Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Buy land-they're not making anymore of it -- Will Rogers

Today I took Will Rogers' advice and bought Plum Creek Timber (PCL)  for my Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio.  Plum Creek Timber is the second largest private timberland owner in the United States, with approximately 7.8 million acres of timberlands located in 19 states. Their timberlands are well diversified, not only by species mix but also by age distribution. Growth rates vary depending on species, location, age and forestry practices. They manage their timberlands in two business segments: the Northern Resources Segment and the Southern Resources Segment.

As America's and Chinese thirst for wood for building materials and furniture returns the harvesting of wood should make this company a long term cash cow.  As the population grows who wouldn't want to own almost 8 million acres of raw land?

I know this looks like an asset buy but it actually came to my attention when screening on Barchart for stocks hitting the most frequent new highs.  This company hit 16 new highs and appreciated 12.71% in the last month earning it a 100% Barchart technical buy signal.  It trades around 41.84 with a 50 day moving average of 37.65.  The stocks momentum is increasing with a Relative Strength Index that is 78.90% and rising.


Wall Street brokerage analysts like this stock and have published 4 buy and 8 hold recommendations based on their projections for increases in both revenue and earnings.  I think the reason there are so many hold recommendations is that the company is really an REIT holding and timber but instead of counting on rents they count on the sale of timber products to pay the bills.  This stock could give a total return between 7% - 10% for many years to come.


The stock has not gone unnoticed by the general investor and has caught the eye of the members on Motley Fool.  The CAPS members vote 695 to 46 that the stock will continue to beat the market with the All Stars in agreement with a vote of 240 to 9.


The reasons I like this stock are:

  • Hitting new highs on a consistent basis
  • Wall Street analysts are following and recommending the stock
  • There is a wide and positive general investor sentiment
  • I truly believe I can't go wrong owning land and timber
Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.

Nedvsun Resources deleted

This morning I deleted Nevsun Resources (NSU) from the Barchart Van Meerten Speculative portfolio for negative price trends:

  • Barchart Trend Spotter (tm) technical sell signal
  • Trading below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 29.68% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index is 26.59% and dropping

Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.



Cia De Bebidas Das Americas - ABV - deleted

This morning I deleted Cia De Bebidas Das Americas (ABV) from the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio for negative price trends:


  • Barchart Trend Spotter (tm) technical sell signal
  • Trading below its 20 and 50 day moving average
  • 14.22% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index is 35.21% and falling
Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.

Tennant - TNC -- Chart of the day 1/25


Chart of the Day - Tennant Corp (TNC)
Related Stocks
 TNC - Tennant Company
Sym Last Chg Pct
TNC 39.77 -0.35 -0.87%
The "Chart of the Day" is Tennant Corp (TNC), which showed up on Monday's list of stocks that had a new "Buy" signal from the Barchart "TrendSpotter" trading system. Tennant on Monday rallied by 4.70% and posted a new 2-1/3 year high. Tennant has rallied on the strength seen in its business in the past nine months and its plans to expand in 2011. The company is gaining market share with its line of low-chemical, less-water line of floor-cleaning equipment. Tennant, with a market cap of $730 million, is a Minneapolis-based company that specializes in the sale of commercial and industrial floor maintenance equipment and related products.

tnc_700
How we found the Chart of the Day:
We found the "Chart of the Day" by scanning the Barchart "Trading Signals" page. That page provides a summary of changes in the Barchart signals. We then clicked on the TrendSpotter "Buy" category to obtain a list of all the stocks for which the Barchart TrendSpotter trading system has just turned to a buy. We then clicked on the "Today's Opinion" column header in order to sort the list with the strongest stocks on top. Further information is available at Barchart Signals Guide help page and at TrendSpotter help page.
Barchart's Opinion trading systems are all a Buy and Barchart's daily TrendSpotter trading system is a "Buy." Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.
  • TrendSpotter: Buy
  • Short-Term Indicators: 100% Buy
  • Medium-Term Indicators: 100% Buy
  • Long-Term Indicators: 100% Buy
  • Overall Average 100% Buy


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Monday, January 24, 2011

If everything comes in a box these days where is the opportunity?

When I go to the store, especially the grocery store, I'm amazed how many products come in a paper box, tube or carton.  If the economy is recovering the way everyone is telling me it is then it would seem that an industry that's going to be right in the middle of it all would be an industry that provides paper packaging.

When I go screening for stocks I want a stock that is moving now, that analysts forecast increased sales and earnings and has a wide and positive following with the general investing public.

Let's look at a watch list of paper container companies I came up with going from large to small:

GEF - Greif Bros --  manufactures and markets a broad variety of superior quality industrial shipping containers (which include fiber drums,plastic drums, steel drums, intermediate bulk containers, and multi wall bags) and containerboard and corrugated products (which include semi chemical and recycled medium, recycled liner board, corrugated boxes and corrugated honeycomb products) as well as timber properties. Greif provides innovative packaging solutions to meet the ever-changing needs of its customers.

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signal
  • Hit 16 new highs and is up 1.60% in the last month
  • Rising Relative Strength Index of 65.06%
  • Trades around 64.03 with a 50 day moving average of 61.26
  • Wall Street brokerage analysts have 5 buy and 1 hold recommendations released
  • Sales projected to increase 15.30% this year and 7.20% next year
  • EPS estimated to increase 13.10% this year, 11.80% next year and 10.28% annually for the next 5 years
  • Investor sentiment high with the CAPS members on Motley Fool voting 315 to 8 that the stock will beat the market with the All Stars in agreement 123 to 1
GRM - Graham Packaging --  a U.S. based company engaged in the design, sale, and manufacture of value-added, custom blow-molded plastic containers for branded consumer products. Graham Packaging supplies plastic containers for hot-fill juice and juice drinks, sports drinks, drinkable yogurt and smoothies, nutritional supplements, wide-mouth food, dressings, condiments and beers. The Company also supplies plastic containers for yogurt drinks, liquid fabric care products, dish care products and hard-surface cleaners. Graham Packaging is also the supplier of one-quart/liter plastic motor oil containers in the U.S., Canada and Brazil. The Company conducts its operations through its majority-owned subsidiary Graham Packaging Holdings Company (Holdings), Holdings' wholly owned subsidiary Graham Packaging Company, L.P. (the Operating Company) and all of the Operating Company's subsidiaries.
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signal
  • 12 new highs and up 17.64% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index of 88.25%
  • Trades around 16.08 with a 50 day moving average of 13.30
  • Wall Street brokerages have published 5 buy and 1 hold recommendation
  • Sales projected to increase 14.10% next year
  • EPS expected to grow 10.00% annually for the next 5 years
  • Investor sentiment on Motley Fool small but positive with the CAPS members betting 18 to 0 that the stock will beat the market and the All Stars voting 6 to 0
MPAC - Mod-Pac -- a specialized short-run printer and a designer and manufacturer of paperboard packaging. They provide products in two primary categories, folding cartons and full color print-on-demand. In addition to the commercial print market, they also provide distinctive designs for social occasions. They personalize specialty items such as invitations, napkins, and stationery.
  • 100% Barchart technical buy signal
  • 10 new highs and up 16.13% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index 64.09
  • Trades around 5.40 with a 50 day moving average of 4.94
  • No one is presently  following this stock but earnings have grown 128% annually for the last 5 years
Well now you have 3 stocks to add to your watch list of stocks that should be poised to take advantage of a recovering economy.

Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.

Internet insurance play

This morning I added InsWeb (INSW) to the Barchart Van Meerten Speculative portfolio for positive price trends.  This is a truly speculative issue that we are buying just ahead of its February 7th earnings announcement.  If wrong it could tank in a heartbeat.

InsWeb Corp. operates an online insurance marketplace that enables consumers to shop online for automobile, term life, homeowners, renters and individual health insurance and obtain insurance company-sponsored quotes for actual coverage. InsWeb's marketplace brings consumers and insurance companies together online, providing consumers with the insurance they need and insurance companies with the customers they want. InsWeb's service is free to consumers; its principal source of revenues is transaction fees paid by insurance companies.

In the last month the stock hit 13 new highs and is up 13.89% I'm hoping in anticipation of good earnings results.  The recent price appreciation has earned the stock a 72% Barchart technical buy signal.  It trades around 8.65 with a 50 day moving average of 7.45 and has a Relative Strength Index of 7.45.

This is a relatively unknown stock with only 4 opinion votes on Motley Fool but all are positive.

A highly speculative position so monitor closely.



Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.



Dot Hill Systems -- HILL - added

This morning I added Dot Hill Systems (HILL) to the Barchart Van Meerten Speculative portfolio for positive price trends.  Dot Hill Systems Corp. is the leading independent provider of carrier-class data storage solutions for Internet-generation applications. With solutions that include storage area networks and disaster-tolerant systems for Telco and Internet operations, Dot Hill is uniquely positioned to address the storage requirements of mission-critical continuous computing environments. Its customers include many of the world's leading Internet service providers, financial institutions, advanced technology and telecommunications companies, and government agencies.

With 16 new highs and a price appreciation of 89.02% in the last month the stock has earned a 100% Barchart technical buy signal.  The stock trades around 3.17 with a 50 day moving average of 2.00 and has Relative Strength Index of 76.83% and it's rising.

Only one Wall Street brokerage is following the stock but they look for a 41.40% increase in EPS this year and 94.10% next year.

Surprisingly there is a wide and positive investor sentiment with the CAPS members on Motley Fool voting 56 to 17 that the stock will beat the market and the All Stars agree 13 to 6.

Although this stock does not have a big following on Wall Street the general investor has found it and the positive price trend is why I like it.



Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.



Cimatron - CIMT - added

This morning I added Cimatron (CIMT) to the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio based on positive price trends:

  • 96% Barchart technical buy signal
  • 16 new highs and up 64.40% in the past month
  • Relative Strength Index 75.81% and rising
  • Trades around 4.26 with a 50 day moving average of 2.83

Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.




Synta Pharmaceuticals - SNTA - deleted

This morning I deleted Synta Pharmaceuticals from the Barchart Van Meerten Speculative portfolio for negative price trends:

  • 60% Barchart short term technical sell signal
  • Trend Spotter (tm) sell signal
  • Trading below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 30.59% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 29.10% and falling

Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.




Silver Sell Signals

This morning I deleted the Ultra Silver ETF (AGQ) for the Barchart Van Meerten New High portfolio for negatived price trends:

  • Barchart Trend Spotter (tm) sell signal
  • Trading below its 20 and 50 day moving averages
  • 23.13% off its recent high
  • Relative Strength Index 36.82% and dropping
Jim Van Meerten is a professional investor with over 40 year experience in investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  He shares his knowledge on Barchart in his daily blogs -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.