick.
Japan Jan industrial production unexpectedly fell -0.8% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.4% m/m and the biggest decline in 8 months.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) revised Q4 GDP (expected +2.1% q/q annualized, previous +1.9%), (2) Jan wholesale inventories (expected +0.4%, Dec +1.0% m/m), (3) Dec S&P CoreLogic composite-20 home price index (expected +0.7% m/m and +5.35% y/y, Nov +0.88% m/m and +5.27% y/y), (4) Feb Chicago PMI (expected +3.0 to 53.3, Jan -3.6 to 50.3), (5) Feb Conference Board U.S. consumer confidence index (expected -0.8 to 111.0, Jan -1.5 to 111.8), (6) Feb Richmond Fed manufacturing index (expected -2 to 10, Jan +4 to 12), (7) Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker (voter) speaks on the economic outlook at Temple University, (8) San Francisco Fed President John Williams (non-voter) delivers an outlook speech to the Santa Cruz Chamber of Commerce, (9) St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (non-voter) gives the Spring 2017 GWU Alumni Lecture in Economics at George Washington University, and (10) President Trump delivers speech to joint session of Congress.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: salesforce.com (consensus $0.25), AutoZone (8.19), CenterPoint Energy (0.28), Endo International (1.63), NRG Energy (-0.25), Target (1.51), Sempra Energy (1.49), Ross Stores (0.75), Universal Health Systems (1.81), Envision Healthcare (1.23).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences: Media & Telecom Conference on Mon-Tue BMO Capital Markets Global Metals & Mining Conference on Mon-Tue, JMP Securities Technology Conference on Mon-Tue, JP Morgan Leveraged Finance Conference on Mon-Tue, GSMA Mobile World Congress on Mon-Tue, Morgan Stanley MLP Diversified Natural Gas, Utilities & Clean Tech Conference on Tue, UBS Utilities and Natural Gas Conference on Tue, Barclays MLP Corporate Access Day on Tue, Pacific Crest Emerging Technology Summit on Tue, Evercore ISI Industrial Conference on Tue, CITI Asset Management, Broker Dealer & Market Structure Conference on Wed, Gabelli & Company Pump, Valve & Water Systems Symposium on Wed, Wells Fargo Real Estate Securities Conference on Wed, ABA National Conference on Wed, EnerCom The Oil & Gas Conference on Wed, J.P. Morgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Access Forum on Thu, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Agriculture and Chemicals Conference on Wed-Thu, BTIG Healthcare Conference on Thu, Capital Link Master Limited Partnership Investing Forum on Thu, Simmons Energy Conference on Thu-Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Target (TGT +0.60%) is down 4% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.45, below consesnsus of $1.51, and said it expects full-year adjusted EPS of $3.80 to $4.20, well below expectations of $5.34.
Priceline Group (PCLN +0.02%) rallied over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $14.21, well above consensus of $12.97.
Jabil Circuit (JBL +0.27%) was dowmngraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Strong Buy' at Raymond James.
U.S. Steel (X +3.19%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it was upgraded to 'Outperform' from Market Perform' at Cowen.
Square (SQ +2.87%) slid 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a $350 million offering of convertible senior notes due in 2022.
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ +0.15%) climbed over 2% in after-hours trading after Gamco said it increased its stake in the company to 6.18% from 5.1%.
EOG Resources (EOG +1.67%) gained 2% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q4 adjusted loss of -1 cent a share, narrower than expectations for a -14 cent a share loss.
Hudson Pacific Properties (HPP +0.83%) lost nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it announced the commencement of a public offering of 8.5 million shares of common stock.
Nutrisystem (NTRI +2.75%) jumped over 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 29 cents, better than consensus of 24 cents, and said it sees Q1 revenue of $202 million-$207 million, above consensus of $179.3 million.
Realty Income (O -0.08%) lost nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it announced the commencement of a public offering of 8 million shares of common stock.
Triangle Capital (TCAP -0.60%) dropped 4% in after-hours trading after it announced the commencement of a public offering of 7 million shares of common stock.
Silver Bay Realty Trust (SBY +0.89%) surged 17% in after-hours trading after Tricon Capital bought the company for $1.4 billion, or $21,50 a share, an 18% premium to Monday's closing price.
58.com (WUBA +1.63%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 gross margin of 89.9%, below consensus of 90.5%.
Essendant (ESND +1.56%) tumbled 11% in after-hours trading after it reported an unexpected Q4 adjusted loss of -2 cents a share, much weaker than consensus for a 28 cent EPS gain.
Kindred Healthcare (KND +3.29%) rose over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 core EPS of 8 cents, better than consensus of 5 cents, and then said it sees full-year revenue of $7.1 billion-$7.3 billion, above consensus of $6.89 billion.
Fiesta Restaurant Group (FRGI -1.52%) plunged 13% in after-hours trading after it said it will suspend its sale evaluation process due to "softer" company performance and a "weak" industry outlook.
Kona Grill (KONA -3.80%) slumped nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q4 adjusted loss of -39 cents a share, wider than consensus for -33 cents a share loss.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 -0.06%) this morning are down -0.50 of a point (-0.02%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.10%, Dow Jones +0.08%, Nasdaq +0.08%. The S&P 500 on Monday rose to a new record high and closed higher on a rally in steelmakers and raw-material producing stocks after President Trump said he will spend "big" on infrastructure. Stocks were undercut by the unexpected -0.4% decline in U.S. Jan capital goods orders non-defense ex aircraft (weaker than expectations of +0.5%) and by the unexpected -2.8% drop in U.S. Jan pending home sales (weaker than expectations of +0.6% m/m and the biggest decline in a year).
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 +0.01%) this morning are down -0.5 of a tick. Monday's closes: TYH7 -15.00, FVH7 -10.75. Mar 10-year T-notes on Monday closed lower on carry-over weakness from a slide in German bunds on reduced European political risks after polls showed French presidential candidate Macron had closed the gap with anti-euro candidate Le Pen. T-notes were also undercut by comments from Dallas Fed President Kaplan who said "we should move sooner rather than later" on raising interest rates.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) this morning is down -0.12 (-0.12%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0017 (+0.16%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.52 (-0.46%). Monday's closes: Dollar index +0.04 (+0.04%), EUR/USD +0.0024 (+0.23%), USD/JPY +0.58 (+0.52%). The dollar index on Monday closed higher on the increase in 10-year T-note yields, which improves the dollar's interest rate differentials, and by comments from President Trump who said he will spend "big" on infrastructure, which would be positive for U.S. economic growth. Gains in the dollar were limited by strength in EUR/USD as European political risks eased after polls showed French presidential candidate Macron had closed the gap with anti-euro candidate Le Pen.
Apr WTI crude oil prices (CLJ17 -0.22%) this morning are down -19 cents (-0.35%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ17 -0.37%) is -0.0090 (-0.52%). Monday's closes: Apr crude +0.06 (+0.11%), Apr gasoline +0.0052 (+0.30%). Apr crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed higher on the rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high and on comments from Russian Energy Minister Novak who said that Russia had cut its oil output this month by more than the 117,000 bpd it had cut its oil production in Jan. Crude prices fell back from their best levels after OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said that "Non-OPEC members are lagging behind" on agreed to oil production cuts.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR02/28/2017
Tuesday, Feb 28
US0830 ETRevised Q4 GDP expected +2.1% (q/q annualized), previous +1.9% (q/q annualized). Q4 personal consumption expected unrevised at +2.5%. Q4 GDP price index expected unrevised at +2.1%. Q4 core PCE expected unrevised at +1.3% q/q.
0830 ETJan wholesale inventories expected +0.4%, Dec +1.0% m/m. Jan retail inventories, Dec unch m/m.
0900 ETDec S&P CoreLogic composite-20 home price index expected +0.7% m/m and +5.3% y/y, Nov +0.88% m/m and +5.27% y/y.
0945 ETFeb Chicago PMI expected +2.7 to 53.0, Jan -3.6 to 50.3.
1000 ETFeb Conference Board U.S. consumer confidence index expected -0.8 to 111.0, Jan -1.5 to 111.8.
1000 ETFeb Richmond Fed manufacturing index expected -2 to 10, Jan +4 to 12.
1500 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Patrick Harker (voter) speaks on the economic outlook at Temple University.
1530 ETSan Francisco Fed President John Williams (non-voter) delivers an outlook speech to the Santa Cruz Chamber of Commerce.
1850 ETSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard (non-voter) gives the Spring 2017 GWU Alumni Lecture in Economics at George Washington University.
2100 ETPresident Trump delivers speech to joint session of Congress.
Wednesday, Mar 1
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -2.0% with purchase sub-index -2.8% and refi sub-index -1.0%.
0830 ETJan personal spending expected +0.3%, Dec +0.5%. Jan personal income expected +0.3%, Dec +0.3%. Jan PCE deflator expected +0.5% m/m and +2.0% y/y, Dec +0.2% m/m and +1.6% y/y. Jan core PCE deflator expected +0.3% m/m and +1.7% y/y, Dec +0.1% m/m and +1.7% y/y.
0945 ETRevised Feb Markit manufacturing PMI expected +0.2 to 54.5, prelim-Feb -0.7 to 54.3.
1000 ETFeb ISM manufacturing index expected unch at 56.0, Jan +1.5 to 56.0. Feb ISM new orders, Jan +0.1 to 60.4. Feb ISM employment, Jan +3.3 to 56.1. Feb ISM prices paid expected -1.0 to 68.0, Jan +3.5 to 69.0.
1000 ETJan construction spending expected +0.6% m/m, Dec -0.2% m/m.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1300 ETDallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (voter) speaks at Paul Quinn College in Dallas, TX.
1400 ETFed Beige Book.
1800 ETFed Governor Lael Brainard speaks on the economic outlook and monetary policy at Harvard Universitys John F. Kennedy School of Government.
n/aFeb total vehicle sales expected 17.70 million, Jan 17.48 million. Feb domestic vehicle sales expected 13.65 million, Jan 13.60 million.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR02/28/2017
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
AutoZone IncAZO USBf-mktQ2 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20178.197
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.282
Endo International PLCENDP USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.633
NRG Energy IncNRG USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2016-0.263
Target CorpTGT US6:30Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20171.509
NRG Energy IncNRG US8:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
JPMorgan Chase & CoJPM US8:30Investor DayY 2017
Sempra EnergySRE US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.487
Endo International PLCENDP US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Target CorpTGT US9:00Financial Community Meeting - Q4 EarningsY 2017
Albemarle CorpALB US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
AutoZone IncAZO US10:00Q2 2017 Earnings CallQ2 2017
EOG Resources IncEOG US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP US11:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
ONEOK IncOKE US11:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Sempra EnergySRE US12:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Ross Stores IncROST US16:00Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20170.754
Ross Stores IncROST US16:15Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 2017
salesforce.com IncCRM US17:00Q4 2017 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20170.248
salesforce.com IncCRM US17:00Q4 2017 Earnings CallQ4 2017
Envision Healthcare CorpEVHC US17:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Universal Health Services IncUHS USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.813
Envision Healthcare CorpEVHC USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.211
Equifax IncEFX USInvestor MeetingY 2017
Apple IncAAPL USAnnual General Meeting
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Monday, February 27, 2017

Intuitive Surgical - Chart of the Day

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) is the Barchart Chart of the Day.  The medical instrument company has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 27.54+ and gained 29.35% in the last year.

The Chart of the Day is a repeat because it continues to hit new All Time Highs. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) came up on my screen again when I used Barchart to sort today's All Time High list first for the most frequent number of new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals of 80% or more.  Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 1/11 the stock gained 8.24%.

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. designs and manufactures the da Vinci Surgical System. The da Vinci Surgical System seamlessly translates the surgeon's natural hand movements on instrument controls at a console into corresponding micromovements of instruments positioned inside the patient through small puncture incisions, or ports. The products provide the surgeon with the range of motion and fine tissue control previously possible only with open surgery, while simultaneously allowing the surgeon to work through small ports.

The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

 Barchart technical indicators:

  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 18 new highs and up 6.18% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 77.41%
  • Technical support level at 731.43
  • Recently traded at 734.03 with a 50 day moving average of 676.01
Fundamental factors:
  • Market Cap $28.6 billion
  • P/E 38.26
  • Revenue expected to grow 9.50% this year and another 9.80% next year
  • Earnings estimated to increase 5.10% this year, an additional 12.90% next year and continue to compound at an annual rate of 11.82% for the next 5 years
  • Wall Street analysts issued 11 buy, 5 hold and 1 sell recommendation on the stock
Posted by Jim Van Meerten at No comments:
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5 Large Caps for Momentum Investors

Today I wanted to find 5 stocks that would be of interest for Momentum Investors, so I used Barchart to sort the S&P 500 Index stocks first for the most frequent number of new highs in the last month, then again for technical buy signals of 80% or better.  Today's Watch List includes:

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Amphenol (APH), Red Hat (RHT), Cooper (COO) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)


Barchart technical indicators:

  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 18 new highs and up 6.42% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 79.80%
  • Technical support level at 79.80%
  • Recently trade at 735.61 with a 50 day moving average of 676.04
Amphenol (APH)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 88% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 16 new highs and up 3.78% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 58.69%
  • Technical support level at 69.65
  • Recently traded at 69.45 with a 50 day moving average of 68.17
Red Hat (RHT)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 80% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 16 new highs and up 10.77% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 73.01%
  • Technical support level at 83.91
  • Recently traded at 83.72 with a 50 day moving average of 76.54
Cooper (COO)


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 15 new highs and up 8.68% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 78.09%
  • Technical support level at 197.06
  • Recently traded at 199.54 with a 50 day moving average of 183.19


Barchart technical indicators:
  • 96% technical buy signals
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 15 new highs and up 7.93% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 80.43%
  • Technical support level at 121.51
  • Recently traded at 122.35 with a 50 day moving average of 115.57
Posted by Jim Van Meerten at No comments:
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MORNING CALL 2/27

Barchart Morning Call

Barchart.com - Mon Feb 27, 6:45AM CST
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 -0.03%) are little changed, up +0.01% at a new record nearest-futures high, and European stocks are up +0.19%. Market activity is muted as stocks move sideways ahead of U.S. President Trump's address Tuesday before a joint session of Congress where he is expected to lay out his plans for tax and health-care reform and infrastructure spending. A +0.69% gain in Apr WTI crude oil prices (CLJ17 +0.74%) is giving energy producing stocks a boost after Russian Energy Minister Novak said that Russia had cut its oil output this month by more than the 117,000 bpd it had cut its oil production in Jan. European stocks and EUR/USD found support on favorable opinion polls for French presidential candidate Macron along with signs of confidence in the European recovery after Eurozone Feb economic confidence rose to a 5-3/4 year high. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan -0.91%, Hong Kong -0.17%, China -0.76%, Taiwan closed for holiday, Australia -0.26%, Singapore -0.27%, South Korea -052%, India -0.28%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index tumbled to a 2-week low as exporter stocks sold-off as USD/JPY fell to a 2-week low, which undercuts the earnings prospects of exporters with the stronger yen.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.01%) is down -0.02%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.19%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.14%. GBP/USD is down -0.41% at a 1-week low after the Times of London reported that UK Prime Minister May is preparing for Scotland to potentially call an independence referendum in March to coincide with the UK's triggering of Article 50 to leave the EU.
Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 -0.11%)are down -4.5 ticks.
Eurozone Feb economic confidence rose +0.1 to 108.0, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 108.1 but still the highest in 5-3/4 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jan durable goods orders (expected +1.7% and +0.5% ex transportation, Dec -0.5% and +0.5% ex transportation), (2) Jan pending home sales (expected +1.0% m/m, Dec +1.6% m/m and -2.0% y/y), (3) Feb Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index (expected -2.7 to 19.4, Jan +4.4 to 22.1), (4) Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (voter) speaks at the University of Oklahoma Price College of Business, (5) USDA weekly grain export inspections.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Priceline (consensus $12.97), TEGNA (0.66), AES (0.35), American Tower (1.38), Perrigo (1.62), Frontier Communications (-0.04), EOG Resources (-0.14), ONEOK (0.45), Albemarle (0.73).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences: Goldman Sachs Technology Conference on Mon, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods Cards, Payments & Financial Technology Symposium on Mon, Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on Mon-Tue BMO Capital Markets Global Metals & Mining Conference on Mon-Tue, JMP Securities Technology Conference on Mon-Tue, JP Morgan Leveraged Finance Conference on Mon-Tue, GSMA Mobile World Congress on Mon-Tue, Morgan Stanley MLP Diversified Natural Gas, Utilities & Clean Tech Conference on Tue, UBS Utilities and Natural Gas Conference on Tue, Barclays MLP Corporate Access Day on Tue, Pacific Crest Emerging Technology Summit on Tue, Evercore ISI Industrial Conference on Tue, CITI Asset Management, Broker Dealer & Market Structure Conference on Wed, Gabelli & Company Pump, Valve & Water Systems Symposium on Wed, Wells Fargo Real Estate Securities Conference on Wed, ABA National Conference on Wed, EnerCom The Oil & Gas Conference on Wed, J.P. Morgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Access Forum on Thu, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Agriculture and Chemicals Conference on Wed-Thu, BTIG Healthcare Conference on Thu, Capital Link Master Limited Partnership Investing Forum on Thu, Simmons Energy Conference on Thu-Fri.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Reynolds American (RAI -0.08%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Wells Fargo Securities.
Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL +0.20%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Argus with a price target of $64.
Tesla (TSLA +0.39%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $185.
Sina Corp China (SINA +4.35%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Accumulate' at GuoTai JunAn with a target price of $74.
Illumina (ILMN -0.63%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Evercore ISI with a price target of $190.
Hanesbrands (HBI +2.20%) was downgraded to 'Equal-Weight' from 'Overweight' at Morgan Stanley.
Terex (TEX +1.47%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Hold' at Deutsche Bank.
Urban Outfitters (URBN +2.21%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at MKM Partners.
Merck (MRK +0.47%) said its V212 investigational inactivated varicella zoster virus for prevention of shingles met its primary endpoint in a Phase 3 shingles study.
Raytheon (RTN +0.12%) gained nearly 1% in after-hours trading after it received a $1.07 billion contract from the U.S. Air Force.
Earthlink (ELNK -3.76%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it disclosed in a regulatory filing that shareholders approved an agreement and plan of merger with Windstream.
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 -0.03%) this morning are up +0.25 of a point (+0.01%) at a new all-time nearest-futures high. Friday's closes: S&P 500 +0.15%, Dow Jones +0.05%, Nasdaq +0.21%. The S&P 500 on Friday closed higher on the +0.6 point rise in the U.S. Feb University of Michigan consumer sentiment index to 96.3 (stronger than expectations of +0.3 to 96.0) and on data from EPFR Global showing that U.S. equity funds saw net inflows of $3 billion in the week to Feb 22, the third increase in the last four weeks. Stocks were undercut by the +3.7% increase in U.S. Jan new home sales to 555,000 (weaker than expectations of +6.4% to 571,000) and the -0.84% decline in crude oil prices, which undercut energy producing stocks.
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 -0.11%) this morning are down -4.5 ticks. Friday's closes: TYH7 +18.00, FVH7 +1.25. Mar 10-year T-notes on Friday rallied to a 2-1/2 month nearest-futures high and closed higher on carry-over support from a rally in German bunds to a 1-3/4 month high on increased safe-haven demand due to political risks in France. T-notes were also boosted by the slide in crude oil prices which reduced inflation expectations and pushed the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate down to a 4-session low.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.01%) this morning is down -0.02 (-0.02%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0020 (+0.19%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.16 (+0.14%). Friday's closes: Dollar index +0.04 (+0.04%), EUR/USD -0.0019 (-0.18%), USD/JPY -0.49 (-0.44%). The dollar index on Friday closed higher on the stronger-than-expected U.S. Feb University of Michigan consumer sentiment index and on weakness in EUR/USD on European political risks from the French presidential election. Gains in the dollar were limited as the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 5-week low, which undercuts the dollar's interest rate differentials.
Apr WTI crude oil prices (CLJ17 +0.74%) this morning are up +37 cents (+0.69%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ17 +1.03%) is up +0.0149 (+0.86%). Friday's closes: Apr crude -0.46 (-0.84%), Apr gasoline -0.0111 (-0.64%). Apr crude oil and gasoline on Friday closed lower on negative carry-over from Thursday's EIA data that showed a +0.3% increase in U.S. crude production in the week ended Feb 17 to a 10-1/2 month high of 9.001 million bpd and the +564,000 bbl increase in U.S. crude inventories to a record 518.7 million bbl (EIA data from 1982). Crude oil was also undercut by data from Baker Hughes that showed U.S. active oil rigs in the week ended Feb 24 rose 5 to 602, the most in 16-1/2 months.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR02/27/2017
Monday, Feb 27
US0830 ETJan durable goods orders expected +1.7% and +0.5% ex transportation, Dec -0.5% and +0.5% ex transportation. Jan capital goods new orders non-defense ex aircraft & parts expected +0.5%, Dec +0.7%.
1000 ETJan pending home sales expected +1.0% m/m, Dec +1.6% m/m and -2.0% y/y.
1030 ETFeb Dallas Fed manufacturing activity expected -2.7 to 19.4, Jan +4.4 to 22.1.
1100 ETUSDA weekly grain export inspections.
1100 ETDallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (voter) speaks at the University of Oklahoma Price College of Business.
Tuesday, Feb 28
US0830 ETRevised Q4 GDP expected +2.1% (q/q annualized), previous +1.9% (q/q annualized). Q4 personal consumption expected unrevised at +2.5%. Q4 GDP price index expected unrevised at +2.1%. Q4 core PCE expected unrevised at +1.3% q/q.
0830 ETJan wholesale inventories expected +0.4%, Dec +1.0% m/m. Jan retail inventories, Dec unch m/m.
0900 ETDec S&P CoreLogic composite-20 home price index expected +0.7% m/m and +5.3% y/y, Nov +0.88% m/m and +5.27% y/y.
0945 ETFeb Chicago PMI expected +2.7 to 53.0, Jan -3.6 to 50.3.
1000 ETFeb Conference Board U.S. consumer confidence index expected -0.8 to 111.0, Jan -1.5 to 111.8.
1000 ETFeb Richmond Fed manufacturing index expected -2 to 10, Jan +4 to 12.
1500 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Patrick Harker (voter) speaks on the economic outlook at Temple University.
1530 ETSan Francisco Fed President John Williams (non-voter) delivers an outlook speech to the Santa Cruz Chamber of Commerce.
1850 ETSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard (non-voter) gives the Spring 2017 GWU Alumni Lecture in Economics at George Washington University.
2100 ETPresident Trump delivers speech to joint session of Congress.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR02/27/2017
CompanyTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
TEGNA IncTGNA USBf-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.664
AES Corp/VAAES US6:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.354
American Tower CorpAMT US7:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.42
American Tower CorpAMT US8:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
AES Corp/VAAES US9:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
TEGNA IncTGNA US10:00Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO US16:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20161.616
Priceline Group Inc/ThePCLN US16:00Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 201612.963
Frontier Communications CorpFTR US16:05Q4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2016-0.035
Frontier Communications CorpFTR US16:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Perrigo Co PLCPRGO US16:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
Priceline Group Inc/ThePCLN US16:30Q4 2016 Earnings CallQ4 2016
EOG Resources IncEOG USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 2016-0.144
ONEOK IncOKE USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.458
Albemarle CorpALB USAft-mktQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20160.718
Berkshire Hathaway IncBRK/A USQ4 2016 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20162716.6
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